Last update:
Sat Oct 12 16:09:13 MDT 2024
Nigel Driffield and
Sarmistha Pal Evolution of Capital Structure in East
Asia --- Corporate Inertia or
Endeavours? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--29
Ian N. Gregory and
Jordi Marti-Henneberg and
Francisco J. Tapiador Modelling Long-Term Pan-European
Population Change from 1870 to 2000 by
Using Geographical Information Systems 31--50
James Chipperfield and
Philip Bell Embedded Experiments in Repeated and
Overlapping Surveys . . . . . . . . . . 51--66
Stefanie Behncke and
Markus Frölich and
Michael Lechner Unemployed and Their Caseworkers: Should
They Be Friends or Foes? . . . . . . . . 67--92
Jean Bourdon and
Markus Frölich and
Katharina Michaelowa Teacher Shortages, Teacher Contracts and
Their Effect on Education in Africa . . 93--116
Juha Alho and
Nico Keilman On Future Household Structure . . . . . 117--143
Beth A. Reboussin and
Nicholas S. Ialongo Latent Transition Models with Latent
Class Predictors: Attention Deficit
Hyperactivity Disorder Subtypes and High
School Marijuana Use . . . . . . . . . . 145--164
Raffaella Piccarreta and
Orna Lior Exploring Sequences: A Graphical Tool
Based on Multi-Dimensional Scaling . . . 165--184
Irene L. Hudson and
Linda Moore and
Eric J. Beh and
David G. Steel Ecological Inference Techniques: An
Empirical Evaluation Using Data
Describing Gender and Voter Turnout at
New Zealand Elections, 1893--1919 . . . 185--213
Michael O'Kelly and
John Doyle and
Philip J. Boland How Many Ways Can You Look at a
Proportion?: Cross-Community Vote
Transfers in Northern Ireland after the
Belfast Agreement . . . . . . . . . . . 215--235
Myoung-jae Lee Measuring the Usage Effects of Tying a
Messenger to Windows: A Treatment Effect
Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 237--253
Paul Seed Correspondence: The use of cost
information when defining critical
values for prediction of rare events by
using logistic regression and similar
methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255--256
Paul Seed and
Richard Berk and
Lawrence Sherman and
Geoffrey Barnes and
Ellen Kurtz and
Lindsay Ahlman The Use of Cost Information When
Defining Critical Values for Prediction
of Rare Events by Using Logistic
Regression and Similar Methods . . . . . 255--258
Richard Berk and
Lawrence Sherman and
Geoffrey Barnes and
Ellen Kurtz and
Lindsay Ahlman Correspondence: Authors' response . . . 256--258
Dennis V. Lindley Irving John Good, 1916--2009 . . . . . . 259--261
Anonymous Obituaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259--267
Geoff Clarke and
Tony Haws K. T. Boyd, 1923--2009 . . . . . . . . . 262--262
John Fox and
Roger Thatcher Philip Redfern, 1922--2009 . . . . . . . 262--265
Peter Diggle and
Robin Henderson and
John Matthews Robert Lewis Plackett, 1920--2009 . . . 265--267
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269--269
Janet Rosenbaum Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Methods
for Measures of Agreement, by L.
Broemeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270--270
Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleAsymptotic Theory
of Statistics and Probability, by A.
DasGupta . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270--271
Eva Batistatou Book Review: \booktitleCluster
Randomised Trials, by R. J. Hayes; L. H.
Moulton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271--271
Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to
Modern Time Series Analysis, by G.
Kirchgassner; J. Wolters . . . . . . . . 271--272
Trevor Smart Book Review: \booktitleThe Statistical
Analysis of Functional MRI Data, by N.
A. Lazar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 272--273
Efstathios Paparoditis Book Review: \booktitleWavelet Methods
in Statistics with R, by G. P. Nason . . 273--273
Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi Book Review: \booktitleProportional
Hazards Regressions, by J. O'Quigley . . 273--274
Niall Adams Book Review: \booktitleDataset Shift in
Machine Learning, by J.
Quiñonero-Candela; M. Sugiyama; A.
Schwaighofer; N. D. Lawrence . . . . . . 274--274
Liliana López Kleine Book Review: \booktitleBiostatistics and
Microbiology: A Survival Manual, by D.
S. Paulson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274--274
Giorgio Bedogni Book Review: \booktitleModern Regression
Methods, by T. P. Ryan . . . . . . . . . 275--275
James Cheshire Book Review: \booktitleLattice:
Multivariate Data Visualization with R,
by D. Sarkar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275--276
Eugenia Stoimenova Book Review: \booktitleApplied
Nonparametric Statistical Methods, by P.
Sprent; N. C. Smeeton . . . . . . . . . 276--276
Thomas Hochkirchen Book Review: \booktitleStatistical
Modelling for Social Researchers:
Principles and Practice, by R. Tarling 276--277
Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Ivor J. Goddard Editorial: Liberty and security: the
Faustian Pact . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279--281
Jonathan Crook and
Tony Bellotti Time varying and dynamic models for
default risk in consumer loans . . . . . 283--305
Sanjib Basu and
Ram C. Tiwari Breast cancer survival, competing risks
and mixture cure model: a Bayesian
analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307--329
Ardo van den Hout and
Fiona E. Matthews Estimating stroke-free and total life
expectancy in the presence of
non-ignorable missing values . . . . . . 331--349
Jouni Kuha and
John H. Goldthorpe Path analysis for discrete variables:
the role of education in social mobility 351--369
Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir and
Tilmann Gneiting Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed:
ensemble model output statistics by
using heteroscedastic censored
regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371--388
F. Kreuter and
K. Olson and
J. Wagner and
T. Yan and
T. M. Ezzati-Rice and
C. Casas-Cordero and
M. Lemay and
A. Peytchev and
R. M. Groves and
T. E. Raghunathan Using proxy measures and other
correlates of survey outcomes to adjust
for non-response: examples from multiple
surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 389--407
John Micklewright and
Sylke V. Schnepf How reliable are income data collected
with a single question? . . . . . . . . 409--429
Babatunde Buraimo and
David Forrest and
Robert Simmons The 12th man?: refereeing bias in
English and German soccer . . . . . . . 431--449
Howell Tong Professor Hirotugu Akaike, 1927--2009 451--454
Anonymous Obituaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 451--460
Nick Fieller Hilda M. Davies, 1914--2008 . . . . . . 454--455
Nancy Flournoy Wilfrid Joseph Dixon, 1915--2008 . . . . 455--457
Colin Aitken and
David J. Finney Peter Fisk, 1929--2009 . . . . . . . . . 458--460
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 461--461
Tim Futing Liao Book Review: \booktitleAnalysis of
Multivariate Social Science Data, by D.
J. Bartholomew; F. Steele; I. Moustaki;
J. I. Galbraith . . . . . . . . . . . . 462--462
Liliana López Kleine Book Review: \booktitleComputational
Biology: a Statistical Mechanics
Perspective, by R. Blossey . . . . . . . 462--463
A. Wade Book Review: \booktitleBayesian
Biostatistics and Diagnostic Medicine,
by L. D. Broemeling . . . . . . . . . . 463--463
Daniel Lewis Book Review: \booktitleElementary
Statistics for Geographers, 3rd edn, by
J. E. Burt; G. M. Barber; D. L. Rigby 464--464
Antonio Pinon Book Review: \booktitleA Handbook of
Statistical Analyses using SAS, by G.
Der; B. S. Everitt . . . . . . . . . . . 464--465
Matthew Sperrin Book Review: \booktitleMultiple Testing
Procedures with Applications to
Genomics, by S. Dudoit; M. J. van der
Laan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 465--465
Liliana López Kleine Book Review: \booktitleBioconductor Case
Studies, by F. Hahne; W. Huber; R.
Gentleman; S. Falcon . . . . . . . . . . 465--466
Andrea M. Rehman Book Review: \booktitleData and Safety
Monitoring Committees in Clinical
Trials, by J. Herson . . . . . . . . . . 466--467
Thomas Hochkirchen Book Review: \booktitleModern
Multivariate Statistical Techniques:
Regression, Classification, and Manifold
Learning, by A. J. Izenman . . . . . . . 467--467
Thomas Jaki Book Review: \booktitleBioequivalence
and Statistics in Clinical Pharmacology,
by S. Patterson; B. Jones . . . . . . . 467--468
Anastasios Savvopoulos Book Review: \booktitleConsumer Credit
Models: Pricing, Profit and Portfolios,
by L. C. Thomas . . . . . . . . . . . . 468--468
Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Stephen M. Stigler Darwin, Galton and the Statistical
Enlightenment . . . . . . . . . . . . . 469--482
Elizabeth L. Turner and
James A. Hanley Cultural imagery and statistical models
of the force of mortality: Addison,
Gompertz and Pearson . . . . . . . . . . 483--500
Sarah Brown and
Jennifer Roberts and
Karl Taylor Reservation wages, labour market
participation and health . . . . . . . . 501--529
Birgitta Rabe and
Mark Taylor Residential mobility, quality of
neighbourhood and life course events . . 531--555
Helmut Rainer and
Ian Smith Staying together for the sake of the
home?: house price shocks and
partnership dissolution in the UK . . . 557--574
Jaime L. Peters and
Alex J. Sutton and
David R. Jones and
Keith R. Abrams and
Lesley Rushton and
Santiago G. Moreno Assessing publication bias in
meta-analyses in the presence of
between-study heterogeneity . . . . . . 575--591
Dan Jackson and
Ian R. White and
Morven Leese How much can we learn about missing
data?: an exploration of a clinical
trial in psychiatry . . . . . . . . . . 593--612
S. Dias and
N. J. Welton and
V. C. C. Marinho and
G. Salanti and
J. P. T. Higgins and
A. E. Ades Estimation and adjustment of bias in
randomized evidence by using mixed
treatment comparison meta-analysis . . . 613--629
Alok Bhargava An econometric analysis of dividends and
share repurchases by US firms . . . . . 631--656
Jon Rasbash and
George Leckie and
Rebecca Pillinger and
Jennifer Jenkins Children's educational progress:
partitioning family, school and area
effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 657--682
David R. Brillinger Erich Leo Lehmann, 1917--2009 . . . . . 683--686
P. V. Rao William Mendenhall III, 1925--2009 . . . 686--687
George Casella and
Chuck McCulloch and
Steve Schwager and
Marty Wells Walter T. Federer, 1915--2008 . . . . . 687--688
Gavin Ross and
Peter Thursfield Peter Walker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 688--689
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 690--690
Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleMeta-analysis of
Binary Data using Profile Likelihood, by
D. Böhning; R. Kuhnert; S. Rattanasiri 691--691
Liliana López Kleine Book Review: \booktitlePrinciples and
Theory for Data Mining and Machine
Learning, by B. Clarke; E. Fokoué; H. H.
Zhang . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 691--692
Arturo González-Izquierdo Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to
Social Statistics, by T. Dietz; L. Kalof 692--692
S. E. Lazic and
Roche Basel Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to
Design of Experiments with JMP Examples,
3rd edn, by J. Goupy; L. Creighton . . . 692--693
Z. Q. John Lu Book Review: \booktitleThe Elements of
Statistical Learning: Data Mining,
Inference, and Prediction, 2nd edn, by
T. Hastie; R. Tibshirani; J. Friedman 693--694
James Cheshire Book Review: \booktitleA First Course in
Bayesian Statistical Methods, by P. D.
Hoff . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 694--695
Fiona McElduff Book Review: \booktitleProbability with
R: an Introduction with Computer Science
Applications, by J. M. Horgan . . . . . 695--695
Daniel Lewis Book Review: \booktitleState and Local
Government Statistics at a Crossroads
National Research Council . . . . . . . 695--696
Per Kragh Andersen Book Review: \booktitleRegression
Modeling: Methods, Theory, and
Computation with SAS, by M. Panik . . . 696--696
L. T. Skovgaard Book Review: \booktitleConfidence
Intervals in Generalized Regression
Models, by E. Uusipaikka . . . . . . . . 696--697
Giorgio Bedogni Book Review: \booktitleA Beginner's
Guide to R, by A. F. Zuur; E. N. Ieno;
E. H. W. G. Meesters . . . . . . . . . . 697--698
Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Stephen D. Fisher and
Jouni Kuha and
Clive Payne Editorial: Getting it right on the
night, again --- the 2010 UK general
election exit poll . . . . . . . . . . . 699--701
James Raymer and
Peter W. F. Smith Editorial: Modelling migration flows . . 703--705
Peter Boden and
Phil Rees Using administrative data to improve the
estimation of immigration to local areas
in England . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 707--731
Peter W. F. Smith and
James Raymer and
Corrado Giulietti Combining available migration data in
England to study economic activity flows
over time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 733--753
Peter Congdon Random-effects models for migration
attractivity and retentivity: a Bayesian
methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 755--774
Jakub Bijak and
Arkadiusz Wi\'sniowski Bayesian forecasting of immigration to
selected European countries by using
expert knowledge . . . . . . . . . . . . 775--796
Guy J. Abel Estimation of international migration
flow tables in Europe . . . . . . . . . 797--825
David J. Hand and
Martin Dougherty and
Sarah Simpson and
Gerald Goodall and
Trevor Lewis and
Sheila Bird and
Andrew Garratt and
Jill Leyland and
Colin Aitken and
Ivor Goddard and
Ron Smith and
Paul Gentry and
Adrian Bowman and
Nicola Emmerson and
Andy Garrett and
John McColl and
Penny Bidgood and
Debra Hurcomb and
Martin Owen and
Robin Henderson and
Frank Duckworth and
Julian Champkin and
Mary Sweetland and
Jenny Church and
Liam Murray and
Heiko Grossmann and
Richard Chandler and
Vic Barnett and
Julian Stander and
Stephen Walters and
Liz Harris and
G. Robin Henderson and
Richard Samworth and
Antony Fielding and
Moira Mugglestone and
Jenny Lannon and
David Martin and
Maurice Merchant and
Daphne Kounali and
Chris Brignell and
Mairi Spowage and
Ben Torsney and
Claus Dieter Mayer and
Ting-Li Su and
Paul Baxter and
John Logsdon and
Tony Hildreth and
Jemma Hopewell and
Fazil Baksh and
Sara Hilditch and
Paul Smith and
John Eales and
Heather Turner and
Tom Grimes and
David Hand and
Sayer Vincent Report of the Council for 2009 . . . . . 827--914
Michael Murphy Correspondence: Detecting year-of-birth
mortality patterns with limited data . . 915--920
Michael Murphy and
Stephen Richards Detecting year-of-birth mortality
patterns with limited data . . . . . . . 915--924
Stephen Richards Correspondence: Author's response . . . 920--924
John Craig and
John Fox Arthur Roger Thatcher, 1926--2010 . . . 925--927
Anonymous Obituaries: Arthur Roger Thatcher;
Morris Walker; Tom Griffin; Jon Rasbash 925--932
Maurice Priestley and
Nick Fieller Morris Walker, 1921--2010 . . . . . . . 928--929
David Wroe Tom Griffin, 1937--2010 . . . . . . . . 929--931
Harvey Goldstein and
Fiona Steele and
William Browne Jon Rasbash . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 931--932
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 933--933
Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of
Financial Time Series, by T. G.
Andersen; R. A. Davis; J.-P. Kreiss; T.
Mikosch . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 934--934
Cedric Ginestet Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to
Statistical Relational Learning, by L.
Getoor; B. Taskar . . . . . . . . . . . 934--935
Sreenivasan Ravi Book Review: \booktitleBayesian
Reliability, by M. S. Hamada; A. G.
Wilson; C. S. Reese; H. F. Martz . . . . 935--935
Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleLinear Model
Methodology, by A. I. Khuri . . . . . . 935--936
David J. Hand Book Review: \booktitleThe Statistical
Mind in Modern Society: The Netherlands
1850--1940: vol. 1, Official Statistics,
Social Progress and Modern Enterprise;
vol. 2, Statistics and Scientific Work,
by P. M. M. Klep; J. G. S. J. van
Maarseveen; I. H. Stamhuis . . . . . . . 936--937
David J. Hand Book Review: \booktitleStatistical
Detection and Surveillance of Geographic
Clusters, by P. Rogerson; I. Yamada . . 937--938
M. Dolores Ugarte Book Review: \booktitleA Modern Approach
to Regression with R, by S. J. Sheather 938--938
Ana F. Militino Book Review: \booktitleMixed Effects
Models and Extensions in Ecology with R,
by A. F. Zuur; E. N. Ieno; N. J. Walker;
A. A. Saveliev; G. M. Smith . . . . . . 938--939
Anonymous Index of authors: Index of authors,
volume 173, 2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . 941--945
Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
I. G. Shuttleworth and
C. D. Lloyd and
D. J. Martin Exploring the implications of changing
census output geographies for the
measurement of residential segregation:
the example of Northern Ireland
1991--2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--16
Chris Brunsdon and
Paul Longley and
Alex Singleton and
David Ashby Predicting participation in higher
education: a comparative evaluation of
the performance of geodemographic
classifications . . . . . . . . . . . . 17--30
Giancarlo Manzi and
David J. Spiegelhalter and
Rebecca M. Turner and
Julian Flowers and
Simon G. Thompson Modelling bias in combining small area
prevalence estimates from multiple
surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31--50
Christopher O'Brien The origins and originators of early
statistical societies: a comparison of
Liverpool and Manchester . . . . . . . . 51--62
Stephen P. Jenkins and
Richard V. Burkhauser and
Shuaizhang Feng and
Jeff Larrimore Measuring inequality using censored
data: a multiple-imputation approach to
estimation and inference . . . . . . . . 63--81
Harvey Goldstein Estimating research performance by using
research grant award gradings . . . . . 83--93
Joan Costa-Font and
Marin Gemmill and
Gloria Rubert Biases in the healthcare luxury good
hypothesis?: a meta-regression analysis 95--107
Duncan Lee and
Claire Ferguson and
E. Marian Scott Constructing representative air quality
indicators with measures of uncertainty 109--126
Martyn Andrews and
Ken Clark and
William Whittaker The determinants of regional migration
in Great Britain: a duration approach 127--153
Christel Faes and
Marc Aerts and
Saskia Liti\`ere and
Estelle Méroc and
Yves Van der Stede and
Koen Mintiens Estimating herd prevalence on the basis
of aggregate testing of animals . . . . 155--174
Silvia Balia and
Andrew M. Jones Catching the habit: a study of
inequality of opportunity in
smoking-related mortality . . . . . . . 175--194
Paul Frijters and
Michael A. Shields and
Stephen Wheatley Price and
Jenny Williams Quantifying the cost of passive smoking
on child health: evidence from
children's cotinine samples . . . . . . 195--212
Ryan J. Tibshirani and
Andrew Price and
Jonathan Taylor A statistician plays darts . . . . . . . 213--226
T. M. F. Smith and
Sonja Moore Professor P. G. Moore, 1928--2010 . . . 227--230
Anonymous Obituaries: P. G. Moore; David Harold
Blackwell; Gopal K. Kanji; Andrew Samuel
Christopher Ehrenberg; John Arthur Bound 227--238
David R. Brillinger David Harold Blackwell, 1919--2010 . . . 230--233
Warren Gilchrist Gopal K. Kanji, 1938--2010 . . . . . . . 233--235
Gerald Goodhardt and
Chris Chatfield Andrew Samuel Christopher Ehrenberg,
1926--2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235--237
Gerald Goodhardt John Arthur Bound, 1924--2010 . . . . . 237--238
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239--239
Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi Book Review: \booktitleEconomic
Modelling and Inference, by B. J.
Christensen; N. M. Kiefer . . . . . . . 240--240
Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleDemographic
Forecasting, by F. Girosi; G. King . . . 240--241
Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleRobust
Statistics, 2nd edn, by P. J. Huber; E.
M. Ronchetti . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 241--242
Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi Book Review: \booktitleMacroeconomic
Patterns and Stories: a Guide for MBAs,
by E. E. Leamer . . . . . . . . . . . . 242--242
P. Sprent Book Review: \booktitleA Practical Guide
to Scientific Data Analysis, by D.
Livingstone . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242--243
Tyler VanderWeele Book Review: \booktitleCausality, 2nd
edn, by J. Pearl . . . . . . . . . . . . 243--244
Giorgio Bedogni Book Review: \booktitleDesign of
Observational Studies, by P. R.
Rosenbaum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 244--245
Cedric Ginestet Book Review: \booktitleggplot2: Elegant
Graphics for Data Analysis, by H.
Wickham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245--245
Cedric Ginestet Book reviews: ggplot2: Elegant Graphics
for Data Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . 245--246
C. J. Wild and
M. Pfannkuch and
M. Regan and
N. J. Horton Towards more accessible conceptions of
statistical inferences [with discussion] 247--295
Marco Francesconi and
Holly Sutherland and
Francesca Zantomio A comparison of earnings measures from
longitudinal and cross-sectional
surveys: evidence from the UK . . . . . 297--326
Silvia Lui and
James Mitchell and
Martin Weale Qualitative business surveys: signal or
noise? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 327--348
Laurent Lesnard and
Man Yee Kan Investigating scheduling of work: a
two-stage optimal matching analysis of
workdays and workweeks . . . . . . . . . 349--368
Elizabeth A. Stuart and
Stephen R. Cole and
Catherine P. Bradshaw and
Philip J. Leaf The use of propensity scores to assess
the generalizability of results from
randomized trials . . . . . . . . . . . 369--386
Miran A. Jaffa and
Robert F. Woolson and
Stuart R. Lipsitz Slope estimation for bivariate
longitudinal outcomes adjusting for
informative right censoring by using a
discrete survival model: application to
the renal transplant cohort . . . . . . 387--402
Md Asaduzzaman and
Thierry J. Chaussalet An overflow loss network model for
capacity planning of a perinatal network 403--417
Ian Plewis Contextual variations in ethnic group
differences in educational attainments 419--437
Cecilia Frale and
Massimiliano Marcellino and
Gian Luigi Mazzi and
Tommaso Proietti EUROMIND: a monthly indicator of the
euro area economic conditions . . . . . 439--470
Philip Scarf and
Xin Shi and
Sohail Akhtar On the distribution of runs scored and
batting strategy in test cricket . . . . 471--497
Peter McCullagh and
Bob Gilchrist and
Roger Payne John Ashworth Nelder, 1924--2010 . . . . 499--502
Anonymous Obituaries: John Ashworth Nelder; Julian
Besag . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 499--504
Peter J. Diggle and
Peter J. Green Julian Besag FRS, 1945--2010 . . . . . . 502--504
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 505--505
S. E. Lazic and
F. Hoffmann-La Roche Book Review: \booktitleModel based
Inference in the Life Sciences: a Primer
on Evidence, by D. R. Anderson . . . . . 506--506
Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleMeasurement
Error: Models, Methods and Applications,
by J. P. Buonaccorsi . . . . . . . . . . 506--507
Judith Corbyn Book Review: \booktitleTime Series
Analysis with Applications in R, 2nd edn
by J. D. Cryer; K. Chan . . . . . . . . 507--507
Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleFundamentals of
Probability: a First Course, by A.
Dasgupta . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 507--508
Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleNonparametric
Statistical Inference, 5th edn, by J.
Dickinson Gibbons; S. Chakraborti . . . 508--509
Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleSimulation and
Inference for Stochastic Differential
Equations: with R Examples, by S. M.
Iacus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 509--509
Gonzalo Durán Pacheco and
F. Hoffmann-La Roche Basel Book Review: \booktitleGraphics for
Statistics and Data Analysis with R, by
K. J. Keen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 509--510
Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleStochastic
Financial Models, by D. Kennedy . . . . 510--511
Giorgio Bedogni Book Review: \booktitleApplying
Quantitative Bias Analysis to
Epidemiologic Data, by T. L. Lash; M. P.
Fox; A. K. Fink . . . . . . . . . . . . 511--512
Neal Alexander Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Disease
Mapping: Hierarchical Modeling in
Spatial Epidemiology, by A. Lawson . . . 512--513
R. M. Lark Book Review: \booktitleStatistical
Methods for Estimating Petroleum
Resources, by P.-J. Lee . . . . . . . . 513--513
M. Dolores Ugarte Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to
Spatial Econometrics, by J. LeSage; R.
K. Pace . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 513--514
Jonathan Gillard Book Review: \booktitleMatrix
Computations and Semiseparable Matrices:
vol. 1, Linear Systems; vol. 2,
\booktitleEigenvalue and Singular Value
Methods, by R. Vandebril; M. Van Barel;
N. Mastronardi . . . . . . . . . . . . . 514--515
Jane Galbraith and
Mervyn Stone The abuse of regression in the National
Health Service allocation formulae:
response to the Department of Health's
2007 `Resource allocation research
paper' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 517--528
Alex Gibson and
Sheena Asthana Resource allocation for English local
government: a critique of the four-block
model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 529--546
Anonymous Discussion on the meeting on `Resource
allocation models' . . . . . . . . . . . 547--567
Arnaud Chevalier and
Antony Fielding An introduction to anchoring vignettes 569--574
Arthur van Soest and
Liam Delaney and
Colm Harmon and
Arie Kapteyn and
James P. Smith Validating the use of anchoring
vignettes for the correction of response
scale differences in subjective
questions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 575--595
Hana Vo\vnková and
Patrick Hullegie Is the anchoring vignette method
sensitive to the domain and choice of
the vignette? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 597--620
Viola Angelini and
Danilo Cavapozzi and
Omar Paccagnella Dynamics of reporting work disability in
Europe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 621--638
Teresa Bago d'Uva and
Maarten Lindeboom and
Owen O'Donnell and
Eddy van Doorslaer Education-related inequity in healthcare
with heterogeneous reporting of health 639--664
Omar Paccagnella Anchoring vignettes with sample
selection due to non-response . . . . . 665--687
Hwan Chung and
James C. Anthony and
Joseph L. Schafer Latent class profile analysis: an
application to stage sequential
processes in early onset drinking
behaviours . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 689--712
Edviges Coelho and
Luis C. Nunes Forecasting mortality in the event of a
structural change . . . . . . . . . . . 713--736
Thomas Siedler Parental unemployment and young people's
extreme right-wing party affinity:
evidence from panel data . . . . . . . . 737--758
Johannes Gräb and
Michael Grimm Inequality in Burkina Faso --- to what
extent do household, community and
regional factors matter? . . . . . . . . 759--784
Benjamin R. Saville and
Amy H. Herring and
Jay S. Kaufman Assessing variance components in
multilevel linear models using
approximate Bayes factors: a case-study
of ethnic disparities in birth weight 785--804
Joseph L. Gastwirth and
Wesley O. Johnson and
Hiro Hikawa Estimating the fraction of `non-genuine'
artwork by Henry Moore for sale on eBay:
application of latent class screening
test methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . 805--822
David R. Bellhouse A new look at Halley's life table . . . 823--832
George Leckie and
Harvey Goldstein A note on `The limitations of school
league tables to inform school choice' 833--836
Kenneth Read John Robert Ashford, 1929--2010 . . . . 837--838
Anonymous Obituaries: John Robert Ashford; Julian
Robert Leslie . . . . . . . . . . . . . 837--839
Eugene Seneta Julian Robert Leslie, 1948--2010 . . . . 838--839
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 841--841
Aisha Dasgupta Book Review: \booktitleFood, Economics,
and Health, by A. Bhargava . . . . . . . 842--842
David Goda Book Review: \booktitleLotteries for
Education, by C. Boyle . . . . . . . . . 842--843
Jonathan Gillard Book Review: \booktitleCircular and
Linear Regression: Fitting Circles and
Lines, by Least Squares by N. Chernov 843--843
S. E. Lazic Book Review: \booktitleThe R Book, by M.
J. Crawley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 843--844
George Leckie Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of
Advanced Multilevel Analysis, by J. J.
Hox; J. K. Roberts . . . . . . . . . . . 844--845
Sreenivasan Ravi Book Review: \booktitleNew Perspectives
in Stochastic Geometry, by W. S.
Kendall; I. Molchanov . . . . . . . . . 845--846
Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi Book Review: \booktitleMonte Carlo
Methods and Models in Finance and
Insurance, by R. Korn; E. Korn; G.
Kroisandt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 846--846
Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleModeling and
Analysis of Stochastic Systems, 2nd edn,
by V. G. Kulkarni . . . . . . . . . . . 847--847
Thomas Aachen Book Review: \booktitleApplied
Statistics for Engineers and Physical
Scientists, 3rd edn, by J. Ledolter; R.
V. Hogg . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 847--848
Thomas Hochkirchen Book Review: \booktitleApplied
Statistics for Engineers and Physical
Scientists, 3rd edn, by J. Ledolter; R.
V. Hogg . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 847--848
Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi Book reviews: \booktitleApplied
Statistics for Business and Economics 848--848
Anonymous Book Review: \booktitleModeling and
Analysis of Stochastic Systems, 2nd edn,
by V. G. Kulkarni . . . . . . . . . . . 848--848
M. Dolores Ugarte Book Review: \booktitleStatistical
Methods for Disease Clustering, by T.
Tango . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 848--849
Giorgio Bedogni Book Review: \booktitleStatistics in
Plain English, by T. C. Urdan . . . . . 849--850
Paul Anand and
Martine Durand and
James Heckman Editorial: The measurement of progress
--- some achievements and challenges . . 851--855
Lutz Bornmann and
Rüdiger Mutz and
Werner Marx and
Hermann Schier and
Hans-Dieter Daniel A multilevel modelling approach to
investigating the predictive validity of
editorial decisions: do the editors of a
high profile journal select manuscripts
that are highly cited after publication? 857--879
James Brown and
Owen Abbott and
Paul A. Smith Design of the 2001 and 2011 Census
Coverage Surveys for England and Wales 881--906
Martin Forster and
S. D. Smith Surviving slavery: mortality at
Mesopotamia, a Jamaican sugar estate,
1762--1832 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 907--929
Robert Tanton and
Yogi Vidyattama and
Binod Nepal and
Justine McNamara Small area estimation using a
reweighting algorithm . . . . . . . . . 931--951
Daria Mendola and
Annalisa Busetta and
Anna Maria Milito Combining the intensity and sequencing
of the poverty experience: a class of
longitudinal poverty indices . . . . . . 953--973
Wanzhu Tu and
Pulak Ghosh and
Barry P. Katz A stochastic model for assessing
\bionameChlamydia trachomatis
transmission risk by using longitudinal
observational data . . . . . . . . . . . 975--989
Robert Breunig and
Rebecca McKibbin The effect of survey design on household
reporting of financial difficulty . . . 991--1005
James P. LeSage and
R. Kelley Pace and
Nina Lam and
Richard Campanella and
Xingjian Liu New Orleans business recovery in the
aftermath of Hurricane Katrina . . . . . 1007--1027
Gabriele B. Durrant and
Julia D'Arrigo and
Fiona Steele Using paradata to predict best times of
contact, conditioning on household and
interviewer influences . . . . . . . . . 1029--1049
Young-Hoon Park and
Chang Hee Park and
Pulak Ghosh Modelling member behaviour in on-line
user-generated content sites: a
semiparametric Bayesian approach . . . . 1051--1069
Rose Baker and
Ian G. McHale Investigating the behavioural
characteristics of lottery players by
using a combination preference model for
conscious selection . . . . . . . . . . 1071--1086
Valerie Isham and
Martin Dougherty and
Sarah Simpson and
Trevor Lewis and
Stephen Senn and
Andrew Garratt and
Jill Leyland and
Colin Aitken and
Ron Smith and
Martin Griffiths and
Paul Gentry and
Nicola Emmerson and
Andy Garrett and
Gerald Goodall and
John McColl and
Penny Bidgood and
Debra Hurcomb and
Neville Davies and
Jon Forster and
Martin Owen and
Frank Duckworth and
Julian Champkin and
Mary Sweetland and
Jenny Church and
Liam Murray and
Heiko Grossman and
Richard Chandler and
Vic Barnett and
Julian Stander and
Stephen Walters and
Liz Harris and
Carolyn Craggs and
Richard Samworth and
Antony Fielding and
Jenny Lannon and
David Martin and
Maurice Marchant and
G. Robin Henderson and
Daphne Kounali and
Mairi Spowage and
Ben Torsney and
Malcolm Hall and
Matthew Sperrin and
Paul Baxter and
John Logsdon and
Laura Bonnett and
Alan Gordon and
Jemma Hopewell and
Sara Hilditch and
John Eales and
Peter Kimani and
Tom Grimes and
Sayer Vincent and
Helen Elliott Report of the Council for 2010 . . . . . 1087--1174
Sudipta Sadhukhan and
Zhihui Liu and
James A. Hanley Correspondence: Practical and efficient
estimates of one's accuracy in darts . . 1175--1177
Anne Harrison Obituary: Richard Malvern Allen,
1933--2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1178--1179
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1180--1180
Andrew V. Metcalfe Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Ideas
and Data Analysis --- an Introduction
for Scientists and Statisticians, by R.
Christensen; W. Johnson; A. Branscum; T.
E. Hanson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1181--1181
Gonzalo Durán Pacheco and
F. Hoffmann-La Roche Book Review: \booktitleMultiple Testing
Problems in Pharmaceutical Statistics,
by A. Dmitrienko; A. C. Tamhane; F.
Bretz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1181--1182
S. E. Lazic and
F. Hoffmann-La Roche Book Review: \booktitleMeta-analysis and
Combining Information in Genetics and
Genomics, by R. Guerra; D. R. Goldstein 1182--1183
John Shade Book Review: \booktitleThe Hockey Stick
Illusion, by A. W. Montford . . . . . . 1183--1185
John Shade Book Review: \booktitleAcceptance
Sampling in Quality Control, by E. G.
Schilling; D. V. Neubauer . . . . . . . 1185--1186
Anonymous Index of authors: Index of authors,
volume 174, 2011 . . . . . . . . . . . . 1187--1192
David Spiegelhalter and
Christopher Sherlaw-Johnson and
Martin Bardsley and
Ian Blunt and
Christopher Wood and
Olivia Grigg Statistical methods for healthcare
regulation: rating, screening and
surveillance [with discussion] . . . . . 1--47
Steffen Unkel and
C. Paddy Farrington and
Paul H. Garthwaite and
Chris Robertson and
Nick Andrews Statistical methods for the prospective
detection of infectious disease
outbreaks: a review . . . . . . . . . . 49--82
Nadine McCloud and
Subal C. Kumbhakar Institutions, foreign direct investment
and growth: a hierarchical Bayesian
approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83--105
Marc Saez and
Maria Antónia Barceló and
Carmen Martos and
Carme Saurina and
Rafael Marcos-Gragera and
Gemma Renart and
Ricardo Ocaña-Riola and
Cristina Feja and
Tomás Alcalá Spatial variability in relative survival
from female breast cancer . . . . . . . 107--134
Laura Wichert and
Ralf A. Wilke Which factors safeguard employment?: an
analysis with misclassified German
register data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135--151
Roland A. Amann and
Tobias J. Klein Returns to type or tenure? . . . . . . . 153--166
Anthony B. Atkinson and
Peter G. Backus and
John Micklewright and
Cathy Pharoah and
Sylke V. Schnepf Charitable giving for overseas
development: UK trends over a quarter
century . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167--190
Xin Lu and
Linus Bengtsson and
Tom Britton and
Martin Camitz and
Beom Jun Kim and
Anna Thorson and
Fredrik Liljeros The sensitivity of respondent-driven
sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191--216
Annelies G. Blom Explaining cross-country differences in
survey contact rates: application of
decomposition methods . . . . . . . . . 217--242
Peter S. Craig and
Graeme L. Hickey and
Robert Luttik and
Andy Hart Species non-exchangeability in
probabilistic ecotoxicological risk
assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 243--262
Mark B. Stewart Quantile estimates of counterfactual
distribution shifts and the effect of
minimum wage increases on the wage
distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263--287
Peter Lynn and
Annette Jäckle and
Stephen P. Jenkins and
Emanuela Sala The impact of questioning method on
measurement error in panel survey
measures of benefit receipt: evidence
from a validation study . . . . . . . . 289--308
Iain Currie Obituary: Roger Gray, BSc, FFA(Hon),
CStat, FSS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309--310
Simon Day Editorial: Publishing research --- for
whose benefit? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 311--312
Valerie Isham The evolving Society: united we stand 315--335
Nigel Rice and
Silvana Robone and
Peter C. Smith Vignettes and health systems
responsiveness in cross-country
comparative analyses . . . . . . . . . . 337--357
Arthur van Soest and
C. Harmon and
Mary Sweetland and
D. R. Cox and
Omar Paccagnella and
Nicole Valentine and
Elvan Ceyhan and
Paul Allin and
Chris Skinner and
Andrew Gelman and
Emilio Porcu and
Ramón Giraldo and
Carlos Alonso Malavar and
José E. Chacón and
Jesús Montanero and
Luisa Corrado and
Melvyn Weeks and
Venkata K. Jandhyala and
Stergios B. Fotopoulos and
Thomas King and
Jorge Mateu Discussion on the paper by Rice, Robone
and Smith . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 357--369
C. Neumann and
I. W. Evett and
J. Skerrett Quantifying the weight of evidence from
a forensic fingerprint comparison: a new
paradigm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371--396
C. G. G. Aitken and
David J. Balding and
Bernard Silverman and
Michael Risinger and
Simon A. Cole and
David A. Stoney and
Ian Hunt and
Leonard G. Butt and
José E. Chacón and
Nick Fieller and
Stephen E. Fienberg and
J. L. Gastwirth and
Q. Pan and
Ramón Giraldo and
Carlos Alonso Malaver and
Emilio Porcu and
Thomas Hotz and
Axel Munk and
Venkata K. Jandhyala and
Stergios B. Fotopoulos and
Joseph B. Kadane and
David H. Kaye and
Steffen Lauritzen and
Robert Cowell and
Therese Graversen and
Stephanie Llewelyn and
Jorge Mateu and
Robert S. Ramotowski and
Bernard Robertson and
G. A. Vignaux and
Charles E. H. Berger and
Michael J. Saks and
Ashley M. Votruba and
Hal Stern and
William C. Thompson and
Max Welling Discussion on the paper by Neumann,
Evett and Skerrett . . . . . . . . . . . 396--415
Ralitza Gueorguieva and
Robert Rosenheck and
Haiqun Lin Joint modelling of longitudinal outcome
and interval-censored competing risk
dropout in a schizophrenia clinical
trial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 417--433
Eugene Seneta Victorian probability and Lewis Carroll 435--451
F. Moscone and
E. Tosetti and
G. Vittadini Social interaction in patients' hospital
choice: evidence from Italy . . . . . . 453--472
Andrea Riebler and
Leonhard Held and
Håvard Rue and
Matthias Bopp Gender-specific differences and the
impact of family integration on time
trends in age-stratified Swiss suicide
rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 473--490
F. C. Billari and
R. Graziani and
E. Melilli Stochastic population forecasts based on
conditional expert opinions . . . . . . 491--511
P. Bunouf and
J.-M. Grouin and
G. Molenberghs and
G. Koch Analysing intensive longitudinal data
after summarization at landmarks: an
application to daily pain evaluation in
a clinical trial . . . . . . . . . . . . 513--534
Myoung-jae Lee and
Fali Huang Finding dynamic treatment effects under
anticipation: the effects of spanking on
behaviour . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 535--567
M. J. Sweeting and
S. G. Thompson Making predictions from complex
longitudinal data, with application to
planning monitoring intervals in a
national screening programme . . . . . . 569--586
Jochen Kluve and
Hilmar Schneider and
Arne Uhlendorff and
Zhong Zhao Evaluating continuous training
programmes by using the generalized
propensity score . . . . . . . . . . . . 587--617
Young Ku Choi and
Wesley O. Johnson and
Geoff Jones and
Andres Perez and
Mark C. Thurmond Modelling and predicting temporal
frequency of foot-and-mouth disease
cases in countries with endemic
foot-and-mouth disease . . . . . . . . . 619--636
Yanwei Zhang and
Vanja Dukic and
James Guszcza A Bayesian non-linear model for
forecasting insurance loss payments . . 637--656
Tony Lawrance and
Eddie McKenzie Peter A. W. Lewis, 1932--2011 . . . . . 657--659
Anonymous Obituaries: Peter A. W. Lewis,
1932--2011; Wyndham Somerville Paige . . 657--660
Tony Springall Wyndham Somerville Paige . . . . . . . . 659--660
D. J. Johnstone Log-optimal economic evaluation of
probability forecasts . . . . . . . . . 661--681
Steve Satchell and
Christopher A. T. Ferro and
Peter W. F. Smith and
Michael P. Clements and
Robert L. Winkler and
Michael Crowe and
Carlos Eduardo Alonso Malaver and
Emilio Porcu and
Ramón Moncho Giraldo and
Jorge Mateu and
Oscar O. Melo and
Carlos E. Melo Discussion on the paper by Johnstone . . 681--689
Beth A. Reboussin and
John S. Preisser and
Eun-Young Song and
Mark Wolfson Sample size estimation for alternating
logistic regressions analysis of
multilevel randomized community trials
of under-age drinking . . . . . . . . . 691--712
John W. Galbraith and
Simon van Norden Assessing gross domestic product and
inflation probability forecasts derived
from Bank of England fan charts . . . . 713--727
Hayley E. Jones and
David J. Spiegelhalter Improved probabilistic prediction of
healthcare performance indicators using
bidirectional smoothing models . . . . . 729--747
Dimitris Pavlopoulos and
Ruud Muffels and
Jeroen K. Vermunt How real is mobility between low pay,
high pay and non-employment? . . . . . . 749--773
Fabrizia Mealli and
Carla Rampichini Evaluating the effects of university
grants by using regression discontinuity
designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 775--798
Vern Farewell and
Tony Johnson and
Rosemary Gear Hilda Mary Woods MBE, DSc, LRAM, FSS
(1892--1971): reflections on a Fellow of
the Royal Statistical Society . . . . . 799--811
Matthew Powell and
Paul Allin and
Joe Grice Correspondence . . . . . . . . . . . . . 813--814
P. Sprent and
E. E. Bassett and
D. A. Preece Stanley Clifford Pearce, 1914--2012 . . 815--817
Anonymous Obituaries: Stanley Clifford Pearce;
Anthony Peter Macmillan Coxon; Derrick
Norman Lawley . . . . . . . . . . . . . 815--819
Charles Jones Anthony Peter Macmillan Coxon,
1938--2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 817--818
David J. Finney Derrick Norman Lawley, 1915--2012 . . . 818--819
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 821--821
Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleMethods for
Estimation and Inference in Modern
Econometrics, by S. Anatolyev; N.
Gospodinov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 822--822
Cedric E. Ginestet Book Review: \booktitleSpectral Analysis
of Large Dimensional Random Matrices,
2nd edn, by Z. Bai; J. W. Silverstein 822--823
Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleThe Methodology
and Practice of Econometrics: a
Festschrift in Honour of David F.
Hendry, by J. L. Castle; N. Shephard . . 823--824
Andrey Kostenko Book Review: \booktitleIntroductory Time
Series with R, by P. S. P. Cowpertwait;
A. V. Metcalfe . . . . . . . . . . . . . 824--824
Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleThe Oxford
Handbook of Nonlinear Filtering, by D.
Crisan; B. Rozovskii . . . . . . . . . . 824--825
Jonathan Gillard Book Review: \booktitleApproaching
Multivariate Analysis, a Practical
Introduction, 2nd edn, by P. Dugard; J.
Todman; H. Staines . . . . . . . . . . . 825--825
Chuck Chakrapani Book Review: \booktitleMultivariable
Modeling and Multivariate Analysis for
the Behavioral Sciences, by B. S.
Everitt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 825--826
Frances Denny Book Review: \booktitleSAS and R: Data
Management, Statistical Analysis, and
Graphics, by K. Kleinman; N. J. Horton 826--827
Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleDesign of
Experiments: an Introduction based on
Linear Models, by M. D. Morris . . . . . 827--827
S. E. Lazic and
F. Hoffmann-La Roche Book Review: \booktitleIntroducing Monte
Carlo Methods with R, by C. P. Robert;
G. Casella . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 827--828
Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleA Beginner's
Guide to Structural Equation Modeling,
3rd edn, by R. E. Schumacker; R. G.
Lomax . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 828--829
Mario Cortina-Borja Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of
Parametric and Nonparametric Statistical
Procedures, 5th edn, by D. J. Sheskin 829--829
Tom Fanshawe Book Review: \booktitleStatistical
Methods in Environmental Epidemiology,
by D. C. Thomas . . . . . . . . . . . . 829--830
Odd O. Aalen and
Kjetil Ròysland and
Jon Michael Gran and
Bruno Ledergerber Causality, mediation and time: a dynamic
viewpoint . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 831--861
Oleg Badunenko and
Daniel J. Henderson and
Subal C. Kumbhakar When, where and how to perform
efficiency estimation . . . . . . . . . 863--892
David Madden A profile of obesity in Ireland,
2002--2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 893--914
John Micklewright and
Sylke V. Schnepf and
Chris Skinner Non-response biases in surveys of
schoolchildren: the case of the English
Programme for International Student
Assessment (PISA) samples . . . . . . . 915--938
Kimberley Kavanagh and
Chris Robertson and
Heather Murdoch and
George Crooks and
Jim McMenamin Syndromic surveillance of influenza-like
illness in Scotland during the influenza
A H1N1v pandemic and beyond . . . . . . 939--958
Andris Abakuks The synoptic problem: on Matthew's and
Luke's use of Mark . . . . . . . . . . . 959--975
Valerie Isham Report of the Council for 2011 . . . . . 977--1056
Greg Phillpotts Stella Vivian Cunliffe MBE, January
12th, 1917--January 19th, 2012 . . . . . 1057--1059
Anonymous Obituaries: Stella Vivian Cunliffe;
James Durbin; John N. R. Jeffers;
Francis Henry Charles Marriott; Rod
McDonald; George Vaughan Dyke; Wilfred
J. Corlett . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1057--1070
Siem Jan Koopman James Durbin, FBA, 1923--2012 . . . . . 1060--1064
Keith Rennolls John N. R. Jeffers, 1926--2011 . . . . . 1064--1067
Peter Armitage and
John F. Bithell Francis Henry Charles Marriott,
1926--2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1067--1068
Harvey Goldstein Rod McDonald, 1928--2011 . . . . . . . . 1068--1069
Donald Preece and
Geoff Clarke and
David Bartholomew George Vaughan Dyke, November 10th,
1921--March 29th, 2012 . . . . . . . . . 1069--1070
Anonymous Wilfred J. Corlett . . . . . . . . . . . 1070--1070
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1071--1071
Chee Kian Leong Book Review: \booktitleNon-parametric
Econometrics, by I. Ahamada; E.
Flachaire . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1072--1072
M. Dolores Ugarte Book Review: \booktitleVisualizing Data
Patterns with Micromaps, by D. B. Carr;
L. W. Pickle . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1072--1073
Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi Book Review: \booktitleNetworks, Crowds
and Markets: Reasoning about a Highly
Connected World, by D. Easley; J.
Kleinberg . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1073--1073
Eric J. Beh Book Review: \booktitleBiplots in
Practice, by M. Greenacre . . . . . . . 1073--1074
Vandna Jowaheer Book Review: \booktitleDynamic Mixed
Models for Familial Longitudinal Data,
by B. C. Sutradhar . . . . . . . . . . . 1074--1075
Anonymous Index of authors: Index of authors,
volume 175, 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . 1077--1081
Gabriele Durrant and
Frauke Kreuter Editorial: The use of paradata in social
survey research . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--3
Kosuke Imai and
Dustin Tingley and
Teppei Yamamoto Experimental designs for identifying
causal mechanisms . . . . . . . . . . . 5--32
Fabrizia Mealli and
Carlo Berzuini and
Guanglei Hong and
Brian L. Egleston and
Roland R. Ramsahai and
Theis Lange and
Andrew Gelman and
Manabu Kuroki and
Jeffrey M. Albert and
John G. Bullock and
Donald P. Green and
Vanessa Didelez and
David Draper and
Adam N. Glynn and
Booil Jo and
David A. Kenny and
Víctor Leiva and
Emilio Porcu and
N. T. Longford and
David P. MacKinnon and
Jorge Mateu and
Oscar O. Melo and
Carlos E. Melo and
Alessandra Mattei and
T. S. Richardson and
J. M. Robins and
Donald B. Rubin and
Marc Saez and
Michael E. Sobel and
Tyler J. VanderWeele and
Richard A. Emsley Discussion on the paper by Imai, Tingley
and Yamamoto . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32--51
Nicky Best and
Deborah Ashby and
Frank Dunstan and
David Foreman and
Neil McIntosh A Bayesian approach to complex clinical
diagnoses: a case-study in child abuse 53--83
A. P. Dawid and
Tim J. Cole and
Rosalind L. Smyth and
Ian Hunt and
Daniel Farewell and
Silvia Liverani and
Marta Blangiardo and
Woody Caan and
Jo Sibert and
Sheila M. Bird and
Christopher Verity and
D. S. Coad and
L. I. Pettit and
Carlos Díaz-Avalos and
Jorge Mateu and
Michael R. Elliott and
Andrew Gelman and
Thomas A. Louis and
Emilio Porcu and
Alessandro Zini and
Marc Saez Discussion on the Paper by Best, Ashby,
Dunstan, Foreman and McIntosh . . . . . 83--96
Danny Dorling Fairness and the changing fortunes of
people in Britain . . . . . . . . . . . 97--128
Kristen Olson Do non-response follow-ups improve or
reduce data quality?: a review of the
existing literature . . . . . . . . . . 129--145
Paul P. Biemer and
Patrick Chen and
Kevin Wang Using level-of-effort paradata in
non-response adjustments with
application to field surveys . . . . . . 147--168
Annemieke Luiten and
Barry Schouten Tailored fieldwork design to increase
representative household survey
response: an experiment in the Survey of
Consumer Satisfaction . . . . . . . . . 169--189
Frederick G. Conrad and
Jessica S. Broome and
José R. Benkí and
Frauke Kreuter and
Robert M. Groves and
David Vannette and
Colleen McClain Interviewer speech and the success of
survey invitations . . . . . . . . . . . 191--210
Brady T. West An examination of the quality and
utility of interviewer observations in
the National Survey of Family Growth . . 211--225
C. Casas-Cordero and
F. Kreuter and
Y. Wang and
S. Babey Assessing the measurement error
properties of interviewer observations
of neighbourhood characteristics . . . . 227--249
Gabriele B. Durrant and
Julia D'Arrigo and
Fiona Steele Analysing interviewer call record data
by using a multilevel discrete time
event history modelling approach . . . . 251--269
Mick P. Couper and
Frauke Kreuter Using paradata to explore item level
response times in surveys . . . . . . . 271--286
Anne Harrison and
John Walton Owen Nankivell, 1927--2012 . . . . . . . 287--288
John Haigh John Alfred Bather, 1936--2012 . . . . . 288--290
Alfredo R. Paloyo Editorial: On the orthography of
heteros*edasticity . . . . . . . . . . . 291--293
Gurleen K. Popli Gender wage differentials in Mexico: a
distributional approach . . . . . . . . 295--319
Matthew Smallman-Raynor and
Andrew D. Cliff Epidemics in semi-isolated communities:
statistical perspectives on acute
childhood diseases in English public
boarding schools, 1930--1939 . . . . . . 321--346
Leif Brandes and
Egon Franck and
Philipp Theiler The group size and loyalty of football
fans: a two-stage estimation procedure
to compare customer potentials across
teams . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 347--369
Daniel de Munnik and
Mark Illing and
David Dupuis Assessing the accuracy of non-random
business conditions surveys: a novel
approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371--388
Brian Neelon and
Pulak Ghosh and
Patrick F. Loebs A spatial Poisson hurdle model for
exploring geographic variation in
emergency department visits . . . . . . 389--413
Milena Falcaro and
Neil Pendleton and
Andrew Pickles Analysing censored longitudinal data
with non-ignorable missing values:
depression in older age . . . . . . . . 415--430
Haroon Chowdry and
Claire Crawford and
Lorraine Dearden and
Alissa Goodman and
Anna Vignoles Widening participation in higher
education: analysis using linked
administrative data . . . . . . . . . . 431--457
Sean Holly and
Ivan Petrella and
Emiliano Santoro Aggregate fluctuations and the
cross-sectional dynamics of firm growth 459--479
Ari Belenkiy The Master of the Royal Mint: how much
money did Isaac Newton save Britain? . . 481--498
Laura Fumagalli and
Heather Laurie and
Peter Lynn Experiments with methods to reduce
attrition in longitudinal surveys . . . 499--519
Matti Langel and
Yves Tillé Variance estimation of the Gini index:
revisiting a result several times
published . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 521--540
Jo Blanden and
Paul Gregg and
Lindsey Macmillan Intergenerational persistence in income
and social class: the effect of
within-group inequality . . . . . . . . 541--563
N. Tollenaar and
P. G. M. van der Heijden Which method predicts recidivism best?:
a comparison of statistical, machine
learning and data mining predictive
models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 565--584
David Martin and
Samantha Cockings and
Andrew Harfoot Development of a geographical framework
for census workplace data . . . . . . . 585--602
Stuart G. Baker and
Barnett S. Kramer The risky reliance on small surrogate
end point studies when planning a large
prevention trial . . . . . . . . . . . . 603--608
Paolo Paruolo and
Michaela Saisana and
Andrea Saltelli Ratings and rankings: voodoo or science? 609--634
D. J. Johnstone and
S. Jones and
V. R. R. Jose and
M. Peat Measures of the economic value of
probabilities of bankruptcy . . . . . . 635--653
Jose M. Pavía and
Antonio López-Quílez Spatial vote redistribution in redrawn
polling units . . . . . . . . . . . . . 655--678
Christian Andersson and
Per Johansson Social stratification and out-of-school
learning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 679--701
Franco Peracchi and
Claudio Rossetti The heterogeneous thresholds ordered
response model: identification and
inference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 703--722
Gary Koop and
Lise Tole Forecasting the European carbon market 723--741
Hossein Hassani and
Abdol S. Soofi and
Anatoly Zhigljavsky Predicting inflation dynamics with
singular spectrum analysis . . . . . . . 743--760
Peter Backus and
David Clifford Are big charities becoming more
dominant?: cross-sectional and
longitudinal perspectives . . . . . . . 761--776
Christopher F. H. Nam and
Sach Mukherjee and
Marco Schilk and
Joybrato Mukherjee Statistical analysis of varieties of
English . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 777--793
Susan M. Paddock and
Terrance D. Savitsky Bayesian hierarchical semiparametric
modelling of longitudinal post-treatment
outcomes from open enrolment therapy
groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 795--808
Anonymous Obituaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 809--814
Sheila M. Bird Editorial: Counting the dead properly
and promptly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 815--817
John Pullinger Statistics making an impact . . . . . . 819--840
David W. Johnston and
Michael E. R. Nicholls and
Manisha Shah and
Michael A. Shields Handedness, health and cognitive
development: evidence from children in
the National Longitudinal Survey of
Youth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 841--860
Petri Böckerman and
Alex Bryson and
Pekka Ilmakunnas Does high involvement management lead to
higher pay? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 861--885
John Jerrim and
Anna Vignoles Social mobility, regression to the mean
and the cognitive development of high
ability children from disadvantaged
homes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 887--906
Wolfgang Frimmel and
Martin Halla and
Rudolf Winter-Ebmer Assortative mating and divorce: evidence
from Austrian register data . . . . . . 907--929
Daniel J. Graham and
Emma J. McCoy and
David A. Stephens Quantifying the effect of area
deprivation on child pedestrian
casualties by using longitudinal mixed
models to adjust for confounding,
interference and spatial dependence . . 931--950
Bart Cockx and
Matteo Picchio Scarring effects of remaining unemployed
for long-term unemployed school-leavers 951--980
Anonymous Report of the Council for 2012 . . . . . 981--1071
Anonymous Obituaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1073--1086
Anonymous Index of authors: Index of authors,
volume 176, 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . 1087--1090
Anonymous Contents of volume: Contents of volume
176, 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1091--1092
Anonymous Report of the Editors: Report of the
Editors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--2
Ron S. Kenett and
Galit Shmueli On information quality . . . . . . . . . 3--38
Sujit K. Sahu and
Bernard Baffour and
Paul R. Harper and
John H. Minty and
Christophe Sarran A hierarchical Bayesian model for
improving short-term forecasting of
hospital demand by including
meteorological information . . . . . . . 39--61
Federico de Luca and
Giovanna Boccuzzo What do healthcare workers know about
sudden infant death syndrome?: the
results of the Italian campaign
`GenitoriPi\`u' . . . . . . . . . . . . 63--82
Dennis Ridley and
Pierre Ngnepieba Antithetic time series analysis and the
CompanyX data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83--94
Richard Dickens and
Rebecca Riley and
David Wilkinson The UK minimum wage at 22 years of age:
a regression discontinuity approach . . 95--114
Arthur van Soest and
Hana Vonkova Testing the specification of parametric
models by using anchoring vignettes . . 115--133
Sudhir Voleti and
Pulak Ghosh A non-parametric model of residual brand
equity in hierarchical branding
structures with application to US beer
data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135--152
David Epstein and
Antonio Olry de Labry Lima and
Leticia García Mochón and
Jaime Espín Balbino and
Javier Esquivias A comparison of the accuracy of liquid
cytology versus conventional screening:
a meta-analysis of split-sample studies 153--168
Gabriel M. Ahlfeldt and
Georgios Kavetsos Form or function?: the effect of new
sports stadia on property prices in
London . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169--190
Hsiuying Wang and
Wei Heng Huang Bayesian ranking responses in
multiple-response questions . . . . . . 191--208
Ruth King and
Sheila M. Bird and
Antony M. Overstall and
Gordon Hay and
Sharon J. Hutchinson Estimating prevalence of injecting drug
users and associated heroin-related
death rates in England by using regional
data and incorporating prior information 209--236
Luwis Diya and
Baoyue Li and
Koen Van den Heede and
Walter Sermeus and
Emmanuel Lesaffre Multilevel factor analytic models for
assessing the relationship between
nurse-reported adverse events and
patient safety . . . . . . . . . . . . . 237--257
Marta O. Soares and
Jo C. Dumville and
A. E. Ades and
Nicky J. Welton Treatment comparisons for decision
making: facing the problems of sparse
and few data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259--279
Timothy K. M. Beatty and
Laura Blow and
Thomas F. Crossley Is there a `heat-or-eat' trade-off in
the UK? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 281--294
Jason Madan and
Yen-Fu Chen and
Paul Aveyard and
Dechao Wang and
Ismail Yahaya and
Marcus Munafo and
Linda Bauld and
Nicky Welton Synthesis of evidence on heterogeneous
interventions with multiple outcomes
recorded over multiple follow-up times
reported inconsistently: a smoking
cessation case-study . . . . . . . . . . 295--314
Anonymous Obituaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 315--317
Alfonso Miranda and
Sophia Rabe-Hesketh Missing ordinal covariate with
informative selection . . . . . . . . . 319--344
N. Guertzgen Wage insurance within German firms: do
institutions matter? . . . . . . . . . . 345--369
Costanza Pizzi and
Tim J. Cole and
Camila Corvalan and
Isabel dos Santos Silva and
Lorenzo Richiardi and
Bianca L. De Stavola On modelling early life weight
trajectories . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371--396
Ian G. McHale and
\Lukasz Szczepa\'nski A mixed effects model for identifying
goal scoring ability of footballers . . 397--417
Paolo Pertile and
Martin Forster and
Davide La Torre Optimal Bayesian sequential sampling
rules for the economic evaluation of
health technologies . . . . . . . . . . 419--438
Mark Tranmer and
David Steel and
William J. Browne Multiple-membership
multiple-classification models for
social network and group dependences . . 439--455
K. Díaz-Ordaz and
Michael G. Kenward and
Richard Grieve Handling missing values in cost
effectiveness analyses that use data
from cluster randomized trials . . . . . 457--474
Alessandra Babuscia and
Kar-Ming Cheung An approach to perform expert
elicitation for engineering design risk
analysis: methodology and experimental
results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 475--497
Nicole Watson and
Mark Wooden Re-engaging with survey non-respondents:
evidence from three household panels . . 499--522
Eva Deuchert and
Conny Wunsch Evaluating nationwide health
interventions: Malawi's
insecticide-treated-net distribution
programme . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 523--552
Harvey Goldstein and
James R. Carpenter and
William J. Browne Fitting multilevel multivariate models
with missing data in responses and
covariates that may include interactions
and non-linear terms . . . . . . . . . . 553--564
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 565--565
Jordan Stoyanov Book review: \booktitleProbability for
Statistics and Machine Learning:
Fundamentals and Advanced Topics . . . . 566--566
Jordan Stoyanov Book reviews: \booktitleExercises and
Solutions in Biostatistical Theory . . . 566--567
Stefan K. Lhachimi Book reviews: \booktitleR Graphics . . . 567--567
Lynn McDonald Florence Nightingale, statistics and the
Crimean War . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 569--586
Bruno Arpino and
Elisabetta De Cao and
Franco Peracchi Using panel data for partial
identification of human immunodeficiency
virus prevalence when infection status
is missing not at random . . . . . . . . 587--606
Helen Powell and
Duncan Lee Modelling spatial variability in
concentrations of single pollutants and
composite air quality indicators in
health effects studies . . . . . . . . . 607--623
Simon R. White and
Sheila M. Bird and
Richard Grieve Review of methodological issues in
cost-effectiveness analyses relating to
injecting drug users, and case-study
illustrations . . . . . . . . . . . . . 625--642
Phillip Wild and
John Foster and
Melvin J. Hinich Testing for non-linear and time
irreversible probabilistic structure in
high frequency financial time series
data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 643--659
Michelle C. Stanton and
Lydiane Agier and
Benjamin M. Taylor and
Peter J. Diggle Towards realtime spatiotemporal
prediction of district level meningitis
incidence in sub-Saharan Africa . . . . 661--678
Huan Jiang and
Patrick E. Brown and
Håvard Rue and
Silvia Shimakura Geostatistical survival models for
environmental risk assessment with large
retrospective cohorts . . . . . . . . . 679--695
Nikolaos Demiris and
Theodore Kypraios and
L. Vanessa Smith On the epidemic of financial crises . . 697--723
Lena Huldén and
Ross McKitrick and
Larry Huldén Average household size and the
eradication of malaria . . . . . . . . . 725--742
Anonymous Obituaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 743--752
Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleAdvances in Data
Analysis, Data Handling and Business
Intelligence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 753--753
Anna Vignoles and
Arnaud Chevalier Editorial: Educational and health
inequalities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 755--756
Elizabeth Washbrook and
Paul Gregg and
Carol Propper A decomposition analysis of the
relationship between parental income and
multiple child outcomes . . . . . . . . 757--782
Stefanie Schurer and
Michael A. Shields and
Andrew M. Jones Socio-economic inequalities in bodily
pain over the life cycle: longitudinal
evidence from Australia, Britain and
Germany . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 783--806
David W. Johnston and
Carol Propper and
Stephen E. Pudney and
Michael A. Shields The income gradient in childhood mental
health: all in the eye of the beholder? 807--827
Claire Crawford and
Lorraine Dearden and
Ellen Greaves The drivers of month-of-birth
differences in children's cognitive and
non-cognitive skills . . . . . . . . . . 829--860
Hendrik Thiel and
Stephan L. Thomsen and
Bettina Büttner Variation of learning intensity in late
adolescence and the effect on
personality traits . . . . . . . . . . . 861--892
Anonymous Report of the Council for 2013: Report
of the Council for 2013 . . . . . . . . 893--980
T. Ganguly and
K. J. Wilson and
J. Quigley and
R. M. Cooke and
Alessandra Babuscia and
Kar-Ming Cheung Correspondence: Reaction to `An approach
to perform expert elicitation for
engineering design risk analysis:
methodology and experimental results' 981--985
John Kidgell Obituary: David Charles Lynn Wroe . . . 987--988
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 989--989
Sebastian Dietz Book reviews: \booktitleAn Introduction
to Quantitative Finance . . . . . . . . 989--989
Kuldeep Kumar Book reviews: \booktitleSPSS for Applied
Sciences: Basic Statistical Testing . . 990--990
Anonymous Index of authors: Index of authors,
volume 177, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . 991--994
Anonymous Contents of volume: Contents of volume
177, 2014 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 995--996
Kenneth E. Shirley and
Andrew Gelman Hierarchical models for estimating state
and demographic trends in US death
penalty public opinion . . . . . . . . . 1--28
María Dolores Martínez Miranda and
Bent Nielsen and
Jens Perch Nielsen Inference and forecasting in the
age--period--cohort model with unknown
exposure with an application to
mesothelioma mortality . . . . . . . . . 29--55
Claudia Foroni and
Massimiliano Marcellino and
Christian Schumacher Unrestricted mixed data sampling
(MIDAS): MIDAS regressions with
unrestricted lag polynomials . . . . . . 57--82
Rebecca Vassallo and
Gabriele B. Durrant and
Peter W. F. Smith and
Harvey Goldstein Interviewer effects on non-response
propensity in longitudinal surveys: a
multilevel modelling approach . . . . . 83--99
Rodrigo Moreno-Serra and
Peter C. Smith Broader health coverage is good for the
nation's health: evidence from country
level panel data . . . . . . . . . . . . 101--124
Christopher D. Lloyd Local cost surface models of distance
decay for the analysis of gridded
population data . . . . . . . . . . . . 125--146
Charlotte C. Greenan Diffusion of innovations in dynamic
networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147--166
Siem Jan Koopman and
Rutger Lit A dynamic bivariate Poisson model for
analysing and forecasting match results
in the English Premier League . . . . . 167--186
Stefano Mazzuco and
Bruno Scarpa Fitting age-specific fertility rates by
a flexible generalized skew normal
probability density function . . . . . . 187--203
Angela Noufaily and
Yonas Ghebremichael-Weldeselassie and
Doyo Gragn Enki and
Paul Garthwaite and
Nick Andrews and
André Charlett and
Paddy Farrington Modelling reporting delays for outbreak
detection in infectious disease data . . 205--222
Luke Keele and
Rocío Titiunik and
José R. Zubizarreta Enhancing a geographic regression
discontinuity design through matching to
estimate the effect of ballot
initiatives on voter turnout . . . . . . 223--239
Krista J. Gile and
Lisa G. Johnston and
Matthew J. Salganik Diagnostics for respondent-driven
sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 241--269
Konstantinos Perrakis and
Dimitris Karlis and
Mario Cools and
Davy Janssens Bayesian inference for transportation
origin--destination matrices: the
Poisson--inverse Gaussian and other
Poisson mixtures . . . . . . . . . . . . 271--296
Anonymous Obituaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 297--299
Anonymous Book Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 300--300
Paul Hewson Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Data
Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301--301
Mark Pilling Book Review: \booktitleStatistics Topics 301--302
Irene Kaimi Book Review: \booktitleUnderstanding
Advanced Statistical Methods . . . . . . 302--302
Peter Levell Is the Carli index flawed?: assessing
the case for the new retail price index
RPIJ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 303--336
Peng Shi and
Wei Zhang Private information in healthcare
utilization: specification of a
copula-based hurdle model . . . . . . . 337--361
Ryan Admiraal and
Mark S. Handcock A log-linear modelling approach to
assessing the consistency of ego reports
of dyadic outcomes with applications to
fertility and sexual partnerships . . . 363--382
Tevfik Aktekin and
Muzaffer Musal Analysis of income inequality measures
on human immunodeficiency virus
mortality: a spatiotemporal Bayesian
perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 383--403
George Leckie and
Harvey Goldstein A multilevel modelling approach to
measuring changing patterns of ethnic
composition and segregation among London
secondary schools, 2001--2010 . . . . . 405--424
Roger D. Peng and
Arlene M. Butz and
Amber J. Hackstadt and
D'Ann L. Williams and
Gregory B. Diette and
Patrick N. Breysse and
Elizabeth C. Matsui Estimating the health benefit of
reducing indoor air pollution in a
randomized environmental intervention 425--443
Emanuele Giorgi and
Sanie S. S. Sesay and
Dianne J. Terlouw and
Peter J. Diggle Combining data from multiple spatially
referenced prevalence surveys using
generalized linear geostatistical models 445--464
Brian J. Reich and
Michael D. Porter Partially supervised spatiotemporal
clustering for burglary crime series
identification . . . . . . . . . . . . . 465--480
Rose D. Baker and
Ian G. McHale Time varying ratings in Association
Football: the all-time greatest team is
\ldots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 481--492
Sandra Eickmeier and
Wolfgang Lemke and
Massimiliano Marcellino Classical time varying factor-augmented
vector auto-regressive
models-estimation, forecasting and
structural analysis . . . . . . . . . . 493--533
Esther López-Vizcaíno and
María José Lombardía and
Domingo Morales Small area estimation of labour force
indicators under a multinomial model
with correlated time and area effects 535--565
Caterina Conigliani and
Andrea Manca and
Andrea Tancredi Prediction of patient-reported outcome
measures via multivariate ordered probit
models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 567--591
Irene Albarrán and
Pablo Alonso and
Aurea Grané Profile identification via weighted
related metric scaling: an application
to dependent Spanish children . . . . . 593--618
Krista J. Gile and
Mark S. Handcock Network model-assisted inference from
respondent-driven sampling data . . . . 619--639
Andrew E. Hong and
Corentin M. Barbu and
Dylan S. Small and
Michael Z. Levy and
the Chagas Disease Working Group in Arequipa Mapping the spatial distribution of a
disease-transmitting insect in the
presence of surveillance error and
missing data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 641--658
A. C. Titman and
D. A. Costain and
P. G. Ridall and
K. Gregory Joint modelling of goals and bookings in
association football . . . . . . . . . . 659--683
Gregori Baetschmann and
Kevin E. Staub and
Rainer Winkelmann Consistent estimation of the fixed
effects ordered logit model . . . . . . 685--703
Francesco Lagona and
Antonello Maruotti and
Fabio Padovano Multilevel multivariate modelling of
legislative count data, with a hidden
Markov chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 705--723
Hyokyoung Grace Hong and
Yu Yue and
Pulak Ghosh Bayesian estimation of long-term health
consequences for obese and normal-weight
elderly people . . . . . . . . . . . . . 725--739
Abhinav Sacheti and
Ian Gregory-Smith and
David Paton Home bias in officiating: evidence from
international cricket . . . . . . . . . 741--755
Erin Hartman and
Richard Grieve and
Roland Ramsahai and
Jasjeet S. Sekhon From sample average treatment effect to
population average treatment effect on
the treated: combining experimental with
observational studies to estimate
population treatment effects . . . . . . 757--778
Anthony Heath Obituary: A. H. Halsey, FBA . . . . . . 779--780
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 781--781
Andrey Kostenko Book Review: \booktitleComputational
Actuarial Science with R . . . . . . . . 782--783
Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleAnalysis of
Multivariate and High Dimensional Data 783--784
Nathan Green Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for
People Who (Think They) Hate Statistics 784--784
Jonathan Gillard Book Review: \booktitleSequential
Analysis: Hypothesis Testing and
Changepoint Detection . . . . . . . . . 785--785
Claire Keeble Book Review: \booktitleBayes' Rule: a
Tutorial Introduction to Bayesian
Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 785--785
Natalie Shlomo and
Harvey Goldstein Editorial: Big data in social research 787--790
Peter J. Diggle Statistics: a data science for the 21st
century . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 793--813
Ruth Hancock and
Marcello Morciano and
Stephen Pudney and
Francesca Zantomio Do household surveys give a coherent
view of disability benefit targeting?: a
multisurvey latent variable analysis for
the older population in Great Britain 815--836
Andrea Carriero and
Todd E. Clark and
Massimiliano Marcellino Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian
mixed frequency model with stochastic
volatility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 837--862
Anna Gottard and
Alessandra Mattei and
Daniele Vignoli The relationship between education and
fertility in the presence of a time
varying frailty component . . . . . . . 863--881
René Böheim and
Mario Lackner Gender and risk taking: evidence from
jumping competitions . . . . . . . . . . 883--902
Hormuzd A. Katki and
Li C. Cheung and
Barbara Fetterman and
Philip E. Castle and
Rajeshwari Sundaram A joint model of persistent human
papilloma virus infection and cervical
cancer risk: implications for cervical
cancer screening . . . . . . . . . . . . 903--923
Gebrenegus Ghilagaber and
Linda Wänström Adjusting for selection bias in
assessing the relationship between
sibship size and cognitive performance 925--944
Thomas Klausch and
Joop Hox and
Barry Schouten Selection error in single- and
mixed-mode surveys of the Dutch general
population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 945--961
Matthew J. Schneider and
John M. Abowd A new method for protecting interrelated
time series with Bayesian prior
distributions and synthetic data . . . . 963--975
Mark C. Wheldon and
Adrian E. Raftery and
Samuel J. Clark and
Patrick Gerland Bayesian reconstruction of two-sex
populations by age: estimating sex
ratios at birth and sex ratios of
mortality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 977--1007
Michelle Ross and
Jon Wakefield Bayesian hierarchical models for
smoothing in two-phase studies, with
application to small area estimation . . 1009--1023
Francesco Bartolucci and
Valentino Dardanoni and
Franco Peracchi Ranking scientific journals via latent
class models for polytomous item
response data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1025--1049
A. F. Militino and
M. D. Ugarte and
T. Goicoa Deriving small area estimates from
information technology business surveys 1051--1067
Lauren Hund and
Edward J. Bedrick and
Curtis Miller and
Gabriel Huerta and
Teddy Nez and
Sandy Ramone and
Chris Shuey and
Miranda Cajero and
Johnnye Lewis A Bayesian framework for estimating
disease risk due to exposure to uranium
mine and mill waste on the Navajo Nation 1069--1091
Martha K. Smith and
Stuart Reid and
Max Murray and
Crawford Revie Obituaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1093--1096
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1097--1097
Anoop Chaturvedi Book reviews: \booktitleModeling Count
Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1098--1099
Andrey Kostenko Book reviews: \booktitleUsing R for
Numerical Analysis in Science and
Engineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1098--1098
Umut Okkan and
Guül nan Book reviews: \booktitleSimulating
Nature: a Philosophical Study of
Computer-simulation Uncertainties and
Their Role in Climate Science and Policy
Advice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1099--1100
Philip Pallmann Book reviews: \booktitleAnalyzing
Baseball Data with R . . . . . . . . . . 1099--1099
Jonathan Gillard Book reviews: \booktitleBayesian and
Frequentist Regression Methods . . . . . 1100--1101
Anonymous Referees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1102--1106
Anonymous Index of authors, volume 178, 2015 . . . 1107--1111
Anonymous Contents of volume 178, 2015 . . . . . . 1112--1114
Cristiano Varin and
Manuela Cattelan and
David Firth Statistical modelling of citation
exchange between statistics journals . . 1--63
Kausik Chaudhuri and
Minjoo Kim and
Yongcheol Shin Forecasting distributions of inflation
rates: the functional auto-regressive
approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65--102
Enrico Fabrizi and
Giorgio E. Montanari and
M. Giovanna Ranalli A hierarchical latent class model for
predicting disability small area counts
from survey data . . . . . . . . . . . . 103--131
Konstantinos Tzioumis Detecting discrimination: a dynamic
perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133--152
Shireen Assaf and
Stefano Campostrini and
Fang Xu and
Carol Gotway Crawford Analysing behavioural risk factor
surveillance data by using spatially and
temporally varying coefficient models 153--175
Karthik Sriram and
Peng Shi and
Pulak Ghosh A Bayesian quantile regression model for
insurance company costs data . . . . . . 177--202
John Feddersen and
Robert Metcalfe and
Mark Wooden Subjective wellbeing: why weather
matters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203--228
Jan A. van den Brakel and
Bart Buelens and
Harm-Jan Boonstra Small area estimation to quantify
discontinuities in repeated sample
surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229--250
Y. G. Berger and
R. Priam A simple variance estimator of change
for rotating repeated surveys: an
application to the European Union
Statistics on Income and Living
Conditions household surveys . . . . . . 251--272
Olivier Marie Police and thieves in the stadium:
measuring the (multiple) effects of
football matches on crime . . . . . . . 273--292
Samuel I. Berchuck and
Joshua L. Warren and
Amy H. Herring and
Kelly R. Evenson and
Kari A. B. Moore and
Yamini K. Ranchod and
Ana V. Diez-Roux Spatially modelling the association
between access to recreational
facilities and exercise: the
`Multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis' 293--310
Julian Champkin and
Lord Layard and
Steven Gilmour Obituaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 311--318
Niels Keiding and
Thomas A. Louis Perils and potentials of self-selected
entry to epidemiological studies and
surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 319--376
Oksana Bollineni-Balabay and
Jan van den Brakel and
Franz Palm Multivariate state space approach to
variance reduction in series with level
and variance breaks due to survey
redesigns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 377--402
Claudia Foroni and
Massimiliano Marcellino Mixed frequency structural vector
auto-regressive models . . . . . . . . . 403--425
Nikos Tzavidis and
Nicola Salvati and
Timo Schmid and
Eirini Flouri and
Emily Midouhas Longitudinal analysis of the strengths
and difficulties questionnaire scores of
the Millennium Cohort Study children in
England using $M$-quantile
random-effects regression . . . . . . . 427--452
Ray Chambers and
Nicola Salvati and
Nikos Tzavidis Semiparametric small area estimation for
binary outcomes with application to
unemployment estimation for local
authorities in the UK . . . . . . . . . 453--479
Matthias Studer and
Gilbert Ritschard What matters in differences between life
trajectories: a comparative review of
sequence dissimilarity measures . . . . 481--511
Lukasz Szczepa\'nski and
Ian McHale Beyond completion rate: evaluating the
passing ability of footballers . . . . . 513--533
Andrew Dickerson and
Gurleen K. Popli Persistent poverty and children's
cognitive development: evidence from the
UK Millennium Cohort Study . . . . . . . 535--558
Erich Battistin and
Mario Padula Survey instruments and the reports of
consumption expenditures: evidence from
the consumer expenditure surveys . . . . 559--581
Michael Herrmann and
Simon Munzert and
Peter Selb Determining the effect of strategic
voting on election results . . . . . . . 583--605
Hannes Kröger and
Rasmus Hoffmann and
Eduwin Pakpahan Consequences of measurement error for
inference in cross-lagged panel design
--- the example of the reciprocal causal
relationship between subjective health
and socio-economic status . . . . . . . 607--628
David J. Hand Editorial: `Big data' and data sharing 629--631
Timo Hener and
Helmut Rainer and
Thomas Siedler Political socialization in flux?:
linking family non-intactness during
childhood to adult civic engagement . . 633--656
Andrea Brandolini and
Eliana Viviano Behind and beyond the (head count)
employment rate . . . . . . . . . . . . 657--681
Oya Kalaycioglu and
Andrew Copas and
Michael King and
Rumana Z. Omar A comparison of multiple-imputation
methods for handling missing data in
repeated measurements observational
studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 683--706
Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter and
Christoph Pamminger and
Andrea Weber and
Rudolf Winter-Ebmer Mothers' long-run career patterns after
first birth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 707--725
Barry Schouten and
Fannie Cobben and
Peter Lundquist and
James Wagner Does more balanced survey response imply
less non-response bias? . . . . . . . . 727--748
Ari Hyytinen and
Pekka Ilmakunnas and
Mika Maliranta Olley--Pakes productivity decomposition:
computation and inference . . . . . . . 749--761
Jan A. van den Brakel and
Sabine Krieg Small area estimation with state space
common factor models for rotating panels 763--791
Mark Hanly and
Paul Clarke and
Fiona Steele Sequence analysis of call record data:
exploring the role of different cost
settings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 793--808
Daniel Muller and
Lionel Page Born leaders: political selection and
the relative age effect in the US
Congress: D. Muller and L. Page . . . . 809--829
John M. MacDonald and
Jonathan Klick and
Ben Grunwald The effect of private police on crime:
evidence from a geographic regression
discontinuity design . . . . . . . . . . 831--846
Nicholas Rohde $J$-divergence measurements of economic
inequality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 847--870
Anonymous Obituaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 871--875
Anonymous Book Review: Books for review . . . . . 877--877
Sebastian Dietz Book Review: \booktitleData Analysis for
Network Cyber-security . . . . . . . . . 878--878
Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleA Certain
Uncertainty: Nature's Random Ways . . . 878--879
Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleProbability and
Statistics by Example 1: Basic
Probability and Statistics . . . . . . . 879--880
Andrey Kostenko Book Review: \booktitleGraphical Data
Analysis with R . . . . . . . . . . . . 880--880
Darryl Neil Penenberg Book Review: Exposure--Response Modeling
Methods and Practical Implementation . . 881--882
A. Chevalier and
F. Moscone and
J. Mullahy Preface to the papers on `health
econometrics' . . . . . . . . . . . . . 883--884
Lorenzo Cappellari and
Anna De Paoli and
Gilberto Turati Do market incentives for hospitals
affect health and service utilization?:
evidence from prospective pay
system--diagnosis-related groups tariffs
in Italian regions . . . . . . . . . . . 885--905
Paolo Berta and
Gianmaria Martini and
Francesco Moscone and
Giorgio Vittadini The association between asymmetric
information, hospital competition and
quality of healthcare: evidence from
Italy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 907--926
Steven F. Koch and
Jeffrey S. Racine Healthcare facility choice and user fee
abolition: regression discontinuity in a
multinomial choice setting . . . . . . . 927--950
Andrew M. Jones and
James Lomas and
Peter T. Moore and
Nigel Rice A quasi-Monte-Carlo comparison of
parametric and semiparametric regression
methods for heavy-tailed and non-normal
data: an application to healthcare costs 951--974
Andrew J. G. Cairns and
David Blake and
Kevin Dowd and
Amy R. Kessler Phantoms never die: living with
unreliable population data . . . . . . . 975--1005
Arkadiusz Wi\'sniowski and
Jonathan J. Forster and
Peter W. F. Smith and
Jakub Bijak and
James Raymer Integrated modelling of age and sex
patterns of European migration . . . . . 1007--1024
Ludi Simpson and
Stephen Jivraj and
James Warren The stability of ethnic identity in
England and Wales 2001--2011 . . . . . . 1025--1049
Eduardo Fé and
Bruce Hollingsworth Short- and long-run estimates of the
local effects of retirement on health 1051--1067
James W. Taylor and
Keming Yu Using auto-regressive logit models to
forecast the exceedance probability for
financial risk management . . . . . . . 1069--1092
Nils Braakmann and
John Wildman Reconsidering the effect of family size
on labour supply: the twin problems of
the twin birth instrument . . . . . . . 1093--1115
Anonymous Obituary: Peter Gavin Hall AO,
1951--2016 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1117--1120
Anonymous Obituary: Joseph Mark Gani, 1924--2016 1120--1122
Anonymous Obituary: Ulf Grenander, 1923--2016 . . 1122--1124
Anonymous Obituary: Lajos Takács, 1924--2015 . . . 1124--1125
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1127--1127
Darryl Neil Penenberg Book reviews: \booktitleMathematical
Statistics: Basic Ideas and Selected
Topics, 2nd edn, vols I and II . . . . . 1128--1129
Shalabh Book reviews: \booktitleStatistical
Analysis and Data Display: an
Intermediate Course with Examples in R 1129--1130
Mark Pilling Book reviews: \booktitleHandbook of
Cluster Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . 1130--1130
Anoop Chaturvedi Book reviews: \booktitleAnalysis of
Panel Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1130--1131
Paul Hewson Book reviews: \booktitleStatistical
Rethinking: a Bayesian Course with
Examples in R and Stan . . . . . . . . . 1131--1132
Nando Lewis Book reviews: \booktitleCircular
Statistics in R . . . . . . . . . . . . 1132--1132
Sebastian Dietz Book reviews: \booktitleStatistics and
Data Analysis for Financial Engineering 1132--1133
Anonymous Referees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1135--1140
Anonymous Index of authors . . . . . . . . . . . . 1141--1145
Anonymous Contents of volume 179, 2016 . . . . . . 1147--1148
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 1--2
Paul Allin and
David J. Hand New statistics for old? --- Measuring
the wellbeing of the UK . . . . . . . . 3--43
Doyo Gragn Enki and
Angela Noufaily and
Paddy Farrington and
Paul Garthwaite and
Nick Andrews and
Andre Charlett Taylor's power law and the statistical
modelling of infectious disease
surveillance data . . . . . . . . . . . 45--72
Derek S. Young and
Andrew M. Raim and
Nancy R. Johnson Zero-inflated modelling for
characterizing coverage errors of
extracts from the US Census Bureau's
Master Address File . . . . . . . . . . 73--97
Luis E. C. Rocha and
Anna E. Thorson and
Renaud Lambiotte and
Fredrik Liljeros Respondent-driven sampling bias induced
by community structure and response
rates in social networks . . . . . . . . 99--118
Areti Boulieri and
Silvia Liverani and
Kees de Hoogh and
Marta Blangiardo A space--time multivariate Bayesian
model to analyse road traffic accidents
by severity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119--139
Albert Wong and
Hendriek Boshuizen and
Johan Polder and
José António Ferreira Assessing the inequality of lifetime
healthcare expenditures: a nearest
neighbour resampling approach . . . . . 141--160
Marcus Groß and
Ulrich Rendtel and
Timo Schmid and
Sebastian Schmon and
Nikos Tzavidis Estimating the density of ethnic
minorities and aged people in Berlin:
multivariate kernel density estimation
applied to sensitive georeferenced
administrative data protected via
measurement error . . . . . . . . . . . 161--183
Arkadiusz Wi\'sniowski Combining Labour Force Survey data to
estimate migration flows: the case of
migration from Poland to the UK . . . . 185--202
Roger Tourangeau and
J. Michael Brick and
Sharon Lohr and
Jane Li Adaptive and responsive survey designs:
a review and assessment . . . . . . . . 203--223
Viola Angelini and
Marco Bertoni and
Luca Corazzini Unpacking the determinants of life
satisfaction: a survey experiment . . . 225--246
Jared C. Foster and
Danping Liu and
Paul S. Albert and
Aiyi Liu Identifying subgroups of enhanced
predictive accuracy from longitudinal
biomarker data by using tree-based
approaches: applications to fetal growth 247--261
Fiona Steele and
Paul Clarke and
George Leckie and
Julia Allan and
Derek Johnston Multilevel structural equation models
for longitudinal data where predictors
are measured more frequently than
outcomes: an application to the effects
of stress on the cognitive function of
nurses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263--283
Jan Beyersmann and
Christine Schrade Florence Nightingale, William Farr and
competing risks . . . . . . . . . . . . 285--293
Pierre Barbillon and
Sophie Donnet and
Emmanuel Lazega and
Avner Bar-Hen Stochastic block models for multiplex
networks: an application to a multilevel
network of researchers . . . . . . . . . 295--314
Garritt L. Page and
Ernesto San Martín and
Javiera Orellana and
Jorge González Exploring complete school effectiveness
via quantile value added . . . . . . . . 315--340
Anonymous Obituary: Vidyadhar Prabakhar Godambe,
1926--2016 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341--342
Anonymous Obituary: Michael John Romer Healy,
1923--2016 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 342--344
Anonymous Obituary: T. W. Anderson, 1918--2016 . . 344--346
Anonymous Obituary: David John Newell, 1929--2016 346--348
Anonymous Obituary: S. J. (Jim) Morrison,
1917--2016 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 348--350
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 351--352
Guy P. Nason and
Ben Powell and
Duncan Elliott and
Paul A. Smith Should we sample a time series more
frequently?: decision support via
multirate spectrum estimation . . . . . 353--407
Irene Papanicolas and
Alistair McGuire Measuring and forecasting quality in
English hospitals . . . . . . . . . . . 409--432
Benjamin M. Taylor Spatial modelling of emergency service
response times . . . . . . . . . . . . . 433--453
Ian Gazeley and
Hector Gutierrez Rufrancos and
Andrew Newell and
Kevin Reynolds and
Rebecca Searle The poor and the poorest, 50 years on:
evidence from British Household
Expenditure Surveys of the 1950s and
1960s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 455--474
Christina Felfe and
Martin Huber Does preschool boost the development of
minority children?: the case of Roma
children . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 475--502
Heng Chen and
Marie-Hél\`ene Felt and
Kim P. Huynh Retail payment innovations and cash
usage: accounting for attrition by using
refreshment samples . . . . . . . . . . 503--530
Rebecca Vassallo and
Gabriele Durrant and
Peter Smith Separating interviewer and area effects
by using a cross-classified multilevel
logistic model: simulation findings and
implications for survey designs . . . . 531--550
Ian Brunton-Smith and
Patrick Sturgis and
George Leckie Detecting and understanding interviewer
effects on survey data by using a
cross-classified mixed effects
location--scale model . . . . . . . . . 551--568
Luke Keele and
Dylan Small and
Richard Grieve Randomization-based instrumental
variables methods for binary outcomes
with an application to the `IMPROVE'
trial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 569--586
Raphael Brun-Aguerre and
Ana-Maria Fuertes and
Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo Heads I win; tails you lose: asymmetry
in exchange rate pass-through into
import prices . . . . . . . . . . . . . 587--612
Catalina A. Vallejos and
Mark F. J. Steel Bayesian survival modelling of
university outcomes . . . . . . . . . . 613--631
David M. Brasington and
Olivier Parent Public school consolidation: a partial
observability spatial bivariate probit
approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 633--656
Irene Albarrán-Lozano and
Pablo J. Alonso-González and
Ana Arribas-Gil Dependence evolution in the Spanish
disabled population: a functional data
analysis approach . . . . . . . . . . . 657--677
Anonymous Obituary: Peter Sprent, 1923--2016 . . . 679--680
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 681--681
Matthew Craven Book reviews: \booktitleAdversarial Risk
Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 682--682
Safaa Kadhem Book reviews: \booktitleHandbook of
Discrete-valued Time Series . . . . . . 682--683
Thomas King Book reviews: \booktitleSociology as a
Population Science . . . . . . . . . . . 683--683
Sebastian Dietz Book reviews: \booktitleOption Valuation
under Stochastic Volatility, vol. II . . 683--684
Gian Luca Di Tanna Book reviews: \booktitleMissing Data
Analysis in Practice . . . . . . . . . . 684--685
Stanley E. Lazic Book reviews: \booktitleModern Adaptive
Randomized Clinical Trials: Statistical
and Practical Aspects . . . . . . . . . 685--685
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 687--688
Jiaming Zeng and
Berk Ustun and
Cynthia Rudin Interpretable classification models for
recidivism prediction . . . . . . . . . 689--722
Maria Gheorghe and
Susan Picavet and
Monique Verschuren and
Werner B. F. Brouwer and
Pieter H. M. van Baal Health losses at the end of life: a
Bayesian mixed beta regression approach 723--749
Murray Aitkin and
Duy Vu and
Brian Francis Statistical modelling of a terrorist
network . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 751--768
Tommaso Proietti and
Eric Hillebrand Seasonal changes in central England
temperatures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 769--791
Alexander Ahammer and
G. Thomas Horvath and
Rudolf Winter-Ebmer The effect of income on mortality ---
new evidence for the absence of a causal
link . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 793--816
Myoung-jae Lee Extensive and intensive margin effects
in sample selection models: racial
effects on wages . . . . . . . . . . . . 817--839
Erzsébet Bukodi and
John H. Goldthorpe and
Jouni Kuha The pattern of social fluidity within
the British class structure: a
topological model . . . . . . . . . . . 841--862
Homesh Sayal and
John A. D. Aston and
Duncan Elliott and
Hernando Ombao An introduction to applications of
wavelet benchmarking with seasonal
adjustment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 863--889
Li Li and
Ji-Hyun Lee A latent promotion time cure rate model
using dependent tail-free mixtures . . . 891--905
Paul Contoyannis and
Jinhu Li The dynamics of adolescent depression:
an instrumental variable quantile
regression with fixed effects approach 907--922
Bradley Efron Obituary: Charles Stein, 1920--2016 . . 923--925
Mike Titterington Obituary: John Aitchison, 1926--2016 . . 925--927
Joseph B. (`Jay') Kadane Obituary: Stephen Fienberg, 1942--2016 927--928
Donal Murphy Obituary: Thomas P. Linehan, 1926--2017 929--930
Chris Brien and
Roger Payne Obituary: Graham Neil Wilkinson
1927--2016 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 930--931
Linda Haines and
Francesca Little Obituary: Timothy Terence Dunne,
1948--2016 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 931--932
B. D. M. Tom and
S. G. Thompson and
S. W. Duffy and
M. J. Sweeting and
D. I. Ohlssen Obituary: Richard Nixon, 1972--2016 . . 932--933
Lynda White Obituary: Ann Mitchell, 1935--2016 . . . 933--934
N. I. Fisher Obituary: Mike Tallis, 1931--2017 . . . 934--936
Paul A. Smith Correspondence . . . . . . . . . . . . . 937--938
Marco Bertoni (on behalf of Viola Angelini and
Luca Corazzini) Correspondence: Authors' response . . . 938--938
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 939--939
Kuldeep Kumar Book reviews: \booktitleHappiness
Explained: What Human Flourishing Is and
How We Can Promote It . . . . . . . . . 940--940
Carole Sutton Book reviews: \booktitleManaging and
Sharing Research Data: a Guide to Good
Practice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 940--941
Mark Pilling Book reviews: \booktitleHandbook of
Statistical Distributions with
Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 941--941
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 943--944
Harvey Goldstein Editorial: The Digital Economy Act and
statistical research . . . . . . . . . . 945--946
David Spiegelhalter Trust in numbers . . . . . . . . . . . . 948--965
Andrew Gelman and
Christian Hennig Beyond subjective and objective in
statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 967--1033
Nikos Tzavidis and
Li-Chun Zhang and
Danny Pfeffermann and
Partha Lahiri Preface to the papers on `Small area
estimation' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1035--1037
Fernando A. S. Moura and
André Felipe Neves and
Denise Britz do N. Silva Small area models for skewed Brazilian
business survey data . . . . . . . . . . 1039--1055
Maria Rosaria Ferrante and
Silvia Pacei Small domain estimation of business
statistics by using multivariate skew
normal models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1057--1088
Julian Wagner and
Ralf Münnich and
Joachim Hill and
Johannes Stoffels and
Thomas Udelhoven Non-parametric small area models using
shape-constrained penalized B-splines 1089--1109
Yolanda Marhuenda and
Isabel Molina and
Domingo Morales and
J. N. K. Rao Poverty mapping in small areas under a
twofold nested error regression model 1111--1136
Sumonkanti Das and
Ray Chambers Robust mean-squared error estimation for
poverty estimates based on the method of
Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw . . . . . . 1137--1161
Timo Schmid and
Fabian Bruckschen and
Nicola Salvati and
Till Zbiranski Constructing sociodemographic indicators
for national statistical institutes by
using mobile phone data: estimating
literacy rates in Senegal . . . . . . . 1163--1190
Serena Arima and
William R. Bell and
Gauri S. Datta and
Carolina Franco and
Brunero Liseo Multivariate Fay--Herriot Bayesian
estimation of small area means under
functional measurement error . . . . . . 1191--1209
Jerry J. Maples Improving small area estimates of
disability: combining the American
Community Survey with the Survey of
Income and Program Participation . . . . 1211--1227
María José Lombardía and
Esther López-Vizcaíno and
Cristina Rueda Mixed generalized Akaike information
criterion for small area models . . . . 1229--1252
Elaheh Torkashvand and
Mohammad Jafari Jozani and
Mahmoud Torabi Clustering in small area estimation with
area level linear mixed models . . . . . 1253--1279
Oksana Bollineni-Balabay and
Jan van den Brakel and
Franz Palm and
Harm Jan Boonstra Multilevel hierarchical Bayesian versus
state space approach in time series
small area estimation: the Dutch Travel
Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1281--1308
Tony Haws Obituary: Geoffrey Mallin Clarke,
1928--2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1309--1311
James Carpenter Obituary: Bob Carpenter, 1929--2016 . . 1311--1311
Jake Ansell Obituary: Michael J. Phillips,
1943--2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1311--1312
Anonymous Referees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1313--1317
Lynn McDonald Corrigendum: Florence Nightingale,
statistics and the Crimean War . . . . . 1319--1319
Anonymous Index of authors . . . . . . . . . . . . 1321--1326
Anonymous Contents of volume 180, 2017 . . . . . . 1327--1329
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 1--2
Morten Òrregaard Nielsen and
Sergei S. Shibaev Forecasting daily political opinion
polls using the fractionally
cointegrated vector auto-regressive
model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3--33
Diba Khan and
Lauren M. Rossen and
Brady Hamilton and
Erin Dienes and
Yulei He and
Rong Wei Spatiotemporal trends in teen birth
rates in the USA, 2003--2012 . . . . . . 35--58
Charles Grant and
Mario Padula The repayment of unsecured debt by
European households . . . . . . . . . . 59--83
Idil Yavuz and
Yu Chng and
Abdus S. Wahed Estimating the cumulative incidence
function of dynamic treatment regimes 85--106
S. Baena-Mirabete and
P. Puig Parsimonious higher order Markov models
for rating transitions . . . . . . . . . 107--131
Sarah Brown and
Mark N. Harris and
Preety Srivastava and
Xiaohui Zhang Modelling illegal drug participation . . 133--154
Angela Abbate and
Massimiliano Marcellino Point, interval and density forecasts of
exchange rates with time varying
parameter models . . . . . . . . . . . . 155--179
Brady T. West and
Frederick G. Conrad and
Frauke Kreuter and
Felicitas Mittereder Can conversational interviewing improve
survey response quality without
increasing interviewer effects? . . . . 181--203
Kenneth Rice and
Julian P. T. Higgins and
Thomas Lumley A re-evaluation of fixed effect(s)
meta-analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205--227
Jamie C. Moore and
Gabriele B. Durrant and
Peter W. F. Smith Data set representativeness during data
collection in three UK social surveys:
generalizability and the effects of
auxiliary covariate choice . . . . . . . 229--248
Jacopo Mazza and
Hans van Ophem Separating risk from heterogeneity in
education: a semiparametric approach . . 249--275
K. DiazOrdaz and
A. J. Franchini and
R. Grieve Methods for estimating complier average
causal effects for cost-effectiveness
analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 277--297
Jennifer Roberts and
Gurleen Popli and
Rosemary J. Harris Do environmental concerns affect
commuting choices?: hybrid choice
modelling with household survey data . . 299--320
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 321--322
Arnaud Chevalier and
Peter Dolton and
Melanie Lührmann `Making it count': incentives, student
effort and performance . . . . . . . . . 323--349
Rocío Titiunik and
Andrew Feher Legislative behaviour absent re-election
incentives: findings from a natural
experiment in the Arkansas Senate . . . 351--378
Malte Schierholz and
Miriam Gensicke and
Nikolai Tschersich and
Frauke Kreuter Occupation coding during the interview 379--407
Denisa M. Sologon and
Philippe Van Kerm Modelling earnings dynamics and
inequality: foreign workers and
inequality trends in Luxembourg,
1988--2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 409--440
Martin Huber and
Michael Lechner and
Anthony Strittmatter Direct and indirect effects of training
vouchers for the unemployed . . . . . . 441--463
Sabyasachi Mukhopadhyay and
Sujit K. Sahu A Bayesian spatiotemporal model to
estimate long-term exposure to outdoor
air pollution at coarser administrative
geographies in England and Wales . . . . 465--486
Cheti Nicoletti and
Birgitta Rabe The effect of school spending on student
achievement: addressing biases in
value-added models . . . . . . . . . . . 487--515
Ian Plewis Multiple regression, longitudinal data
and welfare in the 19th century:
reflections on Yule (1899) . . . . . . . 517--533
Kwonsang Lee and
Dylan S. Small and
Jesse Y. Hsu and
Jeffrey H. Silber and
Paul R. Rosenbaum Discovering effect modification in an
observational study of surgical
mortality at hospitals with superior
nursing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 535--546
J. T. Wood Obituary: Geoffrey Harry Freeman,
1928--2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 547--547
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 548--548
Mark Little Book Review: \booktitleMendelian
Randomization: Methods for using Genetic
Variants in Causal Estimation . . . . . 549--550
Dougal Hutchison Book Review: \booktitleBayesian
Psychometric Modelling . . . . . . . . . 550--550
Allan Reese Book Review: \booktitleErrors, Blunders,
and Lies: How to Tell the Difference,
1st edn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 550--551
Sebastian Dietz Book Review: \booktitleHumanizing Big
Data: Marketing at the Meeting of Data,
Social Science and Consumer Insight . . 551--552
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 553--554
David J. Hand Statistical challenges of administrative
and transaction data . . . . . . . . . . 555--605
Jörg Drechsler and
Natalie Shlomo Preface to the papers on `Data
confidentiality and statistical
disclosure control' . . . . . . . . . . 607--608
Jing Lei and
Anne-Sophie Charest and
Aleksandra Slavkovic and
Adam Smith and
Stephen Fienberg Differentially private model selection
with penalized and constrained
likelihood . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 609--633
Daniel Manrique-Vallier and
Jingchen Hu Bayesian non-parametric generation of
fully synthetic multivariate categorical
data in the presence of structural zeros 635--647
Harrison Quick and
Scott H. Holan and
Christopher K. Wikle Generating partially synthetic geocoded
public use data with decreased
disclosure risk by using differential
smoothing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 649--661
Joshua Snoke and
Gillian M. Raab and
Beata Nowok and
Chris Dibben and
Aleksandra Slavkovic General and specific utility measures
for synthetic data . . . . . . . . . . . 663--688
Antonio F. Galvao and
Gabriel Montes-Rojas and
Jose Olmo and
Suyong Song On solving endogeneity with invalid
instruments: an application to
investment equations . . . . . . . . . . 689--716
Erengul Dodd and
Jonathan J. Forster and
Jakub Bijak and
Peter W. F. Smith Smoothing mortality data: the English
Life Tables, 2010--2012 . . . . . . . . 717--735
Ben Powell and
Guy Nason and
Duncan Elliott and
Matthew Mayhew and
Jennifer Davies and
Joe Winton Tracking and modelling prices using
web-scraped price microdata: towards
automated daily consumer price index
forecasting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 737--756
Patrick Sturgis and
Jouni Kuha and
Nick Baker and
Mario Callegaro and
Stephen Fisher and
Jane Green and
Will Jennings and
Benjamin E. Lauderdale and
Patten Smith An assessment of the causes of the
errors in the 2015 UK general election
opinion polls . . . . . . . . . . . . . 757--781
Joshua L. Warren and
Penny Gordon-Larsen Factors associated with supermarket and
convenience store closure: a discrete
time spatial survival modelling approach 783--802
Jingyu Liu and
Walter W. Piegorsch and
A. Grant Schissler and
Susan L. Cutter Autologistic models for benchmark risk
or vulnerability assessment of urban
terrorism outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . 803--823
Ana Maria Ortega-Villa and
Katherine L. Grantz and
Paul S. Albert Estimating onset time from longitudinal
and cross-sectional data with an
application to estimating gestational
age from longitudinal maternal
anthropometry during pregnancy and
neonatal anthropometry at birth . . . . 825--842
David M. Phillippo and
Sofia Dias and
A. E. Ades and
Vanessa Didelez and
Nicky J. Welton Sensitivity of treatment recommendations
to bias in network meta-analysis . . . . 843--867
Eugenia Buta and
Stephanie S. O'Malley and
Ralitza Gueorguieva Bayesian joint modelling of longitudinal
data on abstinence, frequency and
intensity of drinking in alcoholism
trials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 869--888
Ivan Zilic Effect of forced displacement on health 889--906
Celia Swan and
Martin Knott Obituary: David John Bartholomew,
1931--2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 907--909
John Walton Obituary: Stanley Francis James,
1927--2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 909--910
Eleanor Stillman Obituary: Nicholas Rodney James Fieller,
1947--2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 910--911
Susan Chinn Obituary: Walter Werner Holland,
1929--2018 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 911--912
John Craig and
John Fox Obituary: Frank Ernest Whitehead,
1930--2018 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 913--914
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 915--915
Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi Book Review: \booktitleRisk Theory: a
Heavy Tail Approach . . . . . . . . . . 916--916
Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleBig Data and
Social Sciences: a Practical Guide to
Methods and Tools . . . . . . . . . . . 916--916
Thomas King Book Review: \booktitleBit by Bit:
Social Research in the Digital Age . . . 917--917
Peter Walters Book Review: \booktitleFoundations of
Ergodic Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . 917--919
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 921--922
Guy Nason Editorial: Statistical flaws in the
teaching excellence and student outcomes
framework in UK higher education . . . . 923--925
Nikos Tzavidis and
Li-Chun Zhang and
Angela Luna and
Timo Schmid and
Natalia Rojas-Perilla From start to finish: a framework for
the production of small area official
statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 927--979
Michael Sverchkov and
Danny Pfeffermann Small area estimation under informative
sampling and not missing at random
non-response . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 981--1008
Gery Geenens and
Thomas Cuddihy Non-parametric evidence of second-leg
home advantage in European football . . 1009--1031
Guy Stecklov and
Alexander Weinreb and
Calogero Carletto Can incentives improve survey data
quality in developing countries?:
results from a field experiment in India 1033--1056
Gabriele B. Durrant and
Sylke V. Schnepf Which schools and pupils respond to
educational achievement surveys?: a
focus on the English Programme for
International Student Assessment sample 1057--1075
Stefano Marchetti and
Maciej Beresewicz and
Nicola Salvati and
Marcin Szymkowiak and
Lukasz Wawrowski The use of a three-level $M$-quantile
model to map poverty at local
administrative unit 1 in Poland . . . . 1077--1104
Graeme L. Hickey and
Pete Philipson and
Andrea Jorgensen and
Ruwanthi Kolamunnage-Dona A comparison of joint models for
longitudinal and competing risks data,
with application to an epilepsy drug
randomized controlled trial . . . . . . 1105--1123
Benjamin M. Taylor and
Ricardo Andrade-Pacheco and
Hugh J. W. Sturrock Continuous inference for aggregated
point process data . . . . . . . . . . . 1125--1150
Hongjian Yu and
Yueyan Wang and
Jean Opsomer and
Pan Wang and
Ninez A. Ponce A design-based approach to small area
estimation using a semiparametric
generalized linear mixed model . . . . . 1151--1167
Jouni Kuha and
Myrsini Katsikatsou and
Irini Moustaki Latent variable modelling with
non-ignorable item non-response:
multigroup response propensity models
for cross-national analysis . . . . . . 1169--1192
Ashley L. Buchanan and
Michael G. Hudgens and
Stephen R. Cole and
Katie R. Mollan and
Paul E. Sax and
Eric S. Daar and
Adaora A. Adimora and
Joseph J. Eron and
Michael J. Mugavero Generalizing evidence from randomized
trials using inverse probability of
sampling weights . . . . . . . . . . . . 1193--1209
Jamie C. Moore and
Peter W. F. Smith and
Gabriele B. Durrant Correlates of record linkage and
estimating risks of non-linkage biases
in business data sets . . . . . . . . . 1211--1230
Hyunseung Kang and
Laura Peck and
Luke Keele Inference for instrumental variables: a
randomization inference approach . . . . 1231--1254
Patrick J. Laycock Obituary: Tata Subba Rao, 1942--2018 . . 1255--1256
Robert Curnow Obituary: Derek John Pike, 1944--2018 1256--1257
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1259--1259
Thomas King Book Review: \booktitleMetric Power . . 1260--1260
Isaac Dialsingh Book Review: \booktitleHurricane
Climatology: a Modern Statistical Guide
using R . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1260--1261
Baptiste Leurent Book Review: \booktitleThe Mata Book: a
Book for Serious Programmers and Those
Who Want To Be . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1261--1261
R. Allan Reese Book Review: \booktitleGraphics for
Statistics and Data Analysis with R, 2nd
edn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1261--1262
Neil Sheldon Book Review: \booktitleTeaching
Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1263--1263
Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleStatistical
Regression and Classification: from
Linear Models to Machine Learning . . . 1263--1264
Mark Pilling Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of
Applied Modelling: Non-Gaussian and
Correlated Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 1264--1265
Anonymous Referees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1266--1270
Richard W. Farebrother and
Peter J. Neal Subject index of obituary notices
2006--2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1271--1273
Anonymous Index of authors . . . . . . . . . . . . 1275--1280
Anonymous Contents of volume 181, 2018 . . . . . . 1281--1283
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 1--2
Johanna Bristle and
Martina Celidoni and
Chiara Dal Bianco and
Guglielmo Weber The contributions of paradata and
features of respondents, interviewers
and survey agencies to panel
co-operation in the Survey of Health,
Ageing and Retirement in Europe . . . . 3--35
Luna Bellani and
Michela Bia The long-run effect of childhood poverty
and the mediating role of education . . 37--68
Christian Hepenstrick and
Massimiliano Marcellino Forecasting gross domestic product
growth with large unbalanced data sets:
the mixed frequency three-pass
regression filter . . . . . . . . . . . 69--99
Artemis Koukounari and
Andrew J. Copas and
Andrew Pickles A latent variable modelling approach for
the pooled analysis of individual
participant data on the association
between depression and chlamydia
infection in adolescence and young
adulthood in the UK . . . . . . . . . . 101--130
Chrystalleni Aristidou and
Kevin Lee and
Kalvinder Shields Evaluating the use of realtime data in
forecasting output levels and
recessionary events in the USA . . . . . 131--163
Roberto Casarin and
German Molina and
Enrique ter Horst A Bayesian time varying approach to risk
neutral density estimation . . . . . . . 165--195
Bhuvanesh Pareek and
Qiang Liu and
Pulak Ghosh Ask your doctor whether this product is
right for you: a Bayesian joint model
for patient drug requests and physician
prescriptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197--223
Tommaso Rigon and
Daniele Durante and
Nicola Torelli Bayesian semiparametric modelling of
contraceptive behaviour in India via
sequential logistic regressions . . . . 225--247
Han Lin Shang Visualizing rate of change: an
application to age-specific fertility
rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249--262
Ruben L. Bach and
Stephanie Eckman Participating in a panel survey changes
respondents' labour market behaviour . . 263--281
Andreea L. Erciulescu and
Nathan B. Cruze and
Balgobin Nandram Model-based county level crop estimates
incorporating auxiliary sources of
information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283--303
Louise Marquart and
Michele Haynes Misspecification of multimodal
random-effect distributions in logistic
mixed models for panel survey data . . . 305--321
André Python and
Janine B. Illian and
Charlotte M. Jones-Todd and
Marta Blangiardo A Bayesian approach to modelling
subnational spatial dynamics of
worldwide non-state terrorism,
2010--2016 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 323--344
Duncan McVicar and
Julie Moschion and
Jan C. van Ours Early illicit drug use and the age of
onset of homelessness . . . . . . . . . 345--372
Anonymous Obituary: Ian Maclean MBE, MA,
1930--2018 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 373--375
Anonymous Obituary: Douglas Graham Altman,
1948--2018 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 375--376
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 377--378
Stefano Castruccio and
Marc G. Genton and
Ying Sun Visualizing spatiotemporal models with
virtual reality: from fully immersive
environments to applications in
stereoscopic view . . . . . . . . . . . 379--387
Jonah Gabry and
Daniel Simpson and
Aki Vehtari and
Michael Betancourt and
Andrew Gelman Visualization in Bayesian workflow . . . 389--402
Adrian W. Bowman Graphics for uncertainty . . . . . . . . 403--418
Anonymous Discussion on the meeting on `Data
visualization' . . . . . . . . . . . . . 419--441
Jochem de Bresser and
Arthur van Soest The predictive power of subjective
probabilities: probabilistic and
deterministic polling in the Dutch 2017
election . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 443--466
Joshua J. Bon and
Timothy Ballard and
Bernard Baffour Polling bias and undecided voter
allocations: US presidential elections,
2004--2016 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 467--493
Francesco Dotto and
Alessio Farcomeni and
Maria Grazia Pittau and
Roberto Zelli A dynamic inhomogeneous latent state
model for measuring material deprivation 495--516
Clemens Hetschko and
Louisa von Reumont and
Ronnie Schöb Embedding as a pitfall for survey-based
welfare indicators: evidence from an
experiment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 517--539
Clara Grazian and
Fabrizio Leisen and
Brunero Liseo Modelling preference data with the
Wallenius distribution . . . . . . . . . 541--558
Nigel Driffield and
Michail Karoglou Brexit and foreign investment in the UK 559--582
Iliyan R. Iliev and
Xin Huang and
Yulia R. Gel Political rhetoric through the lens of
non-parametric statistics: are our
legislators that different? . . . . . . 583--604
Per Johansson and
Arizo Karimi and
J. Peter Nilsson Worker absenteeism: peer influences,
monitoring and job flexibility . . . . . 605--621
Suzie Cro and
James R. Carpenter and
Michael G. Kenward Information-anchored sensitivity
analysis: theory and application . . . . 623--645
Lu Yang and
Peng Shi Multiperil rate making for property
insurance using longitudinal data . . . 647--668
J. Michael Brick and
Sharon Lohr Experimental evaluation of mail
questionnaires in a probability sample
on victimization . . . . . . . . . . . . 669--687
Angelos Alexopoulos and
Petros Dellaportas and
Jonathan J. Forster Bayesian forecasting of mortality rates
by using latent Gaussian models . . . . 689--711
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 713--713
Jonathan Gillard Book Review: \booktitleLarge Covariance
and Autocovariance Matrices; Patterned
Random Matrices . . . . . . . . . . . . 714--714
Tom King Book Review: \booktitleBulk Collection:
Systematic Government Access to
Private-sector Data . . . . . . . . . . 714--715
Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi Book Review: \booktitleA Practical Guide
to Age-Period-Cohort Analysis: the
Identification Problem and Beyond . . . 715--716
Anoop Chaturvedi Book Review: \booktitleLinear Models and
the Relevant Distributions and Matrix
Algebra . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 716--716
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 717--718
Jack Britton and
Neil Shephard and
Anna Vignoles A comparison of sample survey measures
of earnings of English graduates with
administrative data . . . . . . . . . . 719--754
N. I. Fisher A comprehensive approach to problems of
performance measurement . . . . . . . . 755--803
Alice Milivinti and
Giacomo Benini A Bayesian semiparametric approach for
trend-seasonal interaction: an
application to migration forecasts . . . 805--830
Jesús Crespo Cuaresma and
Gernot Doppelhofer and
Martin Feldkircher and
Florian Huber Spillovers from US monetary policy:
evidence from a time varying parameter
global vector auto-regressive model . . 831--861
Chris J. Lloyd and
Raymond Kwok and
Paul S. F. Yip A scenario analysis of future Hong Kong
age and labour force profiles and its
implications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 863--886
Marwan Izzeldin and
Mike G. Tsionas and
Panayotis G. Michaelides Multivariate stochastic volatility with
large and moderate shocks . . . . . . . 887--917
Jiancang Zhuang and
Jorge Mateu A semiparametric spatiotemporal
Hawkes-type point process model with
periodic background for crime data . . . 919--942
Yunting Song and
Nuo Wang On probability distributions of the
operational law of container liner ships 943--961
Michael Rosenblum and
Peter Miller and
Benjamin Reist and
Elizabeth A. Stuart and
Michael Thieme and
Thomas A. Louis Adaptive design in surveys and clinical
trials: similarities, differences and
opportunities for cross-fertilization 963--982
Sara Geneletti and
Federico Ricciardi and
Aidan G. O'Keeffe and
Gianluca Baio Bayesian modelling for binary outcomes
in the regression discontinuity design 983--1002
Keunseo Kim and
Vinnam Kim and
Heeyoung Kim Spatiotemporal auto-regressive model for
origin-destination air passenger flows 1003--1016
Ludwig von Auer and
Andranik Stepanyan and
Mark Trede Classifying industries into types of
relative concentration . . . . . . . . . 1017--1037
Philip A. White and
Alan E. Gelfand and
Eliane R. Rodrigues and
Guadalupe Tzintzun Pollution state modelling for Mexico
City . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1039--1060
Eilidh Jack and
Duncan Lee and
Nema Dean Estimating the changing nature of
Scotland's health inequalities by using
a multivariate spatiotemporal model . . 1061--1080
Jonathan Rougier Confidence in risk assessments . . . . . 1081--1095
Anonymous David Finney, 1917--2018 . . . . . . . . 1097--1099
Anonymous Alfred Frederick Bissell, 1927--2019 . . 1100--1101
Anonymous David Victor Hinkley, 1944--2019 . . . . 1101--1103
Anonymous Anthony Aynsley Greenfield, 1931--2019 1103--1105
Anonymous John Disney, 1960--2018 . . . . . . . . 1105--1106
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1107--1107
Thomas King Book Review: \booktitleEthical Reasoning
in Big Data: an Exploratory Analysis . . 1108--1108
Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi Book Review: \booktitleMultistate Models
for the Analysis of Life History Data 1108--1109
John Haigh Book Review: \booktitleApplied
Probability: from Random Sequences to
Stochastic Processes . . . . . . . . . . 1109--1109
Allan Reese Book Review: \booktitleData
Visualization . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1109--1110
Dougal Hutchison Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of Item
Response Theory, vols 1--3 . . . . . . . 1110--1113
Thomas King Book Review: \booktitleThe Ethics of
Biomedical Big Data . . . . . . . . . . 1113--1114
Martin G. Gibson Book Review: \booktitleStatistical
Process Control . . . . . . . . . . . . 1114--1115
Stanley Lazic Book Review: \booktitleBayesian
Regression Modeling with INLA . . . . . 1115--1115
Anonymous Issue Information . . . . . . . . . . . 1117--1118
Deborah Ashby Pigeonholes and mustard seeds: growing
capacity to use data for society . . . . 1121--1137
Jonathan Crook and
Tony Bellotti and
Christophe Mues and
Ana-Maria Fuertes Preface to the papers on `Credit risk
modelling' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1139--1142
Emmanuel O. Ogundimu Prediction of default probability by
using statistical models for rare events 1143--1162
Raffaella Calabrese and
Silvia Angela Osmetti and
Luca Zanin A joint scoring model for peer-to-peer
and traditional lending: a bivariate
model with copula dependence . . . . . . 1163--1188
T. Coolen-Maturi and
F. P. A. Coolen Non-parametric predictive inference for
the validation of credit rating systems 1189--1204
Veronica Vinciotti and
Elisa Tosetti and
Francesco Moscone and
Mark Lycett The effect of interfirm financial
transactions on the credit risk of small
and medium-sized enterprises . . . . . . 1205--1226
Ellen Tobback and
David Martens Retail credit scoring using fine-grained
payment data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1227--1246
Salvatore D. Tomarchio and
Antonio Punzo Modelling the loss given default
distribution via a family of
zero-and-one inflated mixture models . . 1247--1266
Mark Thackham and
Jun Ma Exposure at default without conversion
factors-evidence from Global Credit Data
for large corporate revolving facilities 1267--1286
Galina Andreeva and
Anna Matuszyk The law of equal opportunities or
unintended consequences?: the effect of
unisex risk assessment in consumer
credit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1287--1311
Chiara Masci and
Anna Maria Paganoni and
Francesca Ieva Semiparametric mixed effects models for
unsupervised classification of Italian
schools . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1313--1342
Xu Qin and
Guanglei Hong and
Jonah Deutsch and
Edward Bein Multisite causal mediation analysis in
the presence of complex sample and
survey designs and non-random
non-response . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1343--1370
Stephen J. Kaputa and
Katherine Jenny Thompson and
Jennifer L. Beck An embedded experiment for targeted
non-response follow-up in establishment
surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1371--1391
P. Gorgi and
S. J. Koopman and
R. Lit The analysis and forecasting of tennis
matches by using a high dimensional
dynamic model . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1393--1409
Stefan Angel and
Franziska Disslbacher and
Stefan Humer and
Matthias Schnetzer What did you really earn last year?:
explaining measurement error in survey
income data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1411--1437
Serena Arima and
Silvia Polettini A unit level small area model with
misclassified covariates . . . . . . . . 1439--1462
Laura Boeschoten and
Ton de Waal and
Jeroen K. Vermunt Estimating the number of serious road
injuries per vehicle type in The
Netherlands by using multiple imputation
of latent classes . . . . . . . . . . . 1463--1486
Kiranmoy Chatterjee and
Prajamitra Bhuyan On the estimation of population size
from a dependent triple-record system 1487--1501
Yang Lu Flexible (panel) regression models for
bivariate count-continuous data with an
insurance application . . . . . . . . . 1503--1521
Johnny Siu-Hang Li and
Kenneth Q. Zhou and
Xiaobai Zhu and
Wai-Sum Chan and
Felix Wai-Hon Chan A Bayesian approach to developing a
stochastic mortality model for China . . 1523--1560
Nikolay Angelov and
Per Johansson and
Myoung-jae Lee Practical causal analysis for the
treatment timing effect on doubly
censored duration: effect of fertility
on work span . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1561--1585
Guy Lansley and
Wen Li and
Paul A. Longley Creating a linked consumer register for
granular demographic analysis . . . . . 1587--1605
Silvia Bacci and
Francesco Bartolucci and
Giulia Bettin and
Claudia Pigini A latent class growth model for
migrants' remittances: an application to
the German Socio-Economic Panel . . . . 1607--1632
Ralph Erskine Edward Hugh Simpson, 1922--2019 . . . . 1633--1634
Richard Lockhart Michael Arthur Stephens, 1927--2019 . . 1634--1636
Andrew Pickles Graham Dunn, 1949--2019 . . . . . . . . 1636--1637
Robin Henderson and
John Matthews and
Darren Wilkinson Richard James Boys, 1960--2019 . . . . . 1637--1639
Gavin Ross John Clifford Gower, 1930--2019 . . . . 1639--1641
Warren Müller and
Mark Westcott Jeffrey Thomas Wood, 1942--2019 . . . . 1641--1642
Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1643--1643
Kevin McConway Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Data
Analysis for Animal Scientists: the
Basics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1644--1644
Stanley Lazic Book Review: \booktitleLikelihood
Methods in Biology and Ecology: a Modern
Approach to Statistics . . . . . . . . . 1644--1645
Sheila Bird Book Review: \booktitleWar Stories from
the Drug Survey (How Culture, Politics,
and Statistics Shaped the National
Survey on Drug Use and Health) . . . . . 1645--1646
Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of Big
Data Analytics . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1646--1647
R. Allan Reese Book Review: \booktitleModern Statistics
for Modern Biology . . . . . . . . . . . 1647--1647
Tom King Book Review: \booktitleThe Politics of
Big Data: Big Data, Big Brother? . . . . 1648--1648
Ilias Iliadis Book Review: \booktitleReliability and
Availability Engineering: Modeling,
Analysis, and Applications . . . . . . . 1648--1649
Anonymous Referees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1651--1656
Anonymous Index of authors . . . . . . . . . . . . 1657--1662
Anonymous Contents of volume 182, 2019 . . . . . . 1663--1665
Ashley L. Buchanan and
Michael G. Hudgens Corrigendum: Generalizing evidence from
randomized trials using inverse
probability of sampling weights . . . . 443--444
Anonymous Correction to: The Use of a Three-Level
$M$-Quantile Model to Map Poverty at
Local Administrative Unit 1 in Poland 903--903