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H. C. Adams Some Recent Results in Railway Statistics in the United States . . . . 501--512
Holbrook Working A random-difference series for use in the analysis of time series . . . . . . 11--24
J. C. McPherson Mathematical Operations with Punched Cards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275--281 A. C. Rosander The use of inversions as a tsst of random order . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 352--358
Robert Gage Contents of Tippett's ``Random Sampling Numbers'' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223--227
P. Dwyer The Square Root Method and its Use in Correlation and Regression . . . . . . . 493--503
John W. Tukey and C. P. Winsor Industrial statistics . . . . . . . . . 406--411
John W. Tukey and J. Wolfowitz Review: \em Industrial Experimentation, by K. A. Brownlee . . . . . . . . . . . 125--128
John W. Tukey Review of \em A Teoria da Indução Estadistica, by J. Kingston . . . . . . 190--191 John W. Tukey Review of \em The Factorial Analysis of Human Ability, 2nd ed, by G. H. Thomson 199--200 John W. Tukey Review of \em The Factorial Analysis of Human Ability, Second Edition, by Godfrey H. Thomson . . . . . . . . . . . 199--200
Hilda Geiringer Review of L. V. Furlan's book: Das Harmoniegesetz der Statistik: Eine Untersuchung über die metrische Interdependenz der sozialen Erscheinungen. (German) [The Law of Harmony in statistics: an investigation of the metrical interdependence of social phenomena] . . . . . . . . . . . 325--328
John W. Tukey Review of \em Theory of Experimental Inference, by C. W. Churchman . . . . . 136--139 F. Mosteller and John W. Tukey The uses and usefulness of binomial probability paper . . . . . . . . . . . 174--212 John W. Tukey Review of \em Probability Theory for Statistical Methods, by F. N. David . . 567--568
N. Metropolis and S. Ulam The Monte Carlo method . . . . . . . . . 335--341
C. Arthur Williams, Jr. On the Choice of the Number and Width of Classes for the Chi-square Test for Goodness of Fit . . . . . . . . . . . . 77--86
J. Berkson Are There Two Regressions . . . . . . . 164--180 John W. Tukey Some sampling simplified . . . . . . . . 501--519
N. Metropolis Book Review: \em Giant Brains or Machines That Think by Edmund C. Berkeley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 573--574
John W. Tukey Chairman's closure. Acceptance Sampling. A symposium . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150--155
Frank J. Massey, Jr. The Kolmogorov--Smirnov for goodness of fit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68--78
John W. Tukey Review of \em The Extrapolation, Interpolation and Smoothing of Stationary Time Series with Engineering Applications, by N Wiener . . . . . . . 319--321
John W. Tukey and J. Wolfowitz Review of \em Statistische Methoden für Naturwissenschafter, Mediziner, und Ingenieure, by A. Linder . . . . . . . . 554--556
W. G. Cochran and F. Mosteller and John W. Tukey Statistical problems of the Kinsey report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 673--716
W. G. Cochran and F. Mosteller and John W. Tukey Principles of sampling . . . . . . . . . 13--35 John W. Tukey Unsolved problems of experimental statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 706--731
J. Laderman and S. B. Littauer and John W. Tukey Errata: The Inventory Problem . . . . . 906--906
A. Birnbaum Statistical Methods for Poisson Processes and Exponential Populations 254--266
W. G. Cochran and F. Mosteller and John W. Tukey The Cochran--Mosteller--Tukey report on the Kinsey Study: A symposium (pp. 811--829) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 829--829
Alan Stuart The efficiencies of tests of randomness, distribution-free methods vs. normal alternatives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285--287
A. Madansky The Fitting of Straight Lines When Both Variables Are Subject to Error . . . . . 173--205
John W. Tukey Where do we go from here? . . . . . . . 80--93 Sidney Siegel and John W. Tukey A nonparametric sum of ranks procedure for relative spread in unpaired samples 429--445
Paul Peach Bias in pseudo-random numbers . . . . . 610--618
C. T. Fan and M. E. Muller and I. Rezucha Development of Sampling Plans (Item by Item) Selection Techniques and Digital Computers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
W. Hoeffding Probability inequalities for sums of bounded random variables . . . . . . . . 13--30
Gene H. Golub Review: \em A Guide to ALGOL Programming by Daniel D. McCracken . . . . . . . . . 1202--1202
G. Marsaglia Conditional means and covariances of normal variables with singular covariance matrix . . . . . . . . . . . 1203--1204
J. I. Naus The Distribution of the Size of the Maximum Cluster of Points on a Line . . 532--538
D. Teichroew A history of distribution sampling prior to the era of the computer and its relevance to simulation . . . . . . . . 27--49 George Marsaglia Ratios of normal variables and ratios of sums of uniform variables . . . . . . . 193--204 M. Tin Comparison of Some Ratio Estimators . . 294--307
Frederick F. Stephan and John W. Tukey and Frederick Mosteller and Alex M. Mood and Morris H. Hansen and Leslie E. Simon and W. J. Dixon Samuel S. Wilks . . . . . . . . . . . . 939--966
P. S. Dwyer Some applications of matrix derivatives in multivariate analysis . . . . . . . . 607--625 J. W. Longley An Appraisal of Least Squares Programs for the Electronic Computer from the Point of View of the User . . . . . . . 819--841 F. V. Waugh and M. E. Abel On fractional powers of a matrix . . . . 1018--1021
L. G. Telser Discrete Samples and Moving Sums in Stationary Stochastic Processes . . . . 484--499
V. Hasselblad Estimation of finite mixtures of distributions from the exponential family . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1459--1471
H. D. Vinod Integer programming and the theory of grouping . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 506--519
R. H. Wampler A Report on the Accuracy of some Widely Used Least Squares Computer Programs . . 549--565
V. Chew Covariance matrix estimation in linear models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173--181 D. Bradu and Y. Mundlak Estimation in lognormal linear models 198--211
Bruce M. Hill Zipf's law and prior distributions for the composition of a population . . . . 1220--1232
Friedrich Gebhardt Incomplete beta-integral ${B}(x; 2/3, 2/3)$ and $[p (1-p)]^{-1/6}$ for use with Borges' approximation of the binomial distribution . . . . . . . . . 189--191 D. V. Hinkley Inference in Two-Phase Regression . . . 736--743 J. M. Chambers Regression Updating . . . . . . . . . . 744--748
E. H. Chen A random normal number generator for 32-bit-word computers . . . . . . . . . 400--403
I. Fellagi On the Question of statistical Confidentiality . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
V. K. Srivastava Disturbance-Variance Estimation in Simultaneous Equations when Disturbances are Small . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164--168 W. Y. Tan and W. C. Chang Some comparisons of the method of moments and the method of maximum likelihood in estimating parameters of a mixture of two normal distributions . . 702--708
D. A. Relles A simple algorithm for generating binomial random variables when $N$ is large . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 612--613
E. F. Halpern Polynomial Regression from a Bayesian Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137--143
David C. Hoaglin Review: \em Robust Estimates of Location: Survey and Advances, by D. F. Andrews, P. J. Bickel, F. R. Hampel, P. J. Huber, W. H. Rogers, and J. W. Tukey 272--274
R. F. Ling Comparison of several algorithms for computing sample means and variances . . 859--866 C. L. Olson Comparative robustness of six tests in multivariate analysis of variance . . . 894--908 R. V. Hogg Adaptive robust procedures: a partial review and some suggestions for future applications and theory . . . . . . . . 909--923 R. V. Chitturi Distribution of residual autocorrelations in multiple autoregressive schemes . . . . . . . . . 928--934 G. D. A. Phillips and A. C. Harvey A simple test for serial correlation in regression analysis . . . . . . . . . . 935--939 T. Amemiya Bivariate probit analysis: minimum chi-square methods . . . . . . . . . . . 940--944 S. B. Guthery Partition regression . . . . . . . . . . 945--947 R. H. Shumway and A. N. Unger Linear discriminant functions for stationary time series . . . . . . . . . 948--956 C. T. Isaki Bias of two classification procedures in a dichotomous population . . . . . . . . 957--960 G. H. Worm Sensitivity analysis of the fixed point vector of transition matrices . . . . . 961--962 B. L. Fox Finite horizon behavior of policies for two-arm bandits . . . . . . . . . . . . 963--965 G. K. Bhattacharyya and R. A. Johnson Estimation of reliability in a multicomponent stress- strength model 966--970 G. Simon Alternative analyses for the singly-ordered contingency table . . . . 971--976 M. Dutta and E. Lyttkens Iterative instrumental variables method and estimation of a large simultaneous system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 977--986 R. M. Pringle Some results on the estimation of variance components by MINQUE . . . . . 987--989 M. Feldstein Errors in Variables: A Consistent Estimator with Smaller MSE in Finite Samples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 990--996 P. Kumar Sen On unbiased estimation for randomized response models . . . . . . . . . . . . 997--1001 W. K. Poole Estimation of the distribution function of a continuous type random variable through randomized response . . . . . . 1002--1005 J. Crowley Asymptotic normality of a new nonparametric statistic for use in organ transplant studies . . . . . . . . . . . 1006--1011 T. Robertson and J. D. Cryer An iterative procedure for estimating the mode . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1012--1016 Bruce M. Hill The rank-frequency form of Zipf's law 1017--1026 L. K. Chan and S. W. Cheng An algorithm for determining the asymptotically best linear estimate of the mean from multiply censored logistic data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1027--1030 H. W. Block and A. P. Basu A continuous bivariate exponential extension . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1031--1037 J. Berkson and B. N. Nagnur A note on the minimum $chi_1^2$ estimate and a L.A.M.S.T. $chi^2$ in the no interaction problem . . . . . . . . . . 1038--1040
Bruce M. Hill and Michael Woodroofe Stronger forms of Zipf's law . . . . . . 212--219
Albert E. Beaton and Donald B. Rubin and John L. Barone The Acceptability of Regression Solutions: Another Look at Computational Accuracy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158--168
J. M. Chambers and C. L. Mallows and B. W. Stuck A method for simulating stable random variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 340--344
A. J. Kinderman and J. G. Ramage Computer generation of normal random variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 893--896
K. N. Berk Tolerance and Condition in Regression Computations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 863--866
M. L. Clevenson and J. V. Zidek Bayes Linear Estimators of the Intensity Function of the Nonstationary Poisson Process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112--120
Warren T. Dent and David C. Cavander More on Computational Accuracy in Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 598--600
F. M. Speed and R. R. Hocking and D. P. Hackney Methods of Analysis of Linear Models with Unbalanced Data . . . . . . . . . . 105--112 Å. Björck Comment on the Iterative Refinement of Least Squares Solutions . . . . . . . . 161--166
Wayne A. Fuller and Michael A. Hidiroglou Regression estimation after correcting for attenuation . . . . . . . . . . . . 99--104
Lee W. Schruben and Barry H. Margolin Pseudorandom Number Assignment in Statistically Designed Simulation and Distribution Sampling Experiments . . . 504--520 Colin L. Mallows Pseudorandom Number Assignment in Statistically Designed Simulation and Distribution Sampling Experiments: Comment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 520 Gary A. Simon Pseudorandom Number Assignment in Statistically Designed Simulation and Distribution Sampling Experiments: Comment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 520--521 Donald P. Gaver Pseudorandom Number Assignment in Statistically Designed Simulation and Distribution Sampling Experiments: Comment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 522 J. Kiefer Pseudorandom Number Assignment in Statistically Designed Simulation and Distribution Sampling Experiments: Comment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 523--524 Lee W. Schruben and Barry H. Margolin Pseudorandom Number Assignment in Statistically Designed Simulation and Distribution Sampling Experiments: Rejoinder . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 524--525 N. J. Johnson Modified $t$ tests and confidence intervals for asymmetrical populations 536--544 P. Diaconis Review of ``A Mathematical Theory of Evidence'' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 677--678
John W. Tukey Comments on Emanuel Parzen, \em Nonparametric statistical data modeling 121--122 W. B. Gragg and R. J. Leveque and J. A. Trangenstein Numerically Stable Methods for Updating Regressions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161--168 R. D. Cook Influential Observations in Linear Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169--174
Persi Diaconis and David Freedman On Rounding Percentages . . . . . . . . 359--364
E. T. Jaynes Inference, method and decision: Towards a Bayesian philosophy of science . . . . 740--741
John W. Tukey Methodology, and the statistician's responsibility for both accuracy and relevance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 786--793 W. J. Hemmerle Balanced Hypotheses and Unbalanced Data 794--798
G. S. Fishman Sampling from the binomial distribution on a computer . . . . . . . . . . . . . 418--423
W. J. Krzanowski Between-groups comparison of principal components . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 703--707
G. Smith and F. Campbell A Critique of Some Ridge Regression Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74--81 D. W. Marquardt Comment on Smith and Campbell (1980) . . 87--91
Halbert White and Glenn M. MacDonald Some large-sample tests for nonnormality in the linear regression model . . . . . 16--31
M. E. Johnson and G. L. Tietjen and R. J. Beckman A new family of probability distributions with applications to Monte Carlo studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . 276--279
Ronald E. Glaser Bathtub and related failure rate characterizations . . . . . . . . . . . 667--672 B. W. Schmeiser and M. A. Shalaby Acceptance/rejection methods for beta variate generation . . . . . . . . . . . 673--678 B. W. Schmeiser and R. Lal Squeeze methods for generating gamma variates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 679--682 P. R. Tadikamalla Random sampling from the exponential power distribution . . . . . . . . . . . 683--686 Naoto Kunitomo Asymptotic expansions of the distributions of estimators in a linear functional relationship and simultaneous equations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 693--700
David Ruppert and Raymond J. Carroll Trimmed least squares estimation in the linear model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 828--838 C. P. Shapiro and Robert L. Wardrop Bayesian sequential estimation for one-parameter exponential families . . . 984--988
P. F. Velleman and M. A. Ypelaar Constructing Regressions with Controlled Features: A Method of Probing Robust Regression Performance . . . . . . . . . ??
S. Kourouklis and C. C. Paige A Constrained Approach to the General Gauss--Markov Linear Model . . . . . . . 620--625
Alice S. Whittemore Sample size for logistic regression with small response probability . . . . . . . 27--32 Paul W. Holland and Samuel Leinhardt An exponential family of probability distributions for directed graphs. With comments by Ronald L. Breiger, Stephen E. Fienberg, Stanley Wasserman, Ove Frank and Shelby J. Haberman and a reply by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33--65 John W. Pratt Concavity of the log likelihood . . . . 103--106 Edward L. Korn Hierarchical log-linear models not preserved by classification error . . . 110--113 Ramon C. Littell and William C. Louv Confidence regions based on methods of combining test statistics . . . . . . . 125--130 Wayne A. Fuller and David P. Hasza Properties of predictors for autoregressive time series . . . . . . . 155--161 Gregory A. Mack and Douglas A. Wolfe $k$-sample rank tests for umbrella alternatives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175--181 H. Malcolm Hudson and Kam Wah Tsui Simultaneous Poisson estimators for a priori hypotheses about means . . . . . 182--187 Stephen M. Samuels Minimax stopping rules when the underlying distribution is uniform . . . 188--197
Peter J. Bickel and Kjell A. Doksum An analysis of transformations revisited 296--311 E. L. Lehmann An interpretation of completeness and Basu's theorem . . . . . . . . . . . . . 335--340 Ekkehart Schlicht A seasonal adjustment principle and a seasonal adjustment method derived from this principle . . . . . . . . . . . . . 374--378 Andrey Feuerverger and Philip McDunnough On some Fourier methods for inference 379--387 J. A. Hartigan Consistency of single linkage for high-density clusters . . . . . . . . . 388--394 Kenneth J. Arrow and Leon Pesotchinsky and Milton Sobel On partitioning a sample with binary-type questions in lieu of collecting observations . . . . . . . . 402--409 Halbert White Consequences and detection of misspecified nonlinear regression models 419--433 R. A. Kronmal and A. V. Peterson A variant of the acceptance-rejection method for computer generation of random variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 446--451 Samuel D. Oman A confidence bound approach to choosing the biasing parameter in ridge regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 452--461 J. F. Lawless Mean squared error properties of generalized ridge estimators . . . . . . 462--466 Laurens de Haan Estimation of the minimum of a function using order statistics . . . . . . . . . 467--469 Yoshikazu Takada Invariant sequential estimation of the exponential mean life from the ordered observations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 470--472 Govind S. Mudholkar and Madhusudan C. Trivedi A Gaussian approximation to the distribution of the sample variance for nonnormal populations . . . . . . . . . 479--485 Göran Broström On optimal choice of components for parallel systems . . . . . . . . . . . . 486--490
R. J. Bhansali Effects of not knowing the order of an autoregressive process on the mean squared error of prediction. I . . . . . 588--597 T. W. Anderson and Cheng Hsiao Estimation of dynamic models with error components . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 598--606 Frank R. Hampel and Peter J. Rousseeuw and Elvezio Ronchetti The change-of-variance curve and optimal redescending ${M}$-estimators . . . . . 643--648 Dennis D. Boos Minimum distance estimators for location and goodness of fit . . . . . . . . . . 663--670 Lakhbir S. Hayre and John C. Gittins Sequential selection of the larger of two normal means . . . . . . . . . . . . 696--700 Adam T. Martinsek A note on the variance and higher central moments of the stopping time of an SPRT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 701--703 Perla Subbaiah and Govind S. Mudholkar On a multivariate analog of Studentized range test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 725--728
Gary M. Erickson Using ridge regression to estimate directly lagged effects in marketing . . 766--773 G. C. Tiao and G. E. P. Box Modeling multiple time series with applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 802--816 Jerome H. Friedman and Werner Stuetzle Projection Pursuit Regression . . . . . 817--823 Lawrence D. Brown and Iain M. Johnstone and K. Brenda MacGibbon Variation diminishing transformations: a direct approach to total positivity and its statistical applications . . . . . . 824--832 J. J. Deely and D. V. Lindley Bayes empirical Bayes . . . . . . . . . 833--841 Edward E. Leamer Coordinate-free ridge regression bounds 842--849 William M. Sallas and David A. Harville Best linear recursive estimation for mixed linear models . . . . . . . . . . 860--869 P. J. Bickel and Agnes M. Herzberg and M. F. Schilling Robustness of design against autocorrelation in time. II. Optimality, theoretical and numerical results for the first-order autoregressive process 870--877 A. I. Khuri Simultaneous confidence intervals for functions of variance components in random models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 878--885 Gouri K. Bhattacharyya and Kishan G. Mehrotra On testing equality of two exponential distributions under combined type ${\rm II}$ censoring . . . . . . . . . . . . . 886--894 Arthur Cohen Inference for marginal means in contingency tables with conditional independence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 895--902 Saul Blumenthal and Ram C. Dahiya Estimating the binomial parameter $n$ 903--909 J. J. A. Moors Inadmissibility of linearly invariant estimators in truncated parameter spaces 910--915 Ajit C. Tamhane Randomized response techniques for multiple sensitive attributes . . . . . 916--923 Richard M. Royall and William G. Cumberland The finite-population linear regression estimator and estimators of its variance---an empirical study . . . . . 924--930 Marcello Pagano and Katherine Taylor Halvorsen An algorithm for finding the exact significance levels of $r\times c$ contingency tables . . . . . . . . . . . 931--934 Shulamith T. Gross On asymptotic power and efficiency of tests of independence in contingency tables with ordered classifications . . 935--941 Lydia P. Gans and C. A. Robertson Distributions of Goodman and Kruskal's gamma and Spearman's rho in $2\times 2$ tables for small and moderate sample sizes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 942--946 Frank K. Hwang and Charles G. Pfeifer and Peter Enis An optimal hierarchical procedure for a modified binomial group-testing problem 947--949 Robert B. Israel Stronger players need not win more knockout tournaments . . . . . . . . . . 950--951 Ishwari D. Dhariyal and Edward J. Dudewicz Optimal selection from a finite sequence with sampling cost . . . . . . . . . . . 954--959 W. Robert Stephenson A general class of one-sample nonparametric test statistics based on subsamples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 960--966 Edward J. Dudewicz and Edward C. van der Meulen Entropy-based tests of uniformity . . . 967--974 Takeaki Kariya Bounds for the covariance matrices of Zellner's estimator in the SUR model and the 2SAE in a heteroscedastic model . . 975--979 Asher Tishler and Israel Zang A new maximum likelihood algorithm for piecewise regression . . . . . . . . . . 980--987 R. J. Bowden and D. A. Turkington A comparative study of instrumental variables estimators for nonlinear simultaneous models . . . . . . . . . . 988--995 S. S. Sihota and K. S. Banerjee On the algebraic structures in the construction of confounding plans in mixed factorial designs on the lines of White and Hultquist . . . . . . . . . . 996--1001 L. J. Wei Asymptotic conservativeness and efficiency of Kruskal-Wallis test for ${K}$ dependent samples . . . . . . . . 1006--1009 Wayne A. Fuller and Michael A. Hidiroglou Correction: ``Regression estimation after correcting for attenuation'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 73 (1978), no. 361, 99--104, MR 80k:62087] . . . . . . 1022--1022 Mark E. Johnson and Gary L. Tietjen and Richard J. Beckman Correction: ``A new family of probability distributions with applications to Monte Carlo studies'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 75 (1980), no. 370, 276--279, MR 81f:62032] . . . . 1022--1022 W. J. Krzanowski Correction: ``Between-groups comparison of principal components'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 74 (1979), no. 367, 703--707, MR 81a:62049] . . . . . . . . 1022--1022 Halbert White and Glenn M. MacDonald Correction: ``Some large-sample tests for nonnormality in the linear regression model'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 75 (1980), no. 369, 16--31, MR 81e:62077] . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1022--1022 Alice S. Whittemore Correction: ``Sample size for logistic regression'' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1022--1023 Wayne A. Fuller and David P. Hasza Correction: ``Properties of predictors for autoregressive time series'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 76 (1981), no. 373, 155--161, MR 82c:62132] . . . . . . 1023--1023
Robert Bartels The Rank Version of von Neumann's Ratio Test for Randomness . . . . . . . . . . 40--46 C. Hillmer and G. C. Tiao An ARIMA-model-based approach to seasonal adjustment . . . . . . . . . . 63--70 Marco Wolfenson and Terrence L. Fine Bayes-like decision making with upper and lower probabilities . . . . . . . . 80--88 Cary T. Isaki and Wayne A. Fuller Survey design under the regression superpopulation model . . . . . . . . . 89--96 Evan P. Smouse Bayesian estimation of a finite population total using auxiliary information in the presence of nonresponse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97--102 Gene H. Golub and Stephen G. Nash Nonorthogonal Analysis of Variance using a Generalized Conjugate-Gradient Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109--116 George S. Fishman and Louis R. Moore A Statistical Evaluation of Multiplicative Congruential Random Number Generators with Modulus $2^{31}-1$ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129--136 Kenneth Fairbanks and Richard Madsen and Richard Dykstra A confidence interval for an exponential parameter from a hybrid life test . . . 137--140 Y. Y. Chen and M. Hollander and N. A. Langberg Small-sample results for the Kaplan--Meier estimator . . . . . . . . 141--144 A. C. Atkinson and Lam Yeh Inference for Sichel's compound Poisson distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153--158 Andrew L. Rukhin and William E. Strawderman Estimating a quantile of an exponential distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159--162 E. Jacquelin Dietz Bivariate nonparametric tests for the one-sample location problem . . . . . . 163--169 James D. Malley Simultaneous confidence intervals for ratios of normal means . . . . . . . . . 170--176 Joseph I. Naus Approximations for distributions of scan statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177--183 Danny Dyer The convolution of generalized ${F}$ distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184--189 Greg Reinsel Multivariate repeated-measurement or growth curve models with multivariate random-effects covariance structure . . 190--195 Moshe Shaked and Lanh Tat Tran Estimating parameters from mixed samples 196--203 J. Sethuraman and Nozer D. Singpurwalla Testing of hypotheses for distributions in accelerated life tests . . . . . . . 204--208 G. E. P. Box and D. R. Cox Comment on: ``An analysis of transformations revisited'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 76 (1981), no. 374, 296--311, MR 83b:62048] by P. J. Bickel and K. A. Doksum . . . . . . . . . . . . 209--210
Roderick J. A. Little Models for nonresponse in sample surveys 237--250 John Geweke Measurement of linear dependence and feedback between multiple time series. With discussion and with a reply by the author . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 304--324 Glenn Shafer Lindley's paradox. With discussion and with a reply by the author . . . . . . . 325--351 Diane Lambert Qualitative robustness of tests . . . . 352--357 James Berger Bayesian robustness and the Stein effect 358--368 Thomas M. Stoker The use of cross-section data to characterize macrofunctions . . . . . . 369--380 V. P. Godambe Estimation in survey sampling: robustness and optimality. With comments by W. A. Ericson and C.-M. Cassel and with a reply by the author . . . . . . . 393--406 Gilbert Bassett, Jr. and Roger Koenker An empirical quantile function for linear models with iid errors . . . . . 407--415 Gerard E. Dallal A simple interaction model for two-dimensional contingency tables . . . 425--432 Ron Brookmeyer and John Crowley A $k$-sample median test for censored data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 433--440 Kishan G. Mehrotra and Gouri K. Bhattacharyya Confidence intervals with jointly type-${\rm II}$ censored samples from two exponential distributions . . . . . 441--446 Ching Tsao Tu and Chien Pai Han Discriminant analysis based on binary and continuous variables . . . . . . . . 447--454 J. Richmond A general method for constructing simultaneous confidence intervals . . . 455--460 Jason C. Hsu Simultaneous inference with respect to the best treatment in block designs . . 461--467 D. R. Jensen and Y. V. Hui Efficiency of Friedman's $\chi^{2}_{r}$ test under dependence . . . . . . . . . 468--474 James L. Kepner and Ronald H. Randles Detecting unequal marginal scales in a bivariate population . . . . . . . . . . 475--482
W. E. Griffiths and J. R. Anderson Using time-series and cross-section data to estimate a production function with positive and negative marginal risks . . 529--536 S. N. Neftci Specification of economic time series models using Akaike's criterion . . . . 537--540 G. P. Patil and C. Taillie Diversity as a concept and its measurement. With comments by I. J. Good and George Sugihara and a rejoinder by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 548--567 Shelby J. Haberman Analysis of dispersion of multinomial responses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 568--580 Robert J. Buehler Some ancillary statistics and their properties. With comments by O. Barndorff-Nielsen, D. R. Cox and David Hinkley and a rejoinder by the author 581--594 William S. Krasker and Roy E. Welsch Efficient bounded-influence regression estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 595--604 A. P. Dawid The well-calibrated Bayesian. With comments by Joseph B. Kadane and D. V. Lindley and a rejoinder by the author 605--613 (or 605--610??) Nancy L. Spruill and Joseph L. Gastwirth On the estimation of the correlation coefficient from grouped data . . . . . 614--620 Richard L. Dykstra Maximum likelihood estimation of the survival functions of stochastically ordered random variables . . . . . . . . 621--628 William C. Parr and William R. Schucany Jackknifing ${L}$-statistics with smooth weight functions . . . . . . . . . . . . 629--638 A. Antille and G. Kersting and W. Zucchini Testing symmetry . . . . . . . . . . . . 639--646 Dennis D. Boos A test for asymmetry associated with the Hodges-Lehmann estimator . . . . . . . . 647--651 V. A. Sposito On unbiased ${L}_{p}$ regression estimators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 652--653 Michel Lejeune and G. David Faulkenberry A simple predictive density function. With a comment by Tom Leonard and a rejoinder by the authors . . . . . . . . 654--659 S. N. Ethier Testing for favorable numbers on a roulette wheel . . . . . . . . . . . . . 660--665 John Orban and Douglas A. Wolfe A class of distribution-free two-sample tests based on placements . . . . . . . 666--672 I. Gertsbakh Confidence limits for highly reliable coherent systems with exponentially distributed component life . . . . . . . 673--678 Charles E. McCulloch Symmetric matrix derivatives with applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 679--682
Philip J. Smith and J. Sedransk Bayesian optimization of the estimation of the age composition of a fish population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 707--713 George Y. Wong Round robin analysis of variance via maximum likelihood . . . . . . . . . . . 714--724 T. W. O'Gorman On the design of seasonal adjustment methods using linear programming techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 739--742 Noel Cressie Playing safe with misweighted means . . 754--759 J. J. Spitzer A fast and efficient algorithm for the estimation of parameters in models with the Box-and-Cox transformation . . . . . 760--766 James Flinn Crook and Irving John Good The powers and strengths of tests for multinomials and contingency tables . . 793--802 Clifford C. Clogg Some models for the analysis of association in multiway cross-classifications having ordered categories . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 803--815 Daniel MacRae Keenan A time series analysis of binary data 816--821 Persi Diaconis and Sandy L. Zabell Updating subjective probability . . . . 822--830 Thomas S. Ferguson An inconsistent maximum likelihood estimate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 831--834 Ove Frank and Frank Harary Cluster inference by using transitivity indices in empirical graphs . . . . . . 835--840 M. Anthony Wong A hybrid clustering method for identifying high-density clusters . . . 841--847 Anastasios A. Tsiatis Repeated significance testing for a general class of statistics used in censored survival analysis . . . . . . . 855--861 Eric Slud and L. J. Wei Two-sample repeated significance tests based on the modified Wilcoxon statistic 862--868 Mervyn G. Marasinghe and Dallas E. Johnson A test of incomplete additivity in the multiplicative interaction model . . . . 869--877 R. J. Carroll and David Ruppert A comparison between maximum likelihood and generalized least squares in a heteroscedastic linear model . . . . . . 878--882 S. E. Pudney Estimating latent variable systems when specification is uncertain: generalized component analysis and the eliminant method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 883--889 James K. Binkley The effect of variable correlation on the efficiency of seemingly unrelated regression in a two-equation model . . . 890--895 A. W. Davis On the effects of moderate multivariate nonnormality on Roy's largest root test 896--900 Edward P. Markowski and Thomas P. Hettmansperger Inference based on simple rank step score statistics for the location model 901--907 Raymond J. Carroll Prediction and power transformations when the choice of power is restricted to a finite set . . . . . . . . . . . . 908--915 W. J. Studden Some robust-type ${D}$-optimal designs in polynomial regression . . . . . . . . 916--921 Michael Goldstein and David Collett On sample-size selection and the evaluation of discriminability in the model choice problem . . . . . . . . . . 922--928 J. S. Huang and Malay Ghosh A note on strong unimodality of order statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 929--930 V. P. Godambe Ancillarity principle and a statistical paradox . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 931--933 Sam Gutmann Stein's paradox is impossible in the nonanticipative context . . . . . . . . 934--935 Richard A. Kronmal and Arthur V. Peterson, Jr. Corrigendum: ``A variant of the acceptance-rejection method for computer generation of random variables'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 76 (1981), no. 374, 446--451, MR 82h:62037] . . . . . . 954--954 J. F. Lawless Corrigendum: ``Mean squared error properties of generalized ridge estimators'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 76 (1981), no. 374, 462--466, MR 82h:62113] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 954--954 Gregory A. Mack and Douglas A. Wolfe Corrigendum: ``$k$-sample rank tests for umbrella alternatives'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 76 (1981), no. 373, 175--181, MR 82d:62084] . . . . . . . . 954--954 John W. Pratt Corrigendum: ``Concavity of the log likelihood'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 76 (1981), no. 373, 103--106, MR 83h:62098] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 954--954 David Ruppert and Raymond J. Carroll Corrigendum: ``Trimmed least squares estimation in the linear model'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 75 (1980), no. 372, 828--838, MR 82d:62073] . . . . . . 954--954 Ekkehart Schlicht Corrigendum: ``A seasonal adjustment principle and a seasonal adjustment method derived from this principle'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 76 (1981), no. 374, 374--378, MR 82h:62162] . . . . . . 954--954 Govind S. Mudholkar and Madhusudan C. Trivedi Corrigendum: ``A Gaussian approximation to the distribution of the sample variance for nonnormal populations'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 76 (1981), no. 374, 479--485, MR 82h:62034] . . . . . . 954--955 Ishwari D. Dhariyal and Edward J. Dudewicz Corrigendum: ``Optimal selection from a finite sequence with sampling cost'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 76 (1981), no. 376, 954--959, MR 83e:62111] . . . . . . 955--955
Carl N. Morris Parametric empirical Bayes inference: theory and applications. With discussion 47--65 Peter J. Huber Minimax aspects of bounded-influence regression. With discussion . . . . . . 66--80 William E. Wecker and Craig F. Ansley The signal extraction approach to nonlinear regression and spline smoothing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81--89 K. M. Abdelbasit and R. L. Plackett Experimental design for binary data . . 90--98 E. Benton Cobb and J. D. Church Small-sample quantal response methods for estimating the location parameter for a location-scale family of dose-response curves . . . . . . . . . . 99--107 Colin R. Blyth and Harold A. Still Binomial confidence intervals . . . . . 108--116 Cary T. Isaki Variance estimation using auxiliary information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117--123 Loren Cobb and Peter Koppstein and Neng Hsin Chen Estimation and moment recursion relations for multimodal distributions of the exponential family . . . . . . . 124--130 L. Breiman and D. Freedman How many variables should be entered in a regression equation . . . . . . . . . 131--136 Wesley Johnson and Seymour Geisser A predictive view of the detection and characterization of influential observations in regression analysis . . 137--144 James T. Ringland Robust multiple comparisons . . . . . . 145--151 H. Joseph Newton and Marcello Pagano A method for determining periods in time series . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152--161 Kenneth G. Brown Sub-balanced data and the mixed analysis of variance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162--167 Steven J. Schwager Run probabilities in sequences of Markov-dependent trials . . . . . . . . 168--180 Dennis F. De Riggi Unimodality of likelihood functions for the binomial distribution . . . . . . . 181--183 Alan Agresti A survey of strategies for modeling cross-classifications having ordinal variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184--198
William H. DuMouchel and Jeffrey E. Harris Bayes methods for combining the results of cancer studies in humans and other species. With comments by Daniel Krewski, Adrian F. M. Smith and Robert E. Kass, and with a reply by the authors 293--315 Bradley Efron Estimating the error rate of a prediction rule: improvement on cross-validation . . . . . . . . . . . . 316--331 Piet de Jong and Malcolm Greig and Dilip Madan Testing for random pairing . . . . . . . 332--336 J. M. Begun and N. Reid Estimating the relative risk with censored data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 337--341 Richard L. Dykstra and Tim Robertson On testing monotone tendencies . . . . . 342--350 Edward J. Wegman and Ian W. Wright Splines in statistics . . . . . . . . . 351--365 Gouri K. Bhattacharyya and Kishan G. Mehrotra A unified treatment of locally most powerful rank tests under type ${\rm II}$ censoring . . . . . . . . . . . . . 375--381 L. J. Wei and M. H. Gail Nonparametric estimation for a scale-change with censored observations 382--388 Ron Kenett and Moshe Pollak On sequential detection of a shift in the probability of a rare event . . . . 389--395 C. P. Shapiro Sequential allocation and optional stopping in Bayesian simultaneous estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 396--402 Mark Finster A frequentistic approach to sequential estimation in the general linear model 403--407 Prem K. Goel Information measures and Bayesian hierarchical models . . . . . . . . . . 408--410 David H. Krantz and John Miyamoto Priors and likelihood ratios as evidence 418--423 James K. Sebenius and John Geanakoplos Don't bet on it: contingent agreements with asymmetric information . . . . . . 424--426 Cyrus R. Mehta and Nitin R. Patel A network algorithm for performing Fisher's exact test in $r\times c$ contingency tables . . . . . . . . . . . 427--434 Marcello Pagano and David Tritchler On obtaining permutation distributions in polynomial time . . . . . . . . . . . 435--440 J. M. Juritz and J. W. F. Juritz and M. A. Stephens On the accuracy of simulated percentage points . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 441--444 Russell A. Boyles and Francisco J. Samaniego Maximum likelihood estimation for a discrete multivariate shock model . . . 445--448 David A. Sprott Estimating the parameters of a convolution by maximum likelihood . . . 457--460 Wing Hung Wong A note on the modified likelihood for density estimation . . . . . . . . . . . 461--463 Frederick W. Faltin and Charles E. McCulloch On the small-sample properties of the Olkin-Sobel-Tong estimator of the probability of correct selection . . . . 464--467 Thomas Mathew Linear estimation with an incorrect dispersion matrix in linear models with a common linear part . . . . . . . . . . 468--471 B. N. Nagarsenker and J. Suniaga Distributions of a class of statistics useful in multivariate analysis . . . . 472--475 Nozer D. Singpurwalla and Man Yuen Wong Kernel estimators of the failure-rate function and density estimation: an analogy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 478--481
Richard M. Heiberger and Paul F. Velleman and M. Agelia Ypelaar Generating test data with independently controllable features for multivariate general linear forms . . . . . . . . . . 585--595 Naihua Duan Smearing estimate: a nonparametric retransformation method . . . . . . . . 605--610 Mark J. Schervish User-oriented inference . . . . . . . . 611--615 Michael Goldstein General variance modifications for linear Bayes estimators . . . . . . . . 616--618 Siamak Noorbaloochi and Glen Meeden Unbiasedness as the dual of being Bayes 619--623 E. L. Lehmann Estimation with inadequate information 624--627 James M. Dickey Multiple hypergeometric functions: probabilistic interpretations and statistical uses . . . . . . . . . . . . 628--637 Esa Uusipaikka Exact confidence bands for linear regression over intervals . . . . . . . 638--644 Yoav Benjamini Is the $t$ test really conservative when the parent distribution is long-tailed 645--654 William C. Rinaman, Jr. On distribution-free rank tests for two-way layouts . . . . . . . . . . . . 655--659 K\=osei Iwase and Noriaki Setô Uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimation for the inverse Gaussian distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 660--663 Sam C. Saunders and Janet M. Myhre Maximum likelihood estimation for two-parameter decreasing hazard rate distributions using censored data . . . 664--673 Glenn Shafer and Ingram Olkin Adjusting ${P}$ values to account for selection over dichotomies . . . . . . . 674--678 L. P. Fatti The random-effects model in discriminant analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 679--687 George Casella and Jiunn Tzon Hwang Empirical Bayes confidence sets for the mean of a multivariate normal distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 688--698 Herman J. Bierens Uniform consistency of kernel estimators of a regression function under generalized conditions . . . . . . . . . 699--707 James H. Albert and Arjun K. Gupta Bayesian estimation methods for $2\times 2$ contingency tables using mixtures of Dirichlet distributions . . . . . . . . 708--717 Katsuto Tanaka Estimation for transients in the frequency domain . . . . . . . . . . . . 718--724 L. J. Wei Tests of interchangeability with incomplete paired observations . . . . . 725--729
Stephen Vardeman and Glen Meeden Calibration, sufficiency, and domination considerations for Bayesian probability assessors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 808--816 Michael Goldstein The prevision of a prevision . . . . . . 817--819 Arthur Fries and Gouri K. Bhattacharyya Analysis of two-factor experiments under an inverse Gaussian model . . . . . . . 820--826 Richard L. Dykstra An algorithm for restricted least squares regression . . . . . . . . . . . 837--842 Henrik Spliid A fast estimation method for the vector autoregressive moving average model with exogenous variables . . . . . . . . . . 843--849 Philip J. Byrne and Steven F. Arnold Inference about multivariate means for a nonstationary autoregressive model . . . 850--855 Jukka Nyblom and Timo Mäkeläinen Comparisons of tests for the presence of random walk coefficients in a simple linear model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 856--864 Dipak K. Dey and James O. Berger On truncation of shrinkage estimators in simultaneous estimation of normal means 865--869 Roger L. Wright Finite population sampling with multivariate auxiliary information . . . 879--884 Thomas P. Hettmansperger and Joseph W. McKean A geometric interpretation of inferences based on ranks in the linear model . . . 885--893 Akimichi Takemura Tensor analysis of ANOVA decomposition 894--900 Daniel Q. Naiman Comparing Scheffé-type to constant-width confidence bounds in regression . . . . 906--912 J. F. McDonald and M. A. Selby and C. S. Wong and L. D. Favro and P. K. Kuo Tests, point estimations, and confidence sets for a capture-recapture model . . . 913--919 Arthur Cohen and Constantine Gatsonis and John I. Marden Hypothesis testing for marginal probabilities in a $2\times 2\times 2$ contingency table with conditional independence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 920--929 Olivier Guilbaud Nonparametric prediction intervals for sample medians in the general case . . . 937--941 C. Zachary Gilstein and Edward E. Leamer The set of weighted regression estimates 942--948 Jason C. Hsu and Donald G. Edwards Sequential multiple comparisons with the best . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 958--964 Donald G. Edwards and Jason C. Hsu Multiple comparisons with the best treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 965--971 Arthur J. Roth Robust trend tests derived and simulated: analogs of the Welch and Brown-Forsythe tests . . . . . . . . . . 972--980 Laurens de Haan Corrigenda: ``Estimation of the minimum of a function using order statistics'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 76 (1981), no. 374, 467--469, MR 83a:62103] . . . . 1008--1008 J. S. Huang and M. Ghosh Corrigenda: ``A note on strong unimodality of order statistics'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 77 (1982), no. 380, 929--930, MR 84d:62098] . . . . . . 1008--1008
J. J. Mezrich and S. P. Frysinger and R. Slivjanovski Dynamic Representation of Multivariate Time Series Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 34--40 Ruey S. Tsay and George C. Tiao Consistent estimates of autoregressive parameters and extended sample autocorrelation function for stationary and nonstationary ARMA models . . . . . 84--96 David A. Freedman and Stephen C. Peters Bootstrapping a regression equation: some empirical results . . . . . . . . . 97--106 Jeffrey D. Hart Efficiency of a kernel density estimator under an autoregressive dependence model 110--117 Ruey S. Tsay Regression models with time series errors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118--124 Khursheed Alam Analysis of grouped data from multinomial populations . . . . . . . . 132--135 George Y. Wong Rank-one round robin designs . . . . . . 136--144 David W. Smith and Leigh W. Murray An alternative to Eisenhart's model ${\rm II}$ and mixed model in the case of negative variance estimates . . . . . 145--151 Kam-Wah Tsui Robustness of Clevenson-Zidek-type estimators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152--157 Roger L. Berger and Dennis F. Sinclair Testing hypotheses concerning unions of linear subspaces . . . . . . . . . . . . 158--163 Barry R. James and Kang Ling James and Henrique Westenberger An efficient ${R}$-estimator for the ${\rm ED}50$ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164--173 Mete Sirvanci and Grace Yang Estimation of the Weibull parameters under type ${\rm I}$ censoring . . . . . 183--187 Russell A. Boyles and Francisco J. Samaniego Modeling and inference for multivariate binary data with positive dependence . . 188--193 Terence J. O'Neill A goodness-of-fit test for one-sample life table data . . . . . . . . . . . . 194--199 David Tritchler On inverting permutation tests . . . . . 200--207 Michael A. Fligner A note on two-sided distribution-free treatment versus control multiple comparisons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208--211 James L. Kepner and David H. Robinson A distribution-free rank test for ordered alternatives in randomized complete block designs . . . . . . . . . 212--217 George Marsaglia The exact-approximation method for generating random variables in a computer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 218--221
Sam C. Saunders and Janet M. Myhre On the behavior of certain maximum likelihood estimators from large, randomly censored samples . . . . . . . 294--301 D. V. Hinkley and G. Runger The analysis of transformed data. With discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 302--320 Raymond J. Carroll and David Ruppert Power transformations when fitting theoretical models to data . . . . . . . 321--328 Wolfgang Polasek Regression diagnostics for general linear regression models . . . . . . . . 336--340 Ronald W. Butler The significance attained by the best-fitting regressor variable . . . . 341--348 Ronald H. Randles On tests applied to residuals . . . . . 349--354 D. A. Dickey and D. P. Hasza and W. A. Fuller Testing for unit roots in seasonal time series . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 355--367 Thomas A. Louis Estimating a population of parameter values using Bayes and empirical Bayes methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 393--398 W. B. Yeo and H. A. David Selection through an associated characteristic, with applications to the random effects model . . . . . . . . . . 399--405 Gregory Reinsel Estimation and prediction in a multivariate random effects generalized linear model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 406--414 Andrew L. Rukhin Adaptive classification procedures . . . 415--422 David J. Gates and Mark Westcott On the distributions of scan statistics 423--429 John S. Rose Optimal sequential selection based on relative ranks with renewable call options . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 430--435 Joseph Glaz and Bruce McK. Johnson Probability inequalities for multivariate distributions with dependence structures . . . . . . . . . 436--440 Richard D. Gill Understanding Cox's regression model: a martingale approach . . . . . . . . . . 441--447 Richard L. Schmoyer Sigmoidally constrained maximum likelihood estimation in quantal bioassay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 448--453 Y. C. Chang A truncated maximum likelihood estimator of a constrained bivariate linear regression coefficient . . . . . . . . . 454--458 Corwin L. Atwood Approximate tolerance intervals, based on maximum likelihood estimates . . . . 459--465
Paul R. Rosenbaum Conditional permutation tests and the propensity score in observational studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 565--574 Richard R. Picard and R. Dennis Cook Cross-validation of regression models 575--583 B. W. Silverman A fast and efficient cross-validation method for smoothing parameter choice in spline regression . . . . . . . . . . . 584--589 Wayne A. Woodward and William C. Parr and William R. Schucany and Hildegard Lindsey A comparison of minimum distance and maximum likelihood estimation of a mixture proportion . . . . . . . . . . . 590--598 Jerome H. Friedman and Werner Stuetzle and Anne Schroeder Projection pursuit density estimation 599--608 Robert J. Shiller Smoothness priors and nonlinear regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 609--615 Halina Frydman Maximum likelihood estimation in the mover-stayer model . . . . . . . . . . . 632--638 Barbara McKnight and John Crowley Tests for differences in tumor incidence based on animal carcinogenesis experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 639--648 L. J. Wei Testing goodness of fit for proportional hazards model with censored observations 649--652 L. J. Wei and J. M. Lachin Two-sample asymptotically distribution-free tests for incomplete multivariate observations . . . . . . . 653--661 Stephen C. Hora and W. J. Conover The ${F}$ statistic in the two-way layout with rank-score transformed data 668--673 Ronald L. Iman and Stephen C. Hora and W. J. Conover Comparison of asymptotically distribution-free procedures for the analysis of complete blocks . . . . . . 674--685 Wallace E. Franck A likelihood ratio test for stochastic ordering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 686--691 M. J. Morton and H. L. Gray The ${G}$-spectral estimator . . . . . . 692--701 Wassily Hoeffding Range preserving unbiased estimators in the multinomial case . . . . . . . . . . 712--714 Satoru Kanoh and Yoshiatsu Kusunoki One-sided simultaneous bounds in linear regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 715--719 G. E. Bonney and G. E. Kissling On the inverse of a patterned covariance matrix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 722--723
Clifford C. Clogg and Leo A. Goodman Latent structure analysis of a set of multidimensional contingency tables . . 762--780 Kirk M. Wolter An investigation of some estimators of variance for systematic sampling . . . . 781--790 Bradley Efron Comparing nonnested linear models . . . 791--803 Shie-Shien Yang Sample analogs to multidimensional coverages with applications to prediction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 804--806 William S. Cleveland and Robert McGill The many faces of a scatterplot . . . . 807--822 Vijayan N. Nair On the behavior of some estimators from probability plots . . . . . . . . . . . 823--831 Douglas Nychka and Grace Wahba and Stanley Goldfarb and Thomas Pugh Cross-validated spline methods for the estimation of three-dimensional tumor size distributions from observations on two-dimensional cross sections . . . . . 832--846 Trevor J. Sweeting Approximate inference in location-scale regression models . . . . . . . . . . . 847--852 Raghu N. Kackar and David A. Harville Approximations for standard errors of estimators of fixed and random effects in mixed linear models . . . . . . . . . 853--862 Yosef Hochberg and Yetty Varon-Salomon On simultaneous pairwise comparisons in analysis of covariance . . . . . . . . . 863--866 Edward E. Leamer Global sensitivity results for generalized least squares estimates . . 867--870 Peter J. Rousseeuw Least median of squares regression . . . 871--880 Giles Warrack and Tim Robertson A likelihood ratio test regarding two nested but oblique order-restricted hypotheses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 881--886 Rand R. Wilcox Selecting the best population, provided it is better than a standard: the unequal variance case . . . . . . . . . 887--891 Bernhard N. Flury Common principal components in $k$ groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 892--898 Raj S. Chhikara and Jim McKeon Linear discriminant analysis with misallocation in training samples . . . 899--906 John F. Geweke Measures of conditional linear dependence and feedback between time series . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 907--915 Victor Solo The order of differencing in ARIMA models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 916--921 W. David Kelton and Christina M. L. Kelton Hypothesis tests for Markov process models estimated from aggregate frequency data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 922--928 Timothy R. C. Read Small-sample comparisons for the power divergence goodness-of-fit statistics 929--935 Eugene F. Schuster Classification of probability laws by tail behavior . . . . . . . . . . . . . 936--939 Donald G. Edwards and Jason C. Hsu Corrigenda: ``Multiple comparisons with the best treatment'' . . . . . . . . . . 965--965
John W. Tukey Comments on \em Estimating the population in a census year: 1980 and beyond . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127--128 John W. Tukey and P. Velleman The variance of slopes of lines fitted by groups: An analysis of the Johnstone and Velleman Monte Carlo results. Comment on ``The resistant line and related regression methods,'' by I. Johnstone and P. Velleman . . . . . . . 1055--1059
Y. Vardi and L. A. Shepp and L. Kaufman A statistical model for positron emission tomography. With discussion . . 8--37 Peter Tryfos and Russell Blackmore Forecasting records . . . . . . . . . . 46--50 Kazuyuki Suzuki Nonparametric estimation of lifetime distributions from a record of failures and follow-ups . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68--72 Mike West and P. Jeff Harrison and Helio S. Migon Dynamic generalized linear models and Bayesian forecasting. With discussion 73--97 David A. Harville Decomposition of prediction error . . . 132--138 Barry E. Storer and John Crowley A diagnostic for Cox regression and general conditional likelihoods . . . . 139--147 Robert E. Fay A jackknifed chi-squared test for complex samples . . . . . . . . . . . . 148--157 Paul P. Biemer and S. Lynne Stokes Optimal design of interviewer variance experiments in complex surveys . . . . . 158--166 James H. Albert and Arjun K. Gupta Bayesian methods for binomial data with applications to a nonresponse problem 167--174 Jacqueline Oler Noncentrality parameters in chi-squared goodness-of-fit analyses with an application to log-linear procedures . . 181--189 Esa Uusipaikka Exact simultaneous confidence intervals for multiple comparisons among three or four mean values . . . . . . . . . . . . 196--201 Patrick W. Crockett Asymptotic distribution of the Hildreth-Houck estimator . . . . . . . . 202--204 David Ruppert On the bounded-influence regression estimator of Krasker and Welsch . . . . 205--208 George R. Terrell and David W. Scott Oversmoothed nonparametric density estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209--214 Sidney J. Yakowitz Nonparametric density estimation, prediction, and regression for Markov sequences . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 215--221 H. Joe and N. Reid Estimating the number of faults in a system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 222--226 Mark C. K. Yang and Tse Chin Mo Distribution-free confidence bounds for $P(X_1 + X_2 + \cdots + X_k < z)$ . . . . 227--230
K. E. Basford and G. J. McLachlan Estimation of allocation rates in a cluster analysis context . . . . . . . . 286--293 Albert W. Marshall and Ingram Olkin A family of bivariate distributions generated by the bivariate Bernoulli distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 332--338 David Oakes Self-calibrating priors do not exist. With comments by A. P. Dawid and Mark J. Schervish . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339--342 Carson E. Agnew Multiple probability assessments by dependent experts . . . . . . . . . . . 343--347 David W. Scott Frequency polygons: theory and application . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 348--354 Nathaniel Schenker Qualms about bootstrap confidence intervals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 360--361 Wei-Yin Loh A new method for testing separate families of hypotheses . . . . . . . . . 362--368 Said E. Said and David A. Dickey Hypothesis testing in ${\rm ARIMA}(p,1,q)$ models . . . . . . . . . 369--374 Joseph L. Gastwirth The use of maximin efficiency robust tests in combining contingency tables and survival analysis . . . . . . . . . 381--384 Robert W. Keener and Donald M. Waldman Maximum likelihood regression of rank-censored data . . . . . . . . . . . 385--392 J. F. Lancaster and Dana Quade A nonparametric test for linear regression based on combining Kendall's tau with the sign test . . . . . . . . . 393--397 Gouri K. Bhattacharyya The asymptotics of maximum likelihood and related estimators based on type ${\rm II}$ censored data . . . . . . . . 398--404 L. J. Wei and D. Pee Distribution-free methods of estimating location difference with censored paired data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 405--410 Bruce J. Collings and Barry H. Margolin Testing goodness of fit for the Poisson assumption when observations are not identically distributed . . . . . . . . 411--418 Raymond J. Carroll and F. Lombard A note on ${N}$ estimators for the binomial distribution . . . . . . . . . 423--426 Jeremy M. G. Taylor Measures of location of skew distributions obtained through Box--Cox transformations . . . . . . . . . . . . 427--432 Eve Bofinger Multiple comparisons and type ${\rm III}$ errors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 433--437 John D. Spurrier and Steven P. Isham Exact simultaneous confidence intervals for pairwise comparisons of three normal means . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 438--442 William J. Butler and Richard A. Kronmal Discrimination with polychotomous predictor variables using orthogonal functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 443--448 C. Page Shapiro Allocation schemes for estimating the product of positive parameters . . . . . 449--454 Ajit C. Tamhane Some sequential procedures for selecting the better Bernoulli treatment by using a matched samples design . . . . . . . . 455--460 Stephen M. Samuels A best-choice problem with linear travel cost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 461--464 Glen Meeden and Stephen Vardeman Bayes and admissible set estimation . . 465--471 Robert A. Wijsman A useful inequality on ratios of integrals, with application to maximum likelihood estimation . . . . . . . . . 472--475 Takeaki Kariya A nonlinear version of the Gauss--Markov theorem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 476--477
Bruce D. Spencer Optimal data quality . . . . . . . . . . 564--573 Leo Breiman and Jerome H. Friedman Estimating optimal transformations for multiple regression and correlation. With discussion and with a reply by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 580--619 J. N. K. Rao and C.-F. J. Wu Inference from stratified samples: second-order analysis of three methods for nonlinear statistics . . . . . . . . 620--630 Richard Valliant Nonlinear prediction theory and the estimation of proportions in a finite population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 631--641 George Knafl and Jerome Sacks and Donald Ylvisaker Confidence bands for regression functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 683--691 A. S. Hedayat and Dibyen Majumdar Combining experiments under Gauss--Markov models . . . . . . . . . . 698--703 Ernest R. Montagne and Nozer D. Singpurwalla Robustness of sequential exponential life-testing procedures . . . . . . . . 715--179 George Casella Condition numbers and minimax ridge regression estimators . . . . . . . . . 753--758
J. D. Kalbfleisch and J. F. Lawless The analysis of panel data under a Markov assumption . . . . . . . . . . . 863--871 R. Dennis Cook and Jeffrey A. Witmer A note on parameter-effects curvature 872--878 Bruce G. Lindsay Errors in inspection: integer parameter maximum likelihood in a finite population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 879--885 M. Berman and G. K. Eagleson A useful upper bound for the tail probabilities of the scan statistic when the sample size is large . . . . . . . . 886--889 Benjamin F. King Surveys combining probability and quota methods of sampling . . . . . . . . . . 890--896 Donald Malec and J. Sedransk Bayesian inference for finite population parameters in multistage cluster sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 897--902 Beverley D. Causey and Lawrence H. Cox and Lawrence R. Ernst Applications of transportation theory to statistical problems . . . . . . . . . . 903--909 Paul D. Sampson and Andrew F. Siegel The measure of ``size'' independent of ``shape'' for multivariate lognormal populations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 910--914 Bernhard N. Flury Analysis of linear combinations with extreme ratios of variance . . . . . . . 915--922 Robb J. Muirhead Estimating a particular function of the multiple correlation coefficient . . . . 923--925 Jerry G. Thursby The relationship among the specification tests of Hausman, Ramsey, and Chow . . . 926--928 Raymond J. Carroll and Paul Gallo and Leon Jay Gleser Comparison of least squares and errors-in-variables regression, with special reference to randomized analysis of covariance . . . . . . . . . . . . . 929--932 Clifford M. Hurvich Data-driven choice of a spectrum estimate: extending the applicability of cross-validation methods . . . . . . . . 933--940 Naoto Kunitomo and Taku Yamamoto Properties of predictors in misspecified autoregressive time series models . . . 941--950 Masahito Kobayashi Comparison of efficiencies of several estimators for linear regressions with autocorrelated errors . . . . . . . . . 951--953 Leon Jay Gleser Exact power of goodness-of-fit tests of Kolmogorov type for discontinuous distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 954--958 W. C. M. Kallenberg and J. Oosterhoff and B. F. Schriever The number of classes in chi-squared goodness-of-fit tests . . . . . . . . . 959--968 Cyrus R. Mehta and Nitin R. Patel and Robert Gray Computing an exact confidence interval for the common odds ratio in several $2\times 2$ contingency tables . . . . . 969--973 C.-F. Jeff Wu Efficient sequential designs with binary data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 974--984 Ching Ming Yeh and Ralph A. Bradley and William I. Notz Nearly trend-free block designs . . . . 985--992 Robert J. Mislevy Estimation of latent group effects . . . 993--997 Gregory Campbell and John H. Skillings Nonparametric stepwise multiple comparison procedures . . . . . . . . . 998--1003 Shie-Shien Yang A smooth nonparametric estimator of a quantile function . . . . . . . . . . . 1004--1011 Carol J. Feltz and Richard L. Dykstra Maximum likelihood estimation of the survival functions of ${N}$ stochastically ordered random variables 1012--1019 S. M. Bendre and B. K. Kale Masking effect on tests for outliers in exponential models . . . . . . . . . . . 1020--1025 Robert A. Stine Bootstrap prediction intervals for regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1026--1031 Alexander M. Samarov Bounded-influence regression via local minimax mean squared error . . . . . . . 1032--1040 Iain M. Johnstone and Paul F. Velleman The resistant line and related regression methods. With a comment by John W. Tukey . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1041--1059 William C. Rinaman, Jr. Corrections: ``On distribution-free rank tests for two-way layouts'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 78 (1983), no. 383, 655--659, MR 85a:62120] . . . . . . . . 1084--1084
Luke Tierney and Joseph B. Kadane Accurate approximations for posterior moments and marginal densities . . . . . 82--86 Dennis V. Lindley and Nozer D. Singpurwalla Reliability (and fault tree) analysis using expert opinions . . . . . . . . . 87--90 Myles Hollander and Dong Ho Park and Frank Proschan A class of life distributions for aging 91--95 Finbarr O'Sullivan and Brian S. Yandell and William J. Raynor, Jr. Automatic smoothing of regression functions in generalized linear models 96--103 Richard M. Royall The prediction approach to robust variance estimation in two-stage cluster sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119--123 Louis-Paul Rivest Bartlett's, Cochran's, and Hartley's tests on variances are liberal when the underlying distribution is long-tailed 124--128 Irwin Guttman and Ulrich Menzefricke Counting by weighing: an approach using renewal theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129--131 Alexander Shapiro Asymptotic theory of overparameterized structural models . . . . . . . . . . . 142--149 Walter Krämer Least squares regression when the independent variable follows an ARIMA process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150--154 Oscar H. Bustos and Víctor J. Yohai Robust estimates for ARMA models . . . . 155--168 Gerald S. Walton The number of observed classes from a multiple hypergeometric distribution . . 169--171 Kam-Wah Tsui Further developments on the robustness of Clevenson-Zidek-type means estimators 176--180 Daniel W. Schafer Combining information on measurement error in the errors-in-variables model 181--185 Martin S. Levy and S. K. Perng An optimal prediction function for the normal linear model . . . . . . . . . . 196--198 M. S. Srivastava and K. J. Worsley Likelihood ratio tests for a change in the multivariate normal mean . . . . . . 199--204 S. Zacks Estimating the scale parameter of an exponential distribution from a sample of time-censored $r$th-order statistics 205--209 Luis A. Escobar The equivalence of regression-simple and best-linear-unbiased estimators with type ${\rm II}$ censored data from a location scale distribution . . . . . . 210--214 W. J. Padgett A kernel-type estimator of a quantile function from right-censored data . . . 215--222 Roy N. Tamura and Dennis D. Boos Minimum Hellinger distance estimation for multivariate location and covariance 223--229 Peter J. Diggle and Peter Hall The selection of terms in an orthogonal series density estimator . . . . . . . . 230--233 Michael E. Tarter Mean integrated squared error sampling 234--242 Robert J. Boik Testing the rank of a matrix with applications to the analysis of interaction in ANOVA . . . . . . . . . . 243--248
Kirk M. Wolter Some coverage error models for census data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 338--346 Charles D. Cowan and Donald Malec Capture-recapture models when both sources have clustered observations . . 347--353 Donald B. Rubin and Nathaniel Schenker Multiple imputation for interval estimation from simple random samples with ignorable nonresponse . . . . . . . 366--374 Ronald F. Czaja and Cecelia B. Snowden and Robert J. Casady Reporting bias and sampling errors in a survey of a rare population using multiplicity counting rules . . . . . . 411--419 George S. Easton and Elvezio Ronchetti General saddlepoint approximations with applications to ${L}$ statistics . . . . 420--430 Julio L. Peixoto and David A. Harville Comparisons of alternative predictors under the balanced one-way random model 431--436 Edward I. George Combining minimax shrinkage estimators 437--445 Arnold Zellner Bayesian estimation and prediction using asymmetric loss functions . . . . . . . 446--451 Philip J. Brown and Clive D. Payne Aggregate data, ecological regression, and voting transitions . . . . . . . . . 452--460 Bradley Efron How biased is the apparent error rate of a prediction rule . . . . . . . . . . . 461--470 Dennis E. Jennings Judging inference adequacy in logistic regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 471--476 Michael Haber and Morton B. Brown Maximum likelihood methods for ${\rm log}$-linear models when expected frequencies are subject to linear constraints . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 477--482 Kenneth J. Koehler Goodness-of-fit tests for ${\rm log}$-linear models in sparse contingency tables . . . . . . . . . . . 483--493 L. Paul Fatti and Douglas M. Hawkins Variable selection in heteroscedastic discriminant analysis . . . . . . . . . 494--500 Gary A. Simon and Jeffrey S. Simonoff Diagnostic plots for missing data in least squares regression . . . . . . . . 501--509 Masahito Kobayashi A bounds test of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions when disturbance variances are unequal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 510--513 R. L. Eubank A note on smoothness priors and nonlinear regression . . . . . . . . . . 514--517 Stephan Morgenthaler Robust confidence intervals for a location parameter: the configural approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 518--525 Michael N. Boyd and Pranab K. Sen Union-intersection rank tests for ordered alternatives in ANOCOVA . . . . 526--532 Paul D. Koch and Shie-Shien Yang A method for testing the independence of two time series that accounts for a potential pattern in the cross-correlation function . . . . . . . 533--544 Jukka Nyblom Testing for deterministic linear trend in time series . . . . . . . . . . . . . 545--549 William C. Louv and Ramon C. Littell Combining one-sided binomial tests . . . 550--554 Mohammad Sadooghi-Alvandi The choice of subsample size in two-stage sampling . . . . . . . . . . . 555--558
G. Andreatta and G. M. Kaufman Estimation of finite population properties when sampling is without replacement and proportional to magnitude . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 657--666 H. Y. Chiu and J. Sedransk A Bayesian procedure for imputing missing values in sample surveys . . . . 667--676 Jiunn T. Hwang Multiplicative errors-in-variables models with applications to recent data released by the U.S. Department of Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 680--688 Joachim Hartung and Bernard Voet Best invariant unbiased estimators for the mean squared error of variance component estimators . . . . . . . . . . 689--691 J. Kleffe and J. N. K. Rao The existence of asymptotically unbiased nonnegative quadratic estimates of variance components in ANOVA models . . 692--698 Wei-Yin Loh Improved estimators for ratios of variance components . . . . . . . . . . 699--702 N. Singh A simple and asymptotically optimal test for the equality of normal populations. A pragmatic approach to one-way classification . . . . . . . . . . . . . 703--704 Dana L. Thomas and David R. Thomas Confidence bands for percentiles in the linear regression model . . . . . . . . 705--708 Bradley Efron Double exponential families and their use in generalized linear regression . . 709--721 Scott L. Zeger and Ron Brookmeyer Regression analysis with censored autocorrelated data . . . . . . . . . . 722--729 Michael E. Mack Efficiencies of weighted averages in stationary autoregressive processes . . 730--735 Agustín Maravall Revisions in ARIMA signal extraction . . 736--740 Robert Kohn and Craig F. Ansley Estimation, prediction, and interpolation for ARIMA models with missing data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 751--761 David S. Stoffer Estimation and identification of space-time ARMAX models in the presence of missing data . . . . . . . . . . . . 762--772 Zvi Gilula Grouping and association in contingency tables: an exploratory canonical correlation approach . . . . . . . . . . 773--779 Zvi Gilula and Shelby J. Haberman Canonical analysis of contingency tables by maximum likelihood . . . . . . . . . 780--788 C. J. Skinner and D. J. Holmes and T. M. F. Smith The effect of sample design on principal component analysis . . . . . . . . . . . 789--798 Mark F. Schilling Multivariate two-sample tests based on nearest neighbors . . . . . . . . . . . 799--806 Sebastiao de Amorim and Richard A. Johnson Experimental designs for estimating the correlation between two destructively tested variables . . . . . . . . . . . . 807--812 Daniel T. Voss First-order deletion designs and the construction of efficient nearly orthogonal factorial designs in small blocks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 813--818 Ashis Sen Gupta and Lea Vermeire Locally optimal tests for multiparameter hypotheses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 819--825 Ove Frank and David Strauss Markov graphs . . . . . . . . . . . . . 832--842 Colin R. Blyth Approximate binomial confidence limits 843--855
Stephen M. Stigler John Craig and the probability of history: from the death of Christ to the birth of Laplace . . . . . . . . . . . . 879--887 Paul W. Holland Statistics and causal inference. With discussion and a reply by the author . . 945--970 Michael Goldstein Exchangeable belief structures . . . . . 971--976 Donald A. Pierce and Daniel W. Schafer Residuals in generalized linear models 977--986 Dennis E. Jennings Outliers and residual distributions in logistic regression . . . . . . . . . . 987--990 David C. Hoaglin and Boris Iglewicz and John W. Tukey Performance of some resistant rules for outlier labeling . . . . . . . . . . . . 991--999 Anthony J. Hayter The maximum familywise error rate of Fisher's least significant difference test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1000--1004 Jeffrey S. Simonoff Jackknifing and bootstrapping goodness-of-fit statistics in sparse multinomials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1005--1011 Woo Chul Kim A lower confidence bound on the probability of a correct selection . . . 1012--1017 Dennis D. Boos Comparing $k$ populations with linear rank statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . 1018--1025 Vincent N. LaRiccia Asymptotically chi-squared distributed tests of normality for type ${\rm II}$ censored samples . . . . . . . . . . . . 1026--1031 Michael G. Akritas Bootstrapping the Kaplan--Meier estimator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1032--1038 Russell A. Boyles and Francisco J. Samaniego Estimating a distribution function based on nomination sampling . . . . . . . . . 1039--1045 Andrew L. Rukhin Improved estimation in lognormal models 1046--1049 Pranab Kumar Sen The Gini coefficient and poverty indexes: some reconciliations . . . . . 1050--1057 Malay Ghosh and Glen Meeden Empirical Bayes estimation in finite population sampling . . . . . . . . . . 1058--1062 Raymond L. Chambers Outlier robust finite population estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1063--1069 Walter K. Kremers Completeness and unbiased estimation for sum-quota sampling . . . . . . . . . . . 1070--1073 Jeffrey D. Hart and Thomas E. Wehrly Kernel regression estimation using repeated measurements data . . . . . . . 1080--1088 D. G. Hoel and T. Yanagawa Incorporating historical controls in testing for a trend in proportions . . . 1095--1099 H. L. Gray and Wayne A. Woodward A new ARMA spectral estimator . . . . . 1100--1108 S. M. Bendre and B. K. Kale Correction: ``Masking effect on tests for outliers in exponential samples'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 80 (1985), no. 392, 1020--1025, MR 87c:62036] . . . 1132--1132 C. R. Mehta and N. R. Patel and R. Gray Correction: ``Computing an exact confidence interval for the common odds ratio in several $2\times 2$ contingency tables'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 80 (1985), no. 392, 969--973] . . . . . . . 1132--1132 B. N. Nagarsenker and J. Suniaga Correction: ``Distributions of a class of statistics useful in multivariate analysis'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 78 (1983), no. 382, 472--475, MR 84i:62070] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1132--1132 Mark C. K. Yang and T. C. Mo Correction: ``Distribution-free confidence bounds for $P(X_1+X_2+\cdots+X_k<z)$'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 80 (1985), no. 389, 227--230, MR 87b:62061] . . . . . . . . 1132--1132
Yuchung J. Wang and George Y. Wong Stochastic blockmodels for directed graphs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8--19 Roman Krzysztofowicz Markovian forecast processes . . . . . . 31--37 Joseph L. Gastwirth and Samuel W. Greenhouse Estimating a common relative risk: application in equal employment . . . . 38--45 Roderick J. A. Little and Philip J. Smith Editing and imputation for quantitative survey data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58--68 David K. Pickard Inference for discrete Markov fields: the simplest nontrivial case . . . . . . 90--96 Nan Laird and Nicholas Lange and Daniel Stram Maximum likelihood computations with repeated measures: application of the EM algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97--105 George Casella and Roger L. Berger Reconciling Bayesian and frequentist evidence in the one-sided testing problem. With comments and a rejoinder by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106--111 James O. Berger and Thomas Sellke Testing a point null hypothesis: irreconcilability of ${P}$ values and evidence. With comments and a rejoinder by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112--139 George Y. Wong Bayesian models for directed graphs . . 140--148 James S. Hodges Assessing the accuracy of normal approximations . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149--154 Wei-Yin Loh Calibrating confidence coefficients . . 155--162 Thomas DiCiccio and Robert Tibshirani Bootstrap confidence intervals and bootstrap approximations . . . . . . . . 163--170 Bradley Efron Better bootstrap confidence intervals. With comments and a rejoinder by the author . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171--200 John S. Meyer Outer and inner confidence intervals for finite population quantile intervals . . 201--204 David Edwards and Tomá\vs Havránek A fast model selection procedure for large families of models . . . . . . . . 205--213 Daniel Q. Naiman Simultaneous confidence bounds in multiple regression using predictor variable constraints . . . . . . . . . . 214--219 Gideon Schwarz A minimax property of linear regression 220--220 G. P. Y. Clarke Approximate confidence limits for a parameter function in nonlinear regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221--230 Hans-Georg Müller Weighted local regression and kernel methods for nonparametric curve fitting 231--238 Miguel Villalobos and Grace Wahba Inequality-constrained multivariate smoothing splines with application to the estimation of posterior probabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239--248 Jerome H. Friedman Exploratory projection pursuit . . . . . 249--266 J. A. Hartigan Estimation of a convex density contour in two dimensions . . . . . . . . . . . 267--270 Alan J. Izenman and Sanat K. Sarkar Simultaneous confidence regions for the frequency analysis of multiple time series . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271--275 George E. P. Box and David A. Pierce and Paul Newbold Estimating trend and growth rates in seasonal time series . . . . . . . . . . 276--282 Vijayan N. Nair Chi-squared-type tests for ordered alternatives in contingency tables . . . 283--291 Thomas P. Hettmansperger and Robert M. Norton Tests for patterned alternatives in $k$-sample problems . . . . . . . . . . 292--299 J. C. van Houwelingen and L. de Vries Minimax estimation of the mixing proportion of two known distributions 300--304 Murray K. Clayton and Edward W. Frees Nonparametric estimation of the probability of discovering a new species 305--311 Thomas R. Fleming and David P. Harrington and Margaret O'Sullivan Supremum versions of the log-rank and generalized Wilcoxon statistics . . . . 312--320
Mark W. Watson Uncertainty in model-based seasonal adjustment procedures and construction of minimax filters . . . . . . . . . . . 395--408 Richard F. Potthoff Some generalizations of the Mitofsky-Waksberg technique for random digit dialing . . . . . . . . . . . . . 409--418 D. B. Carr and R. J. Littlefield and W. L. Nicholson and J. S. Littlefield Scatterplot matrix techniques for large ${N}$ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 424--436 Michael Greenacre and Trevor Hastie The geometric interpretation of correspondence analysis . . . . . . . . 437--447 Roger J. Bowden Repeated sampling in the presence of publication effects. With comments by Lawrence S. Cahoon and Peter C. Ordeshook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 476--491 Ronald Christensen The analysis of two-stage sampling data by ordinary least squares . . . . . . . 492--498 Richard Valliant Generalized variance functions in stratified two-stage sampling . . . . . 499--508 Richard Valliant Conditional properties of some estimators in stratified sampling . . . 509--519 Bruce Jay Collings Compound random number generators . . . 525--527 Martin A. Tanner and Wing Hung Wong The calculation of posterior distributions by data augmentation. With discussion and with a reply by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 528--550 B. W. Silverman and J. T. Wood The nonparametric estimation of branching curves . . . . . . . . . . . . 551--558 Robert Tibshirani and Trevor Hastie Local likelihood estimation . . . . . . 559--567 Lih-Yuan Deng and C.-F. J. Wu Estimation of variance of the regression estimator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 568--576 Walter Krämer and Christian Donninger Spatial autocorrelation among errors and the relative efficiency of OLS in the linear regression model . . . . . . . . 577--579 A. O'Hagan Bayes linear estimators for randomized response models . . . . . . . . . . . . 580--585 Peter H. Westfall Computable MINQUE-type estimates of variance components . . . . . . . . . . 586--589 Ruey S. Tsay Conditional heteroscedastic time series models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 590--604 Steven G. Self and Kung-Yee Liang Asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators and likelihood ratio tests under nonstandard conditions 605--610 Chu-In Charles Lee Chi-squared tests for and against an order restriction on multinomial parameters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 611--618 Alan Agresti and Christy Chuang and Abbas Kezouh Order-restricted score parameters in association models for contingency tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 619--623 Daniel Zelterman Goodness-of-fit tests for large sparse multinomial distributions . . . . . . . 624--629 D. Roland Thomas and J. N. K. Rao Small-sample comparisons of level and power for simple goodness-of-fit statistics under cluster sampling . . . 630--636 Serge Tardif Efficiency and optimality results for tests based on weighted rankings . . . . 637--644 Gottfried E. Noether Sample size determination for some common nonparametric tests . . . . . . . 645--647 Willem Albers and Michael G. Akritas Combined rank tests for the two-sample problem with randomly censored data . . 648--655 Rudy A. Gideon and Robert A. Hollister A rank correlation coefficient resistant to outliers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 656--666 Sanat K. Sarkar A continuous bivariate exponential distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 667--675 Jeffrey S. Simonoff Comment on: ``Performance of some resistant rules for outlier labeling'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 81 (1986), no. 396, 991--999] by D. C. Hoaglin, B. Iglewicz and J. W. Tukey. With reply by Hoaglin, Iglewicz and Tukey . . . . . . 703--704 J. M. Chambers and C. L. Mallows and B. W. Stuck Correction to: ``A method for simulating stable random variables'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 71 (1976), no. 354, 340--344, MR 54 #4059] . . . . . . . . . 704--704 Michael E. Mack Correction to: ``Efficiencies of weighted averages in stationary autoregressive processes'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 81 (1986), no. 395, 730--735, MR 87j:62174] . . . . . . . . 704--704
Nan M. Laird and Thomas A. Louis Empirical Bayes confidence intervals based on bootstrap samples. With discussion and with a reply by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 739--757 Bruce G. Lindsay and Kathryn Roeder A unified treatment of integer parameter models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 758--764 Michael L. Stein Minimum norm quadratic estimation of spatial variograms . . . . . . . . . . . 765--772 James M. Dickey and Jyh-Ming Jiang and Joseph B. Kadane Bayesian methods for censored categorical data . . . . . . . . . . . . 773--781 Frank A. Wolak An exact test for multiple inequality and equality constraints in the linear regression model . . . . . . . . . . . . 782--793 Diane L. Souvaine and J. Michael Steele Time- and space-efficient algorithms for least median of squares regression . . . 794--801 Douglas G. Simpson Minimum Hellinger distance estimation for the analysis of count data . . . . . 802--807 J. F. Lawless Regression methods for Poisson process data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 808--815 R. L. Eubank and V. N. LaRiccia and R. B. Rosenstein Test statistics derived as components of Pearson's phi-squared distance measure 816--825 J. Robinson Conditioning ratio estimates under simple random sampling . . . . . . . . . 826--831 Scott L. Zeger and Clifford M. Hurvich A frequency-domain median time series 832--835 Daniel Peña and George E. P. Box Identifying a simplifying structure in time series . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 836--843 G. P. Y. Clarke Marginal curvatures and their usefulness in the analysis of nonlinear regression models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 844--850 Roger Koenker and Stephen Portnoy ${L}$-estimation for linear models . . . 851--857 Ingram Olkin and Clifford H. Spiegelman A semiparametric approach to density estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 858--865 Peter H. Westfall A comparison of variance component estimates for arbitrary underlying distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 866--874 Simon Fitzpatrick and Alastair Scott Quick simultaneous confidence intervals for multinomial proportions . . . . . . 875--878 Walter W. Piegorsch Model robustness for simultaneous confidence bands . . . . . . . . . . . . 879--885 Donald W. K. Andrews and Peter C. B. Phillips Best median-unbiased estimation in linear regression with bounded asymmetric loss functions . . . . . . . 886--893 Daniel Q. Naiman Minimax regret simultaneous confidence bands for multiple regression functions 894--901 Hari Mukerjee and Tim Robertson and F. T. Wright Comparison of several treatments with a control using multiple contrasts . . . . 902--910 Victor De Gruttola and James H. Ware and Thomas A. Louis Influence analysis of generalized least squares estimators . . . . . . . . . . . 911--917 F.-W. Scholz and M. A. Stephens $k$-sample Anderson--Darling tests . . . 918--924 Andrew L. Rukhin How much better are better estimators of a normal variance . . . . . . . . . . . 925--928 William E. Griffiths and R. Carter Hill and Peter J. Pope Small sample properties of probit model estimators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 929--937 Gillian Z. Stein and Walter Zucchini and June M. Juritz Parameter estimation for the Sichel distribution and its multivariate extension . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 938--944
Robert T. Holden Time series analysis of a contagious process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1019--1026 Genshiro Kitagawa Non-Gaussian state-space modeling of nonstationary time series. With comments and a reply by the author . . . . . . . 1032--1063 Steven C. Hillmer and Abdelwahed Trabelsi Benchmarking of economic time series . . 1064--1071 Robert A. Stine Estimating properties of autoregressive forecasts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1072--1078 M. Davidian and R. J. Carroll Variance function estimation . . . . . . 1079--1091 Alexander Shapiro and Michael W. Browne Analysis of covariance structures under elliptical distributions . . . . . . . . 1092--1097 Salomon Minkin Optimal designs for binary data . . . . 1098--1103 Janet Wittes and Sylvan Wallenstein The power of the Mantel--Haenszel test 1104--1109 Karim F. Hirji and Cyrus R. Mehta and Nitin R. Patel Computing distributions for exact logistic regression . . . . . . . . . . 1110--1117 Arthur Cohen and H. B. Sackrowitz An approach to inference following model selection with applications to transformation-based and adaptive inference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1123--1130 David W. Scott and George R. Terrell Biased and unbiased cross-validation in density estimation . . . . . . . . . . . 1131--1146 Gideon Schwarz Least-absolute-value prediction lines in closed form . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1150--1152 Malay Ghosh and Parthasarathi Lahiri Robust empirical Bayes estimation of means from stratified samples . . . . . 1153--1162 Adrian E. Raftery Inference and prediction for a general order statistic model with unknown population size . . . . . . . . . . . . 1163--1168 Theodore Karrison Restricted mean life with adjustment for covariates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1169--1176 Graham Bornholt Comment on J. O. Berger and T. Sellke: ``Testing a point null hypothesis: irreconcilability of $P$ values and evidence'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 82 (1987), no. 397, 112--139, MR 89a:62009a]. With a reply by Sellke . . 1201--1201
James H. Stock Estimating continuous-time processes subject to time deformation . . . . . . 77--85 Wolfgang Härdle and Peter Hall and J. S. Marron How far are automatically chosen regression smoothing parameters from their optimum? With comments by David W. Scott and Iain Johnstone and a reply by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86--101 Wolfgang Härdle and Adrian W. Bowman Bootstrapping in nonparametric regression: local adaptive smoothing and confidence bands . . . . . . . . . . . . 102--110 P. C. B. Phillips and Joon Y. Park Asymptotic equivalence of ordinary least squares and generalized least squares in regressions with integrated regressors 111--115 Satoru Kanoh The reduction of the width of confidence bands in linear regression . . . . . . . 116--122 K. R. W. Brewer and Muhammad Hanif and S. M. Tam How nearly can model-based prediction and design-based estimation be reconciled . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128--132 Thomas Mathew and Bimal Kumar Sinha Optimum tests for fixed effects and variance components in balanced models 133--135 Jan F. Bjòrnstad and Ronald W. Butler The equivalence of backward elimination and multiple comparisons . . . . . . . . 136--144 Richard A. Johnson and Samaradasa Weerahandi A Bayesian solution to the multivariate Behrens--Fisher problem . . . . . . . . 145--149 C.-F. J. Wu and D. Holt and D. J. Holmes The effect of two-stage sampling on the ${F}$ statistic . . . . . . . . . . . . 150--159 Adam T. Martinsek Negative regret, optional stopping, and the elimination of outliers . . . . . . 160--163 Ben Zehnwirth A generalization of the Kalman filter for models with state-dependent observation variance . . . . . . . . . . 164--167 C. Mitchell Dayton and George B. Macready Concomitant-variable latent-class models 173--178 Daniel Zelterman and Chan Fu Chen Homogeneity tests against central-mixture alternatives . . . . . . 179--182 Yehuda Vardi Statistical models for intercepted data 183--197 Alan P. Fenech and Peter H. Westfall The power function of conditional log-linear model tests . . . . . . . . . 198--203 Olivier Guilbaud Exact Kolmogorov-type tests for left-truncated and/or right-censored data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213--221 Michael G. Akritas Pearson-type goodness-of-fit tests: the univariate case . . . . . . . . . . . . 222--230 J. N. K. Rao and C.-F. J. Wu Resampling inference with complex survey data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231--241 S. M. Tam Some results on robust estimation in finite population sampling . . . . . . . 242--248 Alan J. Rogers The Bahadur efficiency of tests of some joint hypotheses . . . . . . . . . . . . 257--264
Joseph B. Kadane and Robert L. Winkler Separating probability elicitation from utilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 357--363 James O. Berger and John Deely A Bayesian approach to ranking and selection of related means with alternatives to analysis-of-variance methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 364--373 S. Lynne Stokes and Thomas W. Sager Characterization of a ranked-set sample with application to estimating distribution functions . . . . . . . . . 374--381 E. Z. Ferenstein and E. G. Enns Optimal sequential selection from a known distribution with holding costs 382--386 Peter J. Bickel and Joseph A. Yahav Richardson extrapolation and the bootstrap . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 387--393 Víctor J. Yohai and Ruben H. Zamar High breakdown-point estimates of regression by means of the minimization of an efficient scale . . . . . . . . . 406--413 Bradley Efron Logistic regression, survival analysis, and the Kaplan--Meier curve . . . . . . 414--425 Thér\`ese A. Stukel Generalized logistic models . . . . . . 426--431 Jack C. Lee Prediction and estimation of growth curves with special covariance structures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 432--440 Richard L. Schmoyer Linear interpolation with a nonparametric accelerated failure-time model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 441--449 William J. Welch and Leopoldo G. Gutierrez Robust permutation tests for matched-pairs designs . . . . . . . . . 450--455 James L. Kepner and David H. Robinson Nonparametric methods for detecting treatment effects in repeated-measures designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 456--461 John D. Spurrier Generalizations of Steel's treatments-versus-control multivariate sign test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 471--476 Ching-Shui Cheng and Dibyen Majumdar and John Stufken and Tahsin Erkan Türe Optimal step-type designs for comparing test treatments with a control . . . . . 477--482 E. J. Hannan and A. J. McDougall Regression procedures for ARMA estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 490--498 Melvin J. Hinich and Murray A. Wolinsky A test for aliasing using bispectral analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 499--502 Anthony O'Hagan and James O. Berger Ranges of posterior probabilities for quasiunimodal priors with specified quantiles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 503--508 Peter J. Lenk The logistic normal distribution for Bayesian, nonparametric, predictive densities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 509--516 Karen Kafadar and John W. Tukey A bidec $t$ table . . . . . . . . . . . 532--539 Zvi Gilula and Abba M. Krieger and Yaakov Ritov Ordinal association in contingency tables: some interpretive aspects . . . 540--545 Richard L. Dykstra and Jon H. Lemke Duality of ${I}$ projections and maximum likelihood estimation for log-linear models under cone constraints . . . . . 546--554 Shelby J. Haberman A warning on the use of chi-squared statistics with frequency tables with small expected cell counts . . . . . . . 555--560
Stephen M. Stigler A look backward on the occasion of the centenary of JASA . . . . . . . . . . . 583--587 Rudolf Beran Balanced simultaneous confidence sets 679--686 Rudolf Beran Prepivoting test statistics: a bootstrap view of asymptotic refinements . . . . . 687--697 Joseph P. Romano A bootstrap revival of some nonparametric distance tests . . . . . . 698--708 Wei-Yin Loh and Nunta Vanichsetakul Tree-structured classification via generalized discriminant analysis. With a comment by Leo Breiman and Jerome H. Friedman and with a reply by the authors 715--728 Charles F. Manski Identification of binary response models 729--738 Dorota M. D\kabrowska and Kjell A. Doksum Estimation and testing in a two-sample generalized odds-rate model . . . . . . 744--749 Hans-Georg Müller and Thomas Schmitt Kernel and probit estimates in quantal bioassay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 750--759 Zvi Gilula and Shelby J. Haberman The analysis of multivariate contingency tables by restricted canonical and restricted association models . . . . . 760--771 L. Mark Berliner and Bruce M. Hill Bayesian nonparametric survival analysis. With comments by Christian Genest, Jack Kalbfleisch and Seymour Geisser and with a reply by the authors 772--784 Kwok-Leung Tsui and Nicholas P. Jewell and C.-F. J. Wu A nonparametric approach to the truncated regression problem . . . . . . 785--792 Peter Diggle and J. S. Marron Equivalence of smoothing parameter selectors in density and intensity estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 793--800 Mohamed M. T. Limam and David R. Thomas Simultaneous tolerance intervals for the linear regression model . . . . . . . . 801--804 P. J. de Jongh and T. de Wet and A. H. Welsh Mallows-type bounded-influence-regression trimmed means . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 805--810 Charles J. Monlezun and David C. Blouin A general nested split-plot analysis of covariance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 818--823 Albert W. Marshall and Ingram Olkin Families of multivariate distributions 834--841 Ngai Hang Chan The parameter inference for nearly nonstationary time series . . . . . . . 857--862 Lars Peter Hansen and John C. Heaton and Masao Ogaki Efficiency bounds implied by multiperiod conditional moment restrictions . . . . 863--871 S. R. Dalal and C. L. Mallows When should one stop testing software 872--879 Chong Sun Hong and H. T. David Granularity and efficiency . . . . . . . 880--885 Michael A. Fligner and Joseph S. Verducci Multistage ranking models . . . . . . . 892--901
William Kruskal Miracles and statistics: the casual assumption of independence . . . . . . . 929--940 David M. Gay and Roy E. Welsch Maximum Likelihood and Quasi-Likelihood for Nonlinear Exponential Family Regression Models . . . . . . . . . . . 990--998 Cyrus R. Mehta and Nitin R. Patel and Pralay Senchaudhuri Importance sampling for estimating exact probabilities in permutational inference 999--1005 Jenny Baglivo and Donald Olivier and Marcello Pagano Methods for the analysis of contingency tables with large and small cell counts 1006--1013 T. J. Mitchell and J. J. Beauchamp Bayesian variable selection in linear regression. With comments by James Berger and C. L. Mallows and with a reply by the authors . . . . . . . . . . 1023--1036 James H. Albert Computational methods using a Bayesian hierarchical generalized linear model 1037--1044 Raymond J. Carroll and C.-F. Jeff Wu and David Ruppert The effect of estimating weights in weighted least squares . . . . . . . . . 1045--1054 Jiro Hodoshima The effect of truncation on the identifiability of regression coefficients . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1055--1056 Alice S. Whittemore and Joseph B. Keller Approximations for regression with covariate measurement error . . . . . . 1057--1066 Ian Abramson A recursive regression for high-dimensional models, with application to growth curves and repeated measures . . . . . . . . . . . 1073--1077 Christine Jennen-Steinmetz and Theo Gasser A unifying approach to nonparametric regression estimation . . . . . . . . . 1084--1089 Nancy E. Heckman Minimax estimates in a semiparametric model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1090--1096 James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson Testing for common trends . . . . . . . 1097--1107 Noel Cressie A graphical procedure for determining nonstationarity in time series . . . . . 1108--1116 Marc Hallin and Guy Mélard Rank-based tests for randomness against first-order serial dependence . . . . . 1117--1128 Mitsushi Tamaki A Bayesian approach to the best-choice problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1129--1133 Douglas Nychka Bayesian confidence intervals for smoothing splines . . . . . . . . . . . 1134--1143 Myles Hollander and Edsel Peña Nonparametric tests under restricted treatment-assignment rules . . . . . . . 1144--1151 Ching-Shui Cheng and Mike Jacroux The construction of trend-free run orders of two-level factorial designs 1152--1158 Willem Albers Combined rank tests for randomly censored paired data . . . . . . . . . . 1159--1162 Knut M. Wittkowski Friedman-type statistics and consistent multiple comparisons for unbalanced designs with missing data . . . . . . . 1163--1170 Hina Mehta Malani and John Van Ryzin Comparison of two treatments in animal carcinogenicity experiments . . . . . . 1171--1177 Ted Chang Estimating the relative rotation of two tectonic plates from boundary crossings 1178--1183 Raymond J. Carroll and Peter Hall Optimal rates of convergence for deconvolving a density . . . . . . . . . 1184--1186 Shaul K. Bar-Lev and Peter Enis Sign-preserving unbiased estimators in linear exponential families . . . . . . 1187--1189 Steve Verrill and Richard A. Johnson Tables and large-sample distribution theory for censored-data correlation statistics for testing normality . . . . 1192--1197 Kartik R. Patel and Govind S. Mudholkar and J. L. Indrasiri Fernando Student's $t$ approximations for three simple robust estimators . . . . . . . . 1203--1210
E. Ericksen and J. B. Kadane and John W. Tukey Adjusting the 1980 Census of Housing and Population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 927--944
Mark R. Conaway Analysis of repeated categorical measurements with conditional likelihood methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53--62 P. J. Bickel and A. M. Krieger Confidence bands for a distribution function using the bootstrap . . . . . . 95--100 J. B. F. Field and A. T. James and W. N. Venables The influence of assumptions implicit in a model on parametric inference . . . . 101--106 Douglas G. Simpson Hellinger deviance tests: efficiency, breakdown points, and examples . . . . . 107--113 Jun Shao The efficiency and consistency of approximations to the jackknife variance estimators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114--119 Mohan Delampady Lower bounds on Bayes factors for interval null hypotheses . . . . . . . . 120--124 F. C. Drost and W. C. M. Kallenberg and D. S. Moore and J. Oosterhoff Power approximations to multinomial tests of fit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130--141 Barry C. Arnold and S. James Press Compatible conditional distributions . . 152--156 Harry Joe Relative entropy measures of multivariate dependence . . . . . . . . 157--164 Jerome H. Friedman Regularized discriminant analysis . . . 165--175 Adi Raveh A nonmetric approach to linear discriminant analysis . . . . . . . . . 176--183 Roger Peck and Lloyd Fisher and John Van Ness Approximate confidence intervals for the number of clusters . . . . . . . . . . . 184--191 Roger L. Berger Uniformly more powerful tests for hypotheses concerning linear inequalities and normal means . . . . . 192--199 James O. Berger and Jose-M. Bernardo Estimating a product of means: Bayesian analysis with reference priors . . . . . 200--207 A. J. Hayter Pairwise comparisons of generally correlated means . . . . . . . . . . . . 208--213 M. J. Bayarri and M. H. DeGroot Optimal reporting of predictions . . . . 214--222 Jukka Nyblom Testing for the constancy of parameters over time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223--230 Ruey S. Tsay Testing and modeling threshold autoregressive processes . . . . . . . . 231--240 Terry E. Dielman and Roger C. Pfaffenberger Efficiency of ordinary least squares for linear models with autocorrelation . . . 248--248 Hannu Oja and Jukka Nyblom Bivariate sign tests . . . . . . . . . . 249--259 James Bethel Minimum variance estimation in stratified sampling . . . . . . . . . . 260--265 Joan G. Staniswalis The kernel estimate of a regression function in likelihood-based models . . 276--283 Joan G. Staniswalis Local bandwidth selection for kernel estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284--288 Peter Bacchetti Additive isotonic models . . . . . . . . 289--294 Lyn R. Whitaker and Francisco J. Samaniego Estimating the reliability of systems subject to imperfect repair . . . . . . 301--309 Mike Jacroux The ${A}$-optimality of block designs for comparing test treatments with a control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310--317 Hongsuk Jorn and Jerome Klotz The contrast algorithm for unbalanced multifactor analysis of variance . . . . 318--324 G. L. Thompson and L. P. Ammann Efficacies of rank-transform statistics in two-way models with no interaction 325--330 G. P. Y. Clarke Correction to: ``Marginal curvatures and their usefulness in the analysis of nonlinear regression models'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 82 (1987), no. 399, 844--850, MR 88k:62104] . . . . . . . . 352--352 Phillip S. Kott Comment to: ``Conditioning ratio estimates under simple random sampling'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 82 (1987), no. 399, 826--831, MR 88h:62016] by J. Robinson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 352--352
Bernard Rosner Multivariate methods for clustered binary data with more than one level of nesting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 373--380 David Ruppert and Brian Aldershof Transformations to symmetry and homoscedasticity . . . . . . . . . . . . 437--446 Kung-Yee Liang and Scott L. Zeger A class of logistic regression models for multivariate binary time series . . 447--451 Eric M. Chi and Gregory C. Reinsel Models for longitudinal data with random effects and ${\rm AR}(1)$ errors . . . . 452--459 Hans R. Künsch and Leonard A. Stefanski and Raymond J. Carroll Conditionally unbiased bounded-influence estimation in general regression models, with applications to generalized linear models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 460--466 David Oakes Bivariate survival models induced by frailties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 487--493 R. Douglas Martin and Ruben H. Zamar Asymptotically min-max bias robust ${M}$-estimates of scale for positive random variables . . . . . . . . . . . . 494--501 Trevor Hastie and Werner Stuetzle Principal curves . . . . . . . . . . . . 502--516 Vernon M. Chinchilli and Barry H. Schwab and Pranab K. Sen Inference based on ranks for the multiple-design multivariate linear model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 517--524 Arjun K. Gupta and A. K. Md. Ehsanes Saleh and Pranab K. Sen Improved estimation in a contingency table: independence structure . . . . . 525--532 Mukhtar M. Ali Tests for autocorrelation and randomness in multiple time series . . . . . . . . 533--540 Allan R. Sampson and Lyn R. Whitaker Estimation of multivariate distributions under stochastic ordering . . . . . . . 541--548 Arthur Cohen and H. B. Sackrowitz Exact tests that recover interblock information in balanced incomplete blocks designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . 556--559 Joseph Glaz Approximations and bounds for the distribution of the scan statistic . . . 560--566 James H. Stock Nonparametric policy analysis . . . . . 567--575 Peter M. Hooper Experimental randomization and the validity of normal-theory inference . . 576--586 M. Karen Campbell and Allan Donner Classification efficiency of multinomial logistic regression relative to ordinal logistic regression . . . . . . . . . . 587--591 Sanat K. Sarkar Quasi-independence in ordinal triangular contingency tables . . . . . . . . . . . 592--597 Kam-Wah Tsui and Samaradasa Weerahandi Generalized $p$-values in significance testing of hypotheses in the presence of nuisance parameters . . . . . . . . . . 602--607 E. J. Hannan and A. J. McDougall Correction: ``Regression procedures for ARMA estimation'' . . . . . . . . . . . 636--636
Luke Tierney and Robert E. Kass and Joseph B. Kadane Fully exponential Laplace approximations to expectations and variances of nonpositive functions . . . . . . . . . 710--716 Jun Shao Monte Carlo approximations in Bayesian decision theory . . . . . . . . . . . . 727--732 M. C. Jones Discretized and interpolated kernel density estimates . . . . . . . . . . . 733--741 Mei-Cheng Wang A semiparametric model for randomly truncated data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 742--748 A. Hedayat and J. Stufken A relation between pairwise balanced and variance balanced block designs . . . . 753--755
Persi Diaconis and Frederick Mosteller Methods for studying coincidences . . . 853--861 Kenneth L. Lange and Roderick J. A. Little and Jeremy M. G. Taylor Robust statistical modeling using the $t$ distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . 881--896 Wolfgang Härdle and Thomas M. Stoker Investigating smooth multiple regression by the method of average derivatives . . 986--995 Nicholas I. Fisher and Peter Hall Bootstrap confidence regions for directional data . . . . . . . . . . . . 996--1002 Halbert White Some Asymptotic Results for Learning in Single Hidden Layer Feedforward Network Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1003--1013 Ronald H. Randles A distribution-free multivariate sign test based on interdirections . . . . . 1045--1050 Tom Leonard and John S. J. Hsu and Kam-Wah Tsui Bayesian marginal inference . . . . . . 1051--1058 L. J. Wei and D. Y. Lin and L. Weissfeld Regression analysis of multivariate incomplete failure time data by modeling marginal distributions . . . . . . . . . 1065--1073 D. Y. Lin and L. J. Wei The robust inference for the Cox proportional hazards model . . . . . . . 1074--1078 Barry C. Arnold and S. James Press Bayesian estimation and prediction for Pareto data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1079--1084 Piet de Jong Smoothing and interpolation with the state-space model . . . . . . . . . . . 1085--1088 Malay Ghosh and Pranab Kumar Sen Median unbiasedness and Pitman closeness 1089--1091
Janet L. Norwood Statistics and Public Policy: Reflections of a Changing World . . . . 1 Uri Shmueli and George H. Weiss Probabilistic Methods in Crystal Structure Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . 6--19 Gail Gong and Alice S. Whittemore and Stella Grosser Censored Survival Data With Misclassified Covariates: a Case Study of Breast-Cancer Mortality . . . . . . . 20 Michael E. Tarter and William R. Freeman and Lincoln Polissar Modular Nonparametric Subsurvival Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Jelke G. Bethlehem and Wouter J. Keller and Jeroen Pannekoek Disclosure Control of Microdata . . . . 38 Elizabeth A. Stasny and Harold R. Bauer Deviations From Randomness in Children's Early Speech . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Robert Alan Johnson Measurement of Hispanic Ethnicity in the U.S. Census: An Evaluation Based on Latent-Class Analysis . . . . . . . . . 58 Byeong U. Park and J. S. Marron Comparison of Data-Driven Bandwidth Selectors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 Michael G. Akritas The Rank Transform Method in Some Two-Factor Designs . . . . . . . . . . . 73--78 Bradley Efron More Efficient Bootstrap Computations 79--89 Melinda H. Harder Effects of Censoring on the Validity of Confidence Intervals . . . . . . . . . . 90--96 Peter J. Rousseeuw and Gilbert W. Bassett, Jr. The Remedian: A Robust Averaging Method for Large Data Sets . . . . . . . . . . 97--104 Bradley P. Carlin and Alan E. Gelfand Approaches for Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals . . . . . . . . . . 105 Herbert Edelsbrunner and Diane L. Souvaine Computing Least Median of Squares Regression Lines and Guided Topological Sweep . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 David Edelman An Inequality of Optimal Order for the Tail Probabilities of the T Statistic Under Symmetry . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 D. M. Reneau and F. J. Samaniego Estimating the Survival Curve When New Is Better Than Used of a Specified Age 123--131 Jonathan Raz Testing for No Effect When Estimating a Smooth Function by Nonparametric Regression: A Randomization Approach . . 132 Leo A. Goodman and Shelby J. Haberman The Analysis of Nonadditivity in Two-Way Analysis of Variance . . . . . . . . . . 139--145 Barry E. Storer and Choongrak Kim Exact Properties of Some Exact Test Statistics for Comparing Two Binomial Proportions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 L. J. Wei and R. T. Smythe and D. Y. Lin and T. S. Park Statistical Inference With Data-Dependent Treatment Allocation Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156--162 N. G. N. Prasad and J. N. K. Rao The Estimation of the Mean Squared Error of Small-Area Estimators . . . . . . . . 163--171 A. O'Hagan Outliers and Credence for Location Parameter Inference . . . . . . . . . . 172--176 Michael Sampson A Markov Chain Model for Unskilled Workers and the Highly Mobile . . . . . 177 John D. Spurrier and Azhar Nizam Sample Size Allocation for Simultaneous Inference in Comparison With Control Experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181 Marianthi Markatou and Thomas P. Hettmansperger Robust bounded-influence test in linear models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187--190 Helmut Finner Some New Inequalities for the Range Distribution, With Application to the Determination of Optimum Significance Levels of Multiple Range Tests . . . . . 191--194 Gerhard Sobel Arminger and Michael E. Sobel Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Mean and Covariance Structures With Missing Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 195 David Strauss and Michael Ikeda Pseudolikelihood Estimation for Social Networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 204 Finbarr O'Sullivan An Iterative Approach to Two-Dimensional Laplacian Smoothing With Application to Image Restoration . . . . . . . . . . . 213 Russell Davidson and James G. MacKinnon Specification Tests Based on Artificial Regressions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220 Michael Cain and Roger J. Owen Regressor Levels for Bayesian Predictive Response . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 228 Lucy Suchman and Brigitte Jordan Interactional Troubles in Face-to-Face Survey Interviews . . . . . . . . . . . 232
Clifford C. Clogg and Raymond J. Carroll and Donald Guthrie Editors' Report for 1989 . . . . . . . . 273 Andrew Gelman and Gary King Estimating the Electoral Consequences of Legislative Redistricting . . . . . . . 274 James J. Heckman and James R. Walker Estimating Fecundability From Data on Waiting Times to First Conception . . . 283 Jeffrey Grogger The Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment: An Analysis of Daily Homicide Counts . . . . . . . . . . . . 295 Daniel F. Heitjan and Donald B. Rubin Inference From Coarse Data Via Multiple Imputation With Application to Age Heaping . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 304 Gail Rubin and Charles E. McCulloch and Michael A. Shapiro Multinomial Runs Tests to Detect Clustering in Constrained Free Recall 315 Stuart G. Baker and Kenneth C. Chu Evaluating Screening for the Early Detection and Treatment of Cancer Without Using a Randomized Control Group 321 K. Gordon and A. F. M. Smith Modeling and Monitoring Biomedical Time Series . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 328 Susan Porter-Hudak An Application of the Seasonal Fractionally Difference Model to the Monetary Aggregates . . . . . . . . . . 338 David F. Findley and Brian C. Monsell and Holly B. Shulman and Marian G. Pugh Sliding-Spans Diagnostics for Seasonal and Related Adjustments . . . . . . . . 345 Kazuo Yamaguchi Homophily and Social Distance in the Choice of Multiple Friends . . . . . . . 356 Stanley K. Smith and Terry Sincich The Relationship Between the Length of the Base Period and Population Forecast Errors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 367 George S. Easton and Robert E. McCulloch A Multivariate Generalization of Quantile-Quantile Plots . . . . . . . . 376 R. L. Eubank and C. H. Spiegelman Testing the Goodness of Fit of a Linear Model Via Nonparametric Regression Techniques . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 387 William Thomas Influence on Confidence Regions for Regression Coefficients in Generalized Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 393 Alan E. Gelfand and Adrian F. M. Smith Sampling-Based Approaches to Calculating Marginal Densities . . . . . . . . . . . 398--409 Simon J. Sheather and J. S. Marron Kernel Quantile Estimators . . . . . . . 410--416 Rudolf Beran Refining Bootstrap Simultaneous Confidence Sets . . . . . . . . . . . . 417--426 Maureen Tingley and Christopher Field Small-Sample Confidence Intervals . . . 427--434 Kung-Yee Liang and Myron A. Waclawiw Extension of the Stein Estimating Procedure Through the Use of Estimating Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 435--440 R. L. Eubank and V. N. LaRiccia Components of Pearson's Phi-Squared Distance Measure for the $k$-Sample Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 441 Xuming He and Douglas G. Simpson and Stephen L. Portnoy Breakdown Robustness of Tests . . . . . 446--452 Alan Agresti and Cyrus R. Mehta and Nitin R. Patel Exact Inference for Contingency Tables With Ordered Categories . . . . . . . . 453--458 Martin T. Wells The Relative Efficiency of Goodness-of-Fit Statistics in the Simple and Composite Hypothesis-Testing Problem 459--463 Edmund A. C. Crouch and Donna Spiegelman The Evaluation of Integrals of the Form $\int^{+\infty}_{-\infty}f(t)exp(-t^2)dt$: Application to Logistic-Normal Models 464--469 George R. Terrell The Maximal Smoothing Principle in Density Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . 470--477 Dorota M. D\kabrowska Signed-Rank Tests for Censored Matched Pairs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 478--485 Lori A. Thombs and William R. Schucany Bootstrap Prediction Intervals for Autoregression . . . . . . . . . . . . . 486 Paul R. Rosenbaum and Abba M. Krieger Sensitivity of Two-Sample Permutation Inferences in Observational Studies . . 493 Carlo Grillenzoni Modeling Time-Varying Dynamical Systems 499 Mara Tableman Bounded-Influence Rank Regression: A One-Step Estimator Based on Wilcoxon Scores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 508--513 Han Feng Chen The Accuracy of Approximate Intervals for a Binomial Parameter . . . . . . . . 514--518 G. L. Thompson and L. P. Ammann Efficiencies of Interblock Rank Statistics for Repeated Measures Designs 519--528 Jane-Ling Wang and Thomas P. Hettmansperger Two-Sample Inference for Median Survival Times Based on One-Sample Procedures for Censored Survival Data . . . . . . . . . 529 Alan Donald and Allan Donner A Simulation Study of the Analysis of Sets of 2 x 2 Contingency Tables Under Cluster Sampling: Estimation of a Common Odds Ratio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 537 R. Dennis Cook and Sanford Weisberg Confidence Curves in Nonlinear Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 544 Dawn Peters and Ronald H. Randles A Multivariate Signed-Rank Test for the One-Sample Location Problem . . . . . . 552--557 Hal Stern Models for Distributions on Permutations 558 Norman Breslow Tests of Hypotheses in Overdispersed Poisson Regression and Other Quasi-Likelihood Models . . . . . . . . 565 Philip F. Rust and Eberhard O. Voit Statistical Densities, Cumulatives, Quantiles, and Power Obtained by $S$-System Differential Equations . . . 572 Robert L. Mason and Jerome P. Keating and Pranab K. Sen and Neil W. Blaylock, Jr. Comparison of Linear Estimators Using Pitman's Measure of Closeness . . . . . 579--581 James J. Heckman and Richard Robb and James R. Walker Testing the Mixture of Exponentials Hypothesis and Estimating the Mixing Distribution by the Method of Moments 582 Nicholas I. Fisher and Peter Hall Correction: ``Bootstrap confidence regions for directional data'' . . . . . 608--608
Juha M. Alho and Bruce D. Spencer Error Models for Official Mortality Forecasts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 609 Kathryn Roeder Density Estimation With Confidence Sets Exemplified by Superclusters and Voids in the Galaxies . . . . . . . . . . . . 617 Elaine M. Keramidas and Jack C. Lee Forecasting Technological Substitutions With Concurrent Short Time Series . . . 625 Peter J. Rousseeuw and Bert C. van Zomeren Unmasking Multivariate Outliers and Leverage Points . . . . . . . . . . . . 633 Peter J. Rousseeuw and Bert C. van Zomeren Rejoinder: Unmasking Multivariate Outliers and Leverage Points . . . . . . 648 Raymond J. Carroll and Leonard A. Stefanski Approximate Quasi-likelihood Estimation in Models With Surrogate Predictors . . 652--663 Edward J. Wegman Hyperdimensional Data Analysis Using Parallel Coordinates . . . . . . . . . . 664 Thomas S. Shively and Craig F. Ansley and Robert Kohn Fast Evaluation of the Distribution of the Durbin-Watson and Other Invariant Test Statistics in Time Series Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 676 Joseph P. Romano On the Behavior of Randomization Tests Without a Group Invariance Assumption 686--692 William J. Welch Construction of Permutation Tests . . . 693 Greg C. G. Wei and Martin A. Tanner A Monte Carlo Implementation of the EM Algorithm and the Poor Man's Data Augmentation Algorithms . . . . . . . . 699 Clifford M. Hurvich and Scott L. Zeger A Frequency Domain Selection Criterion for Regression With Autocorrelated Errors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 705 Rudolf Beran Calibrating Prediction Regions . . . . . 715--723 Jonathan D. Cryer and John C. Nankervis and N. E. Savin Forecast Error Symmetry in ARIMA Models 724--728 A. H. Welsh and H. L. Morrison Robust L Estimation of Scale With an Application in Astronomy . . . . . . . . 729 Takashi Yanagawa and Yoshinori Fujii Homogeneity Test With a Generalized Mantel-Haenzel Estimator for $L2 \times K$ Contingency Tables . . . . . . . . . 744 N. S. Altman Kernel Smoothing of Data With Correlated Errors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 749 M. Clutton-Brock Density Estimation Using Exponentials of Orthogonal Series . . . . . . . . . . . 760 Joseph G. Ibrahim Incomplete Data in Generalized Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 765 R. Dennis Cook and Tsai Chih-Ling Diagnostics for Assessing the Accuracy of Normal Approximations in Exponential Family Nonlinear Models . . . . . . . . 770 A. J. Hayter A One-Sided Studentized Range Test for Testing Against a Simple Ordered Alternative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 778 Ali S. Hadi and Martin T. Wells Assessing the Effects of Multiple Rows on the Condition Number of a Matrix . . 786 Robert W. Mee Confidence Intervals for Probabilities and Tolerance Regions Based on a Generalization of the Mann--Whitney Statistic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 793 Chong Gu Adaptive Spline Smoothing in Non-Gaussian Regression Models . . . . . 801 Joachim Kunert On the Power of Tests for Multiple Comparisons of Three Normal Means . . . 808 Sung K. Ahn and Gregory C. Reinsel Estimation for Partially Nonstationary Multivariate Autoregressive Models . . . 813 Kun He An Ancillarity Paradox in the Estimation of Multinomial Probabilities . . . . . . 824--828 Greg C. F. Wei and Martin A. Tanner Posterior Computations for Censored Regression Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 829 Mark J. Schervish and Teddy Seidenfeld and Joseph B. Kadane State-Dependent Utilities . . . . . . . 840 Anonymous Quality Control of Welfare Programs . . 848 Fredrica D. Kramer Statistics and Policy in Welfare Quality Control: A Basis for Understanding and Assessing Competing Views . . . . . . . 850 Morris H. Hansen and Benjamin J. Tepping Regression Estimates in Federal Welfare Quality Control Programs . . . . . . . . 856 William B. Fairley and Alan J. Izenman and Partha Bagchi Inference for Welfare Quality Control Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 874 Michael J. Puma and David C. Hoaglin Food Stamp Payment Error Rates: Can State-Specific Performance Standards Be Developed? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 891
Jeffrey E. Harris Reporting Delays and the Incidence of AIDS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 915 Joseph B. Kadane A Statistical Analysis of Adverse Impact of Employer Decisions . . . . . . . . . 925 Charles F. Manski The Use of Intentions Data to Predict Behavior: A Best-Case Analysis . . . . . 934 Lynn A. Sleeper and David P. Harrington Regression Splines in the Cox Model With Application to Covariate Effects in Liver Disease . . . . . . . . . . . . . 941 Timothy C. Haas Lognormal and Moving Window Methods of Estimating Acid Deposition . . . . . . . 950 Joseph K. Haseman and Errol Zeiger and Michael D. Shelby and Barry H. Margolin and Raymond W. Tennant Predicting Rodent Carcinogenicity From Four In Vitro Genetic Toxicity Assays: An Evaluation of 114 Chemicals Studied by the National Toxicology Program . . . 964 Alan E. Gelfand and Susan E. Hills and Amy Racine-Poon and Adrian F. M. Smith Illustration of Bayesian Inference in Normal Data Models Using Gibbs Sampling 972 Kimberly D. Zieschang Sample Weighting Methods and Estimation of Totals in the Consumer Expenditure Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 986 Peter Bacchetti Estimating the Incubation Period of AIDS by Comparing Population Infection and Diagnosis Patterns . . . . . . . . . . . 1002 David E. Bloom and Neil G. Bennett Modeling American Marriage Patterns . . 1009 Joseph W. McKean and Simon J. Sheather and Thomas P. Hettmansperger Regression Diagnostics for Rank-Based Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1018 Naihua Duan The Adjoint Projection Pursuit Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1029--1038 Peter Hall and Jeffrey D. Hart Bootstrap Test for Difference Between Means in Nonparametric Regression . . . 1039 Steven K. Thompson Adaptive Cluster Sampling . . . . . . . 1050 Roger Koenker and Stephen Portnoy $M$ Estimation of Multivariate Regressions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1060--1068 Ngai Hang Chan Inference for Near-Integrated Time Series With Infinite Variance . . . . . 1069 John P. Buonaccorsi Double Sampling for Exact Values in Some Multivariate Measurement Error Problems 1075 Rollin Brant Comparing Classical and Resistant Outlier Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1083 Robert A. Stine and Paul Shaman Bias of Autoregressive Spectral Estimators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1091 Bruce D. Spencer and Lincoln E. Moses Needed Data Expenditure for an Ambiguous Decision Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . 1099--1104 Michael A. Martin On Bootstrap Iteration for Coverage Correction in Confidence Intervals . . . 1105--1118 Julian J. Faraway and Myoungshic Jhun Bootstrap Choice of Bandwidth for Density Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . 1119 Edward W. Frees and David Ruppert Estimation Following a Sequentially Designed Experiment . . . . . . . . . . 1123--1129 Thomas P. McWilliams A Distribution-Free Test for Symmetry Based on a Runs Statistic . . . . . . . 1130 Connie Faye Page Allocation Proportional to Coefficients of Variation When Estimating the Product of Parameters . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1134--1139 D. M. Andrews and H. A. David Nonparametric Analysis of Unbalanced Paired-Comparison or Ranked Data . . . . 1140 Lawrence D. Brown and Roger H. Farrell A Lower Bound for the Risk in Estimating the Value of a Probability Density . . . 1147--1153 Christopher J. Lloyd Confidence Intervals From the Difference Between Two Correlated Proportions . . . 1154 C. Villegas Bayesian Inference in Models With Euclidean Structures . . . . . . . . . . 1159--1164
Vincent P. Barabba Through a Glass Less Darkly . . . . . . 1 B. Efron and D. Feldman Compliance as an Explanatory Variable in Clinical Trials . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Samuel Karlin and Catherine Macken Some Statistical Problems in the Assessment of Inhomogeneities of DNA Sequence Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 James A. Calvin and J. Sedransk Bayesian and Frequentist Predictive Inference for the Patterns of Care Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Andrew R. Solow An Exploratory Analysis of the Occurrence of Explosive Volcanism in the Northern Hemisphere, 1851--1985 . . . . 49 K. J. Worsley and A. C. Evans and S. C. Strother and J. L. Tyler A Linear Spatial Correlation Model, With Applications to Positron Emission Tomography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 Clifford C. Clogg and Donald B. Rubin and Nathaniel Schenker and Bradley Schultz and Lynn Weidman Multiple Imputation of Industry and Occupation Codes in Census Public-use Samples Using Bayesian Logistic Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 Scott L. Zeger and M. Rezaul Karim Generalized linear models with random effects and a Gibbs sampling approach 79--86 Roderick J. A. Little and Mei-Miau Wu Models for Contingency Tables With Known Margins When Target and Sampled Populations Differ . . . . . . . . . . . 87 Bruce Lindsay and Clifford C. Clogg and John Grego Semiparametric Estimation in the Rasch Model and Related Exponential Response Models, Including a Simple Latent Class Model for Item Analysis . . . . . . . . 96--107 Margaret Sullivan Pepe and Thomas R. Fleming A Nonparametric Method for Dealing With Mismeasured Covariate Data . . . . . . . 108--113 Fred W. Huffer and Ian W. McKeague Weighted Least Squares Estimation for Aalen's Additive Risk Model . . . . . . 114 Mei-Cheng Wang Nonparametric Estimation From Cross-Sectional Survival Data . . . . . 130--143 J. Kleffe and N. G. N. Prasad and J. N. K. Rao ``Optimal'' Estimation of Correlated Response Variance Under Additive Models 144--150 Samaradasa Weerahandi Testing Variance Components in Mixed Models With Generalized $p$ Values . . . 151 Ning-Zhong Shi A Test of Homogeneity of Odds Ratios Against Order Restrictions . . . . . . . 154 H. L. Gray and Suojin Wang A General Method for Approximating Tail Probabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159 Yashaswini Mittal Homogeneity of subpopulations and Simpson's paradox . . . . . . . . . . . 167--172 Myron N. Chang On Weak Convergence of an Estimator of the Survival Function When New Is Better Than Used of a Specified Age . . . . . . 173--178 Tsung-Hua Lin and David A. Harville Some Alternatives to Wald's Confidence Interval and Test . . . . . . . . . . . 179--187 Lyinn Chung and John I. Marden Use of Nonnull Models for Rank Statisitics in Bivariate, Two-Sample, and Analysis of Variance Problems . . . 188--200 Michael G. Akritas Robust $M$ Estimation in the Two-Sample Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201--204 Alan Julian Izenman Recent Developments in Nonparametric Density Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . 205 Kenneth H. Pollock Modeling Capture, Recapture, and Removal Statistics for Estimation of Demographic Parameters for Fish and Wildlife Populations: Past, Present, and Future 225
D. A. S. Fraser Statistical Inference: Likelihood to Significance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258--265 Diane Lambert and Bruce Peterson and Irma Terpenning Nondetects, Detection Limits, and the Probability of Detection . . . . . . . . 266 Kirk M. Wolter and Beverley D. Causey Evaluation of Procedures for Improving Population Estimates for Small Areas . . 278 Bruce Cooil Using Medical Malpractice Data to Predict the Frequency of Claims: A Study of Poisson Process Models . . . . . . . 285 Elizabeth A. Stasny Hierarchical Models for the Probabilities of a Survey Classification and Nonresponse: An Example From the National Crime Survey . . . . . . . . . 296 Robert C. Blattberg and Edward I. George Shrinkage Estimation of Price and Promotional Elasticities: Seemingly Unrelated Equations . . . . . . . . . . 304 Ker-Chau Li Sliced inverse regression for dimension reduction. With discussion and a rejoinder by the author . . . . . . . . 316--342 M. P. Wand and J. S. Marron and D. Ruppert Transformations in density estimation. With discussion and a rejoinder by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 343--361 Václav Fabian On the problem of interactions in the analysis of variance. With discussion and a rejoinder by the author . . . . . 362--375 Yali Amit and Ulf Grenander and Mauro Piccioni Structural Image Restoration Through Deformable Templates . . . . . . . . . . 376 James A. Calvin and Richard L. Dykstra Least Squares Estimation of Covariance Matrices in Balanced Multivariate Variance Components Models . . . . . . . 388--395 Michael Lavine Sensitivity in Bayesian Statistics: The Prior and the Likelihood . . . . . . . . 396--399 Michael Lavine An Approach to Robust Bayesian Analysis for Multidimensional Parameter Spaces 400--403 Stein E. Vollset and Karim F. Hirji and Robert M. Elashoff Fast Computation of Exact Confidence Limits for the Common Odds Ratio in a Series of $2 \times 2$ Tables . . . . . 404 G. L. Thompson A Unified Approach to Rank Tests for Multivariate and Repeated Measures Designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 410--419 John Q. Su and L. J. Wei A Lack-of-Fit Test for the Mean Function in a Generalized Linear Model . . . . . 420--426 V. N. LaRiccia Smooth Goodness-of-Fit Tests: A Quantile Function Approach . . . . . . . . . . . 427--431 Tzu-Cheg Kao and George P. McCabe Optimal Sample Allocation for Normal Discrimination and Logistic Regression under Stratified Sampling . . . . . . . 432 Jens Ledet Jensen A Large Deviation-Type Approximation for the ``Box Class'' of Likelihood Ratio Criteria . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 437 D. E. A. Giles and V. K. Srivastava An Unbiased Estimator of the Covariance Matrix of the Mixed Regression Estimator 441--444 G. David Faulkenberry and Abderrazak Garoui Estimating a Population Total Using an Area Frame . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 445 J. C. Wang and C. F. J. Wu An Approach to the Construction of Asymmetrical Orthogonal Arrays . . . . . 450--456 Michael G. Akritas Limitations of the Rank Transform Procedure: A Study of Repeated Measures Designs, Part I . . . . . . . . . . . . 457--460 David S. Stoffer Walsh-Fourier Analysis and Its Statistical Applications . . . . . . . . 461 Anonymous Social Statistics and Public Policy for the 1990s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 486 George Y. Wong and William M. Mason Contextually Specific Effects and Other Generalizations of the Hierarchical Linear Model for Comparative Analysis 487 Robert W. Pearson Social Statistics and an American Urban Underclass: Improving the Knowledge Base 504 Larry S. Corder and Kenneth G. Manton National Surveys and the Health and Functioning of the Elderly: The Effects of Design and Content . . . . . . . . . 513 Allen L. Schirm The Effects of Census Undercount Adjustment on Congressional Apportionment . . . . . . . . . . . . . 526
Frederick L. Hulting and David A. Harville Some Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Procedures for the Analysis of Comparative Experiments and for Small-Area Estimation: Computational Aspects, Frequentist Properties, and Relationships . . . . . . . . . . . . . 557--568 Victor DeGruttola and Nicholas Lange and Urania Dafni Modeling the Progression of HIV Infection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 569 Peter Guttorp and Mary Lou Thompson Estimating Second-Order Parameters of Volcanicity From Historical Data . . . . 578 Joshua D. Angrist The Draft Lottery and Voluntary Enlistment in the Vietnam Era . . . . . 584 Richard Anderson-Sprecher and Johannes Ledolter State-Space Analysis of Wildlife Telemetry Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 595 Francis X. Diebold and Glenn D. Rudebusch Forecasting Output With the Composite Leading Index: a Real-Time Analysis . . 603 Robert H. Shumway and Myron J. Katzoff Adjustment of Provisional Mortality Series: The Dynamic Linear Model With Structured Measurement Errors . . . . . 611 Peter J. Diggle and Nicholas Lange and Francine M. Benes Analysis of Variance for Replicated Spatial Point Patterns in Clinical Neuroanatomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 618 Benjamin Kedem and Harry Pavlopoulos On the Threshold Method for Rainfall Estimation: Choosing the Optimal Threshold Level . . . . . . . . . . . . 626 Finbarr O'Sullivan Discretized Laplacian Smoothing by Fourier Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . 634--642 Theo Gasser and Alois Kneip and Walter Köhler A Flexible and Fast Method for Automatic Smoothing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 643--652 Douglas Nychka Choosing a Range for the Amount of Smoothing in Nonparametric Regression 653--664 Peter Hall and Thomas E. Wehrly A Geometrical Method for Removing Edge Effects From Kernel- Type Nonparametric Regression Estimators . . . . . . . . . 665--672 Lonnie Magee and John B. Burbidge and A. Leslie Robb Computing Kernel-Smoothed Conditional Quantiles From Many Observations . . . . 673 R. Gentleman and J. Crowley Graphical Methods for Censored Data . . 678 Joan G. Staniswalis and Thomas A. Severini Diagnostics for Assessing Regression Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 684--692 William Thomas Influence Diagnostics for the Cross-Validated Smoothing Parameter in Spline Smoothing . . . . . . . . . . . . 693 Ricardo A. Maronna and Víctor J. Yohai The Breakdown Point of Simultaneous General M Estimates of Regression and Scale . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 699--703 Jan Beran $M$ Estimators of Location for Gaussian and Related Processes With Slowly Decaying Serial Correlations . . . . . . 704--708 Michael B. Dollinger and Robert G. Staudte Influence Functions of Iteratively Reweighted Least Squares Estimators . . 709--716 Charles J. Geyer Constrained Maximum Likelihood Exemplified by Isotonic Convex Logistic Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 717 D. Y. Lin Goodness-of-Fit Analysis for the Cox Regression Model Based on a Class of Parameter Estimators . . . . . . . . . . 725 Cathie Spino and Marcello Pagano Efficient Calculation of the Permutation Distribution of Trimmed Means . . . . . 729--737 D. W. Müller and G. Sawitzki Excess Mass Estimates and Tests for Multimodality . . . . . . . . . . . . . 738--746 James R. Schott A Test for a Specific Principal Component of a Correlation Matrix . . . 747--751 Ronald Christensen Small-Sample Characterizations of Near Replicate Lack-of-Fit Tests . . . . . . 752--756 Jae Won Lee and David L. DeMets Sequential comparison of changes with repeated measurements data . . . . . . . 757--762 Won Lee Jae and David L. DeMets Sequential Comparison of Changes With Repeated Measurements Data . . . . . . . 757 R. H. Shumway and D. S. Stoffer Dynamic Linear Models With Switching . . 763 Margaret Sullivan Pepe Inference for Events With Dependent Risks in Multiple Endpoint Studies . . . 770--778 C. J. Skinner On the Efficiency of Raking Ratio Estimation for Multiple Frame Surveys 779--784 Jan Beran and Sucharita Ghosh Slowly Decaying Correlations, Testing Normality, Nuisance Parameters . . . . . 785--791 Ralph A. Bradley and Frances P. Stewart Intrablock Analysis of Designs With Multiple Blocking Criteria . . . . . . . 792 Myra L. Samuels and George Casella and George P. McCabe Interpreting blocks and random factors. With comments and a rejoinder by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 798--821
Mary H. Mulry and Bruce D. Spencer Total Error in PES Estimates of Population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 839 Eugene P. Ericksen and Joseph B. Kadane and Kenneth W. Wachter and Terence P. Speed Total Error in PES Estimates of Population Comments . . . . . . . . . . 855 Mary H. Mulry and Bruce D. Spencer Total Error in PES Estimates of Population Rejoinder . . . . . . . . . . 861 P. A. W. Lewis and J. G. Stevens Nonlinear Modeling of Time Series Using Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 864 Cheryl L. Edwards and E. Philip Howrey A ``True'' Time Series and Its Indicators: An Alternative Approach . . 878 Wei-Chien Chang and Donald E. Weiss An Examination of the Time Series Properties of Beta in the Market Model 883 Daniel F. Heitjan Nonlinear Modeling of Serial Immunologic Data: A Case Study . . . . . . . . . . . 891 Meng Xiao-Li and Donald B. Rubin Using EM to Obtain Asymptotic Variance-Covariance Matrices: The SEM Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 899 Trudy Ann Cameron and D. D. Huppert Referendum Contingent Valuation Estimates: Sensitivity to the Assignment of Offered Values . . . . . . . . . . . 910 Michael Lavine Problems in Extrapolation Illustrated With Space Shuttle O-Ring Data . . . . . 919 Siddhartha R. Dalal and Bruce Hoadley Problems in Extrapolation Illustrated With Space Shuttle O-Ring Data Comment 921 M. J. Bayarri and M. H. DeGroot What Bayesians Expect of Each Other . . 924--932 Dennis V. Lindley and Nozer D. Singpurwalla On the Evidence Needed to Reach Agreed Action Between Adversaries, With Application to Acceptance Sampling . . . 933 L. Mark Berliner Likelihood and Bayesian Prediction of Chaotic Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . 938--952 Carla Currin and Toby Mitchell and Max Morris and Don Ylvisaker Bayesian Prediction of Deterministic Functions, With Applications to the Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 953--963 Michael Lavine and Larry Wasserman and Robert L. Wolpert Bayesian Inference With Specified Prior Marginals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 964--971 Glen Meeden and Stephen Vardeman A Noninformative Bayesian Approach to Interval Estimation in Finite Population Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 972 Joseph G. Ibrahim and Purushottam W. Laud On Bayesian analysis of generalized linear models using Jeffreys's prior . . 981--986 Mike West and Robert L. Winkler Data Base Error Trapping and Prediction 987 Thomas A. Severini A Comparison of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator and the Posterior Mean in the Single-Parameter Case . . . . . . . . . 997--1000 Edwin J. Green and William E. Strawderman A James--Stein Type Estimator for Combining Unbiased and Possibly Biased Estimators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1001--1006 John Bryant and Roger Day Empirical Bayes Analysis for Systems of Mixed Models With Linked Autocorrelated Random Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1007 Bradley P. Carlin and Nicholas G. Polson An Expected Utility Approach to Influence Diagnostics . . . . . . . . . 1013 Marc J. Sobel Bayes and Minimax Sample-Admissible Multivariate Selection Procedures . . . 1022--1023 David S. Stoffer and Kent D. Wall Bootstrapping State-Space Models: Gaussian Maximum Likelihood Estimation and the Kalman Filter . . . . . . . . . 1024--1033 Robert Kohn and Craig F. Ansley A Signal Extraction Approach to the Estimation of Treatment and Control Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1034 Robert Kohn and Craig F. Ansley and David Tharm The Performance of Cross-Validation and Maximum Likelihood Estimators of Spline Smoothing Parameters . . . . . . . . . . 1042 George S. Easton Compromise Maximum Likelihood Estimators for Location . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1051 K. H. Li and T. E. Raghunathan and D. B. Rubin Large-Sample Significance Levels From Multiply Imputed Data Using Moment-Based Statistics and an $F$ Reference Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1065--1073 Neal L. Oden Allocation of Effort in Monte Carlo Simulation for Power of Permutation Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1074 Bryan Langholz and Richard A. Kronmal Tests of Distributional Hypotheses With Nuisance Parameters Using Fourier Series Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1077--1084 Leo A. Goodman Measures, models, and graphical displays in the analysis of cross-classified data. With comments and a rejoinder by the author . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1085--1138
Arnold Zellner Statistics, Science and Public Policy 1 Jeffrey D. Banfield and Adrian E. Raftery Ice Floe Identification in Satellite Images Using Mathematical Morphology and Clustering About Principal Curves . . . 7 Philip Hougaard and Bent Harvald and Niels V. Holm Measuring the Similarities Between the Lifetimes of Adult Danish Twins Born Between 1881--1930 . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Charles F. Manski and Gary D. Sandefur and Sara Mclanahan and Daniel Powers Alternative Estimates of the Effect of Family Structure During Adolescence on High School Graduation . . . . . . . . . 25 Michael E. Sobel and Gerhard Arminger Modeling Household Fertility Decisions: A Nonlinear Simultaneous Probit Model 38 Andrew A. Weiss The Effects of Helmet Use on the Severity of Head Injuries in Motorcycle Accidents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Janet Brody Comment on Maxwell and Delaney . . . . . 57 Wallace Hendricks and Roger Koenker Hierarchical Spline Models for Conditional Quantiles and the Demand for Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Jonathan Raz and Bruce Turetsky and George Fein Frequency Domain Estimation of the Parameters of Human Brain Electrical Dipoles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 Keith A. Soper and Philip Troilo Exact Tests for in Situ Hybridization Experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 Gutti Jogesh Babu and C. Radhakrishna Rao and M. Bhaskara Rao Nonparametric Estimation of Specific Occurrence/Exposure Rate in Risk and Survival Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . 84--89 Peter Bickel and Ping Zhang Variable Selection in Nonparametric Regression With Categorical Covariates 90--97 Bradley Efron Poisson Overdispersion Estimates Based on the Method of Asymmetric Maximum Likelihood . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 Paul D. Sampson and Peter Guttorp Nonparametric Estimation of Nonstationary Spatial Covariance Structure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 Mary L. Lesperance and John D. Kalbfleisch An Algorithm for Computing the Nonparametric MLE of a Mixing Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 B. M. Brown and T. P. Hettmansperger and J. Nyblom and H. Oja On Certain Bivariate Sign Tests and Medians . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127--135 Jae Won Lee and David L. DeMets Sequential Rank Tests With Repeated Measurements in Clinical Trials . . . . 136--142 Steven P. Ellis and Stephan Morgenthaler Leverage and Breakdown in $L_1$ Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143--148 Deanna B. Haunsperger Dictionaries of Paradoxes for Statistical Tests on k Samples . . . . . 149--155 Mervyn J. Silvapulle Robust Wald-Type Tests of One-Sided Hypotheses in the Linear Model . . . . . 156--161 Charles W. Dunnett and Ajit C. Tamhane A Step-Up Multiple Test Procedure . . . 162 A. M. Hasofer and Z. Wang A Test for Extreme Value Domain of Attraction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171 John Fox and Georges Monette Generalized Collinearity Diagnostics . . 178 Bruce E. Barrett and Robert F. Ling General Classes of Influence Measures for Multivariate Regression . . . . . . 184--191 Thomas Mathew and Bimal Kumar Sinha Exact and Optimum Tests in Unbalanced Split-Plot Designs Under Mixed and Random Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 192--200 Marcia L. Gumpertz and Sastry G. Pantula Nonlinear Regression With Variance Components . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201--209 Anne Chao and Shen-Ming Lee Estimating the Number of Classes via Sample Coverage . . . . . . . . . . . . 210--217 W. Härdle and J. S. Marron and A. B. Tsybakov Bandwidth Choice for Average Derivative Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 218--226 W. Härdle and P. Hall and J. S. Marron Regression Smoothing Parameters That Are Not Far From Their Optimum . . . . . . . 227--233 Joel L. Horowitz and George R. Neumann A Generalized Moments Specification Test of the Proportional Hazards Model . . . 234--240 George Kimeldorf and Allan R. Sampson and Lyn R. Whitaker Min and Max Scorings for Two-Sample Ordinal Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 241--247
David R. Brillinger Nerve Cell Spike Train Data Analysis: A Progression of Technique . . . . . . . . 260 Noel Cressie and Frederick L. Hulting A Spatial Statistical Analysis of Tumor Growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 272 Kazuo Yamaguchi Accelerated Failure-Time Regression Models With a Regression Model of Surviving Fraction: An Application to the Analysis of ``Permanent Employment'' in Japan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284 Richard Picard and Maurice Bryson Calibrated Seismic Verification of the Threshold Test Ban Treaty . . . . . . . 293 John M. Clapp and Carmelo Giaccotto Estimating Price Indices for Residential Property: A Comparison of Repeat Sales and Assessed Value Methods . . . . . . . 300 John I. Marden Use of Nested Orthogonal Contrasts in Analyzing Rank Data . . . . . . . . . . 307 Bradley P. Carlin and Robert E. Kass and F. Javier Lerch and Brian R. Huguenard Predicting Working Memory Failure: A Subjective Bayesian Approach to Model Selection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 319 Joshua D. Angrist and Alan B. Krueger The Effect of Age at School Entry on Educational Attainment: An Application of Instrumental Variables With Moments From Two Samples . . . . . . . . . . . . 328 B. Devlin and Neil Risch and Kathryn Roeder Forensic Inference From DNA Fingerprints 337 Donald A. Pierce and Daniel O. Stram and Michael Vaeth and Daniel W. Schafer The Errors-in-Variables Problem: Considerations Provided by Radiation Dose-Response Analyses of the A-Bomb Survivor Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 351 Stephen C. Shiboski and Nicholas P. Jewell Statistical Analysis of the Time Dependence of HIV Infectivity Based on Partner Study Data . . . . . . . . . . . 360 Warren W. Esty Votes or Competitions Which Determine a Winner by Estimating Expected Plurality 373--375 Jean-Claude Deville and Carl-Erik Särndal Calibration Estimators in Survey Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 376--382 Richard F. Potthoff and Max A. Woodbury and Kenneth G. Manton ``Equivalent Sample Size'' and ``Equivalent Degrees of Freedom'' Refinements for Inference Using Survey Weights Under Super- population Models 383--396 Mei-Cheng Wang The Analysis of Retrospectively Ascertained Data in the Presence of Reporting Delays . . . . . . . . . . . . 397 Mark Robert Segal Tree-Structured Methods for Longitudinal Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 407 R. D. Cook and D. M. Hawkins and S. Weisberg Comparison of Model Misspecification Diagnostics Using Residuals From Least Mean of Squares and Least Median of Squares Fits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 419 Zhang Ji and Dennis D. Boos Bootstrap Critical Values for Testing Homogeneity of Covariance Matrices . . . 425 E. Carlstein and C. Krishnamoorthy Boundary Estimation . . . . . . . . . . 430--438 D. G. Simpson and D. Ruppert and R. J. Carroll On One-Step GM Estimates and Stability of Inferences in Linear Regression . . . 439--450 C. B. Dean Testing for Overdispersion in Poisson and Binomial Regression Models . . . . . 451 Myles Hollander and Edsel A. Peña A Chi-Squared Goodness-of-Fit Test for Randomly Censored Data . . . . . . . . . 458--463 Jenny Baglivo and Donald Olivier and Marcello Pagano Methods for Exact Goodness-of-Fit Tests 464 Arthur Cohen and Harold B. Sackrowitz An Evaluation of Some Tests of Trend in Contingency Tables . . . . . . . . . . . 470 Anton K. Formann Linear Logistic Latent Class Analysis for Polytomous Data . . . . . . . . . . 476 Karim F. Hirji Computing Exact Distributions for Polytomous Response Data . . . . . . . . 487--492 Bradley P. Carlin and Nicholas G. Polson and David S. Stoffer A Monte Carlo Approach to Nonnormal and Nonlinear State-Space Modeling . . . . . 493 Ludwig Fahrmeir Posterior Mode Estimation by Extended Kalman Filtering for Multivariate Dynamic Generalized Linear Models . . . 501 Isabella Verdinelli and Joseph B. Kadane Bayesian Designs for Maximizing Information and Outcome . . . . . . . . 510 Larry Wasserman and Joseph B. Kadane Computing Bounds on Expectations . . . . 516--522 Alan E. Gelfand and Adrian F. M. Smith and Lee Tai-Ming Bayesian Analysis of Constrained Parameter and Truncated Data Problems Using Gibbs Sampling . . . . . . . . . . 523 Malay Ghosh Constrained Bayes Estimation With Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 533--540 Lawrence I. Pettit Bayes Factors for Outlier Models Using the Device of Imaginary Observations . . 541 G. Gripenberg Confidence Intervals for Partial Rank Correlations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 546--551 Lora L. Bohn and Douglas A. Wolfe Nonparametric Two-Sample Procedures for Ranked-Set Samples Data . . . . . . . . 552 Susan S. Ellenberg and Dianne M. Finkelstein and David A. Schoenfeld Statistical Issues Arising in AIDS Clinical Trials . . . . . . . . . . . . 562
I. J. Good The Bayes/Non-Bayes Compromise: A Brief Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 597--606 Seymour Geisser Some Statistical Issues in Medicine and Forensics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 607 Nicholas Lange and Bradley P. Carlin and Alan E. Gelfand and Thomas A. Louis and Jeremy M. G. Taylor and Mark R. Segal and Bradley P. Carlin Hierarchical Bayes Models for the Progression of HIV Infection Using Longitudinal CD4 T-Cell Numbers . . . . 615 Victor Degruttola and Ming Tu Xin and Marcello Pagano Pediatric AIDS in New York City: Estimating the Distributions of Infection, Latency, and Reporting Delay and Projecting Future Incidence . . . . 633 Jon E. Anderson and Thomas A. Louis and Niels V. Holm and Bent Harvald Time-Dependent Association Measures for Bivariate Survival Distributions . . . . 641--650 Paul J. Catalano and Louise M. Ryan Bivariate Latent Variable Models for Clustered Discrete and Continuous Outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 651 Ronald D. Lee and Lawrence R. Carter and Robert McNown and Juha M. Alho Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality 659 James C. Spall and John L. Maryak A Feasible Bayesian Estimator of Quantiles for Projectile Accuracy From Non-iid Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 676 Daniel F. McCaffrey and Stephen Ellner and A. Ronald Gallant and Douglas W. Nychka Estimating the Lyapunov Exponent of a Chaotic System With Nonparametric Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 682--695 Leon Jay Gleser The Importance of Assessing Measurement Reliability in Multivariate Regression 696--707 Govinda J. Weerakkody and Dallas E. Johnson Estimation of Within Model Parameters in Regression Models With a Nested Error Structure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 708--713 Eugen Nowak Identifiability in Multivariate Dynamic Linear Errors-in- Variables Models . . . 714--723 David A. Harville and Daniel R. Jeske Mean Squared Error of Estimation or Prediction Under a General Linear Model 724--731 Ping Zhang On the Distributional Properties of Model Selection Criteria . . . . . . . . 732--737 Leo Breiman The Little Bootstrap and Other Methods for Dimensionality Selection in Regression: X-Fixed Prediction Error . . 738--754 R. R. Sitter A Resampling Procedure for Complex Survey Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 755--765 Len Gill and Arthur Lewbel Testing the Rank and Definiteness of Estimated Matrices With Applications to Factor, State-Space, and ARMA Models . . 766--776 James Rochon ARMA Covariance Structures With Time Heteroscedasticity for Repeated Measures Experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 777 Bruce G. Lindsay and Kathryn Roeder Residual Diagnostics for Mixture Models 785--794 Lisa M. Ganio and Daniel W. Schafer Diagnostics for Overdispersion . . . . . 795 Emmanuel Lesaffre and Heinz Kaufmann Existence and Uniqueness of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for a Multivariate Probit Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 805--811 Ehsan S. Soofi A Generalizable Formulation of Conditional Logit With Diagnostics . . . 812 Mark R. Conaway The Analysis of Repeated Categorical Measurements Subject to Nonignorable Nonresponse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 817 Eugene M. Laska and Dei-In Tang and Morris J. Meisner Testing Hypotheses About an Identified Treatment When There Are Multiple Endpoints . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 825--831 Melinda H. Harder Minimum Distance Estimators of Scale With Censored Data . . . . . . . . . . . 832--843 Rubin Klein and S. James Press Adaptive Bayesian Classification of Spatial Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 844 Valen E. Johnson A Technique for Estimating Marginal Posterior Densities in Hierarchical Models Using Mixtures of Conditional Densities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 852--860 Christian Ritter and Martin A. Tanner Facilitating the Gibbs Sampler: The Gibbs Stopper and the Griddy-Gibbs Sampler . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 861 Hani Doss and Richard D. Gill An Elementary Approach to Weak Convergence for Quantile Processes, With Applications to Censored Survival Data 869--877 Susan M. Sanchez and Julia L. Higle Observational Studies of Rare Events: A Subset Selection Approach . . . . . . . 878--883 Edgar Brunner and Holger Dette Rank Procedures for the Two-Factor Mixed Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 884--888 David Assaf and Moshe Pollak and Ya'acov Ritov A New Look at Warning and Action Lines of Surveillance Schemes . . . . . . . . 889
Paul P. Biemer and Gösta Forsman On the Quality of Reinterview Data With Application to the Current Population Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 915--923 Raj S. Chhikara and Deng Lih-Yuan Estimation Using Multiyear Rotation Design Sampling in Agricultural Surveys 924 Eduardo Engel and Achilles Venetoulias The Chilean Plebiscite: Projections Without Historic Data . . . . . . . . . 933 Robert J. Gray Flexible Methods for Analyzing Survival Data Using Splines, With Applications to Breast Cancer Prognosis . . . . . . . . 942 R. Wang and J. Sedransk and J. H. Jinn Secondary Data Analysis When There Are Missing Observations . . . . . . . . . . 952 Russell B. Millar Estimating the Size-selectivity of Fishing Gear by Conditioning on the Total Catch . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 962 Guo Guang and German Rodriguez Estimating a Multivariate Proportional Hazards Model for Clustered Data Using the EM Algorithm, With an Application to Child Survival in Guatemala . . . . . . 969 Xie Yu and Ellen Efron Pimentel Age Patterns of Marital Fertility: Revising the Coale- Trussell Method . . 977 Roy T. St. Laurent and R. Dennis Cook Leverage and Superleverage in Nonlinear Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 985--990 Arnold J. Stromberg and David Ruppert Breakdown in Nonlinear Regression . . . 991--997 Jianqing Fan Design-adaptive Nonparametric Regression 998--1004 A. S. Azari and Hans-Georg Müller Preaveraged Localized Orthogonal Polynomial Estimators for Surface Smoothing and Partial Differentiation 1005--1017 Jeffrey D. Hart and Thomas E. Wehrly Kernel Regression When the Boundary Region is Large, With an Application to Testing the Adequacy of Polynomial Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1018 Ker-Chau Li On Principal Hessian Directions for Data Visualization and Dimension Reduction: Another Application of Stein's Lemma . . 1025--1039 Raymond J. Carroll and Ker-Chau Li Measurement Error Regression With Unknown Link: Dimension Reduction and Data Visualization . . . . . . . . . . . 1040--1050 Gu Chong Diagnostics for Nonparametric Regression Models With Additive Terms . . . . . . . 1051 R. J. O'Hara Hines and J. F. Lawless and E. M. Carter Diagnostics for a Cumulative Multinomial Generalized Linear Model, With Applications to Grouped Toxicological Mortality Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1059 Michael G. Schlax and Dudley B. Chelton Frequency Domain Diagnostics for Linear Smoothers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1070 Hafida Boudjellaba and Jean-Marie Dufour and Roch Roy Testing Causality Between Two Vectors in Multivariate Autoregressive Moving Average Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1082--1090 J. S. Lin and L. J. Wei Linear Regression Analysis for Multivariate Failure Time Observations 1091--1097 Steffen L. Lauritzen Propagation of Probabilities, Means, and Variances in Mixed Graphical Association Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1098--1108 Sharon-Lise Normand and David Tritchler Parameter Updating in a Bayes Network 1109 Richard E. Barlow and Max B. Mendel De Finetti-type Representations for Life Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1116--1122 Guido Consonni and Piero Veronese Conjugate Priors for Exponential Families Having Quadratic Variance Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1123--1127 Duncan K. H. Fong Ranking and Estimation of Related Means in the Presence of a Covariate --- A Bayesian Approach . . . . . . . . . . . 1128 Arthur Cohen and H. B. Sackrowitz Improved Tests for Comparing Treatments Against a Control and Other One-Sided Problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1137--1144 Gerhard Osius and Dieter Rojek Normal Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Multinomial Models With Large Degrees of Freedom . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1145 David E. A. Giles and Offer Lieberman and Judith A. Giles The Optimal Size of a Preliminary Test of Linear Restrictions in a Misspecified Regression Model . . . . . . . . . . . . 1153 A. M. Dean and S. M. Lewis Multidimensional Designs for Two-Factor Experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1158 Louis Rizzo Conditionally Consistent Estimators Using Only Probabilities of Selection in Complex Sample Surveys . . . . . . . . . 1166--1173 Jean-Philippe Gwet and Louis-Paul Rivest Outlier Resistant Alternatives to the Ratio Estimator . . . . . . . . . . . . 1174 Lorrie L. Hoffman Characterizing Linear Birth and Death Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1183--1187 Michael P. Windham and Adele Cutler Information Ratios for Validating Mixture Analyses . . . . . . . . . . . . 1188 Howard B. Newcombe and Martha E. Fair and Pierre Lalonde The Use of Names for Linking Personal Records . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1193 Keith E. Muller and Lisa M. La Vange and Sharon Landesman Ramey and Craig T. Ramey Power Calculations for General Linear Multivariate Models Including Repeated Measures Applications . . . . . . . . . 1209 Roderick J. A. Little Regression With Missing X's: A Review 1227 Halbert White ``Some asymptotic results for learning in single hidden-layer feedforward network models'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 84 (1989), no. 408, 1003--1013, MR 92e:62119] . . . . . . . 1252--1252
Katherine K. Wallman Enhancing Statistical Literacy: Enriching Our Society . . . . . . . . . 1 N. E. Breslow and D. G. Clayton Approximate Inference in Generalized Linear Mixed Models . . . . . . . . . . 9 Ming Tu Xin and Meng Xiao- Li and Marcello Pagano The AIDS Epidemic: Estimating Survival After AIDS Diagnosis From Surveillance Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 D. R. Hoover and A. Munoz and V. Carey and J. M. G. Taylor and M. VanRaden and J. S. Chmiel and L. Kingsley and The Multicenter Aids Cohort Study Using Events From Dropouts in Nonparametric Survival Function Estimation With Application to Incubation of AIDS . . . . . . . . . . . 37 D. Oakes and A. J. Moss and J. L. Fleiss and J. T. Bigger and T. Therneau and S. W. Eberly and M. P. McDermott and A. Manatunga and E. Carleen and Benhorin, J. and others Use of Compliance Measures in an Analysis of the Effect of Diltiazem on Mortality and Reinfarction After Myocardial Infarction . . . . . . . . . 44 John P. Murry and Antonie Stam and John L. Lastovicka Evaluating an Anti-Drinking and Driving Advertising Campaign With a Sample Survey and Time Series Intervention Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 Christian P. Robert and J. T. Gene Hwang and William E. Strawderman Is Pitman closeness a reasonable criterion? With discussion and a reply by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57--76 Andrew F. Siegel A Surprising Covariance Involving the Minimum of Multivariate Normal Variables 77--80 Myra L. Samuels Simpson's Paradox and Related Phenomena 81--88 Richard Valliant Poststratification and Conditional Variance Estimation . . . . . . . . . . 89 Lars Ljungovist A Unified Approach to Measures of Privacy in Randomized Response Models: A Utilitarian Perspective . . . . . . . . 97 J. Jack Lee and Ker-Chau Li and Robert M. Elashoff On Recensoring for Censored Paired Data 104--118 Steve Verrill Predictor Sort Sampling, Tight T's, and the Analysis of Covariance . . . . . . . 119 Roderick J. A. Little Pattern-Mixture Models for Multivariate Incomplete Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 Yutaka Kano and Maia Berkane and Peter M. Bentler Statistical Inference Based on Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimators in Elliptical Populations . . . . . . . . . 135--143 Peter Sasieni Maximum Weighted Partial Likelihood Estimators for the Cox Model . . . . . . 144 P. Y. Liu and Stephanie Green and Michael Wolf and John Crowley Testing Against Ordered Alternatives for Censored Survival Data . . . . . . . . . 153 Andrew L. Rukhin Bahadur Efficiency of Tests of Separate Hypotheses and Adaptive Test Statistics 161--165 Melissa Dowd Begg and Stephen Lagakos Loss in Efficiency Caused by Omitting Covariates and Misspecifying Exposure in Logistic Regression Models . . . . . . . 166 Myron A. Waclawiw and Liang Kung-Yee Prediction of Random Effects in the Generalized Linear Model . . . . . . . . 171 Peter M. Hooper Iterative Weighted Least Squares Estimation in Heteroscedastic Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179 R. J. Carroll and M. H. Gail and J. H. Lubin Case-Control Studies With Errors in Covariates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185--199 Glen A. Satten and Lawrence L. Kupper Inferences About Exposure-Disease Associations Using Probability-of-Exposure Information . . 200 Finbarr O'Sullivan Mixture Estimation From Multichannel Image Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209 Mortaza Jamshidian and Robert I. Jennrich Conjugate Gradient Acceleration of the EM Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221--228 Alberto Luceno A Fast Algorithm for the Repeated Evaluation of the Likelihood of a General Linear Process for Long Series 229 Arnold J. Stromberg Computation of High Breakdown Nonlinear Regression Parameters . . . . . . . . . 237 James B. Davis and Joseph W. McKean Rank-Based Methods for Multivariate Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245--251 Regina Y. Liu and Kesar Singh A Quality Index Based on Data Depth and Multivariate Rank Tests . . . . . . . . 252--260 Jenny N. Lye and Vance L. Martin Robust Estimation, Nonnormalities, and Generalized Exponential Distributions 261 Raymond L. Chambers and Alan H. Dorfman and Thomas E. Wehrly Bias Robust Estimation in Finite Populations Using Nonparametric Calibration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268--277 Sunil K. Dhar Computation of certain minimum distance estimators in ${\rm AR}[k]$ model . . . 278--283 Chen Chung and Liu Lon-Mu Joint Estimation of Model Parameters and Outlier Effects in Time Series . . . . . 284 Rong Chen and Ruey S. Tsay Functional-Coefficient Autoregressive Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298--308 Daniel Barry and J. A. Hartigan A Bayesian Analysis for Change Point Problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309--319 K. S. Chan Asymptotic Behavior of the Gibbs Sampler 320--326 John R. Gleason Understanding Elongation: The Scale Contaminated Normal Family . . . . . . . 327 Marco Scarsini and Achilles Venetoulias Bivariate Distributions With Nonmonotone Dependence Structure . . . . . . . . . . 338--344 Roman Krzysztofowicz and Sharon Reese Stochastic Bifurcation Processes and Distributions of Fractions . . . . . . . 345 F. Seillier-Moiseiwitsch and A. P. Dawid On Testing the Validity of Sequential Probability Forecasts . . . . . . . . . 355--359 Keying Ye Reference Priors When the Stopping Rule Depends on the Parameter of Interest . . 360--363 J. Bunge and M. Fitzpatrick Estimating the Number of Species: A Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 364
Roderick J. A. Little and Edward J. Wegman and Donald Guthrie Editors' Report for 1992 . . . . . . . . 389 Gary W. Oehlert Regional Trends in Sulfate Wet Deposition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 390 Jeffrey J. Gaynor and Eric J. Feuer and Claire C. Tan and Danny H. Wu and Claudia R. Little and David J. Straus and Bayard D. Clarkson and Murray F. Brennan On the Use of Cause-Specific Failure and Conditional Failure Probabilities: Examples From Clinical Oncology Data . . 400 Salomon Minkin Experimental Design for Clonogenic Assays in Chemotherapy . . . . . . . . . 410 John S. Uebersax Statistical Modeling of Expert Ratings on Medical Treatment Appropriateness . . 421 Mahmoud A. El-Gamal and Richard D. McKelvey and Thomas R. Palfrey A Bayesian Sequential Experimental Study of Learning in Games . . . . . . . . . . 428 Thomas H. Short An Algorithm for the Detection and Measurement of Rail Surface Defects . . 436 Panayiotis T. Theodossiou Predicting Shifts in the Mean of a Multivariate Time Series Process: An Application in Predicting Business Failures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 441 Man-Suk Oh and James O. Berger Integration of Multimodal Functions by Monte Carlo Importance Sampling . . . . 450--456 Michael LeBlanc and John Crowley Survival Trees by Goodness of Split . . 457--467 Bruce G. Lindsay and Prasanta Basak Multivariate Normal Mixtures: A Fast Consistent Method of Moments . . . . . . 468--476 Daniel Zelterman A Semiparametric Bootstrap Technique for Simulating Extreme Order Statistics . . 477--485 Jun Shao Linear Model Selection by Cross-Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . 486--494 Gu Chong Smoothing Spline Density Estimation: A Dimensionless Automatic Algorithm . . . 495 Larry P. Ammann Robust Singular Value Decompositions: A New Approach to Projection Pursuit . . . 505--514 Wing-Kam Fung Unmasking Outliers and Leverage Points: A Confirmation . . . . . . . . . . . . . 515 M. P. Wand and M. C. Jones Comparison of Smoothing Parameterizations in Bivariate Kernel Density Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . 520--528 A. W. Bowman and P. J. Foster Adaptive Smoothing and Density-Based Tests of Multivariate Normality . . . . 529--537 Probal Chaudhuri and Per A. Mykland Nonlinear Experiments: Optimal Design and Inference Based on Likelihood . . . 538--546 Christian Léger and Naomi Altman Assessing Influence in Variable Selection Problems . . . . . . . . . . . 547--556 Eric W. Lee and L. J. Wei and Z. Ying Linear Regression Analysis for Highly Stratified Failure Time Data . . . . . . 557--565 Javier Rojo and Francisco J. Samaniego On Estimating a Survival Curve Subject to a Uniform Stochastic Ordering Constraint . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 566--572 Ronald C. Pruitt Identifiability of Bivariate Survival Curves from Censored Data . . . . . . . 573--579 Douglas M. Hawkins The Accuracy of Elemental Set Approximations for Regression . . . . . 580--589 Neil Shephard Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Regression Models With Stochastic Trend Components . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 590 Pentti Saikkonen and Ritva Luukkonen Testing for a Moving Average Unit Root in Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 596--601 Kristen Meier and Douglas Nychka Nonparametric Estimation of Rate Equations for Nutrient Uptake . . . . . 602 P. T. Kim and E. M. Carter and J. J. Hubert and K. J. Hand Shrinkage Estimators of Relative Potency 615--621 Giovanni Parmigiani On Optimal Screening Ages . . . . . . . 622--628 Barry I. Graubard and Edward L. Korn Hypothesis Testing With Complex Survey Data: The Use of Classical Quadratic Test Statistics With Particular Reference to Regression Problems . . . . 629--641 Friedrich Pukelsheim and James L. Rosenberger Experimental Designs for Model Discrimination . . . . . . . . . . . . . 642--649 Leping Zhou and Thomas Mathew Combining Independent Tests in Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 650--655 Peter H. Peskun A New Confidence Interval Method Based on the Normal Approximation for the Difference of Two Binomial Probabilities 656--661 Richard Johnson and Jerome Klotz Estimating Hot Numbers and Testing Uniformity for the Lottery . . . . . . . 662--668 James H. Albert and Siddhartha Chib Bayesian Analysis of Binary and Polychotomous Response Data . . . . . . 669 Andrew T. A. Wood and James G. Booth and Ronald W. Butler Saddlepoint Approximations to the CDF of Some Statistics With Nonnormal Limit Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 680--686 Marc J. Sobel Bayes and Empirical Bayes Procedures for Comparing Parameters . . . . . . . . . . 687--693
Laurie Davies and Ursula Gather The identification of multiple outliers. With discussion and a reply by the authors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 782--801 Alexander M. Samarov Exploring regression structure using nonparametric functional estimation . . 836--847 Byeong U. Park A cross-validatory choice of smoothing parameter in adaptive location estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 848--854 Hyune-Ju Kim and Lujing Cai Robustness of the likelihood ratio test for a change in simple linear regression 864--871 Clint W. Coakley and Thomas P. Hettmansperger A bounded influence, high breakdown, efficient regression estimator . . . . . 872--880 Minggao Gu and Zhiliang Ying Sequential analysis for censored regression data . . . . . . . . . . . . 890--898 Samaradasa Weerahandi Generalized confidence intervals . . . . 899--905 H. Finner On a monotonicity problem in step-down multiple test procedures . . . . . . . . 920--923 Daniel T. Voss Characterization of regularity for single replicate factorial designs . . . 924--925 Olivier Guilbaud Exact inference about the within-subject variability in $2\times 2$ crossover trials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 939--946 B. Nandram and J. Sedransk Empirical Bayes estimation of the finite population mean on the current occasion 994--1000 Jean-Marie Dufour and Marc Hallin Improved Eaton bounds for linear combinations of bounded random variables, with statistical applications 1026--1033 Christian Genest and Louis-Paul Rivest Statistical inference procedures for bivariate Archimedean copulas . . . . . 1034--1043
S. Christian Albright and Jim Albert and Hal S. Stern and Carl N. Morris A Statistical Analysis of Hitting Streaks in Baseball . . . . . . . . . . 1175 Richard F. Potthoff and Kenneth G. Manton and Max A. Woodbury Correcting for Nonavailability Bias in Surveys by Weighting Based on Number of Callbacks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1197 Willard L. Rodgers and Charles Brown and Greg J. Duncan Errors in Survey Reports of Earnings, Hours Worked, and Hourly Wages . . . . . 1208 Fusun Gonul and Kannan Srinivasan Consumer Purchase Behavior in a Frequently Bought Product Category: Estimation Issues and Managerial Insights From a Hazard Function Model With Heterogeneity . . . . . . . . . . . 1219 Andrew Harvey and Siem Jan Koopman Forecasting Hourly Electricity Demand Using Time-Varying Splines . . . . . . . 1228 Michael J. Symons and Chen Chu-Chih and Michael R. Flynn Bayesian Nonparametrics for Compliance to Exposure Standards . . . . . . . . . 1237 E. L. Lehmann The Fisher, Neyman--Pearson Theories of Testing Hypotheses: One Theory or Two? 1242--1249 Paul R. Rosenbaum Hodges-Lehmann Point Estimates of Treatment Effect in Observational Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1250--1253 Joseph W. McKean and Simon J. Sheather and Thomas P. Hettmansperger The Use and Interpretation of Residuals Based on Robust Estimation . . . . . . . 1254--1263 Ali S. Hadi and Jeffrey S. Simonoff Procedures for the Identification of Multiple Outliers in Linear Models . . . 1264 Peter J. Rousseeuw and Christophe Croux Alternatives to the Median Absolute Deviation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1273--1283 Stephen Blyth Optimal Kernel Weights Under a Power Criterion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1284 R. L. Eubank and P. L. Speckman Confidence Bands in Nonparametric Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1287--1301 Michael Brockmann and Theo Gasser and Eva Herrmann Locally Adaptive Bandwidth Choice for Kernel Regression Estimators . . . . . . 1302--1309 D. de Angelis and Peter Hall and G. A. Young Analytical and Bootstrap Approximations to Estimator Distributions in ${L}^1$ Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1310--1316 Paul H. Kvam and Francisco J. Samaniego On Estimating Distribution Functions Using Nomination Samples . . . . . . . . 1317--1322 Andrew T. Walden and Mark L. Williams Deconvolution, Bandwidth, and the Trispectrum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1323 Deborah Burr and Hani Doss Confidence Bands for the Median Survival Time as a Function of the Covariates in the Cox Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1330--1340 D. Y. Lin and Z. Ying Cox Regression With Incomplete Covariate Measurements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1341--1349 John Q. Su and Jun S. Liu Linear Combinations of Multiple Diagnostic Markers . . . . . . . . . . . 1350--1355 Sheldon Lou and Jiong Jiang and Kenneth Keng Clustering Objects Generated by Linear Regression Models . . . . . . . . . . . 1356--1362 Probal Chaudhuri and Debapriya Sengupta Sign Tests in Multidimension: Inference Based on the Geometry of the Data Cloud 1363--1370 Michael P. McDermott and Govind S. Mudholkar A Simple Approach to Testing Homogeneity of Order-Constrained Means . . . . . . . 1371 Ya'acov Ritov and Zvi Gilula Analysis of Contingency Tables by Correspondence Models Subject to Order Constraints . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1380--1387 J. N. K. Rao and Brajendra C. Sutradhar and Kim Yue Generalized Least Squares F Test in Regression Analysis With Two-Stage Cluster Samples . . . . . . . . . . . . 1388 Boxin Tang Orthogonal Array-Based Latin Hypercubes 1392--1397 Mike Jacroux On the Construction of Trend-Resistant Designs for Comparing a Set of Test Treatments With a Set of Controls . . . 1398--1403 Ruth Etzioni and Joseph B. Kadane Optimal Experimental Design for Another's Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . 1404--1411 James O. Berger and Dongchu Sun Bayesian Analysis for the Poly-Weibull Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1412--1418 L. R. Pericchi and B. Sansó and A. F. M. Smith Posterior Cumulant Relationships in Bayesian Inference Involving the Exponential Family . . . . . . . . . . . 1419--1426 Bertrand Clarke and Larry Wasserman Noninformative Priors and Nuisance Parameters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1427--1432 T. W. Lucas When is Conflict Normal? . . . . . . . . 1433--1437 Hans C. Van Houwelingen and Theo Stijnen Monotone Empirical Bayes Estimators Based on More Informative Samples . . . 1438--1443 T. E. Raghunathan A Quasi-Empirical Bayes Method for Small Area Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . 1444 Jianguo Sun and John D. Kalbfleisch The Analysis of Current Status Data on Point Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . 1449--1454 Paul R. Rosenbaum Sampling the Leaves of a Tree With Equal Probabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1455--1457 Keunkwan Ryu An Extension of Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Distribution . . . 1458--1465
Mary J. Lindstrom and Douglas M. Bates Newton--Raphson and EM algorithms for linear mixed-effects models for repeated measures-data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1014--1022
J. Stuart Hunter Statistics as a Profession . . . . . . . 1 Nicholas P. Jewell and Hina M. Malani and Eric Vittinghoff Nonparametric Estimation for a Form of Doubly Censored Data, With Application to Two Problems in AIDS . . . . . . . . 7 Richard M. Huggins and Robert G. Staudte Variance Components Models for Dependent Cell Populations . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Stephen V. Stehman and W. Scott Overton Comparison of Variance Estimators of the Horvitz--Thompson Estimator for Randomized Variable Probability Systematic Sampling . . . . . . . . . . 30 Taesung Park and Morton B. Brown Models for Categorical Data With Nonignorable Nonresponse . . . . . . . . 44 Michael LeBlanc and Robert Tibshirani Adaptive Principal Surfaces . . . . . . 53 Ferdinand T. Wang and David W. Scott The $L_1$ Method for Robust Nonparametric Regression . . . . . . . . 65--76 Hari Mukarjee and Steven Stern Feasible Nonparametric Estimation of Multiargument Monotone Functions . . . . 77--80 Philip E. Cheng Nonparametric Estimation of Mean Functionals With Data Missing at Random 81 Sabyasachi Basu and Gregory C. Reinsel Regression Models With Spatially Correlated Errors . . . . . . . . . . . 88 A. H. Welsh and R. J. Carroll and D. Ruppert Fitting Heteroscedastic Regression Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100--116 I. Poli and R. D. Jones A Neural Net Model for Prediction . . . 117 Paul H. Garthwaite An Interpretation of Partial Least Squares . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122--127 Anthony J. Hayter and Jason C. Hsu On the Relationship Between Stepwise Decision Procedures and Confidence Sets 128 Alan H. Dorfman A Note on Variance Estimation for the Regression Estimator in Double Sampling 137 James R. Schott Determining the Dimensionality in Sliced Inverse Regression . . . . . . . . . . . 141--148 Ola Hössjer Rank-Based Estimates in the Linear Model With High Breakdown Point . . . . . . . 149--158 W. D. Kaigh Distribution-Free Two-Sample Tests Based on Rank Spacings . . . . . . . . . . . . 159--167 Lora L. Bohn and Douglas A. Wolfe The Effect of Imperfect Judgment Rankings on Properties of Procedures Based on the Ranked-Set Samples Analog of the Mann--Whitney--Wilcoxon Statistic 168--176 R. Dennis Cook On the Interpretation of Regression Plots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177--189 Michael Friendly Mosaic Displays for Multi-Way Contingency Tables . . . . . . . . . . . 190 George S. Easton A Simple Dynamic Graphical Diagnostic Method for Almost Any Model . . . . . . 201 Timo Terasvirta Specification, Estimation, and Evaluation of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models . . . . . . . . . 208 R. J. Carroll and Peter Hall and D. Ruppert Estimation of Lag in Misregistered, Averaged Images . . . . . . . . . . . . 219 Valen E. Johnson A Model for Segmentation and Analysis of Noisy Images . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 230 Thomas A. Severini Approximately Bayesian Inference . . . . 242--249 Alaattin Erkanli Laplace Approximations for Posterior Expectations When the Mode Occurs at the Boundary of the Parameter Space . . . . 250--258 Sybil L. Crawford An Application of the Laplace Method to Finite Mixture Distributions . . . . . . 259--267 Michael D. Escobar Estimating Normal Means With a Dirichlet Process Prior . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268--277 Augustine Kong and Jun S. Liu and Wong Wing Hung Sequential Imputations and Bayesian Missing Data Problems . . . . . . . . . 278 Brett Presnell and Myles Hollander and Jayaram Sethuraman Testing the Minimal Repair Assumption in an Imperfect Repair Model . . . . . . . 289--297 Hani Doss and Yuang Chin Chiang Choosing the Resampling Scheme When Bootstrapping: A Case Study in Reliability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298--308 Joseph G. Ibrahim and Purushottam W. Laud A Predictive Approach to the Analysis of Designed Experiments . . . . . . . . . . 309--319 Guido Giani and Klaus Straßburger Testing and Selecting for Equivalence With Respect to a Control . . . . . . . 320 Charles E. McCulloch Maximum Likelihood Variance Components Estimation for Binary Data . . . . . . . 330 Michael G. Akritas and Steven F. Arnold Fully Nonparametric Hypotheses for Factorial Designs I: Multivariate Repeated Measures Designs . . . . . . . 336--343 Peter Hall On the Erratic Behavior of Estimators of $N$ in the Binomial $N, p$ Distribution 344--352
Nancy R. Mann In memoriam: W. Edwards Deming 1900--1993 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 365--366 Roderick J. A. Little and Myles Hollander and Alan Agresti Editor's Report for 1993 . . . . . . . . 367 Mark S. Handcock and James R. Wallis An approach to statistical spatial-temporal modeling of meteorological fields. With comments and a rejoinder by Handcock . . . . . . . . 368--390 Geoffrey M. Laslett Kriging and splines: an empirical comparison of their predictive performance in some applications. With comments and a rejoinder by the author 391--409 Mark S. Kaiser and Paul L. Speckman and John R. Jones Statistical Models for Limiting Nutrient Relations in Inland Waters . . . . . . . 410 Eugene Litvak and Xin M. Tu and Marcello Pagano Screening for the Presence of a Disease by Pooling Sera Samples . . . . . . . . 424 David J. Spiegelhalter and Nomi L. Harris and Kate Bull and Rodney C. G. Franklin Empirical Evaluation of Prior Beliefs About Frequencies: Methodology and a Case Study in Congenital Heart Disease 435 James S. Hodges Analytical Use of Data From Army Training Exercise: a Case Study of Tactical Reconnaissance . . . . . . . . 444 Bradley Efron and Vahe Petrosian Survival Analysis of the Gamma-Ray Burst Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 452 Bradley Efron Missing data, imputation, and the bootstrap. With a comment by Donald B. Rubin and a rejoinder by the author . . 463--479 D. R. Jensen and Herbert Solomon Approximations to Joint Distributions of Definite Quadratic Forms . . . . . . . . 480--486 Kathryn Roeder A Graphical Technique for Determining the Number of Components in a Mixture of Normals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 487--495 Michael Sherman and Edward Carlstein Nonparametric Estimation of the Moments of a General Statistic Computed from Spatial Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 496--500 Thomas A. Severini and Joan G. Staniswalis Quasi-likelihood Estimation in Semiparametric Models . . . . . . . . . 501--511 Subhash Lele Estimating Functions in Chaotic Systems 512--516 Edward W. Frees Estimating Densities of Functions of Observations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 517--525 Paul H. Kvam and Francisco J. Samaniego Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation Based on Ranked Set Samples 526--537 B. M. Brown and T. P. Hettmansperger Regular Redescending Rank Estimates . . 538--542 Marianthi Markatou and Xuming He Bounded Influence and High Breakdown Point Testing Procedures in Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 543--549 Elvezio Ronchetti and Robert G. Staudte A Robust Version of Mallow's ${C}_p$ . . 550--559 Jianqing Fan and Ir\`ene Gijbels Censored Regression: Local Linear Approximations and Their Applications 560--570 Kjell Doksum and Stephen Blyth and Eric Bradlow and Xiao-Li Meng and Hongyu Zhao Correlation Curves as Local Measures of Variance Explained by Regression . . . . 571--582 Inge S. Helland and Trygve Almòy Comparison of Prediction Methods When Only a Few Components Are Relevant . . . 583--591 R. Dennis Cook and Christopher J. Nachtsheim Reweighting to Achieve Elliptically Contoured Covariates in Regression . . . 592 Yudi Pawitan and Finbarr O'Sullivan Nonparametric Spectral Density Estimation Using Penalized Whittle Likelihood . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 600--610 Víctor Gómez and Agustín Maravall Estimation, Prediction, and Interpolation for Nonstationary Series With the Kalman Filter . . . . . . . . . 611--624 Joseph B. Lang and Alan Agresti Simultaneously Modeling Joint and Marginal Distributions of Multivariate Categorical Responses . . . . . . . . . 625 Geert Molenberghs and Emmanuel Lesaffre Marginal Modeling of Correlated Ordinal Data Using a Multivariate Plackett Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 633 Zvi Gilula and Shelby J. Haberman Conditional Log-Linear Models for Analyzing Categorical Panel Data . . . . 645--656 K. F. Cheng and J. W. Wu Testing Goodness of Fit for a Parametric Family of Link Functions . . . . . . . . 657--664 Nils Lid Hjort The exact amount of $t$-ness that the normal model can tolerate . . . . . . . 665--675 Takashi Seo and Shigeru Mano and Yasunori Fujikoshi A Generalized Tukey Conjecture for Multiple Comparisons Among Mean Vectors 676--679 Keumhee Chough Carriere Incomplete Repeated Measures Data Analysis in the Presence of Treatment Effects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 680 R. Dennis Cook and Weng Kee Wong On the Equivalence of Constrained and Compound Optimal Designs . . . . . . . . 687--692 Phillip S. Kott A Note on Handling Nonresponse in Sample Surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 693--696 John E. Kolassa and Martin A. Tanner Approximate Conditional Inference in Exponential Families Via the Gibbs Sampler . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 697--702 Arnoldo Frigessi and Julian Stander Informative Priors for the Bayesian Classification of Satellite Images . . . 703--709 Samaradasa Weerahaudi Correction: ``Generalized confidence intervals'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 88 (1993), no. 423, 899--905, MR 94e:62031] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 726--726
J. M. G. Taylor and W. G. Cumberland and J. P. Sy A Stochastic Model for Analysis of Longitudinal AIDS Data . . . . . . . . . 727 James M. Robins and Sander Greenland Adjusting for Differential Rates of Prophylaxis Therapy for PCP in High- Versus Low-Dose AZT Treatment Arms in an Aids Randomized Trial . . . . . . . . . 737 Daniel F. Heitjan and J. Richard Landis Assessing Secular Trends in Blood Pressure: A Multiple- Imputation Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 750 Robert D. Gibbons and Donald Hedeker and Sara C. Charles and Paul Frisch A Random-Effects Probit Model for Predicting Medical Malpractice Claims 760 Roy N. Tamura and Douglas E. Faries and John S. Andersen and John H. Heiligenstein A Case Study of an Adaptive Clinical Trial in the Treatment of Out-Patients with Depressive Disorder . . . . . . . . 768 Carlo Grillenzoni Optimal Recursive Estimation of Dynamic Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 777 Werner A. Stahel and Andreas F. Ruckstuhl and Peter Senn and Kurt Dressler Robust Estimation in the Analysis of Complex Molecular Spectra . . . . . . . 788 Carey E. Priebe Adaptive Mixtures . . . . . . . . . . . 796--806 Stephan R. Sain and Keith A. Baggerly and David W. Scott Cross-Validation of Multivariate Densities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 807--817 Ming-Hui Chen Importance-Weighted Marginal Bayesian Posterior Density Estimation . . . . . . 818--824 M. C. Jones and S. J. Davies and B. U. Park Versions of Kernel-Type Regression Estimators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 825--832 Dong K. Kim and Jeremy M. G. Taylor Transform-both-sides approach for overdispersed binomial data when ${N}$ is unobserved . . . . . . . . . . . . . 833--845 James M. Robins and Andrea Rotnitzky and Lue Ping Zhao Estimation of Regression Coefficients When Some Regressors Are Not Always Observed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 846--866 Dorota M. Dabrowska and Guo-wen Sun and Mary M. Horowitz Cox Regression in a Markov Renewal Model: An Application to the Analysis of Bone Marrow Transplant Data . . . . . . 867 Morgan C. Wang and William J. Kennedy Self-Validating Computations of Probabilities for Selected Central and Noncentral Univariate Probability Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 878--887 David L. Woodruff and David M. Rocke Computable Robust Estimation of Multivariate Location and Shape in High Dimension Using Compound Estimators . . 888--896 Stéphane Heritier and Elvezio Ronchetti Robust Bounded-Influence Tests in General Parametric Models . . . . . . . 897--904 Michael A. Newton and Charles J. Geyer Bootstrap Recycling: A Monte Carlo Alternative to the Nested Bootstrap . . 905--912 Carla Inclán and George C. Tiao Use of Cumulative Sums of Squares for Retrospective Detection of Changes of Variance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 913--923 Offer Lieberman Saddlepoint Approximation for the Distribution of a Ratio of Quadratic Forms in Normal Variables . . . . . . . 924--928 B. U. Park and L. Simar Efficient Semiparametric Estimation in a Stochastic Frontier Model . . . . . . . 929--936 Blaza Toman Bayes Optimal Designs for Two- and Three-Level Factorial Experiments . . . 937--946 Francisco J. Samaniego and Dana M. Reneau Toward a Reconciliation of the Bayesian and Frequentist Approaches to Point Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 947--957 Jun S. Liu The Collapsed Gibbs Sampler in Bayesian Computations With Applications to a Gene Regulation Problem . . . . . . . . . . . 958--966 Harold Sackrowitz and Ester Samuel-Cahn Rationality and Unbiasedness in Hypothesis Testing . . . . . . . . . . . 967--971 J. L. Gastwirth and Wesley O. Johnson Screening With Cost-Effective Quality Control: Potential Applications to HIV and Drug Testing . . . . . . . . . . . . 972 Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver and William H. Swallow A Two-Stage Adaptive Group-Testing Procedure for Estimating Small Proportions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 982--993 Emad-Eldin A. A. Aly and Subhash Kochar and Ian W. McKeague Some Tests for Comparing Cumulative Incidence Functions and Cause-Specific Hazard Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 994--999 Teresa Ledwina Data-Driven Version of Neyman's Smooth Test of Fit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1000--1005 Dei-In Tang Uniformly More Powerful Tests in a One-Sided Multivariate Problem . . . . . 1006--1011 Roger L. Berger and Dennis D. Boos $P$ Values Maximized Over a Confidence Set for the Nuisance Parameter . . . . . 1012--1016 Henry H. S. Lu and Martin T. Wells and Ram C. Tiwari Inference for Shift Functions in the Two-Sample Problem With Right-Censored Data: With Applications . . . . . . . . 1017--1026 Anton K. Formann Measuring Change in Latent Subgroups Using Dichotomous Data: Unconditional, Conditional, and Semiparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation . . . . . . . . . 1027 David A. Binder and Zdenek Patak Use of Estimating Functions for Estimation From Complex Surveys . . . . 1035--1043 Yu Hayakawa The Construction of New Bivariate Exponential Distributions from a Bayesian Perspective . . . . . . . . . . 1044--1049 J. C. Fu and M. V. Koutras Distribution Theory of Runs: A Markov Chain Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1050--1058 Leo A. Goodman On Quasi-Independence and Quasi-Dependence in Contingency Tables, With Special Reference to Ordinal Triangular Contingency Tables . . . . . 1059--1063 Jim Albert Exploring Baseball Hitting Data: What About Those Breakdown Statistics? . . . 1066 Gilbert W. Bassett, Jr. and Joseph Persky Rating Skating . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1075--1079 George Casella and Roger L. Berger Estimation With Selected Binomial Information or Do You Really Believe That Dave Windfield is Batting $.471$? 1080--1090 Lee A. Craig and Alastair R. Hall Trying Out for the Team: Do Exhibitions Matter? Evidence From The National Football League . . . . . . . . . . . . 1091 Brian P. Dawkins and Peter M. Andreae and Paul M. O'Connor Analysis of Olympic Heptathlon Data . . 1100 John J. McArdle and Fumiaki Hamagami Logit and Multilevel Logit Modeling of College Graduation for 1984--1985 Freshman Student-Athletes . . . . . . . 1107 G. Ridder and J. S. Cramer and P. Hopstaken Down to Ten: Estimating the Effect of a Red Card in Soccer . . . . . . . . . . . 1124 Hal S. Stern A Brownian Motion Model for the Progress of Sports Scores . . . . . . . . . . . . 1128
D. B. Phillips and A. F. M. Smith Bayesian Faces via Hierarchical Template Modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1151 Stephen L. Rathburn and Noel Cressie A Space-Time Survival Point Process for a Longleaf Pine Forest in Southern Georgia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1164 Ronald D. Lee and Shripad Tuljapurkar Stochastic Population Forecasts for the United States: Beyond High, Medium, and Low . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1175 Samuel Merrill, III A Probabilistic Model for the Spatial Distribution of Party Support in Multiparty Electorates . . . . . . . . . 1190 Andrew Gelman Discussion: A Probabilistic Model for the Spatial Distribution of Party Support in Multiparty Electorates . . . 1198 Samuel Merrill, III Rejoinder: A Probabilistic Model for the Spatial Distribution of Party Support in Multiparty Electorates . . . . . . . . . 1199 R. C. Gentleman and M. S. Hamada and D. E. Matthews and A. R. Wilson Statistical Quality Control of HIV-1 ELISA Test Performance . . . . . . . . . 1200 Peter Mesenbrink and Jye-Chyi Lu and Richard McKenzie and Javad Taheri Characterization and Optimization of a Wave-Soldering Process . . . . . . . . . 1209 Greg M. Allenby and Peter J. Lenk Modeling Household Purchase Behavior With Logistic Normal Regression . . . . 1218 Rex F. Galbraith Some Applications of Radial Plots . . . 1232 Ehsan S. Soofi Capturing the Intangible Concept of Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1243--1254 Trevor Hastie and Robert Tibshirani and Andreas Buja Flexible Discriminant Analysis by Optimal Scoring . . . . . . . . . . . . 1255--1270 Christophe Croux and Peter J. Rousseeuw and Ola Hössjer Generalized ${S}$-estimators . . . . . . 1271--1281 James G. Booth and Ronald W. Butler and Peter Hall Bootstrap Methods for Finite Populations 1282--1289 Deborah Burr A Comparison of Certain Bootstrap Confidence Intervals in the Cox Model 1290--1302 Dimitris N. Politis and Joseph P. Romano The Stationary Bootstrap . . . . . . . . 1303--1313 J. R. Cook and L. A. Stefanski Simulation-Extrapolation Estimation in Parametric Measurement Error Models . . 1314 A. C. Atkinson Fast Very Robust Methods for the Detection of Multiple Outliers . . . . . 1329 A. Antoniadis and G. Grégoire and I. W. McKeague Wavelet Methods for Curve Estimation . . 1340--1353 Sally Hunsberger Semiparametric Regression in Likelihood-Based Models . . . . . . . . 1354--1365 J. H. Sepanski and R. Knickerbocker and R. J. Carroll A Semiparametric Correction for Attenuation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1366--1373 Rodney Brooks and Mervyn Stone Joint Continuum Regression for Multiple Predictants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1374--1377 Jean-Daniel Rolle Best Nonnegative Invariant Partially Orthogonal Quadratic Estimation in Normal Regression . . . . . . . . . . . 1378--1385 Keunkwan Ryu Group Duration Analysis of the Proportional Hazard Model: Minimum Chi-squared Estimators and Specification Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1386 Dag Tjòstheim and Bjòrn H. Auestad Nonparametric Identification of Nonlinear Time Series: Projections . . . 1398--1409 Dag Tjòstheim and Bjòrn H. Auestad Nonparametric identification of nonlinear time series: selecting significant lags . . . . . . . . . . . . 1410--1419 P. M. Robinson Efficient Tests of Nonstationary Hypotheses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1420--1437 Ludwig Fahrmeir and Gerhard Tutz Dynamic Stochastic Models for Time-Dependent Ordered Paired Comparison Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1438 Karen Bandeen-Roche Resolution of Additive Mixtures Into Source Components and Contributions: A Compositional Approach . . . . . . . . . 1450--1458 Isaac Meilijson Competing Risks on Coherent Reliability Systems: Estimation in the Parametric Case . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1459--1464 William S. Rayens and Cidambi Srinivasan Dependence Properties of Generalized Liouville Distributions on the Simplex 1465--1470 Elizabeth H. Slate Parameterizations for Natural Exponential Families With Quadratic Variance Functions . . . . . . . . . . . 1471--1482 K. F. Cheng and J. W. Wu Adjusted Least Squares Estimates for the Scaled Regression Coefficients With Censored Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1483--1491 Terence J. O'Neill The Bias of Estimating Equations With Application to the Error RATE of Logistic Discrimination . . . . . . . . 1492--1498 R. A. Maller and S. Zhou Testing for Sufficient Follow-Up and Outliers in Survival Data . . . . . . . 1499--1506 Richard L. Schmoyer Permutation Tests for Correlation in Regression Errors . . . . . . . . . . . 1507--1516 Art B. Owen Controlling Correlations in Latin Hypercube Samples . . . . . . . . . . . 1517 Zhaohai Li and Colin B. Begg Random Effects Models for Combining Results From Controlled and Uncontrolled Studies in a Meta-Analysis . . . . . . . 1523--1527 Roger J. Lewis and Donald A. Berry Group Sequential Clinical Trials: A Classical Evaluation of Bayesian Decision-Theoretic Designs . . . . . . . 1528 David Madigan and Adrian E. Raftery Model Selection and Accounting for Model Uncertainty in Graphical Models Using Occam's Window . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1535 Filipa Duarte De Carvalho and Nico P. Dellaert and Margarida De Sanches Osorio Statistical Disclosure in Two-Dimensional Tables: General Tables 1547--1557 Václav Fabian Comment on: ``Some asymptotic results for learning in single hidden-layer feedforward network models'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 84 (1989), no. 408, 1003--1013, MR 92e:62119] by H. White 1571--1571 John E. Kolassa and Martin A. Tanner Correction to: ``Approximate conditional inference in exponential families via the Gibbs sampler'' . . . . . . . . . . 1572--1572 Mary J. Lindstrom and Douglas M. Bates Correction to: ``Newton--Raphson and EM algorithms for linear mixed-effects models for repeated measures-data'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 83 (1988), no. 404, 1014--1022] . . . . . . . . . . . . 1572--1572 Joan G. Staniswalis Correction to: ``Quasi-likelihood estimation in semiparametric models'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 89 (1994), no. 426, 501--511 and 1294076] by T. A. Severini and Joan G. Staniswalis . . . . 1572--1572
Ronald L. Iman New Paradigms for the Statistics Profession . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Jeffrey H. Silber and Paul R. Rosenabaum and Richard N. Ross Comparing the Contributions of Groups of Predictors: Which Outcomes Vary With Hospital Rather Than Patient Characteristics? . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Michael D. Hughes and Simon G. Thompson and Stuart J. Pocock Optimal Sequential Screening Guidelines for Quantitative Risk Factors Measured With Error . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 A. Tsiatis and Victor DeGruttola and M. S. Wulfsohn Modeling the Relationship of Survival to Longitudinal Data Measured with Error. Applications to Survival and CD4 Counts in Patients with AIDS . . . . . . . . . 27 Daniel F. Heitjan Bayesian Analysis of a Protocol for Sampling Preserved Tumor Specimens . . . 38 Christopher H. Morrell and Jay D. Pearson and H. Ballentine Carter and Larry J. Brant Estimating Unknown Transition Times Using a Piecewise Nonlinear Mixed-Effects Model in Men with Prostate Cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Trivellore E. Raghunathan and James E. Grizzle A Split Questionnaire Survey Design . . 54 Stanley K. Smith and Mohammed Shahidullah An Evaluation of Population Projection Errors for Census Tracts . . . . . . . . 64 Andrew R. Solow An Exploratory Analysis of a Record of El Nino Events, 1800- 1987 . . . . . . . 72 Charles Kooperberg and Charles J. Stone and Young K. Truong Hazard Regression . . . . . . . . . . . 78--94 Michael LeBlanc and John Crowley Semiparametric Regression Functionals 95--105 James M. Robins and Andrea Rotnitzky and Lue Ping Zhao Analysis of Semiparametric Regression Models for Repeated Outcomes in the Presence of Missing Data . . . . . . . . 106--121 James M. Robins and Andrea Rotnitzky Semiparametric Efficiency in Multivariate Regression Models with Missing Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122--129 Lung Fei Lee and Jungsywan H. Sepanski Estimation of Linear and Nonlinear Errors-in-Variables Models Using Validation Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 130--140 Jianqing Fan and Nancy E. Heckman and M. P. Wand Local Polynomial Kernel Regression for Generalized Linear Models and Quasi-Likelihood Functions . . . . . . . 141--150 Xiaodong Zheng and Wei-Yin Loh Consistent Variable Selection in Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151--156 R. J. Carroll and Suojin Wang and C. Y. Wang Prospective Analysis of Logistic Case-Control Studies . . . . . . . . . . 157--169 Michael G. Akritas and Susan A. Murphy and Michael P. LaValley The Theil-Sen Estimator With Doubly Censored Data and Applications to Astronomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170--177 Z. Ying and S. H. Jung and L. J. Wei Survival Analysis with Median Regression Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178--184 Inmaculada Baltazar-Aban and Edsel A. Peña Properties of Hazard-Based Residuals and Implications in Model Diagnostics . . . 185--197 Robert J. Gray Tests for Variation Over Groups in Survival Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 198--203 A. C. Atkinson and R. D. Cook $D$-Optimum Designs for Heteroscedastic Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 204--212 Francesco Bertolino and Ludovico Piccinato and Walter Racugno Multiple Bayes Factors for Testing Hypotheses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213--219 Sylvia Campodonico and Nozer D. Singpurwalla Inference and Predictions From Poisson Point Processes Incorporating Expert Knowledge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220 William M. Bolstad The Multiprocess Dynamic Poisson Model 227--232 Per Mykland and Luke Tierney and Bin Yu Regeneration in Markov Chain Samplers 233--241 K. S. Chan and Johannes Ledolter Monte Carlo EM Estimation for Time Series Models Involving Counts . . . . . 242--252 Sook Fwe Yap and Gregory C. Reinsel Estimation and Testing for Unit Roots in a Partially Nonstationary Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Model . . 253--267 Serena Ng and Pierre Perron Unit Root Tests in ARMA Models With Data-Dependent Methods for the Selection of the Truncation Lag . . . . . . . . . 268--281 José Alberto Mauricio Exact Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Stationary Vector ARMA Models . . . . . 282--291 James Rochon Supplementing the Intent-to-Treat Analysis: Accounting for Covariates Observed Postrandomization in Clinical Trials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 292 U. V. Naik-Nimbalkar and M. B. Rajarshi Filtering and Smoothing Via Estimating Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301--306 L. Billard and M. R. Meshkani Estimation of a Stationary Markov Chain 307--315 Tsung-Shan Tsou and Richard M. Royall Robust Likelihoods . . . . . . . . . . . 316--320 James A. Calvin and Richard L. Dykstra REML Estimation of Covariance Matrices With Restricted Parameter Spaces . . . . 321--329 Ricardo A. Maronna and Víctor J. Yohai The behavior of the Stahel-Donoho robust multivariate estimator . . . . . . . . . 330--341 Mervyn J. Silvapulle and Paramsothy Silvapulle A Score Test Against One-Sided Alternatives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 342--349 Brian P. Dawkins Investigating the Geometry of a $p$-Dimensional Data Set . . . . . . . . 350 Eric B. Holmgren The $P-P$ Plot as a Method for Comparing Treatment Effects . . . . . . . . . . . 360 Cristina P. Sison and Joseph Glaz Simultaneous Confidence Intervals and Sample Size Determination for Multinomial Proportions . . . . . . . . 366--369 James F. Troendle A Stepwise Resampling Method of Multiple Hypothesis Testing . . . . . . . . . . . 370--378 S. M. Tam Optimal and Robust Strategies for Cluster Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . 379--382 Inge S. Helland and Trygve Almòy Correction: ``Comparison of prediction methods when only a few components are relevant'' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 399--399 D. W. Müller and G. Sawitzki Acknowledgement of priority: ``Excess mass estimates and tests for multimodality'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 86 (1991), no. 415, 738--746, MR 92i:62091] . . . . . . . . . . . . . 399--399
Roderick J. A. Little and Myles Hollander and Alan Agresti and Diane Lambert Editor's Report for 1994 . . . . . . . . 401 Adrian E. Raftery and Geof H. Givens and Judith E. Zeh Inference from a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model for Bowhead Whales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 402 Stephen T. Buckland Comment: Inference from a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model for Bowhead Whales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 417 Tore Schweder Comment: Inference from a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model for Bowhead Whales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 420 Shripad Tuljapurkar and Ronald Lee Comment: Inference from a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model for Bowhead Whales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 424 Robert L. Wolpert Comment: Inference from a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model for Bowhead Whales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 426 Adrian E. Raftery and Geof H. Givens and Judith E. Zeh Rejoinder: Inference from a Deterministic Population Dynamics Model for Bowhead Whales . . . . . . . . . . . 427 Joshua D. Angrist and Guido W. Imbens Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation of Average Causal Effects in Models With Variable Treatment Intensity . . . . . . 431--442 John Bound and David A. Jaeger and Regina M. Baker Problems With Instrumental Variables Estimation When the Correlation between the Instruments and the Endogenous Explanatory Variable Is Weak . . . . . . 443 Silverio Foresi and Franco Peracchi The Conditional Distribution of Excess Returns: An Empirical Analysis . . . . . 451 M. Hamada and C. F. J. Wu Analysis of Censored Data From Fractionated Experiments: A Bayesian Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 467 A. C. Singh and J. N. K. Rao On the Adjustment of Gross Flow Estimates for Classification Error With Application to Data From the Canadian Labour Force Survey . . . . . . . . . . 478 Robert Crouchley A Random-Effects Model for Ordered Categorical Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 489 J. S. Marron and A. B. Tsybakov Visual Error Criteria for Qualitative Smoothing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 499--507 N. S. Altman and G. Casella Nonparametric Empirical Bayes Growth Curve Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . 508--515 Art B. Owen Nonparametric Likelihood Confidence Bands for a Distribution Function . . . 516--521 Naisyin Wang and David Ruppert Nonparametric Estimation of the Transformation in the Transform-Both-Sides Regression Model 522--534 William R. Schucany Adaptive Bandwidth Choice for Kernel Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 535--540 L. A. Stefanski and J. S. Buzas Instrumental Variable Estimation in Binary Regression Measurement Error Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 541--550 Yanqin Fan and Ramazan Gencay A Consistent Nonparametric Test of Symmetry in Linear Regression Models . . 551--557 Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Minorization Conditions and Convergence Rates for Markov Chain Monte Carlo . . . 558--566 Jun S. Liu and Rong Chen Blind Deconvolution via Sequential Imputations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 567 Michael D. Escobar and Mike West Bayesian Density Estimation and Inference Using Mixtures . . . . . . . . 577--588 Dong Chu Sun and Keying Ye Reference Prior Bayesian Analysis for Normal Mean Products . . . . . . . . . . 589--597 Alan E. Gelfand and Bani K. Mallick and Dipak K. Dey Modeling Expert Opinion Arising as a Partial Probabilistic Specification . . 598--604 D. J. Buckle Bayesian Inference for Stable Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 605--613 Isabella Verdinelli and Larry Wasserman Computing Bayes Factors Using a Generalization of the Savage-Dickey Density Ratio . . . . . . . . . . . . . 614--618 Robert E. Weiss The Influence of Variable Selection: A Bayesian Diagnostic Perspective . . . . 619--625 Joseph B. Kadane and Anthony O'Hagan Using Finitely Additive Probability: Uniform Distributions on the Natural Numbers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 626--631 Donguk Kim and Alan Agresti Improved Exact Inference About Conditional Association in Three-Way Contingency Tables . . . . . . . . . . . 632--639 Pralay Senchaudhuri and Cyrus R. Mehta and Nitin R. Patel Estimating Exact $p$ Values by the Method of Control Variates or Monte Carlo Rescue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 640--648 Takashi Yanagawa and Yoshinori Fujii Projection-method Mantel--Haenszel estimator for ${K}2\times{J}$ tables . . 649--656 Ehsan S. Soofi and Nader Ebrahimi and Mohamed Habibullah Information Distinguishability with Application to Analysis of Failure Data 657--668 Jon E. Anderson and Thomas A. Louis Survival Analysis Using a Scale Change Random Effects Model . . . . . . . . . . 669--679 Julie M. Legler and Myrto Lefkopoulou and Louise M. Ryan Efficiency and Power of Tests for Multiple Binary Outcomes . . . . . . . . 680 Thomas R. Belin and Donald B. Rubin A Method for Calibrating False-Match Rates in Record Linkage . . . . . . . . 694 Dong K. Kim and Jeremy M. G. Taylor The Restricted EM Algorithm for Maximum Likelihood Estimation Under Linear Restrictions on the Parameters . . . . . 708--716 Hari Mukerjee and Renjin Tu Order-Restricted Inferences in Linear Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 717--728 Emmanuel Yashchin Likelihood Ratio Methods for Monitoring Parameters of a Nested Random Effect Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 729 Dou Long and Roman Krzysztofowicz A Family of Bivariate Densities Constructed From Marginals . . . . . . . 739--746 Glen A. Satten Upper and Lower Bound Distributions That Give Simultaneous Confidence Intervals for Quantiles . . . . . . . . . . . . . 747--752 Murray K. Clayton and Brian D. Hudelson Confidence Intervals for Autocorrelations Based on Cyclic Samples 753--757 P. Lahiri and J. N. K. Rao Robust Estimation of Mean Squared Error of Small Area Estimators . . . . . . . . 758--766 Ling Chen Testing the Mean of Skewed Distributions 767 Robert E. Kass and Adrian E. Raftery Bayes Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . 773 Anonymous Telegraphic Reviews . . . . . . . . . . 809
Patricia M. Grambsch and Bryan L. Randall and Roberd M. Bostick and John D. Potter and Thomas A. Louis Modeling the Labeling Index Distribution: An Application of Functional Data Analysis . . . . . . . . 813 Donald B. Rubin and Hal S. Stern and Vasja Vehovar Handling ``Don't Know'' Survey Responses: The Case of the Slovenian Plebiscite . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 822 Rick Chappell and David M. Nondahl and John F. Fowler Modeling Dose and Local Control in Radiotherapy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 829 David J. Balding Estimating Products in Forensic Identification Using DNA Profiles . . . 839 Garrett M. Fitzmaurice and Nan M. Laird Regression Models for a Bivariate Discrete and Continuous Outcome With Clustering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 845--852 Gudmund Hòst and Henning Omre and Paul Switzer Spatial Interpolation Errors for Monitoring Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 853--861 Pamela F. Schwartz and Chris Gennings and Vernon M. Chinchilli Threshold Models for Combination Data From Reproductive and Developmental Experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 862 Dale Bowman and E. Olusegun George A Saturated Model for Analyzing Exchangeable Binary Data: Applications to Clinical and Developmental Toxicity Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 871 Lawrence D. Brown and George Casella and J. T. Gene Hwang Optimal confidence sets, bioequivalence, and the limaçon of Pascal . . . . . . . . 880--889 Fred Godtliebsen and Chih Kang Chu Estimation of the Number of True Gray Levels, Their Values, and Relative Frequencies in a Noisy Image . . . . . . 890--899 Håvard Rue New Loss Functions in Bayesian Imaging 900--908 Charles J. Geyer and Elizabeth A. Thompson Annealing Markov Chain Monte Carlo With Applications to Ancestral Inference . . 909 Arnold Zellner and Chung-Ki Min Gibbs Sampler Convergence Criteria . . . 921 Robert E. Kass and Larry Wasserman A Reference Bayesian Test for Nested Hypotheses and Its Relationship to the Schwarz Criterion . . . . . . . . . . . 928--934 Guido Consonni and Piero Veronese A Bayesian Method for Combining Results From Several Binomial Experiments . . . 935--944 Santiago Velilla Diagnostics and Robust Estimation in Multivariate Data Transformations . . . 945--951 Wing K. Fung Diagnostics in Linear Discriminant Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 952--956 Harry Joe Approximations to Multivariate Normal Rectangle Probabilities Based on Conditional Expectations . . . . . . . . 957--964 Christian Houdré Some Applications of Covariance Identities and Inequalities to Functions of Multivariate Normal Variables . . . . 965--968 Xu Feng Niu and George C. Tiao Modeling Satellite Ozone Data . . . . . 969--983 Christl A. Donnelly and Nan M. Laird and James H. Ware Prediction and Creation of Smooth Curves for Temporally Correlated Longitudinal Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 984 Ronald Bewley and Minxian Yang Tests for Cointegration Based on Canonical Correlation Analysis . . . . . 990--996 Gang Li Nonparametric Likelihood Ratio Estimation of Probabilities for Truncated Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 997--1003 Edgar Brunner and Madan L. Puri and Shan Sun Nonparametric Methods for Stratified Two-Sample Designs With Application to Multiclinic Trials . . . . . . . . . . . 1004--1014 Mayer Alvo and Paul Cabilio Testing Ordered Alternatives in the Presence of Incomplete Data . . . . . . 1015--1024 W. Ehm and E. Mammen and D. W. Müller Power Robustification of Approximately Linear Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1025--1033 Richard Dykstra and Subhash Kochar and Tim Robertson Inference for Likelihood Ratio Ordering in the Two-Sample Problem . . . . . . . 1034--1040 Enrique Castillo and Ali S. Hadi Modeling Lifetime Data With Application to Fatigue Models . . . . . . . . . . . 1041--1054 Julian Z. Wang Selection of the k Largest Order Statistics for the Domain of Attraction of the Gumbel Distribution . . . . . . . 1055 Arthur Cohen and Mendel Fygenson Testing Homogeneity of Uniform Scale Distributions Against Two- Sided and One-Sided Alternatives . . . . . . . . . 1062--1067 Jian Shen Chen and Robert I. Jennrich Diagnostics for Linearization Confidence Intervals in Nonlinear Regression . . . 1068--1074 Andrew B. Forbes and Thomas J. Santner Estimators of Odds Ratio Regression Parameters in Matched Case- Control Studies With Covariate Measurement Error 1075--1084 K. B. Kulasekera Comparison of Regression Curves Using Quasi-Residuals . . . . . . . . . . . . 1085--1093 Julian J. Faraway and Jiayang Sun Simultaneous Confidence Bands for Linear Regression With Heteroscedastic Errors 1094--1098 Shinichi Sakata and Halbert White An Alternative Definition of Finite-Sample Breakdown Point With Applications to Regression Model Estimators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1099--1106 Peter Amrhein Minimax Estimation of Proportions Under Random Sample Size . . . . . . . . . . . 1107--1111 Roderick J. A. Little Modeling the Drop-Out Mechanism in Repeated-Measures Studies . . . . . . . 1112--1121 Jeffrey Rosenthal Correction: ``Minorization conditions and convergence rates for Markov chain Monte Carlo'' . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1136--1136
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal and David M. Grether Are People Bayesian? Uncovering Behavioral Strategies . . . . . . . . . 1137 Michael A. Newton and Peter Guttorp and Sandra Catlin and Renato Assuncao and Janis L. Abkowitz Stochastic Modeling of Early Hematopoiesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1146 Jun S. Liu and Andrew F. Neuwald and Charles E. Lawrence Bayesian Models for Multiple Local Sequence Alignment and Gibbs Sampling Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1156 Doug Nychka and Gerry Gray and Perry Haaland and David Martin and Michael O'Connell A Nonparametric Regression Approach to Syringe Grading for Quality Improvement 1171 Theo Gasser and Alois Kneip Searching for Structure in Curve Samples 1179 Timothy C. Haas Local Prediction of a Spatio-Temporal Process With an Application to Wet Sulfate Deposition . . . . . . . . . . . 1189 David L. Donoho and Iain M. Johnstone Adapting to Unknown Smoothness via Wavelet Shrinkage . . . . . . . . . . . 1200--1224 Diane Lambert and Kathryn Roeder Overdispersion Diagnostics for Generalized Linear Models . . . . . . . 1225--1236 Hél\`ene Jacqmin-Gadda and Daniel Commenges Tests of Homogeneity for Generalized Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1237--1246 L. A. Stefanski and J. R. Cook Simulation-Extrapolation: The Measurement Error Jackknife . . . . . . 1247--1256 D. Ruppert and S. J. Sheather and M. P. Wand An Effective Bandwidth Selector for Local Least Squares Regression . . . . . 1257--1270 Jian-Shen Chen and Robert I. Jennrich Transformations for Improving Linearization Confidence Intervals in Nonlinear Regression . . . . . . . . . . 1271--1276 Michael L. Stein Fixed-Domain Asymptotics for Spatial Periodograms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1277--1288 Somnath Datta and William P. McCormick Bootstrap Inference for a First-Order Autoregression With Positive Innovations 1289--1300 Mike West Bayesian Inference in Cyclical Component Dynamic Linear Models . . . . . . . . . 1301--1312 Siddhartha Chib Marginal Likelihood From the Gibbs Output . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1313--1321 Peter Müller and Giovanni Parmigiani Optimal Design via Curve Fitting of Monte Carlo Experiments . . . . . . . . 1322--1330 Carmen Fernández and Jacek Osiewalski and Mark F. J. Steel Modeling and inference with $v$-spherical distributions . . . . . . 1331--1340 Thomas A. Severini Information and Conditional Inference 1341--1346 E. Gutiérrez-Peña and A. F. M. Smith Conjugate Parameterizations for Natural Exponential Families . . . . . . . . . . 1347--1356 Gauri Sankar Datta and Malay Ghosh Some Remarks on Noninformative Priors 1357--1363 Bernard F. Cole and Mei-Ling T. Lee and G. Alex Whitmore and Alan M. Zaslavsky An Empirical Bayes Model for Markov-Dependent Binary Sequences With Randomly Missing Observations . . . . . 1364--1372 Ingram Olkin and Marlos Viana Correlation Analysis of Extreme Observations From a Multivariate Normal Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1373--1379 Regina Y. Liu Control Charts for Multivariate Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1380--1387 John I. Marden and Maria Emerita T. Muyot Rank Tests for Main and Interaction Effects in Analysis of Variance . . . . 1388--1398 S. A. Murphy Likelihood Ratio-Based Confidence Intervals in Survival Analysis . . . . . 1399--1405 Ying Huang and Mei Cheng Wang Estimating the Occurrence Rate for Prevalent Survival Data in Competing Risks Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1406--1415 John Gurland and Jayaram Sethuraman How Pooling Failure Data May Reverse Increasing Failure Rates . . . . . . . . 1416--1423 Paul R. Rosenbaum Quantiles in Nonrandom Samples and Observational Studies . . . . . . . . . 1424--1431 John M. Williamson and KyungMann Kim and Stuart R. Lipsitz Analyzing Bivariate Ordinal Data Using a Global Odds Ratio . . . . . . . . . . . 1432--1437 Shelby J. Haberman Computation Of Maximum Likelihood Estimates in Association Models . . . . 1438--1446 Zvi Gilula and Shelby J. Haberman Dispersion of Categorical Variables and Penalty Functions: Derivation, Estimation, and Comparability . . . . . 1447--1462 Lawrence H. Cox Network Models For Complementary Cell Suppression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1453 Xiaoping Xiong A Class of Sequential Conditional Probability Ratio Tests . . . . . . . . 1463--1473 Bernard D. Flury and Daan G. Nel and Inet Pienaar Simultaneous Detection of Shift in Means and Variances . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1474--1481 Anonymous Telegraphic Reviews . . . . . . . . . . 1492 Christina P. Sison and Joseph Glaz Correction: ``Simultaneous confidence intervals and sample size determination for multinomial proportions'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 90 (1995), no. 429, 366--369, MR 96e:62039] . . . . . . . . 1494--1494 Anonymous Editorial Collaborators . . . . . . . . 1495
Mitchell H. Gail Statistics in Action . . . . . . . . . . 1 N. E. Breslow Statistics in Epidemiology: The Case-Control Study . . . . . . . . . . . 14--28 Michael J. Kahn and Adrian E. Raftery Discharge Rates of Medicare Stroke Patients to Skilled Nursing Facilities: Bayesian Logistic Regression With Unobserved Heterogeneity . . . . . . . . 29 Valen E. Johnson On Bayesian Analysis of Multirater Ordinal Data: An Application to Automated Essay Grading . . . . . . . . 42 Robert Zackin and Victor De Gruttola and Nan Laird Nonparametric Mixed-Effects Models for Repeated Binary Data Arising in Serial Dilution Assays: An Application to Estimating Viral Burden in AIDS . . . . 52 Jon Wakefield The Bayesian Analysis of Population Pharmacokinetic Models . . . . . . . . . 62 Charles Lawrence and Andrew Reilly Likelihood Inference for Permuted Data With Application to Gene Regulation . . 76 Mary Kathryn Cowles and Bradley P. Carlin and John E. Connett Bayesian Tobit Modeling of Longitudinal Ordinal Clinical Trial Compliance Data With Nonignorable Missingness . . . . . 86 Garrett M. Fitzmaurice and Nan M. Laird and Gwendolyn E. P. Zahner Multivariate Logistic Models for Incomplete Binary Responses . . . . . . 99 James O. Berger and Luis R. Pericchi The Intrinsic Bayes Factor for Model Selection and Prediction . . . . . . . . 109--122 Nhu D. Le and Adrian E. Raftery and R. Douglas Martin Rohust Bayesian Model Selection for Autoregressive Processes With Additive Outliers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123--131 Geof H. Givens and Adrian E. Raftery Local Adaptive Importance Sampling for Multivariate Densities With Strong Nonlinear Relationships . . . . . . . . 132--141 Michael A. Newton and Claudia Czado and Rick Chappell Bayesian Inference for Semiparametric Binary Regression . . . . . . . . . . . 142--153 Valen E. Johnson Studying Convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithms Using Coupled Sample Paths . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154--166 Christian P. Robert and J. T. Gene Hwang Maximum Likelihood Estimation Under Order Restrictions by the Prior Feedback Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167--172 Bertrand Clarke Implications of Reference Priors for Prior Information and for Sample Size 173--184 Blaza Toman Bayesian Experimental Design for Multiple Hypothesis Testing . . . . . . 185--190 Tim K. Keyes and Martin S. Levy Goodness of Prediction Fit for Multivariate Linear Models . . . . . . . 191--197 Tom Y. M. Chiu and Tom Leonard and Kam-Wah Tsui The Matrix-Logarithmic Covariance Model 198--210 Melinda McCann and Don Edwards A Path Length Inequality for the Multivariate-t Distribution, With Applications to Multiple Comparisons . . 211--216 Geert Verbeke and Emmanuel Lesaffre A Linear Mixed-Effects Model With Heterogeneity in the Random-Effects Population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217 Michael P. Jones Indicator and Stratification Methods for Missing Explanatory Variables in Multiple Linear Regression . . . . . . . 222--230 Shyamal Das Peddada and Ted Chang Bootstrap Confidence Region Estimation of the Motion of Rigid Bodies . . . . . 231--241 Raymond J. Carroll and Helmut Küchenhoff and F. Lombard and Leonard A. Stefanski Asymptotics for the SIMEX Estimator in Nonlinear Measurement Error Models . . . 242--250 Sin-Ho Jung Quasi-likelihood for median regression models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251--257 Jianqing Fan and Peter Hall and Michael A. Martin and Prakash Patil On Local Smoothing of Nonparametric Curve Estimators . . . . . . . . . . . . 258--266 Burkhardt Seifert and Theo Gasser Finite-Sample Variance of Local Polynomials: Analysis and Solutions . . 267--275 Richard Anderson-Sprecher and Russell V. Lenth Spline Estimation of Paths Using Bearings-Only Tracking Data . . . . . . 276--283 Ta-Hsin Li Discrimination of Time Series by Parametric Filtering . . . . . . . . . . 284--293 R. Mohanty and M. Pourahmadi Estimation of the Generalized Prediction Error Variance of a Multiple Time Series 294--299 X. Joan Hu and Jerald F. Lawless Estimation of Rate and Mean Functions From Truncated Recurrent Event Data . . 300--310 Guohua Pan and Douglas A. Wolfe Comparing Groups With Umbrella Orderings 311--317 Robert Berk and Ruth Marcus Dual Cones, Dual Norms, and Simultaneous Inference for Partially Ordered Means 318--328 Yoav Benjamini and Philip B. Stark Nonequivariant Simultaneous Confidence Intervals Less Likely to Contain Zero 329--337 Arthur Cohen and H. B. Sackrowitz Lower Confidence Bounds Using Pilot Samples With an Application to Auditing 338--342 J. N. K. Rao and J. Shao On Balanced Half-Sample Variance Estimation in Stratified Random Sampling 343--348 C. J. Skinner and J. N. K. Rao Estimation in Dual Frame Surveys With Complex Designs . . . . . . . . . . . . 349--356 Ester Samuel-Cahn Optimal Stopping With Random Horizon With Application to the Full-Information Best-Choice Problem With Random Freeze 357--364 Y. Vardi Network Tomography: Estimating Source-Destination Traffic Intensities From Link Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 365--377 Javier Rojo On Tail Categorization of Probability Laws . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 378--384 Sangun Park Fisher Information in Order Statistics 385--390 Farid Kianifard and William H. Swallow A Review of the Development and Application of Recursive Residuals in Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 391--400 M. C. Jones and J. S. Marron and S. J. Sheather A Brief Survey of Bandwidth Selection for Density Estimation . . . . . . . . . 401--407 Leo A. Goodman A Single General Method for the Analysis of Cross-Classified Data: Reconciliation and Synthesis of Some Methods of Pearson, Yule, and Fisher, and Also Some Methods of Correspondence Analysis and Association Analysis . . . . . . . . . . 408--428 Anonymous Telegraphic Reviews . . . . . . . . . . 440
Diane Lambert and Myles Hollander and Alan Agresti Editors' Report for 1995 . . . . . . . . 443 Joshua D. Angrist and Guido W. Imbens and Donald B. Rubin Rejoinder: Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables . . 444 James J. Heckman Comment: Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables . . 444 Robert A. Moffitt Comment: Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables . . 444 James M. Robins and Sander Greenland Comment: Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables . . 444 Paul R. Rosenbaum Comment: Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables . . 444 Donald B. Rubin Multiple Imputation After 18+ Years . . 473 Robert E. Fay Alternative Paradigms for the Analysis of Imputed Survey Data . . . . . . . . . 490 David A. Binder Comment: On Variance Estimation With Imputed Survey Data . . . . . . . . . . 499 John L. Eltinge Comment: On Variance Estimation With Imputed Survey Data . . . . . . . . . . 499 Robert E. Fay Rejoinder: On Variance Estimation With Imputed Survey Data . . . . . . . . . . 499 David R. Judkins Comment: On Variance Estimation With Imputed Survey Data . . . . . . . . . . 499 J. N. K. Rao Rejoinder: On Variance Estimation With Imputed Survey Data . . . . . . . . . . 499 Donald B. Rubin Rejoinder: On Variance Estimation With Imputed Survey Data . . . . . . . . . . 499 Genshiro Kitagawa and Norio Matsumoto Detection of Coseismic Changes of Underground Water Level . . . . . . . . 521 Arline T. Geronimus and John Bound and Lisa J. Neidert On The Validity of Using Census Geocode Characteristics to Proxy Individual Socioeconomic Characteristics . . . . . 529 Bradley Efron Rejoinder: Empirical Bayes Methods for Combining Likelihoods. With discussion and a reply by the author . . . . . . . 538--565 Alan E. Gelfand Comment: Empirical Bayes Methods for Combining Likelihoods . . . . . . . . . 538 Edward I. George Comment: Empirical Bayes Methods for Combining Likelihoods . . . . . . . . . 538 Carl N. Morris Comment: Empirical Bayes Methods for Combining Likelihoods . . . . . . . . . 538 N. Reid Comment: Empirical Bayes Methods for Combining Likelihoods . . . . . . . . . 538 Thomas A. Severini and Martin A. Tanner Comment: Empirical Bayes Methods for Combining Likelihoods . . . . . . . . . 538 Michael Sherman and Edward Carlstein Replicate Histograms . . . . . . . . . . 566--576 Knut Sòlna and Paul Switzer Time Trend Estimation for a Geographic Region . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 577--589 Joseph P. Romano and Lori A. Thombs Inference for Autocorrelations Under Weak Assumptions . . . . . . . . . . . . 590--600 A. C. Davison and N. I. Ramesh Some Models for Discretized Series of Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 601 Finbarr O'Sullivan and Yudi Pawitan Bandwidth Selection for Indirect Density Estimation Based on Corrupted Histogram Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 610--626 Constantinos Goutis and Tom Fearn Partial Least Squares Regression on Smooth Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . 627--632 John P. Buonaccorsi Measurement Error in the Response in the General Linear Model . . . . . . . . . . 633--642 Robert L. Strawderman and George Casella and Martin T. Wells Practical Small-Sample Asymptotics for Regression Problems . . . . . . . . . . 643--654 Jun Shao Bootstrap Model Selection . . . . . . . 655--665 Riccardo Gatto and Elvezio Ronchetti General Saddlepoint Approximations of Marginal Densities and Tail Probabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . 666--673 Jianqing Fan Test of Significance Based on Wavelet Thresholding and Neyman's Truncation . . 674--688 Gang Li and Ram C. Tiwari and Martin T. Wells Quantile Comparison Functions in Two-Sample Problems, With Application to Comparisons of Diagnostic Markers . . . 689--698 Sherry L. Dixon and Joseph W. McKean Rank-Based Analysis of the Heteroscedastic Linear Model . . . . . . 699--712 A. J. Rossini and A. A. Tsiatis A Semiparametric Proportional Odds Regression Model for the Analysis of Current Status Data . . . . . . . . . . 713--721 Kathryn Roeder and Raymond J. Carroll and Bruce G. Lindsay A Semiparametric Mixture Approach to Case-Control Studies With Errors in Covariables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 722--732 Francisco J. Samaniego and Andrew A. Neath How to Be a Better Bayesian . . . . . . 733--742 Li Sun and John S. J. Hsu and Irwin Guttman and Tom Leonard Bayesian Methods for Variance Component Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 743--752 Cinzia Carota and Giovanni Parmigiani and Nicholas G. Polson Diagnostic Measures for Model Criticism 753--762 Lynn Kuo and Tae Young Yang Bayesian Computation for Nonhomogeneous Poisson Processes in Software Reliability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 763--773 Paul Gustafson Local Sensitivity of Inferences to Prior Marginals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 774--781 R. P. Treder and J. Sedransk Bayesian Sequential Two-Phase Sampling 782--790 Jan F. Bjòrnstad On the Generalization of the Likelihood Function and the Likelihood Principle 791--806 Michael R. Kosorok and Wei-Hsiung Chao The Analysis of Longitudinal Ordinal Response Data in Continuous Time . . . . 807--817 H. T. V. Vu and R. A. Maller The Likelihood Ratio Test for Poisson Versus Binomial Distributions . . . . . 818--824 John P. Wendell and Josef Schmee Exact Inference for Proportions From a Stratified Finite Population . . . . . . 825--830 Agnes Berger and Carol A. Bodian and Warren M. Hirsch On Estimating Incidence Rates of Diseases With Delayed Onset Using Biased Samples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 831--840 Amos Golan and George Judge and Jeffrey M. Perloff A Maximum Entropy Approach to Recovering Information From Multinomial Response Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 841--853 Dean Follmann A Simple Multivariate Test for One-Sided Alternatives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 854--861 Probal Chaudhuri On a Geometric Notion of Quantiles for Multivariate Data . . . . . . . . . . . 862--872 Gleb Koshevoy and Karl Mosler The Lorenz zonoid of a multivariate distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 873--882 Mary Kathryn Cowles and Bradley P. Carlin Markov Chain Monte Carlo Convergence Diagnostics: a Comparative Review . . . 883--904 Anonymous Telegraphic Reviews . . . . . . . . . . 915
Jon Wakefield and James Bennett The Bayesian Modeling of Covariates for Population Pharmacokinetic Models . . . 917 Els Goetghebeur and Geert Molenberghs Causal Inference in a Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trial With Binary Outcome and Ordered Compliance . . . . . . . . . . . 928 D. T. Dunn and A. E. Ades Estimating the HIV Vertical Transmission Rate and the Pediatric AIDS Incubation Period From Prospective Data . . . . . . 935 W. Qian and D. M. Titterington and J. N. Chapman An Image Analysis Problem in Electron Microscopy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 944 Fengchun Peng and Robert A. Jacobs and Martin A. Tanner Bayesian Inference in Mixtures-of-Experts and Hierarchical Mixtures-of-Experts Models With an Application to Speech Recognition . . . 953 Michael D. Sinclair and Joseph Gastwirth On Procedures for Evaluating the Effectiveness of Reinterview Survey Methods: Applications to Labor Force Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 961 Barbara Wolfe and Robert Haveman and Donna Ginther and Chong Bum An The ``Window Problem'' in Studies of Children's Attainments: A Methodological Exploration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 970 R. Dennis Cook Graphics for Regressions With a Binary Response . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 983--992 Jian- Shen Chen and Robert I. Jennrich The Signed Root Deviance Profile and Confidence Intervals in Maximum Likelihood Analysis . . . . . . . . . . 993--998 Jeffrey S. Buzas and Leonard A. Stefanski Instrumental Variable Estimation in Generalized Linear Measurement Error Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 999 Xihong Lin and Norman E. Breslow Bias Correction in Generalized Linear Mixed Models With Multiple Components of Dispersion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1007--1016 Joseph B. Lang On the Partitioning of Goodness-of-Fit Statistics for Multivariate Categorical Response Models . . . . . . . . . . . . 1017--1023 Patrick J. Heagerty and Scott L. Zeger Marginal Regression Models for Clustered Ordinal Measurements . . . . . . . . . . 1024 Jenny Baglivo and Marcello Pagano and Cathie Spino Permutation Distributions via Generating Functions With Applications to Sensitivity Analysis of Discrete Data 1037--1046 David M. Rocke and David L. Woodruff Identification of Outliers in Multivariate Data . . . . . . . . . . . 1047--1061 Nicholas I. Fisher and Peter Hall and Bing-Yi Jing and Andrew T. A. Wood Improved Pivotal Methods for Constructing Confidence Regions With Directional Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 1062--1070 Erik Bòlviken and Eva Skovlund Confidence Intervals From Monte Carlo Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1071--1078 Eric D. Kolaczyk A Wavelet Shrinkage Approach to Tomographic Image Reconstruction . . . . 1079--1090 S. James Press The Directional Neighborhoods Approach to Contextual Classification of Images From Noisy Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 1091 Elja Arjas and Dario Gasbarra Bayesian Inference of Survival Probabilities, Under Stochastic Ordering Constraints . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1101--1109 Chu-In Charles Lee On Estimation for Monotone Dose-Response Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1110--1119 Gerd Ronning and Martin Kukuk Efficient Estimation of Ordered Probit Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1120--1129 W. González-Manteiga and R. Cao and J. S. Marron Bootstrap Selection of the Smoothing Parameter in Nonparametric Hazard Rate Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1130--1140 Laurence S. Magder and Scott L. Zeger A Smooth Nonparametric Estimate of a Mixing Distribution Using Mixtures of Gaussians . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1141--1151 Ülkü Gürler Bivariate Estimation With Right-Truncated Data . . . . . . . . . . 1152--1165 Shulamith T. Gross and Tze Leung Lai Nonparametric Estimation and Regression Analysis With Left- Truncated and Right-Censored Data . . . . . . . . . . 1166--1180 Chen-Hsin Chen and Wei-Yann Tsai and Wei-Hsiung Chao The Product-Moment Correlation Coefficient and Linear Regression for Truncated Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1181--1186 Axel Munk Equivalence and Interval Testing for Lehmann's Alternative . . . . . . . . . 1187--1196 Merlise Clyde and Heather Desimone and Giovanni Parmigiani Prediction Via Orthogonalized Model Mixing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1197 Mario Peruggia and Thomas Santner Bayesian Analysis of Time Evolution of Earthquakes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1209 Chuanhai Liu Bayesian Robust Multivariate Linear Regression With Incomplete Data . . . . 1219--1227 Joseph B. Kadane and Mark J. Schervish and Teddy Seidenfeld Reasoning to a Foregone Conclusion . . . 1228--1235 Merlise Clyde and Kathryn Chaloner The Equivalence of Constrained and Weighted Designs in Multiple Objective Design Problems . . . . . . . . . . . . 1236--1244 Ping Zhang Nonparametric Importance Sampling . . . 1245--1253 Xiao-Li Meng and Stephen Schilling Fitting Full-Information Item Factor Models and an Empirical Investigation of Bridge Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . 1254 Constantinos Goutis and George Casella and Martin T. Wells Assessing Evidence in Multiple Hypotheses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1268--1277 Jun Shao and Randy R. Sitter Bootstrap for Imputed Survey Data . . . 1278--1288 Carl-Erik Särndal Efficient Estimators With Simple Variance in Unequal Probability Sampling 1289--1300 John G. Cragg and Stephen G. Donald On the Asymptotic Properties of LDU-Based Tests of the Rank of a Matrix 1301--1309 Xu-Feng Niu Nonlinear Additive Models for Environmental Time Series, With Applications to Ground-Level Ozone Data Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1310 Christopher H. Schmid An EM Algorithm Fitting First-Order Conditional Autoregressive Models to Longitudinal Data . . . . . . . . . . . 1322 Donald W. K. Andrews and Werner Ploberger Testing for Serial Correlation Against an ARMA(1,1) Process . . . . . . . . . . 1331--1342 Robert E. Kass and Larry Wasserman The Selection of Prior Distributions by Formal Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1343 Anonymous Telegraphic Reviews . . . . . . . . . . 1380
Colin B. Begg and Ying Huang and Marianne Berwick Separate Estimation of Primary and Secondary Cancer Preventive Impact: Analysis of a Case-Control Study of Skin Self- Examination and Melanoma . . . . . 1381 Kazuo Yamaguchi and Denise B. Kandel Parametric Event Sequence Analysis: An Application to an Analysis of Gender and Racial/Ethnic Differences in Patterns of Drug-Use Progression . . . . . . . . . . 1388 Andrew Gelman and Frederic Bois and Jiming Jiang Physiological Pharmacokinetic Analysis Using Population Modeling and Informative Prior Distributions . . . . 1400 Haibo Zhou and Clarice R. Weinberg and Allen J. Wilcox and Donna D. Baird A Random-Effects Model for Cycle Viability in Fertility Studies . . . . . 1413 Malay Ghosh and Narinder Nangia and Dal Ho Kim Estimation of Median Income of Four-Person Families: A Bayesian Time Series Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . 1423 Michal Abrahamowicz and Todd MacKenzie and John M. Esdaile Time-Dependent Hazard Ratio: Modeling and Hypothesis Testing With Application in Lupus Nephritis . . . . . . . . . . . 1432 S. M. Nusser and A. L. Carriquiry and K. W. Dodd and W. A. Fuller A Semiparametric Transformation Approach to Estimating Usual Daily Intake Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1440 Edward J. Bedrick and Ronald Christensen and Wesley Johnson A New Perspective on Priors for Generalized Linear Models . . . . . . . 1450 James P. Hobert and George Casella The Effect of Improper Priors on Gibbs Sampling in Hierarchical Linear Mixed Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1461 Jingxian Chen and Nozer D. Singpurwalla The Notion of ``Composite Reliability'' and Its Hierarchical Bayes Estimation 1474 Charles Kooperberg and Finbarr O'Sullivan Predictive Oscillation Patterns: A Synthesis of Methods for Spatial-Temporal Decomposition of Random Fields . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1485 Carey E. Priebe Nonhomogeneity Analysis Using Borrowed Strength . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1497 Nhu D. Le and R. Douglas Martin and Adrian E. Raftery Modeling Flat Stretches, Bursts, and Outliers in Time Series Using Mixture Transition Distribution Models . . . . . 1504 Ann Cowling and Peter Hall and Michael J. Phillips Bootstrap Confidence Regions for the Intensity of a Poisson Point Process . . 1516 Stephan R. Sain and David W. Scott On Locally Adaptive Density Estimation 1525 Efstathios Paparoditis A Frequency Domain Bootstrap-Based Method for Checking the Fit of a Transfer Function Model . . . . . . . . 1535 Eric Ghysels and Alastair Hall and Hahn Shik Lee On Periodic Structures and Testing for Seasonal Unit Roots . . . . . . . . . . 1551 J. Olsson and H. Rootzen Quantile Estimation From Repeated Measurements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1560 Martin T. Wells and Kwee Poo Yeo Density Estimation With Bivariate Censored Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1566 Govind S. Mudholkar and Deo Kumar Srivastava and Georgia D. Kollia A Generalization of the Weibull Distribution With Application to the Analysis of Survival Data . . . . . . . 1575 Ludwig Fahrmeir and Stefan Wagenpfeil Smoothing Hazard Functions and Time-Varying Effects in Discrete Duration and Competing Risks Models . . 1584 W. Y. Wendy Lou On Runs and Longest Run Tests: A Method of Finite Markov Chain Imbedding . . . . 1595 E. Olusegun George and Ralph L. Kodell Tests of Independence, Treatment Heterogeneity, and Dose-Related Trend With Exchangeable Binary Data . . . . . 1602 Show-Li Jan and Ronald H. Randles Interdirection Tests for Simple Repeated-Measures Designs . . . . . . . 1611 James L. Kepner and Dennis D. Wackerly On Rank Transformation Techniques for Balanced Incomplete Repeated-Measures Designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1619 Bodhini R. Jayasuriya Testing for Polynomial Regression Using Nonparametric Regression Techniques . . 1626 Joel L. Horowitz and Wolfgang Hardle Direct Semiparametric Estimation of Single-Index Models With Discrete Covariates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1632 Michael LeBlanc and Robert Tibshirani Combining Estimates in Regression and Classification . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1641 Thomas A. Severini Measures of the Sensitivity of Regression Estimates to the Choice of Estimator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1651 Jan Beirlant and Petra Vynckier and Jozef L. Teugels Tail Index Estimation, Pareto Quantile Plots, and Regression Diagnostics . . . 1659 B. M. Brown and T. P. Hettmansperger Normal Scores, Normal Plots, and Tests for Normality . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1668 Yazhen Wang A Likelihood Ratio Test Against Stochastic Ordering in Several Populations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1676 Hari Mukerjee Estimation of Survival Functions Under Uniform Stochastic Ordering . . . . . . 1684 Mervyn J. Silvapulle A Test in the Presence of Nuisance Parameters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1690 Regina Y. Liu and Jen Tang Control Charts for Dependent and Independent Measurements Based on Bootstrap Methods . . . . . . . . . . . 1694 George C. Runger and Sharad S. Prabhu A Markov Chain Model for the Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages Control Chart . . . . . 1701 Darren J. Johnson and K. Krishnamoorthy Combining Independent Studies in a Calibration Problem . . . . . . . . . . 1707 Adele Cutler and Olga I. Cordero-Brana Minimum Hellinger Distance Estimation for Finite Mixture Models . . . . . . . 1716 V. P. Godambe and K. Vijayan Optimal Estimation for Response-Dependent Retrospective Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1724 Mohammed N. Goria and Bernard D. Flury Common Canonical Variates in $k$ Independent Groups . . . . . . . . . . . 1735 Halima Bensmail and Gilles Celeux Regularized Gaussian Discriminant Analysis Through Eigenvalue Decomposition . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1743
Lynne Billard A Voyage of Discovery . . . . . . . . . 1 Julie M. Legler and Louise M. Ryan Latent Variable Models for Teratogenesis using Multiple Binary Outcomes . . . . . 13 Yutaka Yasui and Subhash Lele A Regression Method for Spatial Disease Rates: An Estimating Function Approach 21 Balgobin Nandram and J. Sedransk and Stephen J. Smith Order-Restricted Bayesian Estimation of the Age Composition of a Population of Atlantic Cod . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Glen Van Brummelen and Kenneth Butler Determining the Interdependence of Historical Astronomical Tables . . . . . 41 Iain S. Weir Fully Bayesian Reconstructions From Single-Photon Emission Computed Tomography Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 Hans-Georg Müller and Ulrich Stadtmüller and Farzaneh Tabnak Spatial Smoothing of Geographically Aggregated Data, With Application to the Construction of Incidence Maps . . . . . 61--71 William B. Capra and Hans-Georg Müller An Accelerated-Time Model for Response Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72--83 Nicholas I. Fisher and Peter Hall and Berwin A. Turlach and G. S. Watson On the Estimation of a Convex Set From Noisy Data on Its Support Function . . . 84--91 Smarajit Bose and Finbarr O'Sullivan A Region-Based Segmentation Method for Multichannel Image Data . . . . . . . . 92 Zhen Luo and Grace Wahba Hybrid Adaptive Splines . . . . . . . . 107--116 Charles Kooperberg and Smarajit Bose and Charles J. Stone Polychotomous Regression . . . . . . . . 117 Michael J. Schell and Bahadur Singh The Reduced Monotonic Regression Method 128 Douglas M. Hawkins and Geoffrey J. McLachlan High-Breakdown Linear Discriminant Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136--143 Daniel A. Bloch and Bernard W. Silverman Monotone Discriminant Functions and Their Applications in Rheumatology . . . 144--153 Alice M. Richardson Bounded Influence Estimation in the Mixed Linear Model . . . . . . . . . . . 154--161 Charles E. McCulloch Maximum Likelihood Algorithms for Generalized Linear Mixed Models . . . . 162--170 Yi-Ping Chang and Wen-Tao Huang Inferences for the Linear Errors-in-Variables With Changepoint Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171--178 Adrian E. Raftery and David Madigan and Jennifer A. Hoeting Bayesian Model Averaging for Linear Regression Models . . . . . . . . . . . 179--191 Evelyn M. Crowley Product Partition Models for Normal Means . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 192 Mario Peruggia On the Variability of Case-Deletion Importance Sampling Weights in the Bayesian Linear Model . . . . . . . . . 199--207 Michael Evans and Zvi Gilula and Irwin Guttman and Tim Swartz Bayesian Analysis of Stochastically Ordered Distributions of Categorical Variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208--214 Myles Hollander and Ian W. McKeague and Jie Yang Likelihood Ratio --- Based Confidence Bands for Survival Functions . . . . . . 215--226 S. C. Cheng and L. J. Wei and Z. Ying Predicting Survival Probabilities With Semiparametric Transformation Models . . 227--235 Gang Li and Jing Qin and Ram C. Tiwari Semiparametric Likelihood Ratio --- Based Inferences for Truncated Data . . 236--245 Ronald W. Butler and Aparna V. Huzurbazar Stochastic Network Models for Survival Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 246--257 Michael G. Akritas and Steven F. Arnold and Edgar Brunner Nonparametric Hypotheses and Rank Statistics for Unbalanced Factorial Designs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258--265 Regina Y. Liu and Kesar Singh Notions of Limiting $P$ Values Based on Data Depth and Bootstrap . . . . . . . . 266--277 Qi Zeng and Marie Davidian Bootstrap-Adjusted Calibration Confidence Intervals for Immunoassay . . 278--290 Guido Giani and Klaus Straßburger Optimum Partition Procedures for Separating Good and Bad Treatments . . . 291--298 Peter H. Westfall Multiple Testing of General Contrasts' Using Logical Constraints and Correlations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 299--306 Guohua Pan Confidence Subset Containing the Unknown Peaks of an Umbrella Ordering . . . . . 307--314 Alan Agresti A Model for Repeated Measurements of a Multivariate Binary Response . . . . . . 315 Mendel Fygenson A New Approach in Modeling a Categorical Response. I. Binary Case . . . . . . . . 322--332 Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser and Elvezio Ronchetti Robust Estimation for Grouped Data . . . 333--340 Zhenming Shun Another Look at the Salamander Mating Data: A Modified Laplace Approximation Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341 Sung K. Ahn Inference of Vector Autoregressive Models With Cointegration and Scalar Components . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 350--356 Norman R. Swanson and Clive W. J. Granger Impulse Response Functions Based on a Causal Approach to Residual Orthogonalization in Vector Autoregressions . . . . . . . . . . . . 357--367 Robbert H. Renssen and Nico J. Nieuwenbroek Aligning Estimates for Common Variables in Two or More Sample Surveys . . . . . 368--374 Mike Jacroux and Dibyen Majumdar and Kirti R. Shah On the Determination and Construction of Optimal Block Designs in the Presence of Linear Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . 375--382 Anonymous Book Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 383
Diane Lambert and George Casella and Karen Kafadar Editors' Report for 1996 . . . . . . . . 391 R. J. Carroll and R. Chen and E. I. George and T. H. Li and H. J. Newton and H. Schmiediche and N. Wang Ozone Exposure and Population Density in Harris County, Texas . . . . . . . . . . 392 Peter Guttorp and Wendy Meiring and Paul D. Sampson Comment: Ozone Exposure and Population Density in Harris County, Texas . . . . 405 Michael L. Stein and Dongping Fang Comment: Ozone Exposure and Population Density in Harris County, Texas . . . . 405 Noel Cressie Comment: Ozone Exposure and Population Density in Harris County, Texas . . . . 411 R. J. Carroll and R. Chen and E. I. George and T. H. Li and H. J. Newton and H. Schmiediche and N. Wang Rejoinder: Ozone Exposure and Population Density in Harris County, Texas . . . . 414 Linda M. Zeger and Neal Thomas Efficient Matrix Sampling Instruments for Correlated Latent Traits: Examples From the National Assessment of Educational Progress . . . . . . . . . . 416 Narayan Sastry A Nested Frailty Model for Survival Data, With an Application to the Study of Child Survival in Northeast Brazil 426 Karen M. Higgins and Marie Davidian and David M. Giltinan A Two-Step Approach to Measurement Error in Time-Dependent Covariates in Nonlinear Mixed-Effects Models, With Application to IGF-I Pharmacokinetics 436 Takashi Yanagawa and Yasuki Kikuchi and Kenneth G. Brown No-Observed-Adverse-Effect Levels in Severity Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 449 Cheng Hsiao and A. Kamil Tahmiscio\uglu A Panel Analysis of Liquidity Constraints and Firm Investment . . . . 455 Peter Hall and Berwin A. Turlach Interpolation Methods for Adapting to Sparse Design in Nonparametric Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 466 Stephen Portnoy Comment: Interpolation Methods for Adapting to Sparse Design in Nonparametric Regression . . . . . . . . 473 Peter Hall and Berwin A. Turlach Rejoinder: Interpolation Methods for Adapting to Sparse Design in Nonparametric Regression . . . . . . . . 476 R. J. Carroll and Jianqing Fan and Irene Gijbels and M. P. Wand Generalized Partially Linear Single-Index Models . . . . . . . . . . 477 R. Dennis Cook and Sanford Weisberg Graphics for Assessing the Adequacy of Regression Models . . . . . . . . . . . 490 K. B. Kulasekera and J. Wang Smoothing Parameter Selection for Power Optimality in Testing of Regression Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 500 C. Y. Wang and Suojin Wang and Lue Ping Zhao and Shyh-tyan Ou Weighted Semiparametric Estimation in Regression Analysis With Missing Covariate Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 512 Sam Efromovich Density Estimation for the Case of Supersmooth Measurement Error . . . . . 526 Tiee-jian Wu Root $n$ Bandwidth Selectors for Kernel Estimation of Density Derivatives . . . 536 Bradley Efron and Robert Tibshirani Improvements on Cross-Validation: The $.632 +$ Bootstrap Method . . . . . . . 548 Peter W. Geiser and Ronald H. Randles A Nonparametric Test of Independence Between Two Vectors . . . . . . . . . . 561 Peter W. Gieser and Ronald H. Randles A Nonparametric Test of Independence Between Two Vectors . . . . . . . . . . 561 Michael G. Akritas and Edgar Brunner Nonparametric Methods for Factorial Designs With Censored Data . . . . . . . 568 Robert Bartoszynski and Dennis K. Pearl and John Lawrence A Multidimensional Goodness-of-Fit Test Based on Interpoint Distances . . . . . 577 Mike West Hierarchical Mixture Models in Neurological Transmission Analysis . . . 587 Lance A. Waller and Bradley P. Carlin and Hong Xia and Alan E. Gelfand Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Mapping of Disease Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . 607 Cindy L. Christiansen and Carl N. Morris Hierarchical Poisson Regression Modeling 618 Saurabh Mukhopadhyay and Alan E. Gelfand Dirichlet Process Mixed Generalized Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 633 Claudia Cargnoni and Peter Muller and Mike West Bayesian Forecasting of Multinomial Time Series Through Conditionally Gaussian Dynamic Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 640 Steven M. Lewis and Adrian E. Raftery Estimating Bayes Factors via Posterior Simulation With the Laplace-Metropolis Estimator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 648 Chuhsing Kate Hsiao Approximate Bayes Factors When a Mode Occurs on the Boundary . . . . . . . . . 656 John Monahan and Alan Genz Spherical-Radial Integration Rules for Bayesian Computation . . . . . . . . . . 664 Gene Pennello The $k$-Ratio Multiple Comparisons Bayes Rule for the Balanced Two-Way Design . . 675 James H. Albert Bayesian Testing and Estimation of Association in a Two-Way Contingency Table . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 685 Colin R. Blyth and Robert G. Staudte Hypothesis Estimates and Acceptability Profiles for $2 \times 2$ Contingency Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 694 Vance Berger and Harold Sackrowitz Improving Tests for Superior Treatment in Contingency Tables . . . . . . . . . 700 Thomas R. Belin and David W. Gjertson and Ming Yi Hu Summarizing DNA Evidence When Relatives are Possible Suspects . . . . . . . . . 706 Michael A. Proschan and Dean A. Follmann A Restricted Test of Circadian Rhythm 716 Wing Kuen Tam and Gregory C. Reinsel Tests for Seasonal Moving Average Unit Root in ARIMA Models . . . . . . . . . . 724 Jie Chen and A. K. Gupta Testing and Locating Variance Changepoints With Application to Stock Prices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 738 J. T. Gene Hwang and A. Adam Ding Prediction Intervals for Artificial Neural Networks . . . . . . . . . . . . 747 Leah Flury and Benzion Boukai and Bernard D. Flury The Discrimination Subspace Model . . . 757 Ke Hai Yuan and Peter M. Bentler Mean and Covariance Structure Analysis: Theoretical and Practical Improvements 766 Amrik Shah and Nan Laird and David Schoenfeld A Random Effects Model for Multiple Characteristics With Possibly Missing Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 774 R. R. Sitter Variance Estimation for the Regression Estimator in Two-Phase Sampling . . . . 779 Anonymous Book Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 787
Sharon-Lise T. Normand and Mark E. Glickman and Constantine A. Gatsonis Statistical Methods for Profiling Providers of Medical Care: Issues and Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 803 Donald Malec and J. Sedransk and Christopher L. Moriarity and Felicia B. LeClere Small Area Inference for Binary Variables in the National Health Interview Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . 815--826 Christopher R. Bollinger and Martin H. David Modeling Discrete Choice With Response Error: Food Stamp Participation . . . . 827--835 Alan E. Gelfand and Bani K. Mallick and Wolfgang Polasek Broken Biological size Relationships: A Truncated Semiparametric Regression Approach With Measurement Error . . . . 836--845 James P. Hobert and N. S. Altman and Carl L. Schofield Analyses of Fish Species Richness With Spatial Covariate . . . . . . . . . . . 846--854 Jeff Dominitz and Charles F. Manski Using Expectations Data To Study Subjective Income Expectations . . . . . 855--867 Donald B. Percival and Harold O. Mofjeld Analysis of Subtidal Coastal Sea Level Fluctuations Using Wavelets . . . . . . 868--880 Peter A. W. Lewis and Bonnie K. Ray Modeling Long-Range Dependence, Nonlinearity, and Periodic Phenomena in Sea Surface Temperatures Using TSMARS 881--893 Kathryn Roeder and Larry Wasserman Practical Bayesian Density Estimation Using Mixtures of Normals . . . . . . . 894 Thomas J. DiCiccio and Robert E. Kass and Adrian Raftery and Larry Wasserman Computing Bayes Factors By Combining Simulation and Asymptotic Approximations 903--915 Jim Albert and Siddhartha Chib Bayesian Tests and Model Diagnostics in Conditionally Independent Hierarchical Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 916--925 Nancy Paul Silliman Hierarchical Selection Models With Applications in Meta- Analysis . . . . . 926--936 Diane Lambert and Luke Tierney Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation From Samples With Irrelevant Data and Verification Bias . . . . . . . 937--944 Jon A. Wellner and Yihui Zhan A Hybrid Algorithm for Computation of the Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimator From Censored Data . . . . . . 945--959 Jian Huang and A. J. Rossini Sieve Estimation for the Proportional-Odds Failure-TIme Regression Model With Interval Censoring 960--967 S. A. Murphy and A. J. Rossini and A. W. van der Vaart Maximum Likelihood Estimation in the Proportional Odds Model . . . . . . . . 968--976 Song Yang Extended Weighted Log-Rank Estimating Functions in Censored Regression . . . . 977--984 K. F. Lam and Anthony Y. C. Kuk A Marginal Likelihood Approach to Estimation in Frailty Models . . . . . . 985--990 Margaret Sullivan Pepe and David Couper Modeling Partly Conditional Means With Longitudinal Data . . . . . . . . . . . 991--998 Margaret Sullivan Pepe and David Couper Modeling Partly Conditional Means With Longitudinal Data . . . . . . . . . . . 991 Mousumi Banerjee and Edward W. Frees Influence Diagnostics for Linear Longitudinal Models . . . . . . . . . . 999--1005 Ronald Christensen and Edward J. Bedrick Testing the Independence Assumption in Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1006--1016 Elvezio Ronchetti and Christopher Field and Wade Blanchard Robust Linear Model Selection by Cross-Validation . . . . . . . . . . . . 1017--1023 Debasis Sengupta and Pochiraju Bhimasankaram On the Roles of Observations in Collinearity in the Linear Model . . . . 1024--1032 Mary Jane Emond and Steven G. Self An Efficient Estimator for the Generalized Semilinear Model . . . . . . 1033--1040 Michael Sherman Subseries Methods in Regression . . . . 1041--1048 David Ruppert Empirical-Bias Bandwidths for Local Polynomial Nonparametric Regression and Density Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . 1049--1062 M. C. Jones and D. F. Signorini A Comparison of Higher-Order Bias Kernel Density Estimators . . . . . . . . . . . 1063--1073 Peter Hall and Catherine Huber and Paul L. Speckman Covariate-Matched One-Sided Tests for the Difference Between Functional Means 1074--1083 R. L. Eubank Testing Goodness of Fit With Multinomial Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1084--1093 Wilbert C. M. Kallenberg and Teresa Ledwina Data-Driven Smooth Tests When The Hypothesis Is Composite . . . . . . . . 1094--1104 Joseph I. Naus and Dan Wartenberg A Double-Scan Statistic for Clusters of Two Types of Events . . . . . . . . . . 1105--1113 Michael D. deB. Edwardes Univariate Random Cut-Points Theory for the Analysis of Ordered Categorical Data 1114--1123 Maria Kateri and Takis Papaioannou Asymmetry Models for Contingency Tables 1124--1032 A. S. Hedayat and Bo Yan and John M. Pezzuto Modeling and Identifying Optimum Designs for Fitting Dose- Response Curves Based on Raw Optical Density Data . . . . . . 1132--1140 Thomas Mathew and Wenxing Zha Multiple Use Confidence Regions in Multivariate Calibration . . . . . . . . 1141--1150 Robert A. Rigby Bayesian Discrimination Between TWO Multivariate Normal Populations With Equal Covariance Matrices . . . . . . . 1151--1154 Dei-In Tang and Shang P. Lin An Approximate Likelihood Ratio Test for Comparing Several Treatments to a Control . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1155--1162 Weizhen Wang Optimal Unbiased Tests for Equivalence in Intrasubject Variability . . . . . . 1163--1170 Alexander Balke and Judea Pearl Bounds on Treatment Effects From Studies With Imperfect Compliance . . . . . . . 1171--1176 Goran Brostrom A Martingale Approach to the Changepoint Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1177--1183 Shiqing Ling and W. K. Li On Fractionally Integrated Autoregressive Moving-Average Time Series Models With Conditional Heteroscedasticity . . . . . . . . . . . 1184--1194 Debajyoti Sinha and Dipak K. Dey Semiparametric Bayesian Analysis of Survival Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1195--1212 Anonymous Book Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1213
Jon R. Kettenring Presidential Address: Shaping Statistics for Success in the 21st Century . . . . 1229 Lewis B. Sheiner and Stuart L. Beal and Adrian Dunne Analysis of Nonrandomly Censored Ordered Categorical Longitudinal Data from Analgesic Trials . . . . . . . . . . . . 1235--1244 Xihong Lin and Roderick J. Little Comment: Analysis of Nonrandomly Censored Ordered Categorical Longitudinal Data from Analgesic Trials 1245 Andrew Gelman and Frederic Y. Bois Comment: Analysis of Nonrandomly Censored Ordered Categorical Longitudinal Data from Analgesic Trials 1248 Peter J. Diggle and David M. Smith Comment: Analysis of Nonrandomly Censored Ordered Categorical Longitudinal Data from Analgesic Trials 1251 Lewis B. Sheiner and Stuart L. Beal and Adrian Dunne Rejoinder: Analysis of Nonrandomly Censored Ordered Categorical Longitudinal Data from Analgesic Trials 1253 Beth Osborne Daponte and Joseph B. Kadane and Lara J. Wolfson Bayesian Demography: Projecting the Iraqi Kurdish Population, 1977--1990 . . 1256--1267 F. Thomas Juster and James P. Smith Improving the Quality of Economic Data: Lessons from the HRS and AHEAD . . . . . 1268--1278 Peter Möller and Gary Rosner A Bayesian Population Model With Hierarchical Mixture Priors Applied to Blood Count Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 1279--1292 Peter Muller and Gary L. Rosner A Bayesian Population Model With Hierarchical Mixture Priors Applied to Blood Count Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 1279--1292 Adam B. Olshen and Finbarr O'Sullivan Camouflaged Deconvolution With Application to Blood Curve Modeling in FDG PET Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . 1293--1303 Paul S. Albert and Sally A. Hunsberger and Frank M. Biro Modeling Repeated Measures With Monotonic Ordinal Responses and Misclassification, With Applications to Studying Maturation . . . . . . . . . . 1304--1311 Ramon Durazo-Arvizu and Daniel McGee and Zhaohai Li and Richard Cooper Establishing the Nadir of the Body Mass Index-Mortality Relationship: A Case Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1312--1319 Myunghee Cho Paik The Generalized Estimating Equation Approach When Data Are Not Missing Completely at Random . . . . . . . . . . 1320--1329 Christopher Jennison and Bruce W. Turnbull Group-Sequential Analysis Incorporating Covariate Information . . . . . . . . . 1330--1341 Daniel O. Scharfstein and Anastasios A. Tsiatis and James M. Robins Semiparametric Efficiency and Its Implication on the Design and Analysis of Group- Sequential Studies . . . . . . 1342--1350 Djokouri A. Kouassi and Jagbir Singh A Semiparametric Approach to Hazard Estimation With Randomly Censored Observations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1351--1355 Robert L. Strawderman and Martin T. Wells Accurate Bootstrap Confidence Limits for the Cumulative Hazard and Survivor Functions Under Random Censoring . . . . 1356--1374 Karen Bandeen-Roche and Diana L. Miglioretti and Scott L. Zeger and Paul J. Rathouz Latent Variable Regression for Multiple Discrete Outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . 1375--1386 C. B. Dean and R. Balshaw Efficiency Lost By Analyzing Counts Rather Than Event Times in Poisson and Overdispersed Poisson Regression Models 1387--1398 Li-Shan Huang Testing Goodness-of-Fit Based on a Roughness Measure . . . . . . . . . . . 1399--1402 Carlo Berzuini and Nicola G. Best and Walter R. Gilks and Cristiana Larizza Dynamic Conditional Independence Models and Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods . . 1403--1412 Hugh A. Chipman and Eric D. Kolaczyk and Robert E. McCulloch Adaptive Bayesian Wavelet Shrinkage . . 1413--1421 Victor De Oliveira and Benjamin Kedem and David A. Short Bayesian Prediction of Transformed Gaussian Random Fields . . . . . . . . . 1422--1433 Carmen Fernandez and Jacek Osiewalski and Mark F. J. Steel Classical and Bayesian Inference Robustness in Multivariate Regression Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1434--1444 Constantinos Goutis Nonparametric Estimation of a Mixing Density via the Kernel Method . . . . . 1445--1450 P. P. B. Eggermont and V. N. Lariccia Nonlinearly Smoothed EM Density Estimation With Automated Smoothing Parameter Selection for Nonparametric Deconvolution Problems . . . . . . . . . 1451--1458 Clifford B. Cordy and David R. Thomas Deconvolution of a Distribution Function 1459--1465 Fred W. Huffer and Chien-Tai Lin Approximating the Distribution of the Scan Statistic Using Moments of the Number of Clumps . . . . . . . . . . . . 1466--1475 Carey E. Priebe and Tim Olson and Dennis M. Healy, Jr. A Spatial Scan Statistic for Stochastic Scan Partitions . . . . . . . . . . . . 1476--1484 Denis Allard and Chris Fraley Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Features in Spatial Point Processes Using Voronoi Tessellation . . 1485--1493 Edgar Brunner and Holger Dette and Axel Munk Box-Type Approximations in Nonparametric Factorial Designs . . . . . . . . . . . 1494 Douglas P. Wiens and Julie Zhou Robust Designs Based on the Infinitesimal Approach . . . . . . . . . 1503--1511 Oliver B. Linton and Rong Chen and Naiysin Wang and Wolfgang Hardle An Analysis of Transformations for Additive Nonparametric Regression . . . 1512--1521 Michael Smith and Robert Kohn A Bayesian Approach to Nonparametric Bivariate Regression . . . . . . . . . . 1522--1535 Marc Aerts and Gerda Claeskens Local Polynomial Estimation in Multiparameter Likelihood Models . . . . 1536--1545 Jean-François Durand and Robert Sabatier Additive Splines for Partial Least Squares Regression . . . . . . . . . . . 1546--1554 Vipin Arora and P. Lahiri and Kanchan Mukherjee Empirical Bayes Estimation of Finite Population Means from Complex Surveys 1555--1562 Zhao-Guo Chen and Pierre A. Cholette and Estela Bee Dagum A Nonparametric Method for Benchmarking Survey Data via Signal Extraction . . . 1563--1571 Jiandong Lu and Daijin Ko and Ted Chang The Standardized Influence Matrix and Its Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . 1572 K. Choi and J. Marden An Approach to Multivariate Rank Tests in Multivariate Analysis of Variance . . 1581--1590 Thomas P. Hettmansparger and Jyrki Mottonen and Hannu Oja Affine-Invariant Multivariate One-Sample Signed-Rank Tests . . . . . . . . . . . 1591--1600 Thomas P. Hettmansperger and Jyrki Mottonen and Hanne Oja Affine-Invariant Multivariate One-Sample Signed-Rank Tests . . . . . . . . . . . 1591--1600 Sanat K. Sakkar and Chung-Kuei Chang The Simes Method for Multiple Hypothesis Testing With Positively Dependent Test Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1601--1608 Sanat K. Sarkar and Cung-Kuei Chang The Simes Method for Multiple Hypothesis Testing With Positively Dependent Test Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1601--1608 Enrique Castillo and Ali S. Hadi Fitting the Generalized Pareto Distribution to Data . . . . . . . . . . 1609--1620 J. K. Ord and A. B. Koehler and R. D. Snyder Estimation and Prediction for a Class of Dynamic Nonlinear Statistical Models . . 1621--1629 Siem Jan Koopman Exact Initial Kalman Filtering and Smoothing for Nonstationary Time Series Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1630--1638 Robert L. Strawderman and George Casella and Martin T. Wells Correction to ``Practical Small-Sample Asymptotics for Regression Problems'' 1657 Anonymous 1997 Editorial Collaborators . . . . . . 1658 Anonymous Index to Volume 92 . . . . . . . . . . . 1662
Andrew Gelman and Gary King and W. John Boscardin Estimating the Probability of Events that Have Never Occurred: When is Your Vote Decisive? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--9 A. Ronald Gallant and George Tauchen Reprojecting Partially Observed Systems with Application to Interest Rate Diffusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10--24 Mark E. Glickman and Hal S. Stern A State-Space Model for National Football League Scores . . . . . . . . . 25--35 Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver and Jye-Chyi Lu and Joseph C. Davis and Ronald S. Gyurcsik Achieving Uniformity in a Semiconductor Fabrication Process Using Spatial Modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36--45 Tony Lancaster and Orna Intrator Panel Data With Survival: Hospitalization of HIV Patients . . . . 46--53 Dana P. Goldman and Arleen Leibowitz and Joan L. Buchanan Cost Containment and Adverse Selection in Medicaid HMOs . . . . . . . . . . . . 54--62 Robert D. Gibbons and Virginia Wilcox-Gok Health Service Utilization and Insurance Coverage: A Multivariate Probit Analysis 63--72 Trevor C. Bailey and Theofanis Sapatinas and Kenneth J. Powell and Wojtek J. Krzanowski Signal Detection in Underwater Sounds using Wavelets . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73--83 R. Dennis Cook Principle Hessian Directions Revisited 84--100 Ker-Chau Li Comment: Principle Hessian Directions Revisited . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 R. Dennis Cook Rejoinder: Principle Hessian Directions Revisited . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 Mark Hansen and Charles Kooperberg and Sylvain Sardy Triogram Models . . . . . . . . . . . . 101--119 Jianming Ye On Measuring and Correcting the Effects of Data Mining and Model Selection . . . 120--131 Louis Ferré Determining the Dimension in Sliced Inverse Regression and Related Methods 132--140 W. Stute and W. González Manteiga and M. Presedo Quindimil Bootstrap Approximations in Model Checks for Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141--149 Patrick J. Heagerty and Scott L. Zeger Lorelogram: A Regression Approach to Exploring Dependence in Longitudinal Categorical Responses . . . . . . . . . 150--162 Yazhen Wang Change Curve Estimation via Wavelets . . 163--172 Brani Vidakovic Nonlinear Wavelet Shrinkage with Bayes Rules and Bayes Factors . . . . . . . . 173--179 Heping Zhang Classification Trees for Multiple Binary Responses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180--193 Fernando A. Quintana and Michael A. Newton Assessing the Order of Dependence for Partially Exchangeable Binary Data . . . 194--202 Sally Wood and Robert Kohn A Bayesian Approach to Robust Binary Nonparametric Regression . . . . . . . . 203 Raymond J. Carroll and David Ruppert and Alan H. Welsh Local Estimating Equations . . . . . . . 214--227 Keming Yu and M. C. Jones Local Linear Quantile Regression . . . . 228--237 Valen E. Johnson A Coupling-Regeneration Scheme for Diagnosing Convergence in Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithms . . . . . . . . . 238--248 Naisyin Wang and Xihong Lin and Roberto G. Gutierrez and Raymond J. Carroll Bias Analysis and SIMEX Approach in Generalized Linear Mixed Measurement Error Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249--261 James G. Booth and James P. Hobert Standard Errors of Prediction in Generalized Linear Mixed Models . . . . 262--272 Malay Ghosh and Kannan Natarajan and T. W. F. Stroud and Bradley P. Carlin Generalized Linear Models for Small Area Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273--282 Anne Chao and P. K. Tsay A sample coverage approach to multiple-system estimation with application to census undercount . . . . 283--293 Abhijit Dasgupta and Adrian E. Raftery Detecting Features in Spatial Point Processes with Clutter via Model-based Clustering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 294--302 Andrew L. Rukhin and Mark G. Vangel Estimation of a Common Mean and Weighted Means Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . 303--308 Y. Benjamini and Y. Hochberg and P. B. Stark Confidence Intervals with more Power to Determine the Sign: Two Ends Constrain the Means . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309--317 Glen A. Satten and Somnath Datta and John M. Williamson Inference Based on Imputed Failure Times for the Proportional Hazards Model with Interval Censored Data . . . . . . . . . 318--327 Yoshihide Kakizawa and Robert H. Shumway and Masanobu Taniguchi Discrimination and Clustering for Multivariate Time Series . . . . . . . . 328--340 Yuedong Wang Smoothing Spline Models with Correlated Random Errors . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341--348 James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson Median Unbiased Estimation of Coefficient Variance in a Time Varying Parameter Model . . . . . . . . . . . . 349--358 Carmen Fernández and Mark F. J. Steel On Bayesian modeling of fat tails and skewness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359--371 Shahar Boneh and Arnon Boneh and R. J. Caron Estimating the Prediction Function and the Number of Unseen Species in Sampling with Replacement . . . . . . . . . . . . 372--379 Yining Wang and Michael P. McDermott Conditional Likelihood Ratio Test for a Nonnegative Normal Mean Vector . . . . . 380--386 Michael P. Fay and Joanna H. Shih Permutation Tests using Estimated Distribution Functions . . . . . . . . . 387--396 Anonymous Book Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 397 Peter Westfall Addendum: ``Multiple testing of general contrasts using logical constraints and correlations'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 92 (1997), no. 437, 299--306; MR 98c:62053] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 413--413
Colin B. Begg and Jaya M. Satagopan and Marianne Berwick A New Strategy for Evaluating the Impact of Epidemiologic Risk Factors for Cancer with Application to Melanoma . . . . . . 415--426 Cheryl L. Faucett and Nathaniel Schenker and Robert M. Elashoff Analysis of Censored Survival Data With Intermittently Observed Time-Dependent Binary Covariates . . . . . . . . . . . 427--437 Erik P. Pulkstenis and Thomas R. Ten Have and J. Richard Landis Model for the Analysis of Binary Longitudinal Pain Data Subject to Informative Dropout Through Remedication 438--450 Adrian E. Raftery and Judith E. Zeh Estimating Bowhead Whale, \em Balaena mysticetus, Population Size and Rate of Increase from the 1993 Census . . . . . 451--463 Elizabeth A. Stasny and Joseph B. Kadane and Kathleen S. Fritsch On the Fairness of Death-Penalty Jurors: A Comparison of Bayesian Models with Different Levels of Hierarchy and Various Missing-Data Mechanisms . . . . 464 Alan L. Montgomery and Victor Zarnowitz and Ruey S. Tsay and George C. Tiao Forecasting the U.S. Unemployment Rate 478--493 M. Laurentius Marais and William E. Wecker Correcting for Omitted-Variables and Measurement-Error Bias in Regression With an Application to the Effect of Lead on IQ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 494--504 Christine Waternaux and Eva Petkova and William DuMouchel Comment: Problems With Using Auxiliary Information to Correct for Omitted Variables When Estimating the Effect of Lead on IQ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 505 Walter J. Rogan and James H. Ware Comment: Correcting for Omitted-Variables and Measurement-Error Bias in Regression With an Application to the Effect of Lead on IQ . . . . . . 513 M. Laurentius Marais and William E. Wecker Rejoinder: Correcting for Omitted-Variables and Measurement-Error Bias in Regression With an Application to the Effect of Lead on IQ . . . . . . 515 Alice S. Whittemore and Jerry Halpern and Gail Gong Testing Covariance Structure in Multivariate Models: Application to Family Disease Data . . . . . . . . . . 518--525 C. K. Chu and I. K. Glad and F. Godtliebsen and J. S. Marron Edge Preserving Smoothers for Image Processing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 526--556 Valen E. Johnson Comment: Edge Preserving Smoothers for Image Processing . . . . . . . . . . . . 541 Douglas G. Simpson and Xuming He and Yao-Tsorng Liu Comment: Edge Preserving Smoothers for Image Processing . . . . . . . . . . . . 544 Peter Meer and David Tyler Comment: Edge Preserving Smoothers for Image Processing . . . . . . . . . . . . 548 C. K. Chu and I. K. Glad and F. Godtliebsen and J. S. Marron Rejoinder: Edge Preserving Smoothers for Image Processing . . . . . . . . . . . . 553 Claudia Tebaldi and Mike West Bayesian Inference on Network Traffic Using Link Count Data . . . . . . . . . 557--576 Y. Vardi Comment: Bayesian Inference on Network Traffic Using Link Count Data . . . . . 573 Robert McCulloch Comment: Bayesian Inference on Network Traffic Using Link Count Data . . . . . 575 Claudia Tebaldi and Mike West Rejoinder: Bayesian Inference on Network Traffic Using Link Count Data . . . . . 576 Simon Byers and Adrian E. Raftery Nearest Neighbor Clutter Removal for Estimating Features in Spatial Point Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 577--584 David M. Higdon Auxiliary Variable Methods for Markov Chain Monte Carlo with Applications . . 585--595 Ronald W. Butler and Richard K. Sutton Saddlepoint Approximation for Multivariate Cumulative Distribution Functions and Probability Computations in Sampling Theory and Outlier Testing 596--604 Jean D. Opsomer and David Ruppert A Fully Automated Bandwidth Selection Method for Fitting Additive Models . . . 605--619 Jeffrey D. Hart and Seongbaek Yi One-Sided Cross-Validation . . . . . . . 620--631 Louis-Paul Rivest Some Linear Models for Estimating the Motion of Rigid Bodies with Applications to Geometric Quality Assurance . . . . . 632--642 Xuming He and Peide Shi Monotone B-Spline Smoothing . . . . . . 643--650 James M. Dickey and Thomas J. Jiang Filtered-Variate Prior Distributions for Histogram Smoothing . . . . . . . . . . 651--662 Michael C. Minnotte Achieving Higher-Order Convergence Rates for Density Estimation With Binned Data 663--672 Edsel A. Peña Smooth Goodness-of-Fit Tests for the Baseline Hazard in Cox's Proportional Hazards Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . 673--692 Mark J. van der Laan and James M. Robins Locally Efficient Estimation With Current Status Data and Time-Dependent Covariates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 693--701 David M. Zucker Restricted Mean Life With Covariates: Modification and Extension of a Useful Survival Analysis Method . . . . . . . . 702--709 Daowen Zhang and Xihong Lin and Jonathan Raz and MaryFran Sowers Semiparametric Stochastic Mixed Models for Longitudinal Data . . . . . . . . . 710--719 Jiming Jiang Consistent Estimators in Generalized Linear Mixed Models . . . . . . . . . . 720--729 R. Dennis Cook and Rodney Croos-Dabrera Partial Residual Plots in Generalized Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 730--739 Marianthi Markatou and Ayanendranath Basu and Bruce G. Lindsay Weighted Likelihood Equations With Bootstrap Root Search . . . . . . . . . 740--750 Brendan P. M. McCabe and Richard J. Smith The Power of Some Tests for Difference Stationarity Under Local Heteroscedastic Integration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 751--761 Sam Efromovich Data-Driven Efficient Estimation of the Spectral Density . . . . . . . . . . . . 762--769 Hong Li and Ruey S. Tsay A Unified Approach to Identifying Multivariate Time Series Models . . . . 770--782 Carmela E. Quintos Fully Modified Vector Autoregressive Inference in Partially Nonstationary Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 783--795 Piet de Jong and Jeremy Pinzer Diagnosing Shocks in Time Series . . . . 796--806 Richard A. Johnson and Songyong Sim and Barbara E. Klein and Ronald Klein A Multivariate MultiSample Quantile Test for Ordered Alternatives . . . . . . . . 807--818 Jun Shao and Ying Chen and Yinzhong Chen Balanced Repeated Replication for Stratified Multistage Survey Data Under Imputation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 819--831 Anonymous Book Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 832
Andrew Gelman and Gary King and Chuanhai Liu Applications and Case Studies --- Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys . . . . 846--857 David A. Binder Applications and Case Studies --- Comment: Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys 858 John Brehm Applications and Case Studies --- Comment: Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys 859 David R. Judkins Applications and Case Studies --- Comment: Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys 861 Robert L. Santos Applications and Case Studies --- Comment: Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys 865 Joseph B. Kadane Applications and Case Studies --- Comment: Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys 867 Andrew Gelman and Gary King and Chuanhai Liu Applications and Case Studies --- Rejoinder: Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys 869 Mark Gersovitz and Hanan G. Jacoby and F. Seri Dedy and A. Gozé Tapé Applications and Case Studies --- The Balance of Self-Reported Heterosexual Activity in KAP Surveys and the AIDS Epidemic in Africa . . . . . . . . . . . 875--883 Gustavo Angeles and David K. Guilkey and Thomas A. Mroz Applications and Case Studies --- Purposive Program Placement and the Estimation of Family Planning Program Effects in Tanzania . . . . . . . . . . 884--899 Angus Deaton and Serena Ng Applications and Case Studies --- Parametric and Nonparametric Approaches to Price and Tax Reform . . . . . . . . 900--909 Eric T. Bradlow and Robert E. Weiss and Meehyung Cho Applications and Case Studies --- Bayesian Identification of Outliers in Computerized Adaptive Tests . . . . . . 910--919 Yinsheng Qu and Alula Hadgu Applications and Case Studies --- A Model for Evaluating Sensitivity and Specificity for Correlated Diagnostic Tests in Efficacy Studies With an Imperfect Reference Test . . . . . . . . 920--928 Stuart G. Baker Applications and Case Studies --- Analysis of Survival Data From A Randomized Trial With All-or-None Compliance: Estimating the Cost-Effectiveness of a Cancer Screening Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 929--934 Hugh A. Chipman and Edward I. George and Robert E. McCulloch Bayesian CART Model Search . . . . . . . 935--947 Heping Zhang Comment: Bayesian CART Model Search . . 945 Keith Knight and Rafal Kustra and Robert Tibshirani Comment: Bayesian CART Model Search . . 950 D. G. T. Denison and A. F. M. Smith and B. K. Mallick Comment: Bayesian CART Model Search . . 954 Hugh A. Chipman and Edward I. George and Robert E. McCulloch Rejoinder: Bayesian CART Model Search 957 Babette A. Brumback and John A. Rice Smoothing Spline Models for the Analysis of Nested and Crossed Samples of Curves 961--994 Yuedong Wang and Grace Wahba Comment: Smoothing Spline Models for the Analysis of Nested and Crossed Samples of Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 976 Jianqing Fan and Jin-Ting Zhang Comment: Smoothing Spline Models for the Analysis of Nested and Crossed Samples of Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 980 Alois Kneip Comment: Smoothing Spline Models for the Analysis of Nested and Crossed Samples of Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 984 Nicholas Lange Comment: Smoothing Spline Models for the Analysis of Nested and Crossed Samples of Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 986 James O. Ramsay and Bernard W. Silverman Comment: Smoothing Spline Models for the Analysis of Nested and Crossed Samples of Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 988 Babette A. Brumback and John A. Rice Rejoinder: Smoothing Spline Models for the Analysis of Nested and Crossed Samples of Curves . . . . . . . . . . . 991 Nanxiang Ge and Douglas G. Simpson Correlation and High Dimensional Consistency in Pattern Recognition . . . 995--1006 Jianqing Fan and Sheng-Kuei Lin Test Of Significance When Data Are Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1007--1021 Jun S. Liu and Rong Chen and Wing Hung Wong Rejection Control and Sequential Importance Sampling . . . . . . . . . . 1022--1031 Jun S. Liu and Rong Chen Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Dynamic Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . 1032--1044 Jun S. Llu and Rong Chen Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Dynamic Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . 1032 Walter R. Gilks and Gareth O. Roberts and Sujit K. Sahu Adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo Through Regeneration . . . . . . . . . . 1045--1054 Chantal Guihenneuc-Jouyaux and Christian P. Robert Discretization of Continuous Markov Chains and Markov Chain Monte Carlo Convergence Assessment . . . . . . . . . 1055--1067 Brett Presnell and Scott P. Morrison and Ramon C. Littell Projected Multivariate Linear Models for Directional Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 1068--1077 Nagaraj K. Neerchal and Jorge G. Morel Large Cluster Results for TWO Parametric Multinomial Extra Variation Models . . . 1078--1087 Santiago Velilla Assessing the Number of Linear Components in a General Regression Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1088--1098 Patrick J. Heagerty and Subhash R. Lele A Composite Likelihood Approach to Binary Spatial Data . . . . . . . . . . 1099--1111 Valentino Dardanoni and Antonio Forcina A Unified Approach to Likelihood Inference on Stochastic Orderings in a Non-parametric Context . . . . . . . . . 1112--1123 John M. Neuhaus Estimation Efficiency With Omitted Covariates in Generalized Linear Models 1124--1129 Ramanan Gopalan and Donald A. Berry Bayesian Multiple Comparisons Using Dirichlet Process Priors . . . . . . . . 1130--1139 Fernando A. Quintana Nonparametric Bayesian Analysis for Assessing Homogeneity in $k \times l$ Contingency Tables with Fixed Right Margin Totals . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1140--1149 Dhaifalla Al-Mutairi and Yiping Chen and Nozer D. Singpurwalla An Adaptive Concatenated Failure Rate Model for Software Reliability . . . . . 1150--1163 C. F. Spiekerman and D. Y. Lin Marginal Regression Models for Multivariate Failure Time Data . . . . . 1164--1175 H. B. Kushner Optimal and Efficient Repeated Measurements Designs for Uncorrelated Observations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1176--1187 Ruey S. Tsay Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models . . . . . . . . . . . . 1188--1202 Genshiro Kitagawa A Self-Organizing State Space Model . . 1203--1215 Anonymous General --- Review Paper . . . . . . . . 1216 Vicki A. Lancaster and Sallie Keller-McNulty A Review of Composite Sampling Methods 1216 Brendan P. M. McCabe and Richard J. Smith Errata: ``The power of some tests for difference stationarity under local heteroscedastic integration'' [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \bf 93 (1998), no. 442, 751--761; 1 631 382] . . . . . . . . . . 1252--1252
David S. Moore Presidential Address --- Statistics Among the Liberal Arts . . . . . . . . . 1253 Jacqueline Cohen and Daniel Nagin and Garrick Wallstrom and Larry Wasserman Applications and Case Studies --- Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis of Arrest Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1260--1270 Sandra J. Lee and Marvin Zelen Applications and Case Studies --- Scheduling Periodic Examinations for the Early Detection of Disease: Applications to Breast Cancer . . . . . . . . . . . . 1271--1281 Joseph G. Ibrahim and Louise M. Ryan and Ming- Hui Chen Applications and Case Studies --- Using Historical Controls to Adjust for Covariates in Trend Tests for Binary Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1282--1293 Robert L. Strawderman and Martin T. Wells Approximately Exact Inference for the Common Odds Ratio in Several $2 \times 2$ Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1294--1306 Alan Agresti Comment: Approximately Exact Inference for the Common Odds Ratio in Several $2 \times 2$ Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . 1307 James G. Booth and Ronald W. Butler Comment: Approximately Exact Inference for the Common Odds Ratio in Several $2 \times 2$ Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . 1310 Cyrus R. Mehta and Nitin R. Patel and Pralay Senchaudhuri Comment: Approximately Exact Inference for the Common Odds Ratio in Several $2 \times 2$ Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . 1313 Robert L. Strawderman and Martin T. Wells Rejoinder: Approximately Exact Inference for the Common Odds Ratio in Several $2 \times 2$ Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . 1316 Andrea Rotnitzky and James M. Robins and Daniel O. Scharfstein Semiparametric Regression for Repeated Outcomes with Non-ignorable Non-response 1321--1339 Ranjan Maitra and Finbarr O'Sullivan Variability Assessment in Positron Emission Tomography and Related Generalized Deconvolution Models . . . . 1340--1355 Chris J. Lloyd Using Smoothed Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves to Summarize and Compare Diagnostic Systems . . . . . . . 1356--1364 Daniel B. Hall and Thomas A. Severini Extended Generalized Estimating Equations for Clustered Data . . . . . . 1365--1375 Jeng-Min Chiou and Hans-Georg Müller Quasi-Likelihood Regression With Unknown Link and Variance Functions . . . . . . 1376--1387 Colin O. Wu and Chin-Tsang Chiang and Donald R. Hoover Asymptotic Confidence Regions for Kernel Smoothing of a Varying-Coefficient Model With Longitudinal Data . . . . . . . . . 1388--1402 Joan G. Staniswalis and J. Jack Lee Nonparametric Regression Analysis of Longitudinal Data . . . . . . . . . . . 1403--1418 S. R. Paul and T. Banerjee Analysis of Two-Way Layout of Count Data Involving Multiple Counts in Each Cell 1419--1429 Kenny Q. Ye Orthogonal Column Latin Hypercubes and Their Application in Computer Experiments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1430--1439 Douglas P. Wiens Minimax Robust Designs and Weights for Approximately Specified Regression Models With Heteroscedastic Errors . . . 1440--1450 Elias Moreno and Francesco Bertolino and Walter Racugno An Intrinsic Limiting Procedure for Model Selection and Hypotheses Testing 1451--1460 Wolfgang Härdle and Enno Mammen and Marlene Müller Testing Parametric Versus Semiparametric Modeling in Generalized Linear Models 1461--1474 Peter J. Haas and Lynne Stokes Estimating the Number of Classes in a Finite Population . . . . . . . . . . . 1475--1487 Sudeshna Adak Time-Dependent Spectral Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series . . . . . . . 1488--1501 Janis Hardwick and Connie Page and Quentin F. Stout Sequentially Deciding Between Two Experiments for Estimating a Common Success Probability . . . . . . . . . . 1502--1511 Anonymous General --- Editorial Collaborators . . 1531
Jun S. Liu and Andrew F. Neuwald and Charles E. Lawrence Markovian Structures in Biological Sequence Alignment . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Francesca Dominici and Giovanni Parmigiani and Robert L. Wolpert and Vic Hasselblad Meta-Analysis of Migraine Headache Treatments: Combining Information from Heterogeneous Designs . . . . . . . . . 16 Michael J. Daniels and Constantine Gatsonis Hierarchical Generalized Linear Models in the Analysis of Variations in Health Care Utilization . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Eric T. Bradlow and Alan M. Zaslavsky A Hierarchical Latent Variable Model for Ordinal Data From a Customer Satisfaction Survey With ``No Answer'' Responses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Carl P. Schmertmann Estimating Multistate Transition Hazards From Last-Move Data . . . . . . . . . . 53 Michael J. Greenwood and John M. McDowell and Donald M. Waldman and Steven S. Zahniser The Influence of Social Programs in Source Countries on Various Classes of U.S. Immigration . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 Marcel Das and Jeff Dominitz and Arthur Van Soest Comparing Predictions and Outcomes: Theory and Application to Income Changes 75 Soumendra N. Lahiri and Mark S. Kaiser and Noel Cressie and Nan-Jung Hsu Prediction of Spatial Cumulative Distribution Functions Using Subsampling 86 Peter Bühlmann and Hans R. Künsch Comment: Prediction of Spatial Cumulative Distribution Functions Using Subsampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Ronald Christensen Comment: Prediction of Spatial Cumulative Distribution Functions Using Subsampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 Mark S. Handcock Comment: Prediction of Spatial Cumulative Distribution Functions Using Subsampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 Michael Sherman and Edward Carlstein Comment: Prediction of Spatial Cumulative Distribution Functions Using Subsampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 Michael L. Stein Comment: Prediction of Spatial Cumulative Distribution Functions Using Subsampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 Soumendra N. Lahiri and Mark S. Kaiser and Noel Cressie and Nan-Jung Hsu Rejoinder: Prediction of Spatial Cumulative Distribution Functions Using Subsampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 Wenxin Jiang and Bruce W. Turnbull and Larry C. Clark Semiparametric Regression Models for Repeated Events With Random Effects and Measurement Error . . . . . . . . . . . 111 Song Yang and Ross L. Prentice Semiparametric Inference in the Proportional Odds Regression Model . . . 124 Song Yang Censored Median Regression Using Weighted Empirical Survival and Hazard Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 Mei-Cheng Wang and Shu-Hui Chang Nonparametric Estimation of a Recurrent Survival Function . . . . . . . . . . . 146 Peter Hall and Rodney C. L. Wolff and Qiwei Yao Methods for Estimating a Conditional Distribution Function . . . . . . . . . 154 Linda H. Zhao Improved Estimators in Nonparametric Regression Problems . . . . . . . . . . 164 Nelida Ferretti and Diana Kelmansky and Victor J. Yohai and Reuben H. Zamar A Class of Locally and Globally Robust Regression Estimates . . . . . . . . . . 174 Sam Efromovich Quasi-Linear Wavelet Emission . . . . . 189 William H. Chang and Joseph W. McKean and Joshua D. Naranjo and Simon J. Sheather High-Breakdown Rank Regression . . . . . 205 Ir\`ene Gijbels and Enno Mammen and Byeong U. Park and Léopold Simar On Estimation of Monotone and Concave Frontier Functions . . . . . . . . . . . 220 Stephen E. Fienberg and Sung-Ho Kim Combining Conditional Log-Linear Structures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229 Arminda Lucia Siquiera and Jeremy M. G. Taylor Treatment Effects in a Logistic Model Involving the Box--Cox Transformation 240 Alan E. Gelfand and Sujit K. Sahu Identifiability, Improper Priors, and Gibbs Sampling for Generalized Linear Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 247 Jun Shao and Philip Steel Variance Estimation for Survey Data With Composite Imputation and Nonnegligible Sampling Fractions . . . . . . . . . . . 254 Ma. Zenia N. Agustin and Edsel A. Peña Order Statistic Properties, Random Generation, and Goodness-of-Fit Testing for a Minimal Repair Model . . . . . . . 266 Michael D. Ernst and William R. Schucany A Class of Permutation Tests of Bivariate Interchangeability . . . . . . 273 Wilbert C. M. Kallenberg and Teresa Ledwina Data-Driven Rank Tests for Independence 285 Tetsuhisa Miwa and Tony Hayter Combining the Advantages of One-Sided and Two-Sided Test Procedures for Comparing Several Treatment Effects . . 302 Edmund T. M. Ng and Richard J. Cook Adjusted Score Tests of Homogeneity for Poisson Processes . . . . . . . . . . . 308 Michael R. Kosorok and Chin-Lu Yin The Versatility of Function-Indexed Weighted Log-Rank Statistics . . . . . . 320 Anonymous Book Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 333 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 351
Daniel Patrick Moynihan Data and Dogma in Public Policy . . . . 359 Greg M. Allenby and Robert P. Leone and Lichung Jen A Dynamic Model of Purchase Timing With Application to Direct Marketing . . . . 365 Mike West and Raquel Prado and Andrew D. Krystal Evaluation and Comparison of EEG Traces: Latent Structure in Nonstationary Time Series . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 375 Peter J. Rousseeuw and Mia Hubert Regression Depth . . . . . . . . . . . . 388 Xuming He Comment: Regression Depth . . . . . . . 403 Roger Koenker Discussion: Regression Depth . . . . . . 405 Regina Liu and Kesar Singh Discussion: Regression Depth . . . . . . 407 Raymond J. Carroll and David Ruppert and Leonard A. Stefanski Discussion: Regression Depth . . . . . . 410 Joseph W. McKean and Simon J. Sheather Discussion: Regression Depth . . . . . . 411 David Olive and Douglas M. Hawkins Discussion: Regression Depth . . . . . . 416 Stephen Portnoy and Ivan Mizera Discussion: Regression Depth . . . . . . 417 Peter J. Rousseeuw and Mia Hubert and Stefan Van Aelst Rejoinder: Regression Depth . . . . . . 419 Daniel Peña and Victor Yohai A Fast Procedure for Outlier Diagnostics in Large Regression Problems . . . . . . 434 A. Adam Ding and J. T. Gene Hwang Prediction Intervals, Factor Analysis Models and HELP . . . . . . . . . . . . 446 Thaddeus Tarpey Self-Consistency and Principle Component Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 456 Jason C. Hsu and Roger L. Bergier Stepwise Confidence Intervals without Multiplicity Adjustment for Dose Response and Toxicity Studies . . . . . 468 John D. Spurrier Exact Confidence Bounds for All Contrasts of Three or More Regression Lines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 483 Sture Holm Multiple Confidence Sets Based on Stagewise Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . 489 Jason P. Fine and Robert J. Gray A Proportional Hazards Model for the Subdistribution of a Competing Risk . . 496 D. Y. Lin and Q. Yao and Zhiliang Ying A General Theory on Stochastic Curtailment for Censored Survival Data 510 Joan del Castillo and Pedro Puig Invariant Exponential Models Applied to Reliability Theory and Survival Analysis 522 Joan del Castillo and Pedro Puig The Best Test of Exponentiality Against Singly Truncated Normal Alternatives . . 529 Riccardo Gatto and S. Rao Jammalamadaka A Conditional Saddlepoint Approximation for Testing Problems . . . . . . . . . . 533 J. O. Berger and J. Mortera Default Bayes Factors for One-Sided Hypothesis Testing . . . . . . . . . . . 542 Florence Forbes and Adrian E. Raftery Bayesian Morphology: Fast Unsupervised Bayesian Image Analysis . . . . . . . . 555 Patrice Bertail and Dimitris N. Politis and Joseph P. Romano On Subsampling Estimators with Unknown Rate of Convergence . . . . . . . . . . 569 Lijan Yang and J. S. Marron Iterated Transformation-kernel Density Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 580 Michael K. Pitt and Neil Shephard Filtering via Simulation: Auxiliary Particle Filters . . . . . . . . . . . . 590 Majid Mojirsheibani Combining Classifiers via Discretization 600 Forrest R. Miller and James W. Neill and Brian W. Sherfey Implementation of a Maximum Power Clustering Criterion to Select Near Replicates for Regression Lack of Fit Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 610 M. Hashem Pesaran and Yongcheol Shin and Ron P. Smith Pooled Mean Group Estimation of Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels . . . . . . . . . . 621 Alain Théberge Extensions of Calibration Estimators in Survey Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . 635 Anonymous Book Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 645 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 659 Anonymous Editors' Report for 1998 . . . . . . . . 661
Joseph B. Kadane and Michael M. Meyer and John W. Tukey Yule's association paradox and ignored stratum heterogeneity in capture-recapture studies . . . . . . . 855--859
Frank Benford The Law of Anomalous Numbers . . . . . . 551--572
Frederick Mosteller and Cleo Youtz and Douglas Zahn The Distribution of Sums of Rounded Percentages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 850--858
Cuthbert C. Hurd A Note on Early Monte Carlo Computations and Scientific Meetings . . . . . . . . 141--155