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Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anthony F. Heath and Peter Clifford Class Inequalities in Education in the Twentieth Century . . . . . . . . . . . 1--16 C. Power and O. Manor and A. J. Fox and K. Fogelman Health in Childhood and Social Inequalities in Health in Young Adults 17--28 C. J. Lloyd Estimating the Effect of Alcohol on the Risk of a Fatal Road Accident . . . . . 29--52 Peter Smith The Use of Performance Indicators in the Public Sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53--72 Samuel Kotz and Eugene Seneta Lenin as a Statistician: A Non-Soviet View . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73--94 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1840, 1890, 1940 95--97 Norman R. Draper Obituary: Raj Chandra Bose . . . . . . . 98--99 Paul Deheuvels Obituary: Daniel Dugué . . . . . . . . . 99--100 Florence N. David Obituary: Elizabeth Scott, 1917--88 . . 100--100 E. A. Goodall Book Review: \booktitleVery Small Farms: An Economic Study, by D. J. Ansell; A. K. Giles; J. R. Rendell . . . . . . . . 101--102 P. W. Jones Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Statistics 3: Proceedings of the Third Valencia International Meeting, June 1st--5th, 1987, by J. M. Bernardo; M. H. DeGroot; D. V. Lindley; A. F. M. Smith 102--102 Clive Osmond Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods in Cancer Research, Vol. 2, The Design and Analysis of Cohort Studies, by N. E. Breslow; N. E. Day . . . . . . 102--103 S. T. C. Weatherup Book Review: \booktitleTables for Selecting the Best Population, by K. L. Butler; D. G. Butler . . . . . . . . . . 103--104 A. Fielding Book Review: \booktitleSensitivity Analysis in Linear Regression, by S. Chatterjee; A. S. Hadi . . . . . . . . . 104--104 Pat Lovie Book Review: \booktitleUnified Theory and Strategies of Survey Sampling, by A. Chaudhuri; J. W. E. Vos . . . . . . . . 104--105 M. J. P. Selby Book Review: \booktitleThe Inverse Gaussian Distribution, by R. S. Chhikara; J. L. Folks . . . . . . . . . 105--106 M. J. Phillips Book Review: \booktitleAccelerated Life Testing and Experts' Opinion in Reliability, by C. A. Clarotti; D. V. Lindley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106--107 Pat Lovie Book Review: \booktitleDynamic Graphics for Statistics, by W. S. Cleveland; M. E. McGill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107--108 Martin Newby Book Review: \booktitleParameter Estimation in Reliability and Life Span Models, by A. C. Cohen; B. Jones Whitten 108--109 B. J. R. Bailey Book Review: \booktitlePrinciples of Random Variate Generation, by J. Dagpunar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109--110 A. V. Metcalfe Book Review: \booktitleQuality Control, Robust Design and the Taguchi Method, by K. Dehnad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110--111 R. A. Bailey Book Review: \booktitleComparative Experiments with Field Crops, by G. V. Dyke . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111--112 W\ladys\law Milo Book Review: \booktitleMultivariate Statistics: A Practical Approach, by B. Flury; H. Riedwyl . . . . . . . . . . . 112--113 L. A. Baxter Book Review: \booktitleA Celebration of Applied Probability, by J. Gani . . . . 113--114 Joan Stephens Book Review: \booktitleMastering Statistics, by T. J. Hannagan . . . . . 114--115 Máire Ní Bhrolcháin Book Review: \booktitleThe Changing Population of Britain, by H. Joshi . . . 115--116 W. D. Ray Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Process Control in Automated Manufacturing, by J. B. Keats; N. F. Hubele . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116--117 Pat Lovie Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Theory and Data Analysis II, by K. Matusita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117--118 Krzysztof Stroi\'nski Book Review: \booktitleTaking Risks: The Science of Uncertainty, by P. Sprent . . 118--118 Peter Fayers Book Review: \booktitleThe Visual Display of Quantitative Information, by E. R. Tufte . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118--119 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Denise Lievesley Royal Statistical Society Meeting on Public Confidence in the Integrity and Validity of Official Statistics . . . . 121--121 J. Hibbert Public Confidence in the Integrity and Validity of Official Statistics . . . . 123--150 R. Mead The Non-Orthogonal Design of Experiments 151--201 Ernest Rudd The Early Careers of Social Science Graduates and the Value of a PhD . . . . 203--232 Peter Burnhill and Cathy Garner and Andrew McPherson Parental Education, Social Class and Entry to Higher Education 1976--86 . . . 233--248 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1840, 1890, 1940 249--250 D. V. Lindley Obituary: Morris DeGroot, 1931--89 . . . 251--252 F. P. Thompson Obituary: Michael Joseph Moroney, BSc, FSS, FIS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252--253 K. V. Mardia Obituary: Professor B. L. Welch . . . . 253--254 Colin P. Chalmers Book Review: \booktitleCausal Relationships in Medicine: A Practical System for Critical Appraisal, by J. M. Elwood . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255--256 F. R. Jolliffe Book Review: \booktitleStatistics with Confidence: Confidence Intervals and Statistical Guidelines, by M. J. Gardner; D. G. Altman . . . . . . . . . 256--256 J. A. Bather Book Review: \booktitleMulti-Armed Bandit Allocation Indices, by J. C. Gittins . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257--257 N. H. Bingham Book Review: \booktitleAn Introduction to the Theory of Coverage Processes, by P. Hall . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257--258 Eddie Shoesmith Book Review: \booktitleMastering the SAS System, by J. A. Jaffe . . . . . . . . . 258--259 Ian T. Jolliffe Book Review: \booktitleSimulation Methodology for Statisticians, Operations Analysts, and Engineers, Vol. 1, by P. A. W. Lewis; E. J. Orav . . . . 259--260 M. A. Porter Book Review: \booktitleWhat Every Engineer Should Know about Quality Control, by T. Pyzdek . . . . . . . . . 260--261 J. H. Bagley Book Review: \booktitleExercise Manual in Probability Theory, by J. Stoyanov; I. Mirazchüski; Z. Ignatov; M. Tanushev 261--261 Patrick Carroll Book Review: \booktitleNon-Life Insurance Mathematics, by E. Straub . . 262--262 Colin P. Chalmers Book Review: \booktitleThe Application of Regression Analysis, by D. R. Wittink 262--263 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 404--404 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Peter G. Moore The Skills Challenge of the Nineties . . 265--285 J. B. Copas and F. J. Hilton Record Linkage: Statistical Models for Matching Computer Records . . . . . . . 287--320 M. S. Bartlett Chance or Chaos? . . . . . . . . . . . . 321--347 Peter J. Diggle A Point Process Modelling Approach to Raised Incidence of a Rare Phenomenon in the Vicinity of a Prespecified Point . . 349--362 Anonymous Report of the Council for the Session 1989--90 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 363--393 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1840, 1890, 1940 395--396 J. A. Nelder Obituary: Dr Brian Edward Cooper, 1935--90 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 397--397 Sara Arber Book Review: \booktitlePopulation Statistics: A Review of UK Source, by B. Benjamin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 398--399 David McHale Book Review: \booktitlePratique des Chroniques et de la Prévision \`a Court Terme, by A. Bensaber; B. Bleuse-Trillon 399--399 W. D. Ray Book Review: \booktitleTime Series: Theory and Methods, by P. J. Brockwell; R. A. Davis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 400--400 P. W. Jones Book Review: \booktitleReadings in Decision Analysis, by S. French . . . . 400--401 N. G. Reid Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Reasoning in Law and Public Policy, Vol. 2, Tort Law, Evidence and Health, by J. L. Gastwirth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 401--402 R. W. Farebrother Book Review: \booktitleNonlinear $ L_p$-Norm Estimation, by R. Gonin; A. H. Money . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 402--402 B. D. Ripley Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Analysis of Random Fields, by A. V. Ivanov; N. N. Leonenko . . . . . . . . . 402--403 G. R. Grimmett Book Review: \booktitleGeneral Theory of Markov Processes, by M. Sharpe . . . . . 403--403 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Sheila M. Gore and Tim Holt and I. P. Fellegi Maintaining Public Confidence in Official Statistics . . . . . . . . . . 1--6 Ian Castles Responding to User Needs . . . . . . . . 6--10 Stephen E. Fienberg Innovative Statistical Methodology Enables `Counting with Confidence' . . . 10--14 Arne Òien The Organization, Jurisdiction and Responsibilities of Official Statistical Services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15--19 Yves Franchet International Comparability of Statistics: Background, Harmonization Principles and Present Issues . . . . . 19--22 Anonymous Official Statistics: Counting with Confidence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23--44 C. G. G. Aitken [Introduction] . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45--48 Stephen E. Fienberg and Miron L. Straf Statistical Evidence in the US Courts: An Appraisal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49--59 Stephen E. Fienberg and D. H. Kaye Legal and Statistical Aspects of Some Mysterious Clusters . . . . . . . . . . 61--74 D. H. Kaye and Jonathan J. Koehler Can Jurors Understand Probabilistic Evidence? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75--81 Dennis V. Lindley Subjective Probability, Decision Analysis and their Legal Consequences 83--92 Sòren Bisgaard Design of Standards and Regulations . . 93--96 R. N. Curnow and Sharon Wheeler Assessment of Deoxyribonucleic Acid Fingerprinting Evidence in Paternity and Immigration Cases . . . . . . . . . . . 97--99 L. Paul Fatti and Michael J. Greenacre Antitar Tooth-Paste: The Statistical Story . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101--105 John D. Jackson Towards a Dialetic Theory of Proof for Legal Procedure . . . . . . . . . . . . 107--109 Theodore Eisenberg The Relationship between Plaintiff Success Rates before Trial and at Trial 111--116 Roger Tarling Statistics in Solving Crime . . . . . . 117--119 Joseph L. Gastwirth The Potential Effect of Unchecked Statistical Assumptions . . . . . . . . 121--123 H. Elffers and H. S. J. Robben and D. J. Hessing Under-Reporting Income: Who is the Best Judge--Tax-Payer or Tax Inspector? . . . 125--127 Craig R. Callen Cognitive Science, Bayesian Norms and Rules of Evidence . . . . . . . . . . . 129--130 D. Bruce and J. R. Cuthbert and R. E. Lygo Assessing the Teaching Demands of a Given School Curriculum: The Curriculum Entry Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131--141 Julian Besag and James Newell The Detection of Clusters in Rare Diseases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143--155 Alok Bhargava Estimating Short and Long Run Income Elasticities of Foods and Nutrients for Rural South India . . . . . . . . . . . 157--174 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1841, 1891, 1941 175--177 Thomas Kuczek Obituary: P. S. Puri . . . . . . . . . . 178--178 R. A. Parker Book Review: \booktitleAnalysis of Infectious Disease Data, by N. G. Becker 179--179 P. W. Jones Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Games and Human Affairs, by R. J. Bowden . . . 180--180 Carol Wickham Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for Biologists, by R. C. Campbell . . . . . 180--181 David Balmer Book Review: \booktitleTheoretical and Computational Aspects of Simulated Annealing, by P. J. M. van Laarhoven . . 181--182 Ann Hasted Book Review: \booktitleAnalysis of Messy Data, Vol. 2, Non-Replicated Experiments, by G. A. Milliken; D. E. Johnson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182--183 Karol J. Krotki Book Review: \booktitleThe Counties and Regions of the UK: Economic, Industrial and Social Trends in Local Authority Areas, by D. Mort . . . . . . . . . . . 183--184 S. Loukas Book Review: \booktitleNonparametric Estimation of Probability Densities and Regression Curves, by E. A. Nadaraya . . 184--185 Peter Congdon Book Review: \booktitleThe Index Number Problem, by G. Stuvel . . . . . . . . . 185--186 S. E. Hitchcock Book Review: \booktitleRandom Processes: A First Look, by R. Syski . . . . . . . 187--187 Chris Chatfield Book Review: \booktitleEmpirical Model Building, by J. R. Thompson . . . . . . 187--188 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Tim Holt Editorial: Census 1991 . . . . . . . . . 189--190 Anne Hasted and Roger Mead and John Sumsion and Sharon Wheeler Statistical Analysis of Public Lending Right Loans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191--222 Douglas G. Altman and J. Martin Bland Improving Doctors' Understanding of Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223--267 J. R. Ennis and D. N. Wackett and K. J. Mitchell Fewer Felons?: Crime in London in the 1990s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269--286 T. J. Cole and C. J. Morley and A. J. Thornton and M. A. Fowler and P. H. Hewson A Scoring System to Quantify Illness in Babies under 6 Months of Age . . . . . . 287--304 Catherine Marsh and Chris Skinner and Sara Arber and Bruce Penhale and Stan Openshaw and John Hobcraft and Denise Lievesley and Nigel Walford The Case for Samples of Anonymized Records from the 1991 Census . . . . . . 305--340 Paul Newbold and Christos Agiakloglou Looking for Evolving Growth Rates and Cycles in British Industrial Production, 1700--1913 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341--348 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1841, 1891, 1941 349--351 I. P. Fellegi Obituary: Morris H. Hansen, 1910--90 . . 352--353 Geoffrey Berry Obituary: Peter D. Oldham, 1921--89 . . 353--354 D. R. Cox Obituary: Professor S. D. Silvey, 1924--90 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 354--355 L. A. Baxter Book Review: \booktitleA Celebration of Statistics: The ISI Centenary Volume, by A. C. Atkinson; S. E. Fienberg . . . . . 356--357 C. W. Anderson Book Review: \booktitleExtreme Value Theory in Engineering, by E. Castillo 357--358 Fergus Daly Book Review: \booktitlePoint Processes, by D. R. Cox; V. Isham . . . . . . . . . 358--359 Frank Whitehead Book Review: \booktitleBritish Social Attitudes--Special International Report, by R. Jowell; S. Witherspoon; L. Brook 359--360 W. J. Krzanowski Book Review: \booktitleThree-Way Methods for the Analysis of Qualitative and Quantitative Two-Way Data, by H. A. L. Kiers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 360--361 Jim Burridge Book Review: \booktitleGeneralized Linear Models, by P. McCullagh; J. A. Nelder . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 361--364 Karol J. Krótki Book Review: \booktitleFormal Theories in International Relations, by M. Nicholson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 364--365 J. C. Gower Book Review: \booktitleCoordinate-Free Multivariable Statistics: An Illustrated Geometric Progression from Halmos to Gauss and Bayes, by M. Stone . . . . . . 365--366 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 495--496 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anne M. Johnson Editorial: Measuring Sexual Behaviour 367--370 Niels Keiding Age-Specific Incidence and Prevalence: A Statistical Perspective . . . . . . . . 371--412 Peter Moore Statistics and Statisticians in Drug Regulation in the United Kingdom . . . . 413--419 Roger J. Marshall A Review of Methods for the Statistical Analysis of Spatial Patterns of Disease 421--441 J. H. Bennett R. A. Fisher and the Role of a Statistical Consultant . . . . . . . . . 443--445 Anonymous Report of the Council for the Session 1990--91 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 447--478 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1841, 1891, 1941 479--481 Peter Armitage Obituary: Sir Austin Bradford Hill, 1897--1991 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 482--484 Richard Cormack Obituary: David Anthony Williams . . . . 484--485 P. G. Chapman Book Review: \booktitleThe New Palgrave: Econometrics, by J. Eatwell; M. Milgate; P. Newman . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 486--487 J. J. Thomas Book Review: \booktitleThe Underground Economies: Tax Evasion and Information Distortion, by E. L. Feige . . . . . . . 487--490 James Davidson Book Review: \booktitleMisspecification Tests in Econometrics: The Lagrange Multiplier Principle and Other Approaches, by L. G. Godfrey . . . . . . 490--491 Christopher Dye Book Review: \booktitleStage-Structured Populations: Sampling, Analysis and Simulation, by B. F. J. Manly . . . . . 491--492 P. R. A. Hinde Book Review: \booktitleWomen in the World of Work: Statistical Analysis and Projections to the Year 2000, by S. Nuss; E. Denti; D. Viry . . . . . . . . 492--492 Andrew V. Metcalfe Book Review: \booktitleAdaptive Control and Identification: Conflict or Conflux?, by J. W. Polderman . . . . . . 493--493 R. A. Darton Book Review: \booktitleModeling Multigroup Populations, by R. Schoen . . 493--494 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Klim McPherson Editorial: The Health of the Nation . . 1--3 Peter G. Moore A National Statistical Commission . . . 5--28 Robin L. Plackett Herschel on Estimation . . . . . . . . . 29--35 Lindsay Paterson The Influence of Opportunity on Aspirations Among Prospective University Entrants from Scottish Schools, 1970--88 37--60 Terence C. Mills and Alessandra G. Mills Modelling the Seasonal Patterns in UK Macroeconomic Time Series . . . . . . . 61--75 D. N. Geary and E. Huntington and R. J. Gilbert Analysis of Multivariate Data from Four Dental Clinical Trials . . . . . . . . . 77--89 D. I. Holmes A Stylometric Analysis of Mormon Scripture and Related Texts . . . . . . 91--120 Jean Martin and David Elliot Creating an Overall Measure of Severity of Disability for the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys Disability Survey . . . . . . . . . . . 121--140 K. Sillitoe and P. H. White Ethnic Group and the British Census: The Search for a Question . . . . . . . . . 141--163 Martin Collins and C. Marsh and C. Skinner and S. Arber and B. Penhale and S. Openshaw and J. Hobcraft and D. Lievesley and N. Walford Letter to the Editors . . . . . . . . . 165--167 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1842, 1892, 1942 168--170 J. R. Norris Book Review: \booktitleDisorder in Physical Systems: A Volume in Honour of John M. Hammersley, by G. R. Grimmett; D. J. A. Welsh . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171--172 A. W. F. Edwards Book Review: \booktitleA History of Probability and Statistics and Their Applications Before 1750, by A. Hald . . 172--173 W. J. Krzanowski Book Review: \booktitleA User's Guide to Principal Components, by J. E. Jackson 173--174 Janet Siltanen Book Review: \booktitleBritish Social Attitudes--The 7th Report, by R. Jowell; S. Witherspoon; L. Brook . . . . . . . . 174--175 S. D. Jacka Book Review: \booktitleStochastic Flows and Stochastic Differential Equations, by H. Kunita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175--176 P. R. A. Hinde Book Review: \booktitleExpectations of Life: A Study in the Demography, Statistics, and History of World Mortality, by H. O. Lancaster . . . . . 176--177 Ian Ford Book Review: \booktitleA Dictionary of Statistical Terms, by F. H. C. Marriott 177--178 Anthony Atkinson Book Review: \booktitleSubset Selection in Regression, by A. J. Miller . . . . . 178--179 Howard Grubb Book Review: \booktitleOptimal Scaling of Time Series, by S. Van Buuren . . . . 179--180 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? T. M. F. Smith Editorial: The Central Statistical Office and Agency Status . . . . . . . . 181--184 Peter M. Neumann The Future for Honours Degree Courses in Mathematics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185--189 H. P. Wynn Statistics Degree Courses . . . . . . . 191--195 Anonymous Discussion of the Papers by Neumann and Wynn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197--220 Alok Bhargava Malnutrition and the Role of Individual Variation with Evidence from India and the Philippines . . . . . . . . . . . . 221--231 A. O. Olaloye Measurement of Capital Usage in Nigerian Industries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233--239 G. Cohen and E. J. P. Fraser Female Participation in Mathematical Degrees at English and Scottish Universities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 241--258 Monica A. Walker Arrest Rates and Ethnic Minorities: A Study in a Provincial City . . . . . . . 259--272 Paul Johnson and Steven Webb The Treatment of Housing in Official Low Income Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . 273--290 D. R. Cox Causality: Some Statistical Aspects . . 291--301 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1842, 1892, 1942 303--306 P. Prescott Book Review: \booktitleOrder Statistics and Inference--Estimation Methods, by N. Balakrishnan; A. C. Cohen . . . . . . . 307--307 A. F. M. Smith Book Review: \booktitleElements of Bayesian Statistics, by J.-P. Florens; M. Mouchart; J.-M. Rolin . . . . . . . . 308--308 Peter Breeze Book Review: \booktitlePoint Processes and Their Statistical Inference, by A. F. Karr . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308--309 Kathleen E. Kiernan Book Review: \booktitleFuture Demographic Trends in Europe and North America: What Can We Assume Today?, by W. Lutz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309--309 Berkeley Hill Book Review: \booktitleReviews of United Kingdom Statistical Sources: Vol. XXIII, Agriculture, by G. H. Peters . . . . . . 310--311 Dougal Hutchinson Book Review: \booktitleSchools, Classrooms and Pupils: International Studies of Schooling from a Multilevel Perspective, by S. W. Raudenbush; J. D. Wilms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 311--312 David A. Jackson Book Review: \booktitleDynamic Programming: A Practical Introduction, by D. K. Smith . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312--312 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 479--480 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Harvey Goldstein Editorial: Statistical Information and the Measurement of Educational Outcomes 313--315 Colin Thunhurst and Alison MacFarlane Monitoring the Health of Urban Populations: What Statistics Do We Need? 317--352 D. R. Cox and R. Fitzpatrick and A. E. Fletcher and S. M. Gore and D. J. Spiegelhalter and D. R. Jones Quality-of-Life Assessment: Can We Keep It Simple? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 353--393 Graham J. G. Upton Fisher's Exact Test . . . . . . . . . . 395--402 Trevor A. Sheldon and Roy Carr-Hill Resource Allocation by Regression in the National Health Service: A Critique of the Resource Allocation Working Party's Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 403--420 Anonymous Report of the Council for the Session 1991--92 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 421--455 T. C. Mills and P. Newbold and C. Agiakloglou Letter to the Editors . . . . . . . . . 457--459 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1842, 1892, 1942 460--463 Laurence S. Freedman Obituary: David Peery Byar (1938--91) 464--465 Stewart Coutts Obituary: Sidney Benjamin . . . . . . . 465--466 P. Whittle Obituary: Professor Herman Wold . . . . 466--469 M. R. Weale Obituary: Sir Richard Stone . . . . . . 469--470 W. D. Ray Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Analysis of Reliability and Life Testing Models, Theory and Methods, by L. J. Bain; M. Engelhardt . . . . . . . . . . 471--471 C. J. Skinner Book Review: \booktitleSample Survey Principles and Methods, by V. Barnett 472--472 Jeremy Clegg Book Review: \booktitleReviews of United Kingdom Statistical Sources: Vol. XXVI, International Aspects of UK Economic Activities, by P. J. Buckley; R. D. Pearce . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 472--473 Adrian Bowman Book Review: \booktitleAspects of Nonparametric Density Estimation, by A. J. van Es . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 473--474 J. D. Biggins Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Inference for Branching Processes, by P. Guttorp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 474--474 W. D. Ray Book Review: \booktitleApplied Multivariate Data Analysis: Vol. 1, Regression and Experimental Design, by J. D. Jobson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 474--475 C. J. Skinner Book Review: \booktitleDrawing General Population Samples in Great Britain, by P. Lynn; D. Lievesley . . . . . . . . . 475--475 Terence C. Mills Book Review: \booktitleThe Art of Statistical Science: A Tribute to G. S. Watson, by K. V. Mardia . . . . . . . . 475--476 J. Newton Book Review: \booktitleStochastic Models in Queueing Theory, by J. Medhi . . . . 476--477 Sally McClean Book Review: \booktitleHealth and Class: The Early Years, by C. Power; O. Manor; J. Fox . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 477--478 Lindsay Paterson Corrigendum: The Influence of Opportunity on Aspirations among Prospective University Entrants from Scottish Schools, 1970--88 . . . . . . . 481--481 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Ian Maclean Editorial: Changes in the Collection of Trade Statistics Following the Introduction of the Single Market in January 1993 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--4 W. McLennan Editorial: Clarifying the Scope of Government Economic Statistics . . . . . 4--7 David Draper and James S. Hodges and Colin L. Mallows and Daryl Pregibon Exchangeability and Data Analysis . . . 9--37 V. Barnett and S. Hilditch The Effect of an Artificial Pitch Surface on Home Team Performance in Football (Soccer) . . . . . . . . . . . 39--50 P. Clifford and A. F. Heath The Political Consequences of Social Mobility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51--61 G. Dunn and P. C. Sham and D. J. Hand Statistics and the Nature of Depression 63--87 Solomos Solomou and Martin Weale Balanced Estimates of National Accounts when Measurement Errors are Autocorrelated: The UK, 1920--38 . . . . 89--105 J. B. Copas A Formula for the Allocation of Resources Based on Uncertain Predictions of Need . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107--113 G. Bruce Schaalje and D. I. Holmes Letter to the Editors . . . . . . . . . 115--117 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1843, 1893, 1943 118--120 Philip Redfern Obituary: George (`Toby') Paine CB, DFC, 1918--92 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121--122 Jim Freeman Book Review: \booktitleStatistics Tutor: Tutorial and Computational Software for the Behavioral Sciences, by J. D. Allen; D. J. Pittenger . . . . . . . . . . . . 123--124 M. W. Green Book Review: \booktitleHandbook of the Logistic Distribution, by N. Balakrishnan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124--124 Gavin J. S. Ross Book Review: \booktitleCorrespondence Analysis Handbook, by J.-P. Benzecri . . 124--125 M. E. Brigden Book Review: \booktitleThe Linear Complementarity Problem, by R. W. Cottle; J.-S. Pang; R. E. Stone . . . . 125--126 Mike Rees Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for Spatial Data, by N. Cressie . . . . . . 126--127 Jane Humphries Book Review: \booktitleLone Parenthood: An Economic Analysis, by J. F. Ermisch 127--128 Daniel Barry Book Review: \booktitleApplied Nonparametric Regression, by W. Härdle 128--129 Eddie Shoesmith Book Review: \booktitleDesign and Inference in Finite Population Sampling, by A. S. Hedayat; B. K. Sinha . . . . . 129--130 Michael Goldstein Book Review: \booktitleScientific Reasoning: The Bayesian Approach, by C. Howson; P. Urbach . . . . . . . . . . . 130--131 Ian T. Jolliffe Book Review: \booktitleExploratory and Multivariate Data Analysis, by M. Jambu 131--132 A. C. Davison Book Review: \booktitleExploring the Limits of Bootstrap, by R. LePage; L. Billard . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133--133 A. Fielding Book Review: \booktitleSampling of Populations: Methods and Applications, by P. S. Levy; S. Lemeshow . . . . . . . 134--134 Carl M. O'Brien Book Review: \booktitleComputer-Interactive Data Analysis, by A. D. Lunn; D. R. McNeil 134--135 G. H. Freeman Book Review: \booktitleSample Size Choice, by R. E. Odeh; M. Fox . . . . . 135--136 Simon Jennings Book Review: \booktitleBiopharmaceutical Statistics for Drug Development, by K. E. Peace . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136--137 P. M. Lee Book Review: \booktitleL'Analyse Statistique Bayesienne, by C. Robert . . 137--138 P. J. Buckley and R. D. Pearce Corrigendum: Reviews of United Kingdom Statistical Sources: Vol. XXVI, International Aspects of UK Economic Activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138--138 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Editorial: Statistics and Quality . . . 139--141 Mervyn Stone Editorial: Kipling on 19th-Century Quality Control in India . . . . . . . . 141--143 T. M. F. Smith Populations and Selection: Limitations of Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144--166 A. S. C. Ehrenberg and J. A. Bound Predictability and Prediction . . . . . 167--206 R. N. Curnow and Sharon Wheeler Probabilities of Incorrect Decisions in Paternity Cases Using Multilocus Deoxyribonucleic Acid Probes . . . . . . 207--223 John C. Duffy Alcohol Consumption and Control Policy 225--230 Paul H. H. M. Lemmens Regularity in the Distribution of Alcohol Consumption . . . . . . . . . . 231--235 Peter Congdon Statistical Graduation in Local Demographic Analysis and Projection . . 237--270 Jill Johnes and Jim Taylor and Brian Francis The Research Performance of UK Universities: A Statistical Analysis of the Results of the 1989 Research Selectivity Exercise . . . . . . . . . . 271--286 Tony Greenfield Communicating Statistics . . . . . . . . 287--297 Michael Dewey Letter to the Editors . . . . . . . . . 299--299 Anonymous Conference Report: Statistics and the Law . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301--309 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1843, 1893, 1943 311--314 William Kruskal K. A. Brownlee, 1918--90 . . . . . . . . 315--315 E. Grebenik Jean Bourgeois-Pichat, 1912--90 . . . . 316--316 Frank Whitehead Abraham Manie Adelstein, 1916--92 . . . 316--318 J. Q. Smith Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Statistics 4, by J. M. Bernardo; J. O. Berger; A. P. Dawid; A. F. M. Smith . . 319--320 A. P. Grieve Book Review: \booktitleConfidence Intervals on Variance Components, by R. K. Burdick; F. A. Graybill . . . . . . . 320--321 M. G. Schimek Book Review: \booktitleTruncated and Censored Samples: Theory and Applications, by A. C. Cohen . . . . . . 321--321 Dave Collett Book Review: \booktitleAlcohol and Illness: The Epidemiological Viewpoint, by J. C. Duffy . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321--322 F. R. Oliver Book Review: \booktitleEssentials of Econometrics, by D. Gujarati . . . . . . 322--323 Terence Iles Book Review: \booktitleFundamentals of Explaratory Analysis of Variance, by D. C. Hoaglin; F. Mosteller; J. W. Tukey 323--324 Myra O'Regan Book Review: \booktitlePanel Surveys, by D. Kasprzyk; G. Duncan; G. Kalton; M. P. Singh . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 324--324 David Hirst Book Review: \booktitleFundamentals of Biostatistical Inference, by C. T. Le 324--325 Terence C. Mills Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis, by H. Lutkepohl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 325--326 E. F. Harding Book Review: \booktitleQuadratic Forms in Random Variables: Theory and Applications, by A. M. Matthai; S. B. Provost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 326--327 Ian Ford Book Review: \booktitleDiscriminant Analysis and Statistical Pattern Recognition, by G. J. McLachlan . . . . 327--328 J. W. Thompson Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods for the Process Industries, by W. H. McNeese; R. A. Klein . . . . . . . 328--328 John Whitehead Book Review: \booktitleBiopharmaceutical Sequential Statistical Applications, by K. E. Peace . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 329--329 David Newton Book Review: \booktitleQuality Engineering Handbook, by T. Pyzdek; R. W. Berger; Managing for World-Class Quality --- A Primer for Executives and Managers by E. S. Shecter . . . . . . . 329--331 Peter Armitage Book Review: \booktitleThe Design and Analysis of Sequential Clinical Trials, 2nd edn, by J. Whitehead . . . . . . . . 331--332 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 515--518 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Mike Derbyshire Editorial: Changes in Local Government Finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 333--335 John Walker Editorial: Government Statistical Service Views on the European Community Draft Data Protection Directive . . . . 335--338 R. E. Bailey and M. J. Chambers Long-Term Demographic Interactions in Precensus England . . . . . . . . . . . 339--362 Andrew B. Lawson On the Analysis of Mortality Events Associated with a Prespecified Fixed Point . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 363--377 Richard A. Kronmal Spurious Correlation and the Fallacy of the Ratio Standard Revisited . . . . . . 379--392 J. Raboud and N. Reid and R. A. Coates and V. T. Farewell Estimating Risks of Progressing to Aids when Covariates are Measured with Error 393--406 J. Wadsworth and J. Field and A. M. Johnson and S. Bradshaw and K. Wellings Methodology of the National Survey of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles . . . . 407--421 Chris Robertson Participation in Post-Compulsory Education in Scotland . . . . . . . . . 423--442 Alan C. Kimber and Alan R. Hansford A Statistical Analysis of Batting in Cricket . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 443--455 Anonymous Report of the Council for the Session 1992--93 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 457--493 Anonymous Statistics in Society, 1843, 1893, 1943 495--497 Clive Osmond Professor Martin Gardner (1940--93) . . 498--499 Edwin D. Goldfield and Marie D. Wann A. Ross Eckler . . . . . . . . . . . . . 499--500 P. Prescott Book Review: \booktitleA First Course in Order Statistics, by B. C. Arnold; N. Balakrishnan; H. N. Nagaraja . . . . . . 501--502 Clive Osmond Book Review: \booktitleApplied Multivariate Data Analysis, by B. S. Everitt; G. Dunn . . . . . . . . . . . . 502--502 M. C. Jones Book Review: \booktitleNonparametric Statistical Inference, 3rd edn, by J. D. Gibbons; S. Chakraborti . . . . . . . . 503--503 R. A. Doney Book Review: \booktitleProbability and Random Processes, 2nd edn, by G. R. Grimmett; D. R. Stirzaker . . . . . . . 503--504 W. D. Ray Book Review: \booktitleProbability and Random Processes: Problems and Solutions, by G. R. Grimmett; D. R. Stirzaker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 504--504 G. Alastair Young Book Review: \booktitleThe Bootstrap and Edgeworth Expansion, by P. Hall . . . . 504--505 Rumana Omar Book Review: \booktitleMultiple Comparisons, Selection Procedures and Applications in Biometry, by F. M. Hoppe 505--506 W. D. Ray Book Review: \booktitleApplied Multivariate Darta Analysis: Vol. 2, Categorical and Multivariate Methods, by J. D. Jobson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 506--506 Martin Crowder Book Review: \booktitlePoint Processes and Their Statistical Inference, 2nd edn, by A. F. Karr . . . . . . . . . . . 507--507 C. O. Alexander Book Review: \booktitleLeading Economic Indicators--New Approaches and Forecasting Records, by K. Lahiri; G. H. Moore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 507--508 Rodney C. L. Wolff Book Review: \booktitleFractal Attraction: A Fractal Design System for the Macintosh, by K. D. Lee; Y. Cohen 508--509 Peter Kelly Book Review: \booktitleAlgorithms, Routines, and S Functions for Robust Statistics, by A. Marazzi . . . . . . . 509--510 Gary Davies Book Review: \booktitleReviews of United Kingdom Statistical Sources: Vol. XXIX, Distribution, by C. Moir; J. A. Dawson 510--511 D. S. Coad Book Review: \booktitleOptimal Sequential Planned Decision Procedures, by N. Schmitz . . . . . . . . . . . . . 511--511 Guy Nason Book Review: \booktitleMultivariate Density Estimation: Theory, Practice, and Visualization, by D. W. Scott . . . 511--512 J. R. Green Book Review: \booktitleCross-Over Trials in Clinical Research, by S. Senn . . . . 512--513 C. J. Skinner Book Review: \booktitleSampling, by S. K. Thompson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 513--514 R. N. Curnow and Sharon Wheeler Corrigendum: Probabilities of Incorrect Decisions in Paternity Cases Using Multilocus Deoxyribonucleic Acid Probes 518--518 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Simon Thompson and Tim Holt Editorial Note . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--1 O. O. Aalen and V. T. Farewell and D. De Angelis and N. E. Day The Use of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Diagnosis Information in Monitoring the Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Epidemic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3--16 Gillian M. Raab and Sheila M. Gore and David J. Goldberg and Christl A. Donnelly Bayesian Forecasting of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus Epidemic in Scotland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17--30 D. De Angelis and W. R. Gilks Estimating Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Incidence Accounting for Reporting Delay . . . . . . . . . . . . 31--40 Caroline A. Sabin and Christine A. Lee and Andrew N. Phillips The Use of Backcalculation to Estimate the Prevalence of Severe Immunodeficiency Induced by Human Immunodeficiency Virus in England and Wales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41--56 Sheila M. Gore and Barry G. Evans and Daniela de Angelis and Roland Salmon A Note on Regional Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Projections . . . . 57--68 John R. Williams and Roy M. Anderson Mathematical Models of the Transmission Dynamics of Human Immunodeficiency Virus in England and Wales: Mixing Between Different Risk Groups . . . . . . . . . 69--87 Johan Giesecke and Anne Johnson and Anne Hawkins and Ahilya Noone and Angus Nicoll An Estimate of the Prevalence of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection in England and Wales by using a Direct Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89--103 B. G. Evans and A. McCormick Completeness of Reporting Cases of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome by Clinicians . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105--114 Denis Mollison and Valerie Isham and Bryan Grenfell Epidemics: Models and Data . . . . . . . 115--149 John Haigh Philip Holgate 1934--93 . . . . . . . . 151--153 P. Sprent E. J. G. Pitman, 1897--1993 . . . . . . 153--154 Mary Hardy Book Review: \booktitleMortality on the Move, by B. Benjamin; A. S. Soliman . . 155--156 Maire Ni Bhrolchain Book Review: \booktitleThe British Population: Patterns, Trends, and Processes, by D. Coleman; J. Salt . . . 156--157 C. G. G. Aitken Book Review: \booktitleLikelihood, by A. W. F. Edwards . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157--158 W. D. Ray Book Review: \booktitleLongitudinal Data with Serial Correlation: A State Space Approach, by R. H. Jones . . . . . . . . 158--159 Valerie Isham Book Review: \booktitleSexual Behaviour and AIDS in Britain, by E. G. Knox; C. MacArthur; K. J. Simons . . . . . . . . 159--160 P. J. Lund Book Review: \booktitleReviews of United Kingdom Statistical Sources: Vol XXVIII, The Food Industries, by J. Mark; R. Strange . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160--162 B. A. Moore Book Review: \booktitleDiscriminant Analysis and Statistical Pattern Recognition, by G. J. McLachlan . . . . 162--162 Quentin L. Burrell Book Review: \booktitleIdentifiability in Stochastic Models: Characterization of Probability Distributions, by B. L. S. Prakasa Rao . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163--164 J. Q. Smith Book Review: \booktitleMarkov Decision Processes, by D. J. White . . . . . . . 164--164 Caroline Elliott and Richard William Farebrother Subject Index of Obituary Notices 1839--1993 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165--171 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Roger Tarling Editorial: The Effect of Imprisonment on Crime . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173--176 J. R. Cuthbert An Extension of the Induced Exposure Method of Estimating Driver Risk . . . . 177--190 M. J. Campbell Time Series Regression for Counts: An Investigation into the Relationship between Sudden Infant Death Syndrome and Environmental Temperature . . . . . . . 191--208 George Box Statistics and Quality Improvement . . . 209--229 Graham J. G. Upton Picturing the 1992 British General Election . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231--252 Paul Gregg Out for the Count: A Social Scientist's Analysis of Unemployment Statistics in the UK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253--270 Gillian M. Raab Selecting Confounders from Covariates 271--283 Andrew B. Lawson and Fiona L. R. Williams Armadale: A Case-Study in Environmental Epidemiology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285--298 David Barton Obituary: Florence Nightingale David . . 299--301 Angela Dale Obituary: Professor Catherine Marsh, 1952--93 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301--302 J. R. Cuthbert Obituary: David Salmond . . . . . . . . 302--302 Audrey Brown Obituary: Miss Jean Helen Thompson, CBE 302--303 A. Fielding Book Review: \booktitleSocial Research on Developing Countries: Surveys and Censuses in the Third World, by M. Bulmer; D. P. Warwick . . . . . . . . . 305--306 Stephan M. Rudolfer Book Review: \booktitleBiostatistics: A Methodology for the Health Sciences, by L. D. Fisher; G. van Belle . . . . . . . 306--307 Martin Crowder Book Review: \booktitleCounting Processes and Survival Analysis, by T. R. Fleming; D. P. Harrington . . . . . . 307--308 W. D. Ray Book Review: \booktitleTime Series, by Maurice Kendall; J. K. Ord . . . . . . . 308--309 David Kendall Book Review: \booktitlePoisson Processes, by J. F. C. Kingman . . . . . 309--309 David Balmer Book Review: \booktitleSimulation --- A Statistical Perspective, by J. P. C. Kleijnen; W. van Groenendaal . . . . . . 309--310 A. P. Grieve Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods in Analytical Chemistry, by P. C. Meier; R. E. Zund . . . . . . . . . . 311--311 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 512--514 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Stephen N. Simpson Editorial: Coverage of the Great Britain Census of Population and Housing . . . . 313--316 David J. Hand Deconstructing Statistical Questions . . 317--356 David J. Spiegelhalter and Laurence S. Freedman and Mahesh K. B. Parmar Bayesian Approaches to Randomized Trials 357--416 Alok Bhargava Modelling the Health of Filipino Children . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 417--432 Peter J. Diggle and Barry S. Rowlingson A Conditional Approach to Point Process Modelling of Elevated Risk . . . . . . . 433--440 M. Ataharul Islam Multistate Survival Models for Transitions and Reverse Transitions: An Application to Contraceptive Use Data 441--455 Anonymous Report of the Council for the Session 1993--94 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 457--496 J. Stuart Hunter Obituary: W. Edwards Deming (1900--93) 497--499 M. Ivette Gomes Obituary: J. Tiago de Oliveira . . . . . 499--500 Joan Keen Obituary: Hugo Christian Hamaker (1905--93) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 500--501 David Bartholomew Obituary: Robert E. Bohrer . . . . . . . 501--502 David R. Jones Book Review: \booktitleDrug Safety Assessment in Clinical Trials, by G. S. Gilbert . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 503--503 Paul Garthwaite Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Probability and Statistics, by N. C. Giri . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 504--504 B. J. Worton Book Review: \booktitleComputer Intensive Statistical Methods: Validation Model Selection and Bootstrap, by J. S. U. Hjorth . . . . . 504--505 Tom Fearn Book Review: \booktitleQuality Control in Analytical Chemistry, by G. Kateman; L. Buydens . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 505--506 Alan Kimber Book Review: \booktitleAdvanced Calculus with Applications in Statistics, by A. I. Khuri . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 506--506 J. A. Nelder Book Review: \booktitleRandom Coefficient Models, by N. T. Longford 507--507 Andrew Walden Book Review: \booktitleThe Econometric Modelling of Financial Time Series, by T. C. Mills . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 508--508 James Roger Book Review: \booktitleGenstat 5 Release 3 Reference Manual, by R. W. Payne . . . 508--509 David J. Hand Book Review: \booktitleApplied Factor Analysis in the Natural Sciences, by R. Reyment; K. G. Joreskog . . . . . . . . 509--509 Terence C. Mills Book Review: \booktitleBounded Rationality in Macroeconomics, by T. J. Sargent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 510--510 Shirley Y. Coleman Book Review: \booktitleQuality: Measuring and Monitoring: (a) Lampeter and Son; (b) Studio Discussion and Case Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 511--511 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? David J. Bartholomew What is Statistics? . . . . . . . . . . 1--20 David J. Balding and Peter Donnelly Inference in Forensic Identification . . 21--53 N. Cleave and P. J. Brown and C. D. Payne Evaluation of Methods for Ecological Inference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55--72 German Rodriguez and Noreen Goldman An Assessment of Estimation Procedures for Multilevel Models with Binary Responses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73--89 Anne Harrop and Ian Plewis Two Decades of Family Change: Secondary Analysis of Continuous Government Surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91--106 Els J. T. Goetghebeur and Stuart J. Pocock Detection and Estimation of J-Shaped Risk-Response Relationship . . . . . . . 107--121 Gary Koop and Dale J. Poirier An Empirical Investigation of Wagner's Hypothesis by Using a Model Occurrence Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123--141 Peter Armitage Before and After Bradford Hill: Some Trends in Medical Statistics . . . . . . 143--153 Richard Doll Sir Austin Bradford Hill: A Personal View of His Contribution to Epidemiology 155--163 Roger Davidson Official Labour Statistics: A Historical Perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165--173 Harvey Goldstein and Michael J. R. Healy The Graphical Presentation of a Collection of Means . . . . . . . . . . 175--177 G. M. Paddle Obituary: Albert Baines, 1927--94 . . . 179--180 John Boreham Obituary: Geoffrey Penrice, 1923--94 . . 180--181 P. M. Robinson Obituary: E. J. Hannan, 1921--94 . . . . 181--182 John Erritt Obituary: Sir John Boreham, KCB, 1925--94 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182--184 Nigel Peach Book Review: \booktitleDetection of Abrupt Changes: Theory and Applications, by M. Basseville; I. V. Nikiforov . . . 185--186 J. Newton Book Review: \booktitleSojourn Times in Feedback and Processor Sharing Queues, by J. L. van den Berg . . . . . . . . . 186--187 Anthony Atkinson Book Review: \booktitleMeasurement, Regression, and Calibration, by P. J. Brown . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187--187 W. D. Ray Book Review: \booktitleModelling Survival Data in Medical Research, by D. Collett . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188--188 Daniel Dorling Book Review: \booktitleThe 1991 Census User's Guide, by A. Dale; C. Marsh . . . 188--189 B. D. Ripley Book Review: \booktitleNumber-Theoretic Methods in Statistics, by K.-T. Fang; Y. Wang . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 189--190 M. J. Prentice Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Analysis of Circular Data, by N. I. Fisher . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 190--190 Ian R. Dunsmore Book Review: \booktitlePredictive Inference: An Introduction, by S. Geisser . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191--191 Neville Davies Book Review: \booktitleTime Series Models, 2nd edn, by A. C. Harvey . . . . 191--193 Neville Davies Book Review: \booktitleTime Series--Forecasting, Simulation, Applications, by G. Janacek; L. Swift 193--195 Joyce Snell Book Review: \booktitleThe Theory of Linear Models, by B. Jorgensen . . . . . 195--195 D. Conniffe Book Review: \booktitleDesign of Experiments: A No-Name Approach, by T. J. Lorenzen; V. L. Anderson . . . . . . 195--197 P. Prescott Book Review: \booktitleAlgebraic Models for Social Networks, by P. Pattison . . 197--198 A. Louise Swift Book Review: \booktitleSpectral Analysis for Physical Applications: Multipaper and Conventional Techniques, by D. A. Percival; A. T. Walden . . . . . . . . . 198--199 R. Allan Reese Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Analysis of Software Reliability Models, by M. C. J. van Pul . . . . . . . . . . 199--199 Stephen Walker Book Review: \booktitleCross-Over Experiments: Design, Analysis, and Application, by D. A. Ratkowsky; M. A. Evans; J. R. Alldredge . . . . . . . . . 200--200 Tom Fearn Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Models for Causal Analysis, by R. D. Retherford; M. K. Choe . . . . . . . . . 200--201 Flavia Jolliffe Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Probability Models, by S. M. Ross . . . 201--202 Gautam Appa Book Review: \booktitleModel Solving in Mathematical Programming, by H. P. Williams . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 202--202 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Eric J. Thompson The 1991 Census of Population in England and Wales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203--240 Jim Taylor A Statistical Analysis of the 1992 Research Assessment Exercise . . . . . . 241--261 Edward L. Korn and Barry I. Graubard Analysis of Large Health Surveys: Accounting for the Sampling Design . . . 263--295 Alison L. Booth and Stephen E. Satchell The Hazards of Doing a PhD: An Analysis of Completion and Withdrawal Rates of British PhD Students in the 1980s . . . 297--318 Robert M. Blackburn and Janet Siltanen and Jennifer Jarman The Measurement of Occupational Gender Segregation: Current Problems and A New Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 319--331 George Dyke Obituary: Frank Yates . . . . . . . . . 333--338 Robin Plackett Obituary: Churchill Eisenhart . . . . . 338--338 Eric Renshaw Book Review: \booktitleFractals Everywhere, by M. F. Barnsley . . . . . 339--340 D. V. Lindley Book Review: \booktitleBayesian Theory, by J. M. Bernardo; A. F. M. Smith . . . 340--341 Neville Davies Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods for SPC and TQM, by D. Bissell 341--342 Azra Ghani Book Review: \booktitleAIDS Epidemiology: A Quantitative Approach, by R. Brookmeyer; M. H. Gail . . . . . . 343--343 M. Dewey Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Models in Epidemiology, by D. Clayton; M. Hills . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 343--344 Adrian Bowman Book Review: \booktitleVisualizing Data, by W. S. Cleveland . . . . . . . . . . . 344--345 Harvey Goldstein Book Review: \booktitleAnalysis of Longitudinal Data, by P. J. Diggle; K.-Y. Liang; S. L. Zeger . . . . . . . . 345--346 Paul Marriott Book Review: \booktitleAn Introduction to the Bootstrap, by B. Efron; R. J. Tibshirani . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 347--347 Andrew Sheer Book Review: \booktitleCompetitive Equilibrium: Theory and Applications, by B. Ellickson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 347--348 R. I. Cooper Book Review: \booktitlePrinciples of Applied Statistics, by M. C. Fleming; J. G. Nellis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 348--349 C. Chatfield Book Review: \booktitleA Handbook of Small Data Sets, by D. J. Hand; F. Daly; A. D. Lunn; K. McConway; E. Ostrowski 349--349 Antony Fielding Book Review: \booktitleSample Survey Methods and Theory: Vol. 1, Methods and Applications, by M. H. Hansen; W. N. Hurwitz; W. G. Madow; Sample Survey Methods and Theory: Vol. 2, Theory. by M. H. Hansen; W. N. Hurwitz; W. G. Madow 350--350 Lynda White Book Review: \booktitleDesign and Analysis of Experiments: Vol. I, Introduction to Experimental Design, by K. Hinkelmann; O. Kempthorne . . . . . . 351--351 P. M. Lee Book Review: \booktitleSimulation and Chaotic Behaviour of $ \alpha $-Stable Stochastic Processes, by A. Janicki; A. Weron . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 351--352 G. Blower Book Review: \booktitleOperator-Limit Distributions in Probability Theory, by Z. J. Jurek; J. D. Mason . . . . . . . . 352--353 N. H. Bingham Book Review: \booktitleProbability, Statistics and Optimization: A Tribute to Peter Whittle, by F. P. Kelly . . . . 353--354 G. R. Braithwaite Book Review: \booktitleIntroductory Statistics, by P. S. Mann . . . . . . . 354--354 Joyce Snell Book Review: \booktitleApplied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by D. C. Montgomery; G. C. Runger . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 355--355 Joyce Snell Book Review: \booktitleApplied Nonparametric Statistical Methods, by P. Sprent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 355--356 Mike Rees Book Review: \booktitleElementary Probability, by D. Stirzaker . . . . . . 356--356 Rodney Coleman Book Review: \booktitleProbability Theory, An Analytic View, by D. W. Stroock . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 356--357 Monica Walker Book Review: \booktitleAnalysing Offending: Data, Models and Interpretations, by R. Tarling . . . . . 357--358 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 639--642 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Peter G. Moore Editorial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359--361 David Bartholomew and Peter Moore and Fred Smith and Paul Allin The Measurement of Unemployment in the UK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 363--417 Chris Chatfield Model Uncertainty, Data Mining and Statistical Inference . . . . . . . . . 419--466 Bill McLennan You Can Count on Us--With Confidence . . 467--489 Muriel Nissel Social Trends and Social Change . . . . 491--504 N. E. Day and S. M. Gore and D. De Angelis Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Predictions for England and Wales (1992--97): Sensitivity Analysis, Information, Decision . . . . . . . . . 505--524 A. F. Bissell Weighted Cumulative Sums for Text Analysis Using Word Counts . . . . . . . 525--545 Steven Haberman and Marlena Schmool Estimates of the British Jewish Population 1984--88 . . . . . . . . . . 547--562 Anthony Heath and Geoffrey Evans and Clive Payne Modelling the Class-Party Relationship in Britain, 1964--92 . . . . . . . . . . 563--574 Anonymous Report of the Council for the Session 1994--95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 575--618 Alan M. Nevill and Roger L. Holder and Phil McShane and Richard A. Kronmal Letters to the Editors . . . . . . . . . 619--625 Alan Veevers and Geoff Robinson Obituary: Richard A. Stone, 1961--94 . . 627--628 Howell Tong Book Review: \booktitleNetworks and Chaos--Statistical and Probabilistic Aspects, by O. E. Barndorff-Nielsen; J. L. Jensen; W. S. Kendall . . . . . . . . 629--630 Anthony Atkinson Book Review: \booktitleOutliers in Statistical Data, by V. Barnett; T. Lewis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 630--631 Denise Lievesley Book Review: \booktitleReviews of United Kingdom Statistical Sources: Vol. XXVII, Research and Development, by D. L. Bosworth; R. A. Wilson; A. Young . . . . 631--632 Karen Young Book Review: \booktitleThe Collected Works of John W. Tukey: Vol. VIII, Multiple Comparisons: 1948--1983, by John W. Tukey; H. I. Braun . . . . . . . 632--632 Stewart M. Coutts Book Review: \booktitlePractical Risk Theory for Actuaries, by C. D. Daykin; T. Pentikainen; M. Pesonen . . . . . . . 633--633 Neville Davies Book Review: \booktitleA Handbook of Statistical Analysis Using S-Plus, by B. S. Everitt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 633--634 Rodney Coleman Book Review: \booktitleStudies in Applied Probability: Papers in Honour of Lajos Takacs, by J. Galambos; J. Gani 634--635 B. D. Ripley Book Review: \booktitleGeneral Pattern Theory: A Mathematical Theory of Regular Structures, by U. Grenander . . . . . . 635--635 Neville Davies Book Review: \booktitleApplied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis, by A. Pole; M. West; J. Harrison . . . . . 635--636 P. Whittle Book Review: \booktitleMarkov Decision Processes, by M. L. Puterman . . . . . . 636--637 Peter M. Lee Book Review: \booktitleSubjective Probability, by G. Wright; P. Ayton . . 637--638 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Stephen Evans Editorial: Issues for Statisticians Involved with Court Cases . . . . . . . 1--3 Robert Worcester Political Polling: $ 95 \% $ Expertise and $ 5 \% $ Luck . . . . . . . . . . . 5--20 Peter Lynn and Roger Jowell How Might Opinion Polls be Improved?: The Case for Probability Sampling . . . 21--28 Anonymous Discussion on Opinion Polls and General Elections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29--39 Hazel M. Inskip Reay and Hope versus British Nuclear Fuels plc: Issues Faced when A Research Project Formed the Basis of Litigation 41--47 N. E. Day and S. W. Duffy Trial Design Based on Surrogate End Points --- Application to Comparison of Different Breast Screening Frequencies 49--60 Russell Ecob A Multilevel Modelling Approach to Examining the Effects of Area of Residence on Health and Functioning . . 61--75 D. Blane and C. Power and M. Bartley Illness Behaviour and the Measurement of Class Differentials in Morbidity . . . . 77--92 Richard J. Cook and Vern T. Farewell Multiplicity Considerations in the Design and Analysis of Clinical Trials 93--110 J. Wadsworth and A. M. Johnson and K. Wellings and J. Field What's in a Mean? --- An Examination of the Inconsistency Between Men and Women in Reporting Sexual Partnerships . . . . 111--123 J. K. Lindsey Fitting Bivariate Intensity Functions, with An Application to Modelling Delays in Reporting Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125--131 R. P. Byron Diagnostic Testing and Sensitivity Analysis in the Construction of Social Accounting Matrices . . . . . . . . . . 133--148 Harvey Goldstein and Sally Thomas Using Examination Results as Indicators of School and College Performance . . . 149--163 Peter G. Moore Obituary: James Harold Wilson 1916--95 165--173 Joan Keen Obituary: William Joseph Jennett, 1912--94 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173--175 G. J. G. Upton Book Review: \booktitleUnderstanding Log-Linear Analysis with ILOG, by R. Bakeman; B. Robinson . . . . . . . . . . 177--178 George A. Barnard Book Review: \booktitleInference and Asymptotics, by O. E. Barndorff-Nielsen; D. R. Cox . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178--179 Marian Scott Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for the Environment 2: Water Related Issues, by V. Barnett; K. F. Turkman . . . . . . 179--180 W. D. Ray Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for Long-Memory Processes, by J. Beran . . . 180--181 J. Hidalgo Book Review: \booktitleTopics in Advanced Econometrics, by H. J. Bierens 181--182 Joyce Snell Book Review: \booktitleAlternative Methods of Regression, by D. Birkes; Y. Dodge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182--183 M. C. Jones Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Models for Ordinal Variables, by C. C. Clogg; E. S. Shihadeh . . . . . . . . . 183--184 J. C. Gower Book Review: \booktitleMultidimensional Scaling, by F. Cox; M. A. A. Cox . . . . 184--185 Flavia Jolliffe Book Review: \booktitleTeaching Statistics at Its Best: A Series of Articles for Teachers, by D. Green . . . 185--186 Wilfrid Kendall Book Review: \booktitleProbability with a View Toward Statistics, Vols I and II, by J. Hoffmann-Jorgensen . . . . . . . . 186--187 P. D. L. Constable Book Review: \booktitleApplied Discriminant Analysis, by C. J. Huberty 187--187 Joyce Snell Book Review: \booktitleModelling Frequency and Count Data, by J. K. Lindsey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188--188 Angela Dale Book Review: \booktitleProblems and Methods in Longitudinal Research: Stability and Change, by D. Magnusson; L. Bergman; G. Rudinger; B. Torestad . . 188--189 Mark Woodward Book Review: \booktitleAnalysis of Two-Way Layouts, by J. Mandel . . . . . 189--189 P. Oman Book Review: \booktitleAnalysing Survival Data from Clinical Trials and Observational Studies, by E. Marubini; M. G. Valsecchi . . . . . . . . . . . . 190--190 J. W. McNicol Book Review: \booktitleAgricultural Field Experiments, by R. G. Petersen . . 190--191 S. M. Pitts Book Review: \booktitleTheoretical Probability for Applications, by S. C. Port . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191--192 Valerie Isham Book Review: \booktitleChoquet-Deny Type Functional Equations with Applications to Stochastic Models, by C. R. Rao; D. N. Shanbhag . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 192--193 Andrew Walden Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods for Physical Science: Vol. 28, Methods of Experimental Physics, by J. L. Stanford; S. B. Vardeman . . . . . . 193--194 Ben Hambly Book Review: \booktitleFractals, Random Shapes and Point Fields, by D. Stoyan; H. Stoyan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 194--195 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Ian Plewis and Fred Smith Editorial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197--199 Geoffrey Woodhouse and Min Yang and Harvey Goldstein and Jon Rasbash Adjusting for Measurement Error in Multilevel Analysis . . . . . . . . . . 201--212 L. M. De Menezes and D. J. Bartholomew New Developments in Latent Structure Analysis Applied to Social Attitudes . . 213--224 Andrew Pickles and Kevin Pickering and Colin Taylor Reconciling Recalled Dates of Developmental Milestones, Events and Transitions: A Mixed Generalized Linear Model with Random Mean and Variance Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225--234 Stephen Simpson and Ian Diamond and Pete Tonkin and Rachel Tye Updating Small Area Population Estimates in England and Wales . . . . . . . . . . 235--247 Garrett M. Fitzmaurice and Anthony F. Heath and Peter Clifford Logistic Regression Models for Binary Panel Data with Attrition . . . . . . . 249--263 C. J. Skinner and O. Coker Regression Analysis for Complex Survey Data with Missing Values of a Covariate 265--274 Peter Dolton and Donal O'Neill The Restart Effect and the Return to Full-Time Stable Employment . . . . . . 275--288 Fiona Steele and Ian Diamond and Sajeda Amin Immunization Uptake in Rural Bangladesh: A Multilevel Analysis . . . . . . . . . 289--299 Brian Francis and Mark Fuller Visualization of Event Histories . . . . 301--308 Peter W. F. Smith and Jonathan J. Forster and John W. McDonald Monte Carlo Exact Tests for Square Contingency Tables . . . . . . . . . . . 309--321 N. G. Best and D. J. Spiegelhalter and A. Thomas and C. E. G. Brayne Bayesian Analysis of Realistically Complex Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 323--342 Martin Gibson Book Review: \booktitlePractical Statistical Process Control --- A Tool for Quality Manufacturing, by F. Alsup; R. M. Watson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 343--344 P. J. Young Book Review: \booktitleThe Statistical Analysis of Time Series, by T. W. Anderson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 344--345 Alan Kimber Book Review: \booktitlePractical Methods for Reliability Data Analysis, by J. I. Ansell; M. J. Phillips . . . . . . . . . 345--345 Graham Dunn Book Review: \booktitleStructural Equation Modeling with EQS and EQS/Windows, by B. M. Byrne . . . . . . 345--346 Andrew Walden Book Review: \booktitleWavelets: Theory, Algorithms and Applications: Vol. 5, Wavelet Analysis and Its Applications, by C. K. Chui; L. Montefusco; L. Puccio 346--347 R. I. Cooper Book Review: \booktitleElements of Statistics, by F. Daly; D. J. Hand; M. C. Jones; A. D. Lunn; K. J. McConway . . 347--347 G. H. Freeman Book Review: \booktitleThe Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, by R. A. Epstein . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 348--348 Rodney Coleman Book Review: \booktitleContinuous Univariate Distributions, by N. L. Johnson; S. Kotz; N. Balakrishnan . . . 349--349 Flavia Jolliffe Book Review: \booktitleJust the Essentials of Elementary Statistics, by R. Johnson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 349--350 E. McKenzie Book Review: \booktitleTime Series Analysis by Higher Order Crossings, by B. Kedem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 350--350 L. V. White Book Review: \booktitleQuality Through Design: Experimental Design, Off-Line Quality Control, and Taguchi's Contributions, by N. Logothetis; H. P. Wynn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 351--351 Martin Knott Book Review: \booktitleDistribution-Free Statistical Methods, by J. S. Maritz . . 351--352 H. Tong Book Review: \booktitleChaotic Dynamics: Theory and Applications to Economics, by A. Medio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 352--353 Michael J. Phillips Book Review: \booktitleLimit Theorems of Probability Theory: Sequences of Independent Random Variables, by V. V. Petrov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 353--354 N. Bingham Book Review: \booktitleDiffusions, Markov Processes and Martingales: Vol. 1, Foundations, by L. C. G. Rogers; D. Williams . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 354--355 Sean O'Broin Book Review: \booktitleAn Introduction to Statistics for Managers, by A. Spooner; C. Lewis . . . . . . . . . . . 355--356 A. D. Lunn Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Data Analysis for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, by H. J. Thiebaux . . . . . . 356--357 A. C. Atkinson Book Review: \booktitleAdvanced Linear Models: Theory and Applications, by S. G. Wang; S.-C. Chow . . . . . . . . . . 357--358 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 634--638 Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? John A. Lewis Editorial: Statistics and Statisticians in the Regulation of Medicines . . . . . 359--362 Sheila M. Gore Editorial: Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy and `The Term Safe is not the Same as Zero Risk' . . . . . . . . . 363--365 Adrian F. M. Smith Mad Cows and Ecstasy: Chance and Choice in an Evidence-Based Society . . . . . . 367--383 Harvey Goldstein and David J. Spiegelhalter League Tables and Their Limitations: Statistical Issues in Comparisons of Institutional Performance . . . . . . . 385--443 D. J. Hand Statistics and the Theory of Measurement 445--492 Richard Breen and Bernadette C. Hayes Religious Mobility in the UK . . . . . . 493--504 Harvey Goldstein and Jon Rasbash Improved Approximations for Multilevel Models with Binary Responses . . . . . . 505--513 Peter Congdon The Epidemiology of Suicide in London 515--533 T. M. F. Smith Public Opinion Polls: The UK General Election, 1992 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 535--545 C. P. Farrington and N. J. Andrews and A. D. Beale and M. A. Catchpole A Statistical Algorithm for the Early Detection of Outbreaks of Infectious Disease . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 547--563 Anonymous Report of the Council for the Session 1995--96 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 565--610 Rex F. Galbraith and Jane I. Galbraith Letter to the Editors . . . . . . . . . 611--613 David F. Hendry and Mary S. Morgan Obituary: Jan Tinbergen, 1903--94 . . . 614--616 John Bather Obituary: Stefan Vajda, 1901--95 . . . . 616--617 V. E. Muba and G. M. Clarke Obituary: Pius Peter Kallaa, 1944--95 617--618 John Disney Book Review: \booktitleQuality by Experimental Design, by T. B. Barker . . 619--620 David Kemp Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for the Environment, by V. Barnett; K. F. Turkman . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 620--621 Jon Forster Book Review: \booktitleAspects of Uncertainty: A Tribute to D. V. Lindley, by D. V. Lindley; P. R. Freeman; A. F. M. Smith . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 621--621 Antony Fielding Book Review: \booktitleExperimental Methods: A Primer for Economists, by D. Friedman; S. Sunder . . . . . . . . . . 622--622 Keith Rennolls Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Inference, by P. H. Garthwaite; I. T. Jolliffe; B. Jones . . . . . . . . . . . 622--623 Rachel Atkinson Book Review: \booktitleAn Introduction to Experimental Design and Statistics for Biology, by D. Heath . . . . . . . . 623--624 P. M. Lee Book Review: \booktitleRandom Walks and Random Environments: Vol. I, Random Walks, by B. D. Hughes . . . . . . . . . 624--625 Lynda White Book Review: \booktitleCyclic and Computer Generated Designs, by J. A. John; E. R. Williams . . . . . . . . . . 625--625 Trevor J. Ringrose Book Review: \booktitleRecent Advances in Descriptive Multivariate Analysis, by W. J. Krzanowski . . . . . . . . . . . . 625--626 Alan Winterbottom Book Review: \booktitleReliability Analysis for Engineers: An Introduction, by R. D. Leitch . . . . . . . . . . . . 626--627 D. M. Titterington Book Review: \booktitleStochastic Geometry Models in Image Analysis and Spatial Statistics, by M. N. M. van Lieshout . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 627--628 John Hinde Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Applications Using Fuzzy Sets, by K. G. Manton; M. A. Woodbury; H. D. Tolley . . 628--629 G. R. Braithwaite Book Review: \booktitleStatistics in Engineering --- A Practical Approach, by A. V. Metcalfe . . . . . . . . . . . . . 629--630 P. Oman Book Review: \booktitleSurvival Analysis --- A Practical Approach, by M. K. B. Parmar; D. Machin . . . . . . . . . . . 630--631 G. A. Young Book Review: \booktitleThe Jackknife and Bootstrap, by J. Shao; D. Tu . . . . . . 631--632 T. J. Orchard Book Review: \booktitleBusiness Forecasting and Planning, by P. Shearer 632--632 Charles Lound Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for the Social Sciences, by R. M. Sirkin . . 632--633 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Dennis Roberts Editorial: Harmonization of Statistical Definitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--4 David Steel Producing Monthly Estimates of Unemployment and Employment According to the International Labour Office Definition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5--46 Eileen M. Wright and Patrick Royston A Comparison of Statistical Methods for Age-related Reference Intervals . . . . 47--69 Juha M. Alho Scenarios, Uncertainty and Conditional Forecasts of the World Population . . . 71--85 N. H. Anderson and D. M. Titterington Some Methods for Investigating Spatial Clustering, with Epidemiological Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87--105 Hugh Davies and Heather Joshi and Lynda Clarke Is it Cash that the Deprived are Short of? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107--126 Ron Brookmeyer Accounting for Follow-up Bias in Estimation of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Incidence Rates . . . . . . . . . 127--140 Martin Watts Letter to the Editor: The Measurement of Occupational Gender Segregation . . . . 141--145 Martin Watts and R. M. Blackburn and J. Jarman and J. Siltanen Letter to the Editors . . . . . . . . . 141--147 W. Rudoe Obituary: Sir Harry Campion, 1905--96 148--151 Cedric A. B. Smith Obituary: Maurice Charles Kenneth Tweedie, 1919--96 . . . . . . . . . . . 151--154 J. A. Lambert Book Review: \booktitleStatistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists, by C. G. G. Aitken . . . . . 155--156 Anonymous Book Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155--164 Paul Castell Book Review: \booktitleUncertain Belief: Is it Rational to be a Christian?, by D. J. Bartholomew . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156--156 John Bather Book Review: \booktitleA Mathematical Kaleidoscope: Applications in Industry, Business and Science, by B. Conolly; S. Vajda . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157--157 Violetta Hionidou Book Review: \booktitleA New Social Atlas of Britain, by D. Dorling . . . . 157--158 Bridget Winstanley Book Review: \booktitleInternational Statistics Sources: Subject Guide to Sources of International Comparative Statistics. Vol 1, 2, by M. C. Fleming; J. G. Nellis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158--158 Julian Stander Book Review: \booktitleMarkov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice, by W. R. Gilks; S. Richardson; D. J. Speigelhalter . . . 158--159 Peter M. Lee Book Review: \booktitleMonotone Structure in Discrete Event Systems, by P. Glasserman; D. D. Yao . . . . . . . . 159--160 R. Hartley Book Review: \booktitleDiscrete-time Controlled Markov Processes: Basic Optimality Criteria, by O. Hernández-Lerna; J. B. Lasserre . . . . . 160--161 Irini Moustaki Book Review: \booktitleAdvanced Structural Equation Modelling: Issues and Techniques, by G. A. Marcoulides; R. E. Schumacker . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161--162 G. R. Braithwaite Book Review: \booktitleLinear Models: Least Squares and Alternatives, by C. R. Rao; H. Toutenberg . . . . . . . . . . . 162--162 Mary Rouncefield Book Review: \booktitleAdvanced Modular Mathematics: Pure Mathematics 1, by G. Smithers; Advanced Modular Mathematics: Statistics 1 by G. Westover . . . . . . 163--164 John T. Kent Book Review: \booktitleThe Geometry of Multivariate Statistics, by T. D. Wickens . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164--164 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Bryan Nanson Editorial: Towards a National Geospatial Data Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165--167 Peter G. Moore The Development of the UK National Lottery: 1992--96 . . . . . . . . . . . 169--185 John Haigh The Statistics of the National Lottery 187--206 J. R. B. King Participation in the National Lottery --- Evidence from the Family Expenditure Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 207--212 Anonymous Discussion of the Papers by Moore and Haigh . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213--235 J. B. Copas and F. Heydari Estimating the Risk of Reoffending by Using Exponential Mixture Models . . . . 237--252 Peter Lynn Sampling Frame Effects on the British Crime Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253--269 C. G. G. Aitken The Third International Conference on Forensic Statistics . . . . . . . . . . 271--273 Michael O. Finkelstein and Bruce Levin Clear Choices and Guesswork in Peremptory Challenges in Federal Criminal Trials . . . . . . . . . . . . 275--288 Joseph L. Gastwirth Statistical Evidence in Discrimination Cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289--303 Beverly G. Mellen and Richard M. Royall Measuring the Strength of Deoxyribonucleic Acid Evidence, and Probabilities of Strong Implicating Evidence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 305--320 Stephen E. Fienberg Ethics and the Expert Witness: Statistics on Trial . . . . . . . . . . 321--331 C. G. G. Aitken and J. Bring and T. Leonard and O. Papasouliotis Estimation of Quantities of Drugs Handled and the Burden of Proof . . . . 333--350 Joseph B. Kadane and Norma Terrin Missing Data in the Forensic Context . . 351--357 Helmut Knolle and Jane Wadsworth and Anne M. Johnson Letter to the Editors . . . . . . . . . 359--361 Yurii Suhov Obituary: Boris Gnedenko, 1912--95 . . . 363--366 Alan Winterbottom Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 367--368 Anonymous Book Review: Reviews . . . . . . . . . . 367--380 D. C. Bowie Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 369--369 N. H. Bingham Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 370--370 S. E. Hitchcock Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 370--371 John Orriss Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 371--372 Paul Marriott Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 372--372 Heather Joshi Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 372--373 Wilfrid Kendall Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 373--374 Rodney Coleman Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 374--375 Dave Collett Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 375--376 N. H. Bingham Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 376--377 Ian W. Evett Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 377--378 Paul Marriott Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 378--379 Paul Marriott Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 379--379 Javier Hidalgo Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 380--380 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Colm O'Muircheartaigh and Peter Lynn Editorial: The 1997 UK Pre-Election Polls . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 381--385 David Bartholomew Editorial: The Measurement of Unemployment in the UK: The Position at June 1997 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 385--388 Andrew Chesher Diet Revealed?: Semiparametric Estimation of Nutrient Intake--Age Relationships . . . . . . . . . . . . . 389--428 Lindsey A. Foreman and Adrian F. M. Smith and Ian W. Evett Bayesian Analysis of DNA Profiling Data in Forensic Identification Applications 429--469 David Byers and James Davidson and David Peel Modelling Political Popularity: An Analysis of Long-Range Dependence in Opinion Poll Series . . . . . . . . . . 471--490 Peter Diggle and Sara Morris and Paul Elliott and Gavin Shaddick Regression Modelling of Disease Risk in Relation to Point Sources . . . . . . . 491--505 Lucy M. Carpenter and Noreen E. S. Maconochie and Eve Roman and D. R. Cox Examining Associations between Occupation and Health by Using Routinely Collected Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 507--521 D. J. Hand and W. E. Henley Statistical Classification Methods in Consumer Credit Scoring: A Review . . . 523--541 Anonymous Meeting Report: Report of the Council for the Session 1996--97, presented at the One Hundred and Sixty-third Annual General Meeting of the Royal Statistical Society, June 18th, 1997 . . . . . . . . 543--592 N. T. Longford Letter to the Editors . . . . . . . . . 593--593 N. T. Longford Letter to the Editors: Improved Approximations for Multilevel Models with Binary Responses . . . . . . . . . 593--593 Roger Thatcher Obituary: Ronald Frederick Fowler, 1910--97 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 594--595 P. Oman Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 596--597 Anonymous Book Review: Reviews . . . . . . . . . . 596--608 M. J. Collop Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 597--597 Trevor J. Sweeting Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 598--598 Martin Baxter Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 598--599 Howard Grubb Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 599--600 John Pullinger Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 600--601 A. N. Donev Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 601--602 Flavia Jolliffe Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 602--603 D. M. Titterington Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 603--604 Mick McCrudden Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 604--604 Antony Fielding Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 604--605 D. R. Cox Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 605--606 Norman Thomson Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 606--607 Michael S. Bingham Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 607--607 David Kendall Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 607--608 Paul Marriott Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 608--608 Anonymous Index: Author Index: Volume 160, 1997 609--612 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 609--612 Russell Ecob Erratum: Corrigendum: A Multilevel Modelling Approach to Examining the Effects of Area of Residence on Health and Functioning . . . . . . . . . . . . 612--612 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Ian Plewis and Gillian Raab Editorial: Looking Forwards . . . . . . 1--2 David Rose and Karen O'Reilly Editorial: The Economic and Social Research Council Review of Government Social Classifications . . . . . . . . . 2--4 John J. Deely and Adrian F. M. Smith Quantitative Refinements for Comparisons of Institutional Performance . . . . . . 5--12 Danny Pfeffermann and Chris Skinner and Keith Humphreys The Estimation of Gross Flows in the Presence of Measurement Error Using Auxiliary Variables . . . . . . . . . . 13--32 Hugh Davies and Heather Joshi Gender and Income Inequality in the UK 1968--1990: The Feminization of Earnings or of Poverty? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33--61 Colm O'Muircheartaigh and Pamela Campanelli The Relative Impact of Interviewer Effects and Sample Design Effects on Survey Precision . . . . . . . . . . . . 63--77 Patrick Royston and Eileen M. Wright A Method for Estimating Age-Specific Reference Intervals (`Normal Ranges') Based on Fractional Polynomials and Exponential Transformation . . . . . . . 79--101 L. P. Fatti and E. M. Senaoana and M. L. Thompson Bayesian Updating in Reference Centile Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103--115 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Gillian Raab and Uma Moorthy Editorial: Double-Blind Refereeing . . . 117--119 Ian H. Langford and Toby Lewis Outliers in Multilevel Data . . . . . . 121--160 Roy M. Anderson and Sarah C. Darby The Role of Statistics in Human Immunodeficiency Virus Research . . . . 161--166 D. De Angelis and N. E. Day and O. N. Gill Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Projections in England and Wales: Interplay of Methodology and Data . . . 167--176 Caroline A. Sabin and Amanda Mocroft and Alessandro Cozzi Lepri and Andrew N. Phillips Cofactors and Markers of Disease Progression in Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection . . . . . . . . . . . . 177--189 Sarah C. Darby and David W. Ewart Measures of Mortality in the Study of Individuals Infected with the Human Immunodeficiency Virus in the UK Haemophilia Population . . . . . . . . . 191--198 E. C. Holmes Human Immunodeficiency Virus, DNA and Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199--208 Geoff P. Garnett The Influence of Behavioural Heterogeneity on the Population Level Effect of Potential Prophylactic Type 1 Human Immunodeficiency Virus Vaccines 209--225 A. C. Ghani and G. P. Garnett Measuring Sexual Partner Networks for Transmission of Sexually Transmitted Diseases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227--238 Abdel G. Babiker and Janet H. Darbyshire and Tim E. A. Peto and A. Sarah Walker Issues in the Design and Analysis of Therapeutic Trials in Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection . . . . 239--249 Richard Hayes Design of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Intervention Trials in Developing Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251--263 M. Elizabeth Halloran Statistical Issues in Phase III Human Immunodeficiency Virus Vaccine Trial Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265--272 Martin Kulldorff Letter to the Editors . . . . . . . . . 273--273 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Robert Curnow Editorial: An Independent National Statistical Service . . . . . . . . . . 275--277 Paul Allin Editorial: Labour Market Statistics . . 277--280 John Custance and Hilary Hillier Statistical Issues in Developing Indicators of Sustainable Development 281--290 Roger Levett Sustainability indicators --- integrating quality of life and environmental protection . . . . . . . . 291--302 Vic Barnett Discussion at the Meeting on `Alternatives to Economic Statistics as Indicators of National Well-Being' . . . 303--311 Richard Wakeford Epidemiology and Litigation --- The Sellafield Childhood Leukaemia Cases . . 313--325 David N. F. Bell and Robert A. Hart Working Time in Great Britain, 1975--1994: Evidence from the New Earnings Survey Panel Data . . . . . . . 327--348 Wan Norsiah Mohamed and Ian Diamond and Peter W. F. Smith The Determinants of Infant Mortality in Malaysia: A Graphical Chain Modelling Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 349--366 G. M. Raab and S. Yang and G. Allardice and D. J. Goldberg and J. McMenamin Modelling Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection and Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Cases in Scotland: Data Sources, Prior Information and Bayesian Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 367--384 Andrew J. Copas and Vern T. Farewell Dealing with Non-Ignorable Non-Response by Using an `Enthusiasm-To-Respond' Variable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 385--396 Anonymous Author Index: Index of authors, volume 161, 1998 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 397--398 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 397--398 Anonymous Contents: Contents of volume 161, 1998 399--400 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Martin Collins Editorial: Sampling for UK Telephone Surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--4 A. R. Thatcher The Long-Term Pattern of Adult Mortality and the Highest Attained Age . . . . . . 5--43 David J. Spiegelhalter Surgical Audit: Statistical Lessons from Nightingale and Codman . . . . . . . . . 45--58 D. Blane and S. Harding and M. Rosato Does Social Mobility Affect the Size of the Socioeconomic Mortality Differential?: Evidence from the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59--70 W. Sauerbrei and P. Royston Building Multivariable Prognostic and Diagnostic Models: Transformation of the Predictors by Using Fractional Polynomials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71--94 John Copas What Works?: Selectivity Models and Meta-Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95--109 David Firth and Clive Payne and Joan Payne Efficacy of Programmes for the Unemployed: Discrete Time Modelling of Duration Data from a Matched Comparison Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111--120 Philip D. O'Neill and Gareth O. Roberts Bayesian Inference for Partially Observed Stochastic Epidemics . . . . . 121--129 R. Wakeford Corrigendum: Epidemiology and Litigation --- The Sellafield Childhood Leukaemia Cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131--131 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Iain McLean Editorial: Statistics and Devolution in the UK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133--136 J. Broughton and M. Hazelton and M. Stone Influence of Light Level on the Incidence of Road Casualties and the Predicted Effect of Changing `Summertime' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137--175 Colm O'Muircheartaigh and Irini Moustaki Symmetric Pattern Models: A Latent Variable Approach to Item Non-Response in Attitude Scales . . . . . . . . . . . 177--194 Dankmar Böhning and Ekkehart Dietz and Peter Schlattmann and Lisette Mendonça and Ursula Kirchner The Zero-Inflated Poisson Model and the Decayed, Missing and Filled Teeth Index in Dental Epidemiology . . . . . . . . . 195--209 P. J. Brown and D. Firth and C. D. Payne Forecasting on British Election Night 1997 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211--226 Nicholas T. Longford Multivariate Shrinkage Estimation of Small Area Means and Proportions . . . . 227--245 J. J. Brown and I. D. Diamond and R. L. Chambers and L. J. Buckner and A. D. Teague A Methodological Strategy for a One-Number Census in the UK . . . . . . 247--267 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Ian Plewis and Gillian Raab Editorial: Modelling Structured Categorical Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 269--271 Ian Diamond and Steve Clements and Nicole Stone and Roger Ingham Spatial Variation in Teenage Conceptions in South and West England . . . . . . . 273--289 Nicholas T. Longford An Experiment in Primary Health Care Provision . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291--302 Antony Fielding Why Use Arbitrary Points Scores?: Ordered Categories in Models of Educational Progress . . . . . . . . . . 303--328 C. D. Payne Comments on the papers by Diamond et al., Longford and Fielding . . . . . . . 329--330 Fiona Steele Comments on the Papers by Diamond et al., Longford and Fielding . . . . . . . 329--330 R. Crouchley and R. B. Davies A Comparison of Population Average and Random-Effect Models for the Analysis of Longitudinal Count Data with Base-Line Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331--347 Heather J. Ribaudo and Marisa Bacchi and Jurg Bernhard and Simon G. Thompson A Multilevel Analysis of Longitudinal Ordinal Data: Evaluation of the Level of Physical Performance of Women Receiving Adjuvant Therapy for Breast Cancer . . . 349--360 Harvey Goldstein Comments on the Papers by Crouchley and Davies and Ribaudo et al. . . . . . . . 361--361 C. D. Payne Comments on the papers by Crouchley and Davies and Ribaudo et al. . . . . . . . 361--361 Nicky Best and Jon Wakefield Accounting for Inaccuracies in Population Counts and Case Registration in Cancer Mapping Studies . . . . . . . 363--382 Stephen E. Fienberg and Matthew S. Johnson and Brian W. Junker Classical Multilevel and Bayesian Approaches to Population Size Estimation Using Multiple Lists . . . . . . . . . . 383--405 H. Romaniuk and C. J. Skinner and P. J. Cooper Modelling Consumers' Use of Products . . 407--421 David R. Jones Comments on the Papers by Best and Wakefield, Fienberg et al. and Romaniuk et al. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 423--423 C. D. Payne Comments on the papers by Best and Wakefield, Flenberg et al. and Romaniuk et al. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 423--423 David Clayton and Jon Rasbash Estimation in Large Crossed Random-Effect Models by Data Augmentation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 425--436 Colm O'Muircheartaigh and Pamela Campanelli A Multilevel Exploration of the Role of Interviewers in Survey Non-Response . . 437--446 C. D. Payne Comments on the papers by Clayton and Rasbash, and O'Muircheartaigh and Campanelli . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 447--448 Peter W. F. Smith Comments on the Papers by Clayton and Rasbash, and O'Muircheartaigh and Campanelli . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 447--448 Anonymous Index: Index of authors, volume 162, 1999 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 449--450 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 449--452 Anonymous Index: Contents of volume 162, 1999 . . 450--451 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Anonymous Corrigendum: The Zero-Inflated Poisson Model and the Decayed, Missing and Filled Teeth Index in Dental Epidemiology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121--122
David Byers and James Davidson and David Peel Modelling Political Popularity: A Correction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187--189
W. Sauerbrei and P. Royston Corrigendum: Building Multivariable Prognostic and Diagnostic Models: Transformation of the Predictors by Using Fractional Polynomials . . . . . . 399--400