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Thu Nov 9 10:14:28 MST 2023
David Byers and James Davidson and David Peel Modelling Political Popularity: An Analysis of Long-Range Dependence in Opinion Poll Series . . . . . . . . . . 471--490
W. Sauerbrei and P. Royston Building Multivariable Prognostic and Diagnostic Models: Transformation of the Predictors by Using Fractional Polynomials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71--94
Dankmar Bohning and Ekkehart Dietz and Peter Schlattmann and Lisette Mendonca and Ursula Kirchner The Zero-Inflated Poisson Model and the Decayed, Missing and Filled Teeth Index in Dental Epidemiology . . . . . . . . . 195--209
Simon D. Day and David J. Talbot Editorial: Statistical Guidelines for Clinical Trials . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--3 P. Williamson and J. L. Hutton and J. Bliss and J. Blunt and M. J. Campbell and R. Nicholson Statistical Review by Research Ethics Committees . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5--13 Colin B. Begg and Denis H. Y. Leung On the Use of Surrogate End Points in Randomized Trials . . . . . . . . . . . 15--28 Philip W. Lavori and Ree Dawson A Design for Testing Clinical Strategies: Biased Adaptive within-Subject Randomization . . . . . . 29--38 G. J. Taylor and S. I. McClean and P. H. Millard Stochastic Models of Geriatric Patient Bed Occupancy Behaviour . . . . . . . . 39--48 Min Yang and Harvey Goldstein and Anthony Heath Multilevel Models for Repeated Binary Outcomes: Attitudes and Voting over the Electoral Cycle . . . . . . . . . . . . 49--62 Muriel Egerton Monitoring Contemporary Student Flows and Characteristics: Secondary Analyses Using the Labour Force Survey and the General Household Survey . . . . . . . . 63--80 Stephen Pudney and Derek Deadman and David Pyle The Relationship between Crime, Punishment and Economic Conditions: Is Reliable Inference Possible When Crimes Are Under-Recorded? . . . . . . . . . . 81--97 Andrew W. Evans Fatal Train Accidents on Britain's Mainline Railways . . . . . . . . . . . 99--119 D. Böhning and E. Dietz and P. Schlattmann and L. Mendonça and U. Kirchner Corrigendum: The Zero-Inflated Poisson Model and the Decayed, Missing and Filled Teeth Index in Dental Epidemiology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121--122 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Mike Murphy Editorial: Cohabitation in Britain . . . 123--126 Ann Berrington and Ian Diamond Marriage or Cohabitation: A Competing Risks Analysis of First-Partnership Formation among the 1958 British Birth Cohort . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127--151 John Ermisch and Marco Francesconi Cohabitation in Great Britain: Not for Long, But Here to Stay . . . . . . . . . 153--171 Chris Frost and Simon G. Thompson Correcting for Regression Dilution Bias: Comparison of Methods for a Single Predictor Variable . . . . . . . . . . . 173--189 Peter D. Sasieni and Joanna Adams Analysis of Cervical Cancer Mortality and Incidence Data from England and Wales: Evidence of a Beneficial Effect of Screening . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191--209 Karl Claxton and Larry F. Lacey and Stephen G. Walker Selecting Treatments: A Decision Theoretic Approach . . . . . . . . . . . 211--225 Lei Li and Karl Kim Estimating Driver Crash Risks Based on the Extended Bradley--Terry Model: An Induced Exposure Method . . . . . . . . 227--240 Wing K. Fung and Yue-Qing Hu Interpreting Forensic DNA Mixtures: Allowing for Uncertainty in Population Substructure and Dependence . . . . . . 241--254 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Roger Tarling Editorial: Statistics on the Voluntary Sector in the UK . . . . . . . . . . . . 255--261 Francesca Dominici and Jonathan M. Samet and Scott L. Zeger Combining Evidence on Air Pollution and Daily Mortality from the 20 Largest US Cities: A Hierarchical Modelling Strategy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263--302 Andrew Harvey and Chia-Hui Chung Estimating the Underlying Change in Unemployment in the UK . . . . . . . . . 303--339 Anthony Heath and Dorren McMahon and Jane Roberts Ethnic Differences in the Labour Market: A Comparison of the Sample of Anonymized Records and Labour Force Survey . . . . 341--361 Lindsay Paterson The Social Class of Catholics in Scotland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 363--379 Nicholas T. Longford and Margaret Ely and Rebecca Hardy and Michael E. J. Wadsworth Handling Missing Data in Diaries of Alcohol Consumption . . . . . . . . . . 381--402 J. L. Hutton Number Needed to Treat: Properties and Problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 403--419 James R. Cuthbert Theoretical and Practical Issues in Purchasing Power Parities Illustrated with Reference to the 1993 Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 421--444 Irini Moustaki and Martin Knott Weighting for Item Non-Response in Attitude Scales by Using Latent Variable Models with Covariates . . . . . . . . . 445--459 Anonymous Index of authors, volume 163, 2000 . . . 461--462 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 461--464 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Jon Wakefield and Mike Quinn and Gillian Raab Editorial: Disease Clusters and Ecological Studies . . . . . . . . . . . 1--2 Paul Elliott and Jon Wakefield Disease Clusters: Should They Be Investigated, and, If So, When and How? 3--12 Daniel Wartenberg Investigating Disease Clusters: Why, When and How? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13--22 C. E. Stein and S. Bennett and S. Crook and F. Maddison The Cluster That Never Was: Germ Warfare Experiments and Health Authority Reality in Dorset . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23--27 John Steward and Gareth John An Ecological Investigation of the Incidence of Cancer in Welsh Children for the Period 1985--1994 in Relation to Residence Near the Coastline . . . . . . 29--43 Helen Dolk Comments on the Papers by Elliott and Wakefield, Wartenberg, Stein et al. and Steward and John . . . . . . . . . . . . 45--47 Joan R. Williams and Freda E. Alexander and Ray A. Cartwright and Richard J. Q. McNally Methods for eliciting aetiological clues from geographically clustered cases of disease, with application to leukaemia--lymphoma data . . . . . . . . 49--60 Martin Kulldorff Prospective Time Periodic Geographical Disease Surveillance Using a Scan Statistic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61--72 Leonhard Knorr-Held and Nicola G. Best A Shared Component Model for Detecting Joint and Selective Clustering of Two Diseases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73--85 Peter A. Rogerson Monitoring point patterns for the development of space--time clusters . . 87--96 Andrew Lawson Comments on the Papers by Williams et al., Kulldorff, Knorr-Held and Best, and Rogerson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97--99 Andrew Gelman and David K. Park and Stephen Ansolabehere and Phillip N. Price and Lorraine C. Minnite Models, Assumptions and Model Checking in Ecological Regressions . . . . . . . 101--118 Jonathan Wakefield and Ruth Salway A Statistical Framework for Ecological and Aggregate Studies . . . . . . . . . 119--137 Lianne Sheppard Comments on the Papers by Gelman et al. and Wakefield and Salway . . . . . . . . 139--139 Katherine A. Guthrie and Lianne Sheppard Overcoming Biases and Misconceptions in Ecological Studies . . . . . . . . . . . 141--154 Nicky Best and Samantha Cockings and James Bennett and Jon Wakefield and Paul Elliott Ecological Regression Analysis of Environmental Benzene Exposure and Childhood Leukaemia: Sensitivity to Data Inaccuracies, Geographical Scale and Ecological Bias . . . . . . . . . . . . 155--174 R. L. Chambers and D. G. Steel Simple Methods for Ecological Inference in $ 2 \times 2 $ Tables . . . . . . . . 175--192 Sarah Darby and Harz Deo and Richard Doll and Elise Whitley A Parallel Analysis of Individual and Ecological Data on Residential Radon and Lung Cancer in south-west England . . . 193--203 Ben Armstrong Comments on the Papers by Guthrie and Sheppard, Best et al., Chambers and Steel and Darby et al. . . . . . . . . . 205--207 Thomas Lumley and Margaret S. Pepe and Patrick J. Heagerty and Robert Crouchley and Richard Davies Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209--212 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Lucy McKeever and Mike Cuthbertson Editorial: The Growing Demands on the European Statistical System . . . . . . 213--215 Peter C. Smith and Nigel Rice and Roy Carr-Hill Capitation Funding in the Public Sector 217--257 Nicholas T. Longford Simulation-Based Diagnostics in Random-Coefficient Models . . . . . . . 259--273 Petros Dellaportas and Adrian F. M. Smith and Photis Stavropoulos Bayesian Analysis of Mortality Data . . 275--291 L. Biggeri and M. Bini and L. Grilli The Transition from University to Work: A Multilevel Approach to the Analysis of the Time to Obtain the First Job . . . . 293--305 Louisa Blackwell Women's Work in UK Official Statistics and the 1980 Reclassification of Occupations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307--325 J. K. Lindsey and P. J. Lindsey Detecting Covariates with Non-Random Missing Values in a Survey of Primary Education in Madagascar . . . . . . . . 327--338 Germán Rodríguez and Noreen Goldman Improved Estimation Procedures for Multilevel Models with Binary Response: A Case-Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339--355 Catrin Tudur and Paula R. Williamson and Saboor Khan and Lesley Y. Best The Value of the Aggregate Data Approach in Meta-Analysis with Time-to-Event Outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 357--370 Derek Leslie and Joanne Lindley and Leighton Thomas Decline and Fall: Unemployment among Britain's Non-White Ethnic Communities 1960--1999 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371--387 Jeremy P. Smith and Robin A. Naylor Dropping Out of University: A Statistical Analysis of the Probability of Withdrawal for UK University Students 389--405 V. Barnett and J. Haworth and T. M. F. Smith A Two-Phase Sampling Scheme with Applications to Auditing or sed quis custodiet ipsos custodies? . . . . . . . 407--422 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Ludi Simpson Editorial: UK census 2001 --- progress and promise . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 423--425 Angela Dale and Mark Elliot Proposals for 2001 Samples of Anonymized Records: An Assessment of Disclosure Risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 427--447 Stuart R. Lipsitz and John Williamson and Neil Klar and Joseph Ibrahim and Michael Parzen A Simple Method for Estimating a Regression Model for $ \kappa $ between a Pair of Raters . . . . . . . . . . . . 449--465 Chris J. Lloyd and Paul S. F. Yip A Comparison of Suicide Patterns in Australia and Hong Kong . . . . . . . . 467--483 Denis Heng-Yan Leung Statistical Methods for Clinical Studies in the Presence of Surrogate End Points 485--503 Mary Lou Thompson and Steven D. Edland and Laura E. Gibbons and Susan M. McCurry Estimating Reference Ranges from Stratified Two-Stage Samples . . . . . . 505--516 Martin Forster and Andrew M. Jones The Role of Tobacco Taxes in Starting and Quitting Smoking: Duration Analysis of British Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 517--547 Mohamed M. Ali and Tom Marshall and Abdel G. Babiker Analysis of Incomplete Durations with Application to Contraceptive Use . . . . 549--563 Nicholas T. Longford and David Firth and Michael Noble and George Smith Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 565--566 Anonymous Index: Index of authors, volume 164, 2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 567--569 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 567--569 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Bob Butcher Editorial: High Quality Evaluation in Britain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--3 J. Gershuny Editorial: Co-Ordinating Longitudinal Survey Data in the UK: Towards a National Strategy . . . . . . . . . . . 3--7 Peter Dolton Evaluation of Economic and Social Policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9--11 James A. Riccio and Howard S. Bloom Extending the Reach of Randomized Social Experiments: New Directions in Evaluations of American Welfare-to-Work and Employment Initiatives . . . . . . . 13--30 Ian Plewis Modelling Impact Heterogeneity . . . . . 31--38 Erich Battistin and Enrico Rettore Testing for Programme Effects in a Regression Discontinuity Design with Imperfect Compliance . . . . . . . . . . 39--57 Michael Lechner Some Practical Issues in the Evaluation of Heterogeneous Labour Market Programmes by Matching Methods . . . . . 59--82 Michael White and John Killeen The Effect of Careers Guidance for Employed Adults on Continuing Education: Assessing the Importance of Attitudinal Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83--95 Paul P. Biemer and Christopher Wiesen Measurement Error Evaluation of Self-Reported Drug Use: A Latent Class Analysis of the US National Household Survey on Drug Abuse . . . . . . . . . . 97--119 James Tilley Political Generations and Partisanship in the UK, 1964--1997 . . . . . . . . . 121--135 Min Yang and Harvey Goldstein and William Browne and Geoffrey Woodhouse Multivariate Multilevel Analyses of Examination Results . . . . . . . . . . 137--153 N. Forcheh Ehrenberg Law-like Relationship and Anthropometry . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155--172 Sidney Rosenbaum Transactions of the Statistical Society of London (1837) . . . . . . . . . . . . 173--185 David Byers and James Davidson and David Peel Modelling Political Popularity: A Correction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187--189 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
David J. Spiegelhalter and Paul Aylin and Nicola G. Best and Stephen J. W. Evans and Gordon D. Murray Commissioned Analysis of Surgical Performance Using Routine Data: Lessons from the Bristol Inquiry . . . . . . . . 191--221 R. N. Curnow Discussion on the paper by Spiegelhalter, Aylin, Best, Evans and Murray . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221--231 Peter M. Fayers and David J. Hand Causal Variables, Indicator Variables and Measurement Scales: An Example from Quality of Life . . . . . . . . . . . . 233--253 D. J. Bartholomew Discussion on the paper by Fayers and Hand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253--261 Gillian Lancaster and Mick Green Deprivation, Ill-Health and the Ecological Fallacy . . . . . . . . . . . 263--278 K. D. Patterson Modelling the Data Measurement Process for the Index of Production . . . . . . 279--296 Gerry Nicolaas and Peter Lynn Random-Digit Dialling in the UK: Viability Revisited . . . . . . . . . . 297--316 Duncan McVicar and Michael Anyadike-Danes Predicting Successful and Unsuccessful Transitions from School to Work by Using Sequence Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . 317--334 Lisa Farrell and Michael A. Shields Investigating the Economic and Demographic Determinants of Sporting Participation in England . . . . . . . . 335--348 Anthony C. Atkinson The Comparison of Designs for Sequential Clinical Trials with Covariate Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 349--373 Makram Talih and Ronald D. Fricker, Jr. Effects of Neighbourhood Demographic Shifts on Findings of Environmental Injustice: A New York City Case-Study 375--397 W. Sauerbrei and P. Royston Corrigendum: Building Multivariable Prognostic and Diagnostic Models: Transformation of the Predictors by Using Fractional Polynomials . . . . . . 399--400 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Greg Phillpotts Editorial: An Independent Statistical Service? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 401--403 Peter C. Smith Discussion on the paper by Stone . . . . 405--434 M. Stone How Not to Measure the Efficiency of Public Services (And How One Might) . . 405--434 M. Bell and M. Blake and P. Boyle and O. Duke-Williams and P. Rees and J. Stillwell and G. Hugo Cross-National Comparison of Internal Migration: Issues and Measures . . . . . 435--464 Paul Boyle and Thomas J. Cooke and Keith Halfacree and Darren Smith A Cross-National Study of the Effects of Family Migration on Women's Labour Market Status: Some Difficulties with Integrating Microdata from Two Censuses 465--480 Kevin Denny New Methods for Comparing Literacy across Populations: Insights from the Measurement of Poverty . . . . . . . . . 481--493 Fiona Steele and James Brown and Ray Chambers A Controlled Donor Imputation System for a One-Number Census . . . . . . . . . . 495--522 Mark S. Pearce and Heather O. Dickinson and Murray Aitkin and Louise Parker Still-Births among the Offspring of Male Radiation Workers at the Sellafield Nuclear Reprocessing Plant: Detailed Results and Statistical Aspects . . . . 523--548 Sylvia Richardson and Laurent Leblond and Isabelle Jaussent and Peter J. Green Mixture Models in Measurement Error Problems, with Reference to Epidemiological Studies . . . . . . . . 549--566 Bernard L. Cohen Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 567--568 Bernard L. Cohen Correspondence . . . . . . . . . . . . . 567--568 Anonymous Index of Authors: volume 165, 2002 . . . 569--571 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 569--571 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Len Cook Editorial: The National Statistician: 2 Years On . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--4 Christian Sonesson and David Bock A Review and Discussion of Prospective Statistical Surveillance in Public Health . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5--21 James P. Smith and Duncan Thomas Remembrances of things past: test--retest reliability of retrospective migration histories . . . 23--49 Larry J. Brant and Shan L. Sheng and Christopher H. Morrell and Geert N. Verbeke and Emmanuel Lesaffre and H. Ballentine Carter Screening for Prostate Cancer by Using Random-Effects Models . . . . . . . . . 51--62 Jos A. G. Dessens and Wim Jansen and Harry B. G. Ganzeboom and Peter G. M. Van Der Heijden Patterns and Trends in Occupational Attainment of First Jobs in the Netherlands, 1930--1995: Ordinary Least Squares Regression versus Conditional Multinomial Logistic Regression . . . . 63--84 Jim Malley and Anton Muscatelli and Ulrich Woitek Some New International Comparisons of Productivity Performance at the Sectoral Level . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85--104 M. A. Jonker Estimation of Life Expectancy in the Middle Ages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105--117 V. Simonite and W. J. Browne Estimation of a Large Cross-Classified Multilevel Model to Study Academic Achievement in a Modular Degree Course 119--133 Dennis Leech and Erick Campos Is Comprehensive Education Really Free?: A Case-Study of the Effects of Secondary School Admissions Policies on House Prices in One Local Area . . . . . . . . 135--154 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Ian J. Wilson and Michael E. Weale and David J. Balding Inferences from DNA Data: Population Histories, Evolutionary Processes and Forensic Match Probabilities . . . . . . 155--188 Anonymous Discussion on the Paper by Wilson, Weale and Balding . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188--201 D. R. Cox and S. C. Darby The Communication of Risk: [Introduction] . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203--204 Adrian Smith Foreword to the Papers on `The Communication of Risk' . . . . . . . . . 205--206 John Richens and John Imrie and Helen Weiss Human Immunodeficiency Virus Risk: Is It Possible to Dissuade People from Having Unsafe Sex? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 207--215 Ian M. Graham and Elizabeth Clavel Communicating Risk --- Coronary Risk Scores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217--223 Sarah C. Darby Tobacco --- The Importance of Relevant Information on Risk . . . . . . . . . . 225--231 David Simpson and Sue Lee Tobacco --- Public Perceptions and the Role of the Industry . . . . . . . . . . 233--239 D. R. Cox Communication of Risk: Health Hazards from Mobile Phones . . . . . . . . . . . 241--246 Paul Wiles and Jon Simmons and Ken Pease Crime Victimization: Its Extent and Communication . . . . . . . . . . . . . 247--252 Andrew W. Evans Accidental Fatalities in Transport . . . 253--260 Michael S. Rosenbaum and Martin G. Culshaw Communicating the Risks Arising from Geohazards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261--270 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Stephen Senn and Nicoletta Rosati Editorial: Pharmaceuticals, Patents and Competition --- Some Statistical Issues 271--274 John Urquhart Editorial: How Long Do Pharmaceuticals Stay in the Market-Place? . . . . . . . 274--277 Upali W. Jayasinghe and Herbert W. Marsh and Nigel Bond A Multilevel Cross-Classified Modelling Approach to Peer Review of Grant Proposals: The Effects of Assessor and Researcher Attributes on Assessor Ratings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279--300 Robert Andersen and Anthony Heath Social Identities and Political Cleavages: The Role of Political Context 301--327 Derek Leslie Using Success to Measure Quality in British Higher Education: Which Subjects Attract the Best-Qualified Students? . . 329--347 D. Holt The Need for New Statistical Legislation for the UK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 349--367 Stephen Martin and Peter C. Smith Using Panel Methods to Model Waiting Times for National Health Service Surgery . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 369--387 Nicola J. Cooper and Keith R. Abrams and Alex J. Sutton and David Turner and Paul C. Lambert A Bayesian Approach to Markov Modelling in Cost-Effectiveness Analyses: Application to Taxane Use in Advanced Breast Cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . . 389--405 Fiona Steele Selection Effects of Source of Contraceptive Supply in an Analysis of Discontinuation of Contraception: Multilevel Modelling When Random Effects Are Correlated with an Explanatory Variable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 407--423 Fabio Corradi and Giampietro Lago and Federico M. Stefanini The Evaluation of DNA Evidence in Pedigrees Requiring Population Inference 425--440 Martin Forster and Andrew M. Jones Corrigendum: The Role of Tobacco Taxes in Starting and Quitting Smoking: Duration Analysis of British Data . . . 441--442 Anonymous Index of Authors, volume 166, 2003 . . . 443--444 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 443--444 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Carol Fitz-Gibbon Editorial: The Need for Randomized Trials in Social Research . . . . . . . 1--4 Philip Rees and Paul Norman and Dominic Brown A Framework for Progressively Improving Small Area Population Estimates . . . . 5--36 Michael E. Sobel and Nan Dirk De Graaf and Anthony Heath and Ying Zou Men Matter More: The Social Class Identity of Married British Women, 1985--1991 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37--52 Derek Deadman and Ziggy MacDonald Offenders as Victims of Crime?: An Investigation into the Relationship between Criminal Behaviour and Victimization . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53--67 John Ermisch and Marco Francesconi and David J. Pevalin Parental Partnership and Joblessness in Childhood and Their Influence on Young People's Outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . 69--101 Tomasz Burzykowski and Geert Molenberghs and Marc Buyse The Validation of Surrogate End Points by Using Data from Randomized Clinical Trials: A Case-Study in Advanced Colorectal Cancer . . . . . . . . . . . 103--124 Tim Futing Liao Estimating Household Structure in Ancient China by Using Historical Data: A Latent Class Analysis of Partially Missing Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . . 125--139 Philip J. Smith and David C. Hoaglin and J. N. K. Rao and Michael P. Battaglia and Danni Daniels Evaluation of Adjustments for Partial Non-Response Bias in the US National Immunization Survey . . . . . . . . . . 141--156 Wiji Arulampalam and Robin A. Naylor and Jeremy P. Smith A Hazard Model of the Probability of Medical School Drop-out in the UK . . . 157--178 Donald R. Taves and Anthony C. Atkinson Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179--181 Donald R. Taves Correspondence: Faulty assumptions in Atkinson's criteria for clinical trial design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179--181 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183--183 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183--183 Mark A. Best Book Review: \booktitleBioinformatics: the Machine Learning Approach, 2nd edn 184--184 Quentin L. Burrell Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Rules of Thumb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184--185 Lesley F. Wright Book Review: \booktitleInformation Gap Decision Theory: Decisions under Severe Uncertainty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185--186 M. C. Jones Book Review: \booktitleComponents of Variance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186--187 Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleTime Series Analysis by State Space Methods . . . . 187--188 Freda Kemp Book Review: \booktitleA Course in Financial Calculus . . . . . . . . . . . 188--189 P. Sprent Book Review: \booktitleModern Medical Statistics: a Practical Guide . . . . . 189--190 Freda Kemp Book Review: \booktitleData Mining . . . 190--191 Ravi Sreenivasan Book Review: \booktitleApplied Quantitative Finance: Theory and Computational Tools . . . . . . . . . . 191--192 Theofanis Sapatinas Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 192--192 Theofanis Sapatinas Book Review: \booktitleThe Elements of Statistical Learning . . . . . . . . . . 192--192 David Wooff Book Review: \booktitleLogistic Regression: a Self-learning Text, 2nd edn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 192--194 Scott Sisson Book Review: \booktitleHidden Markov Models for Bioinformatics . . . . . . . 194--195 Ruth King Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 195--195 Ruth King Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Analysis of Data from Marked Bird Populations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 195--195 Dharmendra Lingaiah Book Review: \booktitleThe Estimation and Tracking of Frequency . . . . . . . 195--196 Freda Kemp Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of Statistics, Volume 21, Stochastic Processes: Modeling and Simulation . . . 196--197 James Tighe Book Review: \booktitleHandbook for Conducting Research on Human Sexuality 197--198 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
John Charlton Editorial: Evaluating Automatic Edit and Imputation Methods, and the EUREDIT Project . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199--207 Philip Redfern An Alternative View of the 2001 Census and Future Census Taking . . . . . . . . 209--228 Anonymous Discussion on the meeting on `The 2001 census and beyond' . . . . . . . . . . . 229--248 George Petrakos and Claudio Conversano and Gregory Farmakis and Francesco Mola and Roberta Siciliano and Photis Stavropoulos New Ways of Specifying Data Edits . . . 249--274 Cédric Béguin and Beat Hulliger Multivariate Outlier Detection in Incomplete Survey Data: The Epidemic Algorithm and Transformed Rank Correlations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275--294 Antonia Manzari Combining Editing and Imputation Methods: An Experimental Application on Population Census Data . . . . . . . . . 295--307 Marco Di Zio and Mauro Scanu and Lucia Coppola and Orietta Luzi and Alessandra Ponti Bayesian Networks for Imputation . . . . 309--322 Ray Chambers and Adão Hentges and Xinqiang Zhao Robust Automatic Methods for Outlier and Error Detection . . . . . . . . . . . . 323--339 Nicholas T. Longford Missing Data and Small Area Estimation in the UK Labour Force Survey . . . . . 341--373 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 375--375 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 375--375 Freda Kemp Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 376--376 Freda Kemp Book Review: \booktitleEnvironmental Foresight and Models: a Manifesto . . . 376--376 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review: \booktitleApplying the Rasch Model: Fundamental Measurement in the Human Sciences . . . . . . . . . . . 377--377 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book reviews: \booktitleThe Oxford Dictionary of Statistical Terms . . . . 377--377 Pia Veldt Larsen Book Review: \booktitleMaximum Penalized Likelihood Estimation, Volume I, Density Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 378--378 Tim Auton Book Review: \booktitleApplied Functional Data Analysis: Methods and Case Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 378--379 Gillian M. Arnold Book Review: \booktitleExperimental Design and Analysis for Tree Improvement 379--379 Nick Sofroniou Book Review: \booktitleLarge-scale Assessment Programs for All Students: Validity, Technical Adequacy, and Implementation . . . . . . . . . . . . . 379--379 Gillian M. Arnold Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 380--380 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Sheila M. Bird Editorial: Performance Monitoring in the Public Services . . . . . . . . . . . . 381--383 Jon Wakefield Ecological inference for $ 2 \times 2 $ tables (with discussion) . . . . . . . . 385--425 Anonymous Discussion on the paper by Wakefield . . 425--445 Nicky Best and Simon Day Foreword to the Papers on `Performance Monitoring and Surveillance' . . . . . . 447--448 David Draper and Mark Gittoes Statistical Analysis of Performance Indicators in UK Higher Education . . . 449--474 Massimiliano Bratti and Abigail McKnight and Robin Naylor and Jeremy Smith Higher Education Outcomes, Graduate Employment and University Performance Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 475--496 Anonymous Higher Education Performance Indicators: Invited Comments on the Papers by Draper and Gittoes and Bratti et al. . . . . . 497--499 Trevor C. Bailey and Paul J. Hewson Simultaneous Modelling of Multiple Traffic Safety Performance Indicators by Using a Multivariate Generalized Linear Mixed Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 501--517 Anonymous Monitoring Local Government Traffic Safety Performance by Using Multiple Indicators: Invited Comments on the Paper by Bailey and Hewson . . . . . . . 519--521 O. Grigg and V. Farewell An Overview of Risk-Adjusted Charts . . 523--539 Clare Marshall and Nicky Best and Alex Bottle and Paul Aylin Statistical Issues in the Prospective Monitoring of Health Outcomes across Multiple Units . . . . . . . . . . . . . 541--559 Anonymous Monitoring Clinical Performance: Invited Comments on the Papers by Grigg and Farewell and Marshall et al. . . . . . . 561--563 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 564--564 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 564--564 M. C. Jones Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 565--566 Scott Sisson Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 566--567 Chris Chatfield Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 567--568 Les Huson Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 568--568 Victor Moreno Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 568--569 Paul Hewson Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 569--569 David Kemp Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 569--570 Andrew W. Roddam Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 570--571 Lesley Rushton Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 571--572 David Wooff Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 572--572 Mark A. Best Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 572--573 Anna Bartkowiak Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 573--574 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Peter Lynn Editorial: Measuring and Communicating Survey Quality . . . . . . . . . . . . . 575--578 Andrew J. Copas and Vern T. Farewell and Catherine H. Mercer and Guiqing Yao The Sensitivity of Estimates of the Change in Population Behaviour to Realistic Changes in Bias in Repeated Surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 579--595 Paula L. Griffiths and James J. Brown and Peter W. F. Smith A Comparison of Univariate and Multivariate Multilevel Models for Repeated Measures of Use of Antenatal Care in Uttar Pradesh . . . . . . . . . 597--611 Richard Dickens and Alan Manning Has the National Minimum Wage Reduced UK Wage Inequality? . . . . . . . . . . . . 613--626 Tae Young Yang Bayesian Binary Segmentation Procedure for Detecting Streakiness in Sports . . 627--637 Gary Koop Modelling the Evolution of Distributions: An Application to Major League Baseball . . . . . . . . . . . . 639--655 P. E. Allsopp and Stephen R. Clarke Rating Teams and Analysing Outcomes in One-Day and Test Cricket . . . . . . . . 657--667 Andy Grieve Report of the Council for the Session 2003--2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 669--756 Olav Bjerkholt and Svein Longva Obituary: Petter Jakob Bjerve . . . . . 757--758 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 759--759 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 759--759 Quentin L. Burrell Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 760--760 Derek Robinson Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 760--760 N. H. Bingham Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 761--762 Scott L. Hershberger Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 762--762 Jennifer Lyn Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 763--763 Mohamed Afzal Norat Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 763--764 Mark A. Best Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 764--764 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 764--764 Marian Scott Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 764--765 Roger Harbord Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 765--766 Mohamed Afzal Norat Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 766--766 N. H. Bingham Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 767--768 Stuart Barber Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 768--768 Anonymous Index of Authors: volume 167, 2004 . . . 769--773 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 769--773 Anonymous Contents of volume 167, 2004 . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Sheila M. Bird and Sir David Cox and Vern T. Farewell and Harvey Goldstein and Tim Holt and Peter C. Smith Performance Indicators: Good, Bad, and Ugly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--27 Mark Tranmer and Andrew Pickles and Ed Fieldhouse and Mark Elliot and Angela Dale and Mark Brown and David Martin and David Steel and Chris Gardiner The Case for Small Area Microdata . . . 29--49 H. Xie and T. J. Chaussalet and P. H. Millard A Continuous Time Markov Model for the Length of Stay of Elderly People in Institutional Long-Term Care . . . . . . 51--61 Ruth Hancock and Geraldine Barker The Quality of Social Security Benefit Data in the British Family Resources Survey: Implications for Investigating Income Support Take-up by Pensioners . . 63--82 Leonardo Grilli The Random-Effects Proportional Hazards Model with Grouped Survival Data: A Comparison between the Grouped Continuous and Continuation Ratio Versions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83--94 Graham R. Wood and David J. Saville The Ubiquitous Angle . . . . . . . . . . 95--107 Guido W. Imbens and Paul R. Rosenbaum Robust, Accurate Confidence Intervals with a Weak Instrument: Quarter of Birth and Education . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109--126 Sylvain Lassarre and Isabelle Thomas Exploring Road Mortality Ratios in Europe: National versus Regional Realities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127--144 Göran Kauermann and Gerhard Tutz and Josef Brüderl The Survival of Newly Founded Firms: A Case-Study into Varying-Coefficient Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145--158 Antony Fielding and Min Yang Generalized Linear Mixed Models for Ordered Responses in Complex Multilevel Structures: Effects beneath the School or College in Education . . . . . . . . 159--183 Jerome P. Reiter Releasing Multiply Imputed, Synthetic Public Use Microdata: An Illustration and Empirical Study . . . . . . . . . . 185--205 Adriaan S. Kalwij and Mary Gregory A Panel Data Analysis of the Effects of Wages, Standard Hours and Unionization on Paid Overtime Work in Britain . . . . 207--231 Paul S. F. Yip and K. F. Lam and Eric H. Y. Lau and Pui-Hing Chau and Kenneth W. Tsang and Anne Chao A Comparison Study of Realtime Fatality Rates: Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, Toronto and Beijing, China . . . . . . . . . . . 233--243 Donald A. Berry Obituaries: Seymour Geisser, 1929--2004 245--246 Lord Croham Obituaries: Sir Donald Macdougall OBE, 1912--2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 246--247 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249--249 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249--249 M. C. Jones Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 250--250 M. C. Jones Book Review: \booktitleTools for Constructing Chronologies; Crossing Disciplinary Boundaries . . . . . . . . 250--250 René L. Schilling Book Review: \booktitleFinancial Modelling with Jump Processes . . . . . 250--251 Anders Brix Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Data Analysis, 2nd edn . . . . . . . . . . . 251--252 Sreenivasan Ravi Book Review: \booktitleMultilevel Statistical Models, 3rd edn . . . . . . 252--253 Mohamed Afzal Norat Book Review: \booktitleAutomatic Nonuniform Random Variate Generation . . 253--254 Paul Hewson Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Tools for Nonlinear Regression: a Practical Guide with S-PLUS and R Examples, 2nd edn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254--254 Derek Robinson Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for Epidemiology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254--255 Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleForecast Verification: a Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Sciences . . . . . . . . . . 255--255 Mohamed Afzal Norat Book Review: \booktitleDiagnostic Checks in Time Series . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256--256 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitlePolynomial Parameter Estimations of Close to Gaussian Random Variables . . . . . . . 256--256 Andrew W. Roddam Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Estimation of Epidemiological Risk . . . 256--257 Quentin L. Burrell Book Review: \booktitleRisk Analysis in Finance and Insurance . . . . . . . . . 257--258 Scott A. Sisson Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Inference and Simulation for Spatial Point Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . 258--259 Dennis Lindley Book Review: \booktitleKendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics, volume 2B, Bayesian Inference, 2nd edn . . . . 259--260 Russell Ecob Book Review: \booktitleMeasures of Interobserver Agreement . . . . . . . . 260--261 Stuart Barber Book Review: \booktitleAll of Statistics: a Concise Course in Statistical Inference . . . . . . . . . 261--261 Mark A. Best Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation . . . . . . . . . 261--261 Isaac Dialsingh Book Review: \booktitleBiostatistics and Epidemiology: a Primer for Biomedical Professionals . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262--262 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Ron Brookmeyer Editorial: Biosecurity and the Role of Statisticians . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263--266 Sander Greenland Multiple-Bias Modelling for Analysis of Observational Data . . . . . . . . . . . 267--306 M. Saisana and A. Saltelli and S. Tarantola Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Techniques as Tools for the Quality Assessment of Composite Indicators . . . 307--323 A. B. Atkinson Top Incomes in the UK over the 20th Century . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 325--343 S. Vansteelandt and E. Goetghebeur and I. Thomas and E. Mathys and F. Van Loock On the Viral Safety of Plasma Pools and Plasma Derivatives . . . . . . . . . . . 345--363 Richard Dorsett Unemployed Couples: The Labour Market Effects of Making Both Partners Search for Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 365--385 Frederic Udina and Pedro Delicado Estimating Parliamentary Composition through Electoral Polls . . . . . . . . 387--399 Peter C. Smith and Andrew Street Measuring the Efficiency of Public Services: The Limits of Analysis . . . . 401--417 Ian N. Gregory and Paul S. Ell Breaking the Boundaries: Geographical Approaches to Integrating 200 Years of the Census . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 419--437 Samuel Manda and Renate Meyer Age at First Marriage in Malawi: A Bayesian Multilevel Analysis Using a Discrete Time-to-Event Model . . . . . . 439--455 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 457--457 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 457--457 Paul Hewson Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 458--458 Paul Hewson Book Review: \booktitleExploring Multivariate Data with the Forward Search . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 458--458 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review: \booktitleEnvironmental Statistics: Methods and Applications . . 458--459 S. J. Maybank Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 459--459 S. J. Maybank Book Review: \booktitleProcrustes Problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 459--459 Len Thomas Book Review: \booktitleState Space and Unobserved Component Models: Theory and Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 459--460 Chris Chatfield Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Analysis and Data Display . . . . . . . 460--461 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 461--461 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review: \booktitleConsumer Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice . . . 461--461 Mark Broom Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Mathematical Methods in Bioinformatics 461--462 Andrew McCulloch Book Review: \booktitleSpatial Evolutionary Modeling . . . . . . . . . 462--462 Peter Craig Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Field Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 462--463 Andrew W. Roddam Book Review: \booktitleAnalysing Survival Data from Clinical Trials and Observational Studies . . . . . . . . . 463--463 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleMultivariate Probability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 463--464 Andrew W. Roddam Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 464--464 Andrew W. Roddam Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for the Quality Control Chemistry Laboratory 464--464 Andrea Le Fevre Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Power Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 465--465 Theofanis Sapatinas Book Review: \booktitleStatistics and Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 465--466 Andrew McCulloch Book Review: \booktitleSensitivity Analysis in Practice: a Guide to Assessing Scientific Models . . . . . . 466--466 Lesley F. Wright Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 466--466 Lesley F. Wright Book Review: \booktitleRisk and Financial Management . . . . . . . . . . 466--466 Anonymous Book Review: \booktitleBiostatistics: a Methodology for the Health Sciences . . 467--467 Ron Driver Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 467--467 Anonymous Corrigendum: A Comparison Study of Realtime Fatality Rates: Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, Toronto and Beijing, China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 468--468 Paul S. F. Yip and K. F. Lam and Eric H. Y. Lau and Pui-Hing Chau and Kenneth W. Tsang and Anne Chao Corrigendum: A comparison study of realtime fatality rates: severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, Toronto and Beijing, China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 468--468 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
N. T. Longford Editorial: Model Selection and Efficiency: Is `Which Model \ldots?' the Right Question? . . . . . . . . . . . . 469--472 Richard Blundell and Lorraine Dearden and Barbara Sianesi Evaluating the Effect of Education on Earnings: Models, Methods and Results from the National Child Development Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 473--512 Michael A. Shields and Stephen Wheatley Price Exploring the Economic and Social Determinants of Psychological Well-Being and Perceived Social Support in England 513--537 Marco Francesconi An Evaluation of the Childhood Family Structure Measures from the Sixth Wave of the British Household Panel Survey 539--566 Markku M. Nurminen and Christopher R. Heathcote and Brett A. Davis and Borek D. Puza Working Life Expectancies: The Case of Finland 1980--2006 . . . . . . . . . . . 567--581 Philip L. H. Yu and K. F. Lam and S. M. Lo Factor Analysis for Ranked Data with Application to a Job Selection Attitude Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 583--597 W. J. Browne and S. V. Subramanian and K. Jones and H. Goldstein Variance Partitioning in Multilevel Logistic Models That Exhibit Overdispersion . . . . . . . . . . . . . 599--613 Adrian Rice and Eugene Seneta De Morgan in the Prehistory of Statistical Hypothesis Testing . . . . . 615--627 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 629--629 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 629--629 Jamie Griffin Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 630--630 Jamie Griffin Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of Statistics, Volume 23, Advances in Survival Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . 630--630 John Smart Book Review: \booktitleStatistics in Market Research . . . . . . . . . . . . 630--631 Andreas Karlsson Book Review: \booktitleTutorials in Biostatistics, Volume 1, Statistical Methods in Clinical Studies . . . . . . 631--632 Fernando Tusell Book Review: \booktitleLinear Models with R . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 632--632 Chris Chatfield Book Review: \booktitlePeriodic Time Series Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 632--633 Isaac Dialsingh Book Review: \booktitleApplied Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference from Incomplete Data Perspectives . . . . . . 633--634 S. J. Maybank Book Review: \booktitleHighly Structured Stochastic Systems . . . . . . . . . . . 634--634 R. A. Bailey Book Review: \booktitleDesigning Experiments and Analyzing Data: a Model Comparison Perspective, 2nd edn . . . . 634--635 Theofanis Sapatinas Book Review: \booktitleDiscriminant Analysis and Statistical Pattern Recognition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 635--636 Mark A. Best Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 636--636 Mark A. Best Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Process Control, 5th edn . . . . . . . . 636--636 Chris Cannings Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 636--636 Chris Cannings Book Review: \booktitleRandom Geometric Graphs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 636--636 Pamela Campanelli Book Review: \booktitleMethods for Testing and Evaluating Survey Questionnaires, by S. Presser; J. M. Rothgeb; M. P. Couper; J. T. Lessler; E. Martin; J. Martin; E. Singer . . . . . . 637--637 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review: \booktitleQuantifying the World: UN Ideas and Statistics . . . . . 637--638 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Dr Andrew P. Grieve . . . . . . . . . . i--i Andrew P. Grieve The Professionalization of the `Shoe Clerk' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 639--656 Jane Warwick and Stephen W. Duffy A Review of Cancer Screening Evaluation Techniques, with Some Particular Examples in Breast Cancer Screening . . 657--677 P. Congdon and H. Southall Trends in Inequality in Infant Mortality in the North of England, 1921--1973, and Their Association with Urban and Social Structure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 679--700 Barry Trevelyan and Matthew Smallman-Raynor and Andrew D. Cliff The Spatial Structure of Epidemic Emergence: Geographical Aspects of Poliomyelitis in North-Eastern USA, July--October 1916 . . . . . . . . . . . 701--722 Garrett M. Fitzmaurice and Stuart R. Lipsitz and Geert Molenberghs and Joseph G. Ibrahim A Protective Estimator for Longitudinal Binary Data Subject to Non-Ignorable Non-Monotone Missingness . . . . . . . . 723--735 Dan Jackson and John Copas and Alex J. Sutton Modelling Reporting Bias: The Operative Mortality Rate for Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair . . . . . . . . . 737--752 Stuart G. Baker and Grant Izmirlian and Victor Kipnis Resolving Paradoxes Involving Surrogate End Points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 753--762 Cheti Nicoletti and Franco Peracchi Survey Response and Survey Characteristics: Microlevel Evidence from the European Community Household Panel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 763--781 Andy Grieve Report of the Council for the Session 2004--2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 783--863 Peter Armitage Obituary: James Austin Heady, 1917--2004 865--867 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 869--869 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 869--869 Sreenivasan Ravi Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 870--870 J. Roderick McCrorie Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 870--871 Iain Lang Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 871--871 Dougal Hutchison Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 871--872 Charles M. Goldie Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 872--872 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 872--873 Anders Brix Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 873--874 Mark P. Little Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 874--875 Dougal Hutchison Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 875--875 Francesca Chappell Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 875--876 Alex Lewin and Anne-Mette Hein Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 876--877 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 877--878 Anonymous Index of authors: volume 168, 2005 . . . 879--884 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 879--884 Anonymous Volume contents: Contents of volume 168, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 885--886 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
James V. Zidek Editorial: (Post-Normal) Statistical Science . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--4 A. E. Ades and A. J. Sutton Multiparameter Evidence Synthesis in Epidemiology and Medical Decision-Making: Current Approaches . . 5--35 Eugene D. Hahn Re-Examining Informative Prior Elicitation through the Lens of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods . . . . . . . 37--48 Andris Abakuks A Statistical Study of the Triple-Link Model in the Synoptic Problem . . . . . 49--60 B. Moerkerke and E. Goetghebeur and J. De Riek and I. Roldán-Ruiz Significance and Impotence: Towards a Balanced View of the Null and the Alternative Hypotheses in Marker Selection for Plant Breeding . . . . . . 61--79 Michael P. Fay and Ji-Hyun Lee Measuring Agreement between Two Statistics with Applications to Age Standardization . . . . . . . . . . . . 81--96 A. N. Pettitt and T. T. Tran and M. A. Haynes and J. L. Hay A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Categorical Longitudinal Data from a Social Survey of Immigrants . . . . . . 97--114 Peter C. Austin and Jack V. Tu Comparing Clinical Data with Administrative Data for Producing Acute Myocardial Infarction Report Cards . . . 115--126 Mark P. Taylor Tell Me Why I Don't like Mondays: Investigating Day of the Week Effects on Job Satisfaction and Psychological Well-Being . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127--142 Mervyn Stone and Jane Galbraith How Not to Fund Hospital and Community Health Services in England . . . . . . . 143--164 Frank E. Whitehead Obituary: John Harold West, MBE . . . . 165--166 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167--167 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167--167 Scott Sisson Book Review: \booktitleStatistics of Extremes: Theory and Applications, by J. Beirlant; Y. Goegebeur; J. Segers; J. Teugels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168--169 Isaac Dialsingh Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169--169 Isaac Dialsingh Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Rare Event Simulation, by J. A. Bucklew 169--169 N. H. Bingham Book Review: \booktitleStatistics: An Introduction Using R, by M. J. Crawley 169--170 Mark Broom Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170--170 Mark Broom Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods in Bioinformatics: An Introduction, by W. J. Ewens; G. R. Grant . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170--170 Andreas Karlsson Book Review: \booktitlePermutation, Parametric, and Bootstrap Tests of Hypotheses, by P. Good . . . . . . . . . 171--171 N. H. Bingham Book Review: \booktitleProbability: A Graduate Course, by A. Gut . . . . . . . 171--172 Tim Futing Liao Book Review: \booktitleEcological Inference: New Methodological Strategies, by G. King; O. Rosen; M. A. Tanner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 172--173 Mariano Ruiz Espejo and Housila P. Singh Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173--173 Mariano Ruiz Espejo and Housila P. Singh Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Design of Experiments with Engineering Applications, by K. Rekab; M. Shaikh . . 173--173 Susan Nunn Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173--173 Susan Nunn Book Review: \booktitleAnalysing Environmental Data, by W. Piegorsch; A. J. Bailer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173--173 Andrew Robinson Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174--174 Andrew Robinson Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods for Spatial Data Analysis, by O. Schabenberger; C. A. Gotway . . . . . . 174--174 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174--175 Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleRegression Methods in Biostatistics, by E. Vittinghoff; D. V. Glidden; S. C. Shiboski; C. E. McCulloch . . . . . . . 174--175 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 177--178 Richard William Farebrother and Peter Neal Subject index of obituary notices, 1994--2005: Subject index of obituary notices, 1994--2005 . . . . . . . . . . 177--178 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Roger D. Peng and Francesca Dominici and Thomas A. Louis Model Choice in Time Series Studies of Air Pollution and Mortality . . . . . . 179--203 Andromachi Tseloni Multilevel Modelling of the Number of Property Crimes: Household and Area Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205--233 S. K. Sahu and T. M. F. Smith A Bayesian Method of Sample Size Determination with Practical Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235--253 Stuart N. Soroka and Christopher Wlezien and Iain McLean Public Expenditure in the UK: How Measures Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . 255--271 Matthew J. Gurka and Lloyd J. Edwards and Keith E. Muller and Lawrence L. Kupper Extending the Box--Cox Transformation to the Linear Mixed Model . . . . . . . . . 273--288 Jong-Hyeon Jeong A New Parametric Family for Modelling Cumulative Incidence Functions: Application to Breast Cancer Data . . . 289--303 Gerty J. L. M. Lensvelt-Mulders and Peter G. M. Van Der Heijden and Olav Laudy and Ger Van Gils A Validation of a Computer-Assisted Randomized Response Survey to Estimate the Prevalence of Fraud in Social Security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 305--318 Jonathan Gardner and Andrew J. Oswald Do Divorcing Couples Become Happier by Breaking Up? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 319--336 Tarani Chandola and Paul Clarke and J. N. Morris and David Blane Pathways between Education and Health: A Causal Modelling Approach . . . . . . . 337--359 Isobel Claire Gormley and Thomas Brendan Murphy Analysis of Irish Third-Level College Applications Data . . . . . . . . . . . 361--379 Ed Swires-Hennessy Obituaries: Harold William George Gearing, BSc, FIS, FCIS, FBCS, 1912--2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 381--382 Robin Lynch Obituaries: Sir Jack Hibbert, 1932--2005 382--383 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 385--385 Anonymous Book reviews: Reviews in this issue . . 385--385 Sreenivasan Ravi Book Review: \booktitleAssociation Schemes: Designed Experiments, Algebra and Combinatorics, by R. A. Bailey . . . 386--386 Mark Whitlock Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Treatment of Analytical Data, by Z. B. Alfassi; Z. Boger; Y. Ronen . . . . . . 386--386 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review: \booktitleQuality by Experimental Design, by T. B. Barker . . 386--387 So Moon Tong Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Models for Categorical Data, by P. Congdon . . 387--387 Ron Driver Book Review: \booktitleAn Introduction to Multivariate Data Analysis, by T. R. Cox; Multivariate Statistical Methods by D. F. Morrison . . . . . . . . . . . . . 387--389 David Bartholomew Book Review: \booktitleCelebrating Statistics: Papers in Honour of Sir David Cox on His 80th Birthday, by A. C. Davison; Y. Dodge; N. Wermuth . . . . . 389--389 Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Linear Models and Statistical Inference, by S. J. Janke; F. C. Tinsley . . . . . 389--390 Isaac Dialsingh Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Analysis of Stochastic Processes in Time, by J. K. Lindsey . . . . . . . . . 390--390 A. Hannachi Book Review: \booktitleExploratory Data Analysis with MATLAB, by W. L. Martinez; A. R. Martinez . . . . . . . . . . . . . 390--391 Chris Cannings Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods in Molecular Evolution, by R. Nielsen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 391--391 Susan Nunn Book Review: \booktitleAnalysing Categorical Data, by J. S. Simonoff . . 391--392 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Peter Lynn Editorial: Attrition and Non-Response 393--394 J. Haslett and M. Whiley and S. Bhattacharya and M. Salter-Townshend and Simon P. Wilson and J. R. M. Allen and B. Huntley and F. J. G. Mitchell Bayesian Palaeoclimate Reconstruction 395--438 Robert M. Groves and Steven G. Heeringa Responsive Design for Household Surveys: Tools for Actively Controlling Survey Errors and Costs . . . . . . . . . . . . 439--457 Jonathan Burton and Heather Laurie and Peter Lynn The Long-Term Effectiveness of Refusal Conversion Procedures on Longitudinal Surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 459--478 Denise Hawkes and Ian Plewis Modelling Non-Response in the National Child Development Study . . . . . . . . 479--491 D. Nitsch and B. L. DeStavola and S. M. B. Morton and D. A. Leon Linkage Bias in Estimating the Association between Childhood Exposures and Propensity to Become a Mother: An Example of Simple Sensitivity Analyses 493--505 Nicholas T. Longford and P. Tyrer and U. A. M. Nur and H. Seivewright Analysis of a Long-Term Study of Neurotic Disorder, with Insights into the Process of Non-Response . . . . . . 507--523 Angela M. Wood and Ian R. White and Matthew Hotopf Using Number of Failed Contact Attempts to Adjust for Non-Ignorable Non-Response 525--542 Andrew M. Jones and Xander Koolman and Nigel Rice Health-Related Non-Response in the British Household Panel Survey and European Community Household Panel: Using Inverse-Probability-Weighted Estimators in Non-Linear Models . . . . 543--569 James R. Carpenter and Michael G. Kenward and Stijn Vansteelandt A Comparison of Multiple Imputation and Doubly Robust Estimation for Analyses with Missing Data . . . . . . . . . . . 571--584 Gerard J. van den Berg and Maarten Lindeboom and Peter J. Dolton Survey Non-Response and the Duration of Unemployment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 585--604 Gabriele B. Durrant and Chris Skinner Using Data Augmentation to Correct for Non-Ignorable Non-Response When Surrogate Data Are Available: An Application to the Distribution of Hourly Pay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 605--623 Cheti Nicoletti and Franco Peracchi The Effects of Income Imputation on Microanalyses: Evidence from the European Community Household Panel . . . 625--646 N. T. Longford Correspondence . . . . . . . . . . . . . 647--648 N. T. Longford and Dan Jackson and John Copas and Alex J. Sutton Book Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 647--649 Dan Jackson and John Copas and Alex J. Sutton Correspondence: Authors' response . . . 648--649 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 651--651 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 651--651 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleCombinatorial Methods in Discrete Distributions, by C. A. Charalambides . . . . . . . . . . . . 652--652 M. Dolores Ugarte Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Modelling in GLIM4, 2nd edn, by M. Aitkin, B. Francis and J. Hinde . . . . 652--652 M. C. Jones Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for Fission Track Analysis, by R. F. Galbraith . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 652--653 Philippe Castagliola Book Review: \booktitleComputational Statistics, by G. H. Givens and J. A. Hoeting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 653--654 A. C. Brooms Book Review: \booktitleStochastic Approximation and Recursive Algorithms with Applications, 2nd edn by H. J. Kushner and G. G. Yin . . . . . . . . . 654--654 Iain Lang Book Review: \booktitleSpatial and Syndromic Surveillance for Public Health, by A. B. Lawson and K. Kleinman 655--655 Eugenia Stoimenova Book Review: \booktitleConstrained Statistical Inference: Inequality, Order and Shape Restrictions, by M. J. Silvapulle and P. K. Sen . . . . . . . . 655--656 Derek Robinson Book Review: \booktitleThe Statistical Evaluation of Medical Tests for Classification and Prediction, by M. Sullivan Pepe . . . . . . . . . . . . . 656--656 Mariano Ruiz Espejo and Miguel Delgado Pineda Book Review: \booktitleThe Total Survey Error Approach: A Guide to the New Science of Survey Research, by H. F. Weisberg . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 656--657 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
A. B. Atkinson Editorial: Measurement of Government Output and Productivity . . . . . . . . 659--662 John Hills From Beveridge to Turner: Demography, Distribution and the Future of Pensions in the UK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 663--679 Gillian A. Lancaster and Mick Green and Steven Lane Reducing Bias in Ecological Studies: An Evaluation of Different Methodologies 681--700 Stephen P. Jenkins and Lorenzo Cappellari and Peter Lynn and Annette Jäckle and Emanuela Sala Patterns of Consent: Evidence from a General Household Survey . . . . . . . . 701--722 Hwan Chung and Brian P. Flaherty and Joseph L. Schafer Latent Class Logistic Regression: Application to Marijuana Use and Attitudes among High School Seniors . . 723--743 John M. Roberts, Jr. and Devon D. Brewer Estimating the Prevalence of Male Clients of Prostitute Women in Vancouver with a Simple Capture-Recapture Method 745--756 Fiona Steele and Constantinos Kallis and Heather Joshi The Formation and Outcomes of Cohabiting and Marital Partnerships in Early Adulthood: The Role of Previous Partnership Experience . . . . . . . . . 757--779 Arnstein Aassve and Simon Burgess and Carol Propper and Matt Dickson Employment, Family Union and Childbearing Decisions in Great Britain 781--804 Sophia Rabe-Hesketh and Anders Skrondal Multilevel Modelling of Complex Survey Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 805--827 Wiji Arulampalam and Sonia Bhalotra Sibling Death Clustering in India: State Dependence versus Unobserved Heterogeneity . . . . . . . . . . . . . 829--848 Sarah Brown and Lisa Farrell and Mark N. Harris and John G. Sessions Risk Preference and Employment Contract Type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 849--863 Paul Gustafson Sample Size Implications When Biases Are Modelled Rather than Ignored . . . . . . 865--881 James Brown and Owen Abbott and Ian Diamond Dependence in the 2001 One-Number Census Project . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 883--902 Trevor J. Ringrose Neutral Umpires and Leg before Wicket Decisions in Test Cricket . . . . . . . 903--911 Tim Holt Report of the Council for the Session 2005--2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 913--1002 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1003--1003 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1003--1003 Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleStatistics in the Pharmaceutical Industry, 3rd edn, by C. R. Buncher and J. Y. Tsay (eds) . . . . 1004--1004 Isaac Dialsingh Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Analysis of Financial Data in S-Plus, by R. A. Carmona . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1004--1005 N. H. Bingham Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Tools for Finance and Insurance, by P. Cizek, W. Härdle and R. Weron (eds) . . . . . . 1005--1005 Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of Statistics in Clinical Oncology, 2nd edn, by J. Crowley and D. P. Ankerst (eds) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1006--1006 Mark Broom Book Review: \booktitleComputational Genome Analysis: an Introduction, by R. C. Deonier, S. Tavaré and M. S. Waterman 1006--1007 Thomas Hochkirchen Book Review: \booktitleDesign and Modeling for Computer Experiments, by K.-T. Fang, R. Li and A. Sudjianto . . . 1007--1008 T. Verbeke Book Review: \booktitleExtending the Linear Model with R, by J. J. Faraway 1008--1008 Anonymous Book Review: \booktitleExact Analysis of Discrete Data, by K. F. Hirji . . . . . 1009--1009 Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleExact Analysis of Discrete Data, by K. F. Hirji . . . . . 1009--1009 Natalia Bochkina Book Review: \booktitleProbabilistic Modeling in Bioinformatics and Medical Informatics, by D. Husmeier, R. Dybowski and S. Roberts (eds) . . . . . . . . . . 1009--1010 Niall Adams Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of Parallel Computing and Statistics, by E. J. Kontoghiorghes (ed.) . . . . . . . . 1010--1010 Mario Cortina-Borja Book Review: \booktitleBeyond Beta: Other Continuous Families of Distributions with Bounded Support and Applications, by S. Kotz; J. R. van Dorp 1010--1011 Paul Hewson Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Statistics and Marketing, by P. E. Rossi; G. M. Allenby; R. McCulloch . . . 1011--1011 Sarah Rhodes Book Review: \booktitlePublication Bias in Meta-analysis, by H. R. Rothstein, A. J. Sutton and M. Borenstein (eds) . . . 1012--1012 N. H. Bingham Book Review: \booktitleMeasures, Integrals and Martingales, by R. L. Schilling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1012--1013 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleStochastic Processes and Models, by D. Stirzaker; \booktitleProbability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes, by P. Olofsson . . 1013--1014 Susan Nunn Book Review: \booktitleThe Hunt for the Last Respondent, by I. Stoop . . . . . . 1014--1014 Thomas Hochkirchen Book Review: \booktitleEssentials of Statistical Inference, by G. A. Young and R. L. Smith . . . . . . . . . . . . 1014--1015 Anonymous Index of authors: volume 169, 2006 . . . 1017--1022 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 1017--1022 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Simon Briscoe Editorial: House Price Indices . . . . . 1--3 Erich Battistin and Enrico Rettore and Ugo Trivellato Choosing between Alternative Classification Criteria to Measure the Labour Force State . . . . . . . . . . . 5--27 Thomas M. Loughin and Mollie Poehlman Roediger and George A. Milliken and John P. Schmidt On the Analysis of Long-Term Experiments 29--42 Hendrik Jürges Unemployment, Life Satisfaction and Retrospective Error . . . . . . . . . . 43--61 Robert G. Clark and David G. Steel Sampling within Households in Household Surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63--82 Terence C. Mills Time Series Modelling of Two Millennia of Northern Hemisphere Temperatures: Long Memory or Shifting Trends? . . . . 83--94 Fulvio De Santis Using Historical Data for Bayesian Sample Size Determination . . . . . . . 95--113 Francesco Bartolucci and Fulvia Pennoni and Brian Francis A Latent Markov Model for Detecting Patterns of Criminal Activity . . . . . 115--132 Myoung-jae Lee and Unto Häkkinen and Gunnar Rosenqvist Finding the Best Treatment under Heavy Censoring and Hidden Bias . . . . . . . 133--147 Michael T. Fahey and Christopher W. Thane and Gemma D. Bramwell and W. Andy Coward Conditional Gaussian Mixture Modelling for Dietary Pattern Analysis . . . . . . 149--166 Gary Pollock Holistic Trajectories: A Study of Combined Employment, Housing and Family Careers by Using Multiple-sequence Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167--183 William K. Mountford and Stuart R. Lipsitz and Garrett M. Fitzmaurice and Rickey E. Carter and Jeremy B. Soule and John A. Colwell and Daniel T. Lackland Estimating the Variance of Estimated Trends in Proportions When There Is No Unique Subject Identifier . . . . . . . 185--193 C. J. Skinner The Probability of Identification: Applying Ideas from Forensic Statistics to Disclosure Risk Assessment . . . . . 195--212 Jorge F. Perez-Quezada and Nicanor Z. Saliendra and William E. Emmerich and Emilio A. Laca Evaluation of Statistical Protocols for Quality Control of Ecosystem Carbon Dioxide Fluxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213--230 Peter Dawson and Stephen Dobson and John Goddard and John Wilson Are Football Referees Really Biased and Inconsistent?: Evidence on the Incidence of Disciplinary Sanction in the English Premier League . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231--250 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251--251 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251--251 Ian Dryden Book Review: \booktitleStereology for Statisticians, by A.Baddeley and E. B. Vedel Jensen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252--252 Ana F. Militino Book Review: \booktitleApplied Mixed Models in Medicine, 2nd edn, by H. Brown and R. Prescott . . . . . . . . . . . . 252--253 Isaac Dialsingh Book Review: \booktitleApplied Longitudinal Analysis, by G. M. Fitzmaurice, N. M. Laird and J. H. Ware 253--253 David Bartholomew Book Review: \booktitleSelected Statistical Papers of Sir David Cox, Vols I and II, by D. J. Hand; A. M. Herzberg . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253--255 Andreas Karlsson Book Review: \booktitleRobust Statistical Methods with R, by J. Jure\vcková and J. Picek . . . . . . . . 255--256 Andreas Karlsson Book Review: \booktitleQuantile Regression, by R. Koenker . . . . . . . 256--256 A. C. Brooms Book Review: \booktitleThe Basics of S-PLUS, by A. Krause; M. Olson . . . . . 256--257 Derek Robinson Book Review: \booktitleSAS for Mixed Models, by R. C. Littell; G. A. Milliken; W. W. Stroup; R. D. Wolfinger; O. Schabenberger . . . . . . . . . . . . 257--258 Hassan S. Bakouch Book Review: \booktitleIntroductory Statistical Inference, by N. Mukhopadhyay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258--259 J. Wade Davis Book Review: \booktitleR Graphics, by P. Murrell . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259--260 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review: \booktitleThe Internet as a Large-scale Complex System, by K. Park and W. Willinger . . . . . . . . . . . . 260--260 J. Wade Davis Book Review: \booktitleClinical Trials: a Methodological Perspective, 2nd edn, by S. Piantadosi . . . . . . . . . . . . 260--261 John Haigh Book Review: \booktitleStochastic Modelling for Systems Biology, by D. J. Wilkinson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261--261 T. Verbeke Book Review: \booktitleGeneralized Additive Models: An Introduction with R, by S. N. Wood . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262--262 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
D. J. Martin Editorial: Census Present and Future . . 263--266 Ross Taplin Enhancing Statistical Education by Using Role-Plays of Consultations . . . . . . 267--300 Mark S. Handcock and Adrian E. Raftery and Jeremy M. Tantrum Model-Based Clustering for Social Networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301--354 David Briggs and Daniela Fecht and Kees De Hoogh Census Data Issues for Epidemiology and Health Risk Assessment: Experiences from the Small Area Health Statistics Unit 355--378 Dan Vickers and Phil Rees Creating the UK National Statistics 2001 Output Area Classification . . . . . . . 379--403 Ludi Simpson Ghettos of the Mind: The Empirical Behaviour of Indices of Segregation and Diversity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 405--424 John Stillwell and Oliver Duke-Williams Understanding the 2001 UK Census Migration and Commuting Data: The Effect of Small Cell Adjustment and Problems of Comparison with 1991 . . . . . . . . . . 425--445 Tony Champion and Mike Coombes Using the 2001 Census to Study Human Capital Movements Affecting Britain's Larger Cities: Insights and Issues . . . 447--467 Mel Bartley and Ian Plewis Increasing Social Mobility: An Effective Policy to Reduce Health Inequalities . . 469--481 D. H. Judson Information Integration for Constructing Social Statistics: History, Theory and Ideas towards a Research Programme . . . 483--501 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 503--503 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 503--503 Isaac Dialsingh Book Review: \booktitleSampling Methods: Exercises and Solutions, by P. Ardilly and Y. Tillé . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 504--504 Sreenivasan Ravi Book Review: \booktitleProbability and Random Variables, by G. P. Beaumont . . 504--504 Andrea Le Fevre Book Review: \booktitleData Monitoring in Clinical Trials, by D. L. DeMets, C. D. Furberg and L. M. Friedman . . . . . 504--505 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for Real-life Sample Surveys, by S. Dorofeev and P. Grant . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 505--506 Byron J. T. Morgan Book Review: \booktitleA Kalman Filter Primer, by R. L. Eubank . . . . . . . . 506--506 Thomas Hochkirchen Book Review: \booktitleA Handbook of Statistical Analysis using R, by B. S. Everitt and T. Hothorn . . . . . . . . . 506--507 M. Dolores Ugarte Book Review: \booktitleDesign of Experiments for Agriculture and the Natural Sciences, 2nd edn, by A. R. Hoshmand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 507--507 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleProbabilistic Symmetries and Invariance Principles, by O. Kallenberg . . . . . . . . . . . . . 507--508 Sreenivasan Ravi Book Review: \booktitleTesting Statistical Hypotheses, 3rd edn, by E. L. Lehmann and J. P. Romano . . . . . . 508--508 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleIntroductory Stochastic Analysis for Finance and Insurance, by X. S. Lin . . . . . . . . 508--509 S. E. Lazic Book Review: \booktitleCorrespondence Analysis and Data Coding with Java and R, by F. Murtagh . . . . . . . . . . . . 509--509 Hassan S. Bakouch Book Review: \booktitleAnalysis of Integrated and Cointegrated Time Series with R, by B. Pfaff . . . . . . . . . . 509--510 N. H. Bingham Book Review: \booktitleEconomic Capital and Financial Risk Management for Financial Services Firms and Conglomerates, by B. Porteous and P. Tapadar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 510--510 Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleTheory of Preliminary Test and Stein-Type Estimation with Applications, by A. K. E. Saleh . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 510--511 Eugenia Stoimenova Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Nonparametric Regression, by K. Takezawa 511--511 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Analysis of Cost-effectiveness Data, by A. R. Willan and A. H. Briggs . . . . . 511--512 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review: \booktitleWHO Child Growth Standards: Methods and Development, by World Health Organization . . . . . . . 512--512 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book reviews: WHO Child Growth Standards: Methods and Development . . . 512--512 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Scott L. Zeger Editorial: Knowledge from Information 513--516 Professor Stephen Senn and Dr Dipti Amin and Professor Rosemary A. Bailey and Professor Sheila M. Bird and Dr Barbara Bogacka and Mr Peter Colman and Dr Andrew Garrett and Professor Andrew Grieve and Professor Sir Peter Lachmann Statistical Issues in First-in-Man Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 517--579 T. M. F. Smith and L. Staetsky The Teaching of Statistics in UK Universities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 581--622 Giorgina Brown and John Micklewright and Sylke V. Schnepf and Robert Waldmann International Surveys of Educational Achievement: How Robust Are the Findings? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 623--646 Mario Callegaro and Charlotte Steeh and Trent D. Buskirk and Vasja Vehovar and Vesa Kuusela and Linda Piekarski Fitting Disposition Codes to Mobile Phone Surveys: Experiences from Studies in Finland, Slovenia and the USA . . . . 647--670 Cleridy E. Lennert-Cody and Richard A. Berk Statistical Learning Procedures for Monitoring Regulatory Compliance: An Application to Fisheries Data . . . . . 671--689 C. A. Ferguson and A. W. Bowman and E. M. Scott and L. Carvalho Model Comparison for a Complex Ecological System . . . . . . . . . . . 691--711 Mark Pont Coverage and Non-Response Errors in the UK New Earnings Survey . . . . . . . . . 713--733 Vladimir B. Bokov Theoretic and Empirical Data-Inclusive Process Characterization . . . . . . . . 735--758 Richard J. Boys and Peter J. Dolton and Neil R. Walker Adapting the Optimal Job Search Model for Active Labour Market Policy . . . . 759--779 Arnstein Aassve and Gianni Betti and Stefano Mazzuco and Letizia Mencarini Marital Disruption and Economic Well-Being: A Comparative Analysis . . . 781--799 Fiona Steele and Anna Vignoles and Andrew Jenkins The Effect of School Resources on Pupil Attainment: A Multilevel Simultaneous Equation Modelling Approach . . . . . . 801--824 I. B. J. Goudie and M. Goudie Who Captures the Marks for the Petersen Estimator? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 825--839 Andris Abakuks A modification of Honoré's triple-link model in the synoptic problem . . . . . 841--850 F. E. Whitehead Obituary: William Frederick Fenn Kemsley, MA, 1914--2006 . . . . . . . . 851--852 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 853--853 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 853--853 Richard Penny Book Review: \booktitleSurvey Sampling: Theory and Methods, 2nd edn, by A. Chaudhuri; H. Stenger . . . . . . . . . 854--854 Isaac Dialsingh Book Review: \booktitleBasic Statistics and Pharmaceutical Statistical Applications, 2nd edn, by J. E. De Muth 854--855 Andrew Robinson Book Review: \booktitleGeneralized Linear Models with Random Effects: Unified Analysis via $H$-Likelihood, by Y. Lee; J. A. Nelder; Y. Pawitan . . . . 855--856 Andrew Robinson Book Review: \booktitleRandomization, Bootstrap and Monte Carlo Methods in Biology, by B. F. J. Manly . . . . . . . 856--856 Andreas Karlsson Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Linear Regression Analysis, by D. C. Montgomery; E. A. Peck; G. G. Vining . . 856--857 Z. Q. John Lu Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Inference Based on Divergence Measures, by L. Pardo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 857--858 Peter Congdon Book Review: \booktitleGaussian Markov Random Fields: Theory and Applications, by H. Rue; L. Held . . . . . . . . . . . 858--858 Gérard D'Aubigny Book Review: \booktitleData Analysis of Asymmetric Structures, by T. Saito; H. Yadohisa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 858--860 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Geert Molenberghs Editorial: What to Do with Missing Data? 861--863 David I. Ohlssen and Linda D. Sharples and David J. Spiegelhalter A Hierarchical Modelling Framework for Identifying Unusual Performance in Health Care Providers . . . . . . . . . 865--890 James Raymer and Guy Abel and Peter W. F. Smith Combining Census and Registration Data to Estimate Detailed Elderly Migration Flows in England and Wales . . . . . . . 891--908 Konstantinos Drakos The Size of Under-Reporting Bias in Recorded Transnational Terrorist Activity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 909--921 Di An and Roderick J. A. Little Multiple Imputation: An Alternative to Top Coding for Statistical Disclosure Control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 923--940 Harvey Goldstein and Simon Burgess and Brendon McConnell Modelling the Effect of Pupil Mobility on School Differences in Educational Achievement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 941--954 Leonard J. Paas and Jeroen K. Vermunt and Tammo H. A. Bijmolt Discrete Time, Discrete State Latent Markov Modelling for Assessing and Predicting Household Acquisitions of Financial Products . . . . . . . . . . . 955--974 Isabel Molina and Ayoub Saei and M. José Lombardía Small Area Estimates of Labour Force Participation under a Multinomial Logit Mixed Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 975--1000 Tom Brijs and Dimitris Karlis and Filip Van den Bossche and Geert Wets A Bayesian Model for Ranking Hazardous Road Sites . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1001--1017 Robert Haining and Jane Law Combining Police Perceptions with Police Records of Serious Crime Areas: A Modelling Approach . . . . . . . . . . . 1019--1034 David Afshartous and Michael Wolf Avoiding `Data Snooping' in Multilevel and Mixed Effects Models . . . . . . . . 1035--1059 Raffaella Piccarreta and Francesco C. Billari Clustering Work and Family Trajectories, by Using a Divisive Algorithm . . . . . 1061--1078 Anonymous Report of the Council for the Session 2006--2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1079--1175 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1177--1177 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1177--1177 P. Sprent Book Review: \booktitleAn Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis, by A. Agresti . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1178--1178 Z. Q. John Lu Book Review: \booktitleDNA Microarrays and Related Genomics Techniques: Design, Analysis, and Interpretation of Experiments, by D. B. Allison; G. P. Page; T. M. Beasley; J. W. Edwards . . . 1178--1179 Judith Corbyn Book Review: \booktitleEssential Statistics for Public Managers and Policy Analysts; Exercising Essential Statistics Workbook, by E. M. Berman . . 1179--1179 Angela Wade Book Review: \booktitleAdaptive Design Methods in Clinical Trials, by S. C. Chow; M. Chang . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1179--1180 Naguib Lallmahomed Book Review: \booktitleStatistique Théorique et Appliquée, by P. Dagnelie . . 1180--1180 Steff Lewis Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Analysis of Medical Data Using SAS, by G. Der; B. S. Everitt . . . . . . . . . 1180--1181 Z. Q. John Lu Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Inference for Gene Expression and Proteomics, by K.-A. Do; P. Müller; M. Vannucci . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1181--1181 M. Dolores Ugarte Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods for Spatio-Temporal Systems, by B. Finkenstädt; L. Held; V. Isham . . . . 1182--1182 Sreenivasan Ravi Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Logical Data Analysis for the Physical Sciences: A Comparative Approach with Mathematica$^\reg $ Support, by P. C. Gregory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1182--1183 Güldem Gökçek Book Review: \booktitleSPSS 14 Made Simple, by P. R. Kinnear; C. D. Gray . . 1183--1183 Güldem Gökçek Book reviews: SPSS 14 Made Simple . . . 1183--1183 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleProbability and Random Processes, by V. Krishnan . . . . 1183--1184 Emma Reed Book Review: \booktitleStarter Packs: A Strategy to Fight Hunger in Developing Countries?, by S. Levy . . . . . . . . . 1184--1184 Gareth Peters Book Review: \booktitleUncertain Judgements-Eliciting Experts' Probabilities, by A. O. Hagan; C. E. Buck; A. Daneshkhah; J. R. Eiser; P. Garthwaite; D. Jenkinson; J. Oakley; T. Rakow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1184--1185 S. E. Lazic Book Review: \booktitlePresenting Medical Statistics from Proposal to Publication, by J. Peacock; S. Kerry . . 1185--1186 Hassan S. Bakouch Book Review: \booktitleElements of Distribution Theory, by T. A. Severini 1186--1187 L. F. Wright Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Networks and Probabilistic Inference in Forensic Science, by F. Taroni; C. Aitken; P. Garbolino; A. Biedermann . . . . . . . . 1187--1187 Anthony F. Gyles Book Review: \booktitleAsset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction, by S. J. Taylor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1187--1189 Iain A. Lang Book Review: \booktitleVisual Statistics: Seeing Data with Dynamic Interactive Graphics, by F. W. Young; P. M. Valero-Mora; M. Friendly . . . . . . 1189--1189 Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleModelling Financial Time Series with S-PLUS, by E. Zivot; J. Wang . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1189--1190 Anonymous Index of authors: volume 170, 2007 . . . 1191--1196 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 1191--1196 Anonymous Contents of volume 170, 2007: Contents of volume 170, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . 1197--1198 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Andrew Hinde Editorial: The Analysis of Panel Data 1--3 Fiona Steele Multilevel Models for Longitudinal Data 5--19 Stephen Pudney The Dynamics of Perception: Modelling Subjective Wellbeing in a Short Panel 21--40 Steffi Pohl and Rolf Steyer and Katrin Kraus Modelling Method Effects as Individual Causal Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41--63 Patrick Sturgis and Louise Sullivan Exploring Social Mobility with Latent Trajectory Groups . . . . . . . . . . . 65--88 Ann Berrington and Yongjian Hu and Peter W. F. Smith and Patrick Sturgis A Graphical Chain Model for Reciprocal Relationships between Women's Gender Role Attitudes and Labour Force Participation . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89--108 Marc Kennedy and Clive Anderson and Anthony O'Hagan and Mark Lomas and Ian Woodward and John Paul Gosling and Andreas Heinemeyer Quantifying Uncertainty in the Biospheric Carbon Flux for England and Wales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109--135 Mark de Rooij The Analysis of Change, Newton's Law of Gravity and Association Models . . . . . 137--157 Christopher Jackson and Nicky Best and Sylvia Richardson Hierarchical Related Regression for Combining Aggregate and Individual Data in Studies of Socio-Economic Disease Risk Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159--178 Adam N. Glynn and Jon Wakefield and Mark S. Handcock and Thomas S. Richardson Alleviating Linear Ecological Bias and Optimal Design with Subsample Data . . . 179--202 Ehsan Khoman and James Mitchell and Martin Weale Incidence-Based Estimates of Life Expectancy of the Healthy for the UK: Coherence between Transition Probabilities and Aggregate Life-Tables 203--222 William H. Woodall and J. Brooke Marshall and Michael D. Joner, Jr. and Shannon E. Fraker and Abdel-Salam G. Abdel-Salam On the Use and Evaluation of Prospective Scan Methods for Health-Related Surveillance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223--237 Mary Kynn The `Heuristics and Biases' Bias in Expert Elicitation . . . . . . . . . . . 239--264 Frits Bijleveld and Jacques Commandeur and Phillip Gould and Siem Jan Koopman Model-Based Measurement of Latent Risk in Time Series with Applications . . . . 265--277 S. J. Richards Detecting Year-of-Birth Mortality Patterns with Limited Data . . . . . . . 279--298 Francisca Galindo Garre and Aeilko H. Zwinderman and Ronald B. Geskus and Yvo W. J. Sijpkens A Joint Latent Class Changepoint Model to Improve the Prediction of Time to Graft Failure . . . . . . . . . . . . . 299--308 J. I. Galbraith Obituary: Neil William Please, 1919--2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309--309 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 311--311 Anonymous [List of Reviews] . . . . . . . . . . . 311--311 Naguib Lallmahomed Book Review: \booktitleProbability and Statistics for Computer Scientists, by M. Baron . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312--312 Cedric E. Ginestet Book Review: \booktitleLatent Curve Models: A Structural Equation Perspective, by K. A. Bollen; P. J. Curran . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312--313 Philippe Castagliola Book Review: \booktitleResponse Surfaces, Mixtures, and Ridge Analyses, by G. E. P. Box; N. R. Draper . . . . . 313--313 R. M. Lark Book Review: \booktitleCompositional Data Analysis in the Geosciences: From Theory to Practice, by A. Buccianti; G. Mateu-Figueras; V. Pawlowsky-Glahn . . . 313--314 Angela Wade Book Review: \booktitleAdaptive Design Methods in Clinical Trials, by S.-C. Chow; M. Chang . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314--314 Venkata Putcha Book Review: \booktitleA Crash Course in SPSS for Windows: Updated for Versions 10, 11, 12 and 13, by A. Colman; B. Pulford . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314--315 Alan Kimber Book Review: \booktitlePrinciples of Statistical Inference, by D. R. Cox . . 315--316 B. M. Golam Kibria Book Review: \booktitleBayes Linear Statistics: Theory and Methods, by M. Goldstein; D. Wooff . . . . . . . . . . 316--316 Venkata Putcha Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of Univariate and Multivariate Data Analysis and Interpretation with SPSS, by R. Ho . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 317--317 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleBinomial Models in Finance, by J. van der Hoek; R. J. Elliott . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 317--318 R. Allan Reese Book Review: \booktitleLinear Mixed Models: A Practical Guide Using Statistical Software, by B. T. West; K. B. Welsh; A. T. Ga\lecki . . . . . . . . 318--318 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Tilmann Gneiting Editorial: Probabilistic Forecasting . . 319--321 D. Tim Holt Official Statistics, Public Policy and Public Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 323--346 Ivy Jansen and Geert Molenberghs A Flexible Marginal Modelling Strategy for Non-Monotone Missing Data . . . . . 347--373 Iain Pardoe and Dean K. Simonton Applying Discrete Choice Models to Predict Academy Award Winners . . . . . 375--394 Louise Choo and Stephen G. Walker A New Approach to Investigating Spatial Variations of Disease . . . . . . . . . 395--405 Tee-Chin Chang Cumulative Sum Schemes for Surgical Performance Monitoring . . . . . . . . . 407--432 W. W. Cooper and Subhash C. Ray and M. Stone A Response to M. Stone: `How Not to Measure the Efficiency of Public Services (And How One Might)' [with Reply] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 433--448 Kaatje Bollaerts and Marc Aerts and Stefaan Ribbens and Yves Van der Stede and Ides Boone and Koen Mintiens Identification of Salmonella High Risk Pig-Herds in Belgium, by Using Semiparametric Quantile Regression . . . 449--464 Robert T. Michael and Colm A. O'Muircheartaigh Design Priorities and Disciplinary Perspectives: The Case of the US National Children's Study . . . . . . . 465--480 Kosuke Imai and Gary King and Elizabeth A. Stuart Misunderstandings between Experimentalists and Observationalists about Causal Inference . . . . . . . . . 481--502 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 503--503 Anonymous [List of Reviews] . . . . . . . . . . . 503--503 Z. Q. John Lu Book Review: \booktitleOptimum Experimental Designs, with SAS, by A. C. Atkinson; A. N. Donev; R. D. Tobias . . 504--504 Andrew Robinson Book Review: \booktitleApplied Asymptotics: Case Studies in Small-Sample Statistics, by A. R. Brazzale; A. C. Davison; N. Reid . . . . 504--505 Andrew W. Roddam Book Review: \booktitleMeasurement Error in Nonlinear Models: A Modern Perspective, by R. J. Carroll; D. Ruppert; L. A. Stefanski; C. M. Crainiceanu . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 505--506 Cedric E. Ginestet Book Review: \booktitleCombinatorics, Complexity, and Chance: A Tribute to Dominic Welsh, by G. Grimmett; C. McDiarmid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 506--506 Matthew J. Gurka Book Review: \booktitleBasic Concepts in Biostatistics and Epidemiology, by T. H. MacDonald . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 506--507 Lawrence Muthami Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Monitoring of Clinical Trials, by L. A. Moye . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 507--507 Armando H. Seuc Book Review: \booktitleApproaching Multivariate Analysis: An Introduction for Psychology, by J. Todman; P. Dugard 507--508 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
John Curtice and David Firth Exit Polling in a Cold Climate: The BBC--ITV Experience in Britain in 2005 [with Discussion] . . . . . . . . . . . 509--539 A. Goubar and A. E. Ades and D. De Angelis and C. A. McGarrigle and C. H. Mercer and P. A. Tookey and K. Fenton and O. N. Gill Estimates of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Prevalence and Proportion Diagnosed Based on Bayesian Multiparameter Synthesis of Surveillance Data [with Discussion] . . . . . . . . . 541--580 Jan A. van den Brakel Design-Based Analysis of Embedded Experiments with Applications in the Dutch Labour Force Survey . . . . . . . 581--613 Sarah Brown and Karl Taylor Household Debt and Financial Assets: Evidence from Germany, Great Britain and the USA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 615--643 Robert J. R. Elliott and Joanne K. Lindley Immigrant Wage Differentials, Ethnicity and Occupational Segregation . . . . . . 645--671 M. J. Andrews and L. Gill and T. Schank and R. Upward High Wage Workers and Low Wage Firms: Negative Assortative Matching or Limited Mobility Bias? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 673--697 R. B. Garabed and W. O. Johnson and J. Gill and A. M. Perez and M. C. Thurmond Exploration of Associations between Governance and Economics and Country Level Foot-and-Mouth Disease Status by Using Bayesian Model Averaging . . . . . 699--722 Frauke Kreuter and Ting Yan and Roger Tourangeau Good Item or Bad --- Can Latent Class Analysis Tell?: The Utility of Latent Class Analysis for the Evaluation of Survey Questions . . . . . . . . . . . . 723--738 Frank Rijmen and Edward H. Ip and Stephen Rapp and Edward G. Shaw Qualitative Longitudinal Analysis of Symptoms in Patients with Primary and Metastatic Brain Tumours . . . . . . . . 739--753 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 755--755 Anonymous [List of Reviews] . . . . . . . . . . . 755--755 Ian White Book Review: \booktitleSample Size Calculations in Clinical Research, by S.-C. Chow; J. Shao; H. Wang . . . . . . 756--756 Fernando Tusell Book Review: \booktitleAn Introduction to State Space Time Series Analysis, by J. J. F. Commandeur; S. J. Koopman . . . 756--757 Andreas Karlsson Book Review: \booktitleRandomization Tests, by E. S. Edgington; P. Onghena 757--758 Anonymous Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Test Theory for the Behavioral Sciences . . . 758--758 Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Test Theory for the Behavioral Sciences, by D. N. M. de Gruijter; L. J. Th. van der Kamp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 758--758 Fiona McElduff Book Review: \booktitleNegative Binomial Regression, by J. M. Hilbe . . . . . . . 758--759 Quentin L. Burrell Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of Exponential and Related Distributions for Engineers and Scientists, by N. Pal; C. Jin; W. K. Lim . . . . . . . . . . . 759--760 Diane Berry Book Review: \booktitleA Handbook of Statistical Analyses Using Stata, by S. Rabe-Hesketh; B. S. Everitt . . . . . . 760--760 Angie Wade Book Review: \booktitleMatched Sampling for Causal Effects, by D. B. Rubin . . . 760--761 Naguib Lallmahomed Book Review: \booktitleElementary Statistics Using JMP, by S. Schlotzhauer 761--761 Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Bioinformatics, by A. Tramontano . . . . 761--762 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Zoltan Butt and Steven Haberman and Richard Verrall and Victoria Wass Calculating Compensation for Loss of Future Earnings: Estimating and Using Work Life Expectancy [with Discussion] 763--805 N. J. Welton and A. E. Ades and D. M. Caldwell and T. J. Peters Research Prioritization Based on Expected Value of Partial Perfect Information: A Case-Study on Interventions to Increase Uptake of Breast Cancer Screening [with Discussion] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 807--841 Julian Le Grand The Giants of Excess: A Challenge to the Nation's Health . . . . . . . . . . . . 843--856 Paul Gregg and Jonathan Wadsworth Two Sides to Every Story: Measuring Polarization and Inequality in the Distribution of Work . . . . . . . . . . 857--875 Beth A. Reboussin and Edward H. Ip and Mark Wolfson Locally Dependent Latent Class Models with Covariates: An Application to Under-Age Drinking in the USA . . . . . 877--897 Guy P. Nason and Daniel Bailey Estimating the Intensity of Conflict in Iraq . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 899--914 A. M. Presanis and D. De Angelis and D. J. Spiegelhalter and S. Seaman and A. Goubar and A. E. Ades Conflicting Evidence in a Bayesian Synthesis of Surveillance Data to Estimate Human Immunodeficiency Virus Prevalence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 915--937 D. Cooper and W. D. McCausland and I. Theodossiou Unemployed, Uneducated and Sick: The Effects of Socio-Economic Status on Health Duration in the European Union 939--952 Tom Grimes and David Hand and Sayer Vincent Report of the Council for July--December 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 953--1028 Steffen Lauritzen Obituary: Professor Anders Hald, 1913--2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1029--1030 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1031--1031 Anonymous [List of Reviews] . . . . . . . . . . . 1031--1031 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleRandom Dynamical Systems: Theory and Applications, by R. Bhattacharya; M. Majumdar . . . . . . . 1032--1032 I. D. Hill Book Review: \booktitleMathematics and Democracy: Designing Better Voting and Fair-Division Procedures, by S. J. Brams 1032--1033 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleSaddlepoint Approximations with Applications, by R. W. Butler . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1033--1034 Judith Corbyn Book Review: \booktitlePoverty, Wealth and Place in Britain, 1968--2005, by D. Dorling; J. Rigby; B. Wheeler; D. Ballas; B. Thomas; E. Fahmy; D. Gordon; R. Lupton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1034--1035 Usman I. Lula Book Review: \booktitleCompanion to Advanced Mathematics and Statistics, by S. Dudzic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1035--1036 Alex Karagrigoriou Book Review: \booktitleAnalysing Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves with SAS, by M. Gönen . . . . . . . . . . 1036--1036 N. T. Longford Book Review: \booktitleBioequivalence Studies in Drug Development: Methods and Applications, by D. Hauschke; V. Steinijans; I. Pigeot . . . . . . . . . 1037--1037 Stephen Clark Book Review: \booktitlePlacing History: How Maps, Spatial Data, and GIS Are Changing Historical Scholarship, by A. K. Knowles; A. Hillier . . . . . . . . . 1037--1038 Thomas Hochkirchen Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of Statistical Distributions with Applications, by K. Krishnamoorthy . . . 1038--1039 Lallmahomed Naguib Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Statistics for Biology, 3rd edn, by R. H. McCleery; T. A. Watt; T. Hart . . . . 1039--1039 Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleMissing Data in Clinical Studies, by G. Molenberghs; M. G. Kenward . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1039--1040 Ian Vaughan Book Review: \booktitleNiche Modeling: Predictions from Statistical Distributions, by D. R. B. Stockwell . . 1040--1041 Judith Corbyn Book Review: \booktitleIdentity in Britain: A Cradle-to-Grave Atlas, by B. Thomas; D. Dorling . . . . . . . . . . . 1041--1042 Anonymous Corrigendum: How Not to Measure the Efficiency of Public Services (And How One Might) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1043--1043 Anonymous Index of authors: volume 171, 2008 . . . 1045--1050 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Antony Fielding and Simon Day Editorial: Built on Firm Foundations . . 1--2 Stuart R. Lipsitz and Garrett M. Fitzmaurice and Joseph G. Ibrahim and Debajyoti Sinha and Michael Parzen and Steven Lipshultz Joint Generalized Estimating Equations for Multivariate Longitudinal Binary Outcomes with Missing Data: An Application to Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Data . . . . . . . . 3--20 Rebecca M. Turner and David J. Spiegelhalter and Gordon C. S. Smith and Simon G. Thompson Bias Modelling in Evidence Synthesis . . 21--47 O. A. Grigg and D. J. Spiegelhalter and H. E. Jones Local and Marginal Control Charts Applied to Methicillin Resistant \em Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia Reports in UK Acute National Health Service Trusts . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49--66 D. James Greiner and Kevin M. Quinn $ R \times C $ Ecological Inference: Bounds, Correlations, Flexibility and Transparency of Assumptions . . . . . . 67--81 Claudia Tebaldi and Bruno Sansó Joint Projections of Temperature and Precipitation Change from Multiple Climate Models: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83--106 Terence C. Mills Forecasting Obesity Trends in England 107--117 N. J. Welton and A. E. Ades and J. B. Carlin and D. G. Altman and J. A. C. Sterne Models for Potentially Biased Evidence in Meta-Analysis Using Empirically Based Priors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119--136 Julian P. T. Higgins and Simon G. Thompson and David J. Spiegelhalter A Re-Evaluation of Random-Effects Meta-Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137--159 Gwyn Bevan and Richard Hamblin Hitting and Missing Targets, by Ambulance Services for Emergency Calls: Effects of Different Systems of Performance Measurement within the UK 161--190 Richard Berk and Lawrence Sherman and Geoffrey Barnes and Ellen Kurtz and Lindsay Ahlman Forecasting Murder within a Population of Probationers and Parolees: A High Stakes Application of Statistical Learning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191--211 Mounia N. Hocine and Patrick Musonda and Nick J. Andrews and C. Paddy Farrington Sequential Case Series Analysis for Pharmaco-vigilance . . . . . . . . . . . 213--236 Annouschka Laenen and Ariel Alonso and Geert Molenberghs and Tony Vangeneugden A Family of Measures to Evaluate Scale Reliability in a Longitudinal Setting 237--253 Stefano Mazzuco Another Look into the Effect of Premarital Cohabitation on Duration of Marriage: An Approach Based on Matching 255--273 Geoffrey Grimmett Obituary: David George Kendall, 1918--2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275--278 Joe Gani Obituary: C. C. Heyde, 1939--2008 . . . 278--280 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 281--281 Anonymous List of Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . 281--281 Thomas Hochkirchen and Aachen Book Review: \booktitleDesign and Analysis of Experiments, vol. I, Introduction to Experimental Designs, by K. Hinkelmann; O. Kempthorne . . . . . . 282--282 David Woods Book Review: \booktitleComputational Pharmacokinetics, by A. Kallen . . . . . 282--283 Hassan S. Bakouch Book Review: \booktitleTime Series Analysis, by H. Madsen . . . . . . . . . 283--283 Deven D. Patel Book Review: \booktitleData Analysis and Graphics Using R: An Example-Based Approach, by J. Maindonald; W. J. Braun 283--284 Fiona McElduff Book Review: \booktitleDigital Dice: Computational Solutions to Practical Probability Problems, by P. J. Nahin . . 284--284 Mariano Ruiz Espejo Book Review: \booktitlePutting People and Health Needs on the Map, by K. O'Neill; J. P. Meert . . . . . . . . . . 285--285 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
David J. Hand Modern Statistics: The Myth and the Magic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287--306 Arnaud Chevalier and Joanne Lindley Overeducation and the Skills of UK Graduates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307--337 David J. McKenzie and Johan Mistiaen Surveying Migrant Households: A Comparison of Census-Based, Snowball and Intercept Point Surveys . . . . . . . . 339--360 Gabriele B. Durrant and Fiona Steele Multilevel Modelling of Refusal and Non-Contact in Household Surveys: Evidence from Six UK Government Surveys 361--381 Christopher H. Jackson and Simon G. Thompson and Linda D. Sharples Accounting for Uncertainty in Health Economic Decision Models, by Using Model Averaging . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 383--404 Binbing Yu and Lan Huang and Ram C. Tiwari and Eric J. Feuer and Karen A. Johnson Modelling Population-Based Cancer Survival Trends by Using Join Point Models for Grouped Survival Data . . . . 405--425 Mich\`ele Belot and John Ermisch Friendship Ties and Geographical Mobility: Evidence from Great Britain 427--442 Michael Rosenblum and Nicholas P. Jewell and Mark van der Laan and Stephen Shiboski and Ariane van der Straten and Nancy Padian Analysing Direct Effects in Randomized Trials with Secondary Interventions: An Application to Human Immunodeficiency Virus Prevention Trials . . . . . . . . 443--465 David J. Bartholomew and Ian J. Deary and Martin Lawn Sir Godfrey Thomson: A Statistical Pioneer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 467--482 D. R. Cox and Michelle Jackson and Shiwei Lu On Square Ordinal Contingency Tables: A Comparison of Social Class and Income Mobility for the Same Individuals . . . 483--493 Casey Olives and Marcello Pagano and Megan Deitchler and Bethany L. Hedt and Kari Egge and Joseph J. Valadez Cluster Designs to Assess the Prevalence of Acute Malnutrition by Lot Quality Assurance Sampling: A Validation Study by Computer Simulation . . . . . . . . . 495--510 Christine N. Kohnen and Jerome P. Reiter Multiple Imputation for Combining Confidential Data Owned by Two Agencies 511--528 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 529--529 Niall Adams Book Review: \booktitleSemi-Supervised Learning, by O. Chappelle; B. Schölkopf; A. Zien . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 530--530 Sreenivasan Ravi Book Review: \booktitleStatistical and Probabilistic Methods in Actuarial Science, by P. J. Boland . . . . . . . . 530--530 Alex Karagrigoriou Book Review: \booktitleBasic Statistics Using SAS Enterprise Guide, a Primer, by G. Der; B. S. Everitt . . . . . . . . . 530--531 Eirini Koutoumanou Book Review: \booktitleMedical Biostatistics, by A. Indrayan . . . . . 531--532 Shalabh Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 532--532 Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleA Primer on Linear Models, by J. F. Monahan . . . . 532--532 Phil Woodward Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Issues in Drug Development, by S. Senn 532--533 A. C. Brooms Book Review: \booktitleExperimental Statistics Using Minitab, by C. Weatherup . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 533--534 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
William J. Browne and Fiona Steele Editorial: Recent Advances in Multilevel Modelling Methodology and Applications 535--536 George Leckie The Complexity of School and Neighbourhood Effects and Movements of Pupils on School Differences in Models of Educational Achievement . . . . . . . 537--554 Alastair H. Leyland and Òyvind Næss The Effect of Area of Residence over the Life Course on Subsequent Mortality . . 555--578 William J. Browne and Fiona Steele and Mousa Golalizadeh and Martin J. Green The Use of Simple Reparameterizations to Improve the Efficiency of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Estimation for Multilevel Models with Applications to Discrete Time Survival Models . . . . . . . . . . 579--598 Harvey Goldstein and Daphne Kounali Multilevel Multivariate Modelling of Childhood Growth, Numbers of Growth Measurements and Adult Characteristics 599--613 Nuoo-Ting Molitor and Nicky Best and Chris Jackson and Sylvia Richardson Using Bayesian Graphical Models to Model Biases in Observational Studies and to Combine Multiple Sources of Data: Application to Low Birth Weight and Water Disinfection By-Products . . . . . 615--637 Bengt Muthén and Tihomir Asparouhov Multilevel regression mixture analysis 639--657 Anders Skrondal and Sophia Rabe-Hesketh Prediction in multilevel generalized linear models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 659--687 P. Armitage and J. F. Bithell Obituaries: Norman Thomas John Bailey, 1923--2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 689--690 Antonio Possolo Obituaries: John Mandel, 1914--2007 . . 691--692 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 693--693 Cedric Ginestet Book Review: \booktitleSemisupervised Learning for Computational Linguistics, by S. Abney . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 694--694 George Leckie Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of Multilevel Analysis, by J. De Leeuw; E. Meijer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 694--695 Mario Cortina Borja Book Review: \booktitleAn Introduction to Generalized Linear Models, by A. J. Dobson; A. G. Barnett . . . . . . . . . 695--696 Diane Berry Book Review: \booktitleR Programming for Bioinformatics, by R. Gentleman . . . . 696--696 Jordan Stoyanov Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Stochastic Calculus Applied to Finance, by D. Lamberton; B. Lapeyere . . . . . . 697--697 R. Allan Reese Book Review: \booktitleR for SAS and SPSS Users, by R. A. Muenchen . . . . . 697--698 Lesley F. Wright Book Review: \booktitleReliability and Risk --- a Bayesian Perspective, by N. D. Singpurwalla . . . . . . . . . . . . 698--698 Mario Cortina Borja Book Review: \booktitleData Manipulation in R, by P. Spector . . . . . . . . . . 699--699 S. E. Lazic Book Review: \booktitleDNA Methylation Microarrays: Experimental Design and Statistical Analysis, by S.-C. Wang; A. Petronis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 699--700 R. Allan Reese Book Review: \booktitleGeostatistics for Environmental Scientists, by R. Webster; M. A. Oliver . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 700--700 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Wolfgang Lutz Editorial: Towards a World of 2--6 Billion Well-Educated and Therefore Healthy and Wealthy People . . . . . . . 701--705 Gillian A. Lancaster Statistical Issues in the Assessment of Health Outcomes in Children: A Methodological Review . . . . . . . . . 707--727 Stuart G. Baker and Nancy R. Cook and Andrew Vickers and Barnett S. Kramer Using Relative Utility Curves to Evaluate Risk Prediction . . . . . . . . 729--748 John Ermisch and Diego Gambetta and Heather Laurie and Thomas Siedler and S. C. Noah Uhrig Measuring People's Trust . . . . . . . . 749--769 Gerard Keogh and Patrick Quill The Construction and Analysis of a Consistent Set of Input-Output Tables for the Irish Economy . . . . . . . . . 771--788 Richard D. Riley Multivariate Meta-Analysis: The Effect of Ignoring Within-Study Correlation . . 789--811 R. D. Baker and I. G. McHale Modelling the Probability Distribution of Prize Winnings in the UK National Lottery: Consequences of Conscious Selection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 813--834 George Leckie and Harvey Goldstein The Limitations of Using School League Tables to Inform School Choice . . . . . 835--851 David Hand and Martin Dougherty and Sarah Simpson and Sheila Bird and Andrew Garratt and Colin Aitken and Paul Gentry and Adrian Bowman and Nicola Emmerson and Andy Garrett and Gerald Goodall and Susan Starkings and Debra Hurcomb and Robin Henderson and Martin Owen and Rob Henderson and Keith Dugmore and Jenny Church Report of the Council for 2008 . . . . . 853--931 Gad Nathan Obituary: Hendrik Salomon Konijn, 1918--2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 933--933 Anonymous Book reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 934--934 Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Learning from a Regression Perspective, by R. A. Berk . . . . . . . . . . . . . 935--935 Phil Woodward Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Methods for Data Analysis, by B. P. Carlin; T. A. Louis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 935--936 Shalabh Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Design, by G. Casella . . . . . . . . . 936--936 Cedric E. Ginestet Book Review: \booktitleModel Selection and Model Averaging, by G. Claeskens; N. L. Hjort . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 937--937 Z. Q. John Lu Book Review: \booktitleMorphometrics with R, by J. Claude . . . . . . . . . . 937--938 Kuldeep Kumar Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Practice in Business and Industry, by S. Coleman; T. Greenfield; D. Stewardson; D. D. Montgomery . . . . . . . . . . . . 938--939 Derek Robinson Book Review: \booktitleIntroductory Statistics with R, by P. Dalgaard . . . 939--939 Badi H. Baltagi Book Review: \booktitleLongitudinal Data Analysis, by G. Fitzmaurice; M. Davidian; G. Verbeke; G. Molenberghs . . 939--940 Sreenivasan Ravi Book Review: \booktitleNonlinear Time Series: Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods, by J. Gao . . . . . . . . . . . 940--941 Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi Book Review: \booktitleCredit Risk Management: Basic Concepts, Financial Risk Components, Rating Analysis, Models, Economic and Regulatory Capital, by T. van Gestel; B. Baesens . . . . . . 941--941 Paul Hewson Book Review: \booktitleApplied Multiway Data Analysis, by P. M. Kroonenberg . . 941--942 John Haigh Book Review: \booktitlePolya Urn Models, by H. M. Mahmoud . . . . . . . . . . . . 942--942 Varinder Jain Book Review: \booktitleComputational Statistics Handbook with MATLAB, by W. L. Martinez; A. R. Martinez . . . . . . 942--943 Judith Corbyn Book Review: \booktitleEstimating Market Power and Strategies, by J. M. Perloff; L. S. Karp; A. Golan . . . . . . . . . . 943--944 Giorgio Bedogni Book Review: \booktitleClinical Prediction Models --- a Practical Approach to Development, Validation and Updating, by E. W. Steyerberg . . . . . 944--944 P. Sprent Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Nonparametric Estimation, by A. B. Tsybakov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 944--945 Mark A. Best Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Development of Quality in Medicine, by P. Winkel; N. F. Zhang . . . . . . . . . 945--946 Anonymous Index of authors: volume 172, 2009 . . . 947--951 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . ??