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Christopher H. Morrell and Larry J. Brant Lines in Random Effects Plots From the Linear Mixed-Effects Model . . . . . . . 1--4 Jitendra Ganju and James M. Lucas Analysis of Unbalanced Data From an Experiment With Random Block Effects and Unequally Spaced Factor Levels . . . . . 5--11 Ted Jaditz Are the Digits of $ \pi $ an Independent and Identically Distributed Sequence? 12--16 Scott Menard Coefficients of Determination for Multiple Logistic Regression Analysis 17--24 Silvia N. Elian Simple Forms of the Best Linear Unbiased Predictor in the General Linear Regression Model . . . . . . . . . . . . 25--28 Magne Aldrin Multivariate Prediction Using Softly Shrunk Reduced-Rank Regression . . . . . 29--34 Rebecca A. Betensky Alternative Derivations of a Rule for Early Stopping in Favor of $ H_0 $ . . . 35--39 V. Solo A Simple Derivation of the Smoothing Spline . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40--43 Ramón V. León and William C. Parr Use of Course Home Pages in Teaching Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44--48 John P. Holcomb, Jr. and Rochelle L. Ruffer Using a Term-Long Project Sequence in Introductory Statistics . . . . . . . . 49--53 Yudi Pawitan A Reminder of the Fallibility of the Wald Statistic: Likelihood Explanation 54--56 Telba Z. Irony and Carlos A. de B. Pereira and Ram C. Tiwari Analysis of Opinion Swing: Comparison of Two Correlated Proportions . . . . . . . 57--62 J. Jack Lee and Kenneth R. Hess and Joel A. Dubin Extensions and Applications of Event Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63--70 Joseph Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 71--71 Reinhard Bergmann and John Ludbrook and Will P. J. M. Spooren Different Outcomes of the Wilcoxon--Mann--Whitney Test From Different Statistics Packages . . . . . 72--77 George W. Cobb Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 78--81 Victoria Chen Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 81--82 Kenneth N. Berk Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 82--82 Kenneth N. Berk Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 82--83 Gina F. Reed Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 83--83 Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 83--84 Heejoon Kang Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 84--84 Douglas R. Langbehn and Vance Berger and James J. Higgins and R. Clifford Blair and Colin L. Mallows and John Ludbrook and Hugh A. F. Dudley and Carles M. Cuadras and David Rindskopf and Alan Agresti and Brent Coull Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 85--88 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Russell G. Almond and Charles Lewis and John W. Tukey and Duanli Yan Displays for Comparing a Given State to Many Others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89--93 Paramjit S. Gill Late-Game Reversals in Professional Basketball, Football, and Hockey . . . . 94--99 Xiao-Hua Zhou and Sujuan Gao One-Sided Confidence Intervals for Means of Positively Skewed Distributions . . . 100--104 Y. H. Wang Fiducial Intervals: What Are They? . . . 105--111 Graham J. G. Upton Conditional Independence, Mantel--Haenszel Test, and the Yates Correction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112--115 Thaddeus Tarpey A Note on the Prediction Sum of Squares Statistic for Restricted Least Squares 116--118 Nozer D. Singpurwalla The Point Process Paradox: Where Should We Extend the Conversation? . . . . . . 119--120 Dennis D. Boos and Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver How Large Does $n$ Have to be for $Z$ and $t$ Intervals? . . . . . . . . . . . 121--128 Thaddeus Tarpey and John Holcomb Spline Bottles . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129--135 Paul H. Kvam The Effect of Active Learning Methods on Student Retention in Engineering Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136--140 M. Alvo and P. Cabilio Calculation of Hypergeometric Probabilities Using Chebyshev Polynomials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141--144 Lih-Yuan Deng and Dennis K. J. Lin Random Number Generation for the New Century . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145--150 Allan Rossman Book Review: \booktitleStatistics You Can't Trust: a Friendly Guide to Clear Thinking About Statistics in Everyday Life . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151--151 Edward C. Wallace Book Review: \booktitleA Basic Course in Statistics, 4th edition . . . . . . . . 151--151 Richard A. Levine and Juanjuan Fan Book Review: \booktitlePractical Statistics by Example Using Microsoft Excel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151--153 Robert Stine Book Review: \booktitleStatistics with Mathematica . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153--153 Peter A. Lachenbruch Book Review: \booktitleA Handbook of Statistical Analyses Using Stata . . . . 153--154 Kenneth N. Berk Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 154--155 Anonymous Applied Multivariate Statistics with SAS Software . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154 Matthew A. Carlton Book Review: \booktitleData Analysis: Statistical and Computational Methods for Scientists and Engineers . . . . . . 155--155 Steven D. Stellman and David A. Harville and Michael F. Driscoll and H. J. Keselman and James Algina and Rhonda K. Kowalchuk and Ravindra Khattree and Ananda Sen and Robert M. Hamer and Lyle V. Jones and Bryan E. Adams and Amber G. Adams and Hui-Min Chang and Carol Etzel and Jo-Kang Kuo and Jorge Montemayor and William R. Schucany Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 156--160 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 156 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Boris Freidlin and Joseph L. Gastwirth Should the Median Test Be Retired From General Use? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161--164 Diego Kuonen A Saddlepoint Approximation for the Collector's Problem . . . . . . . . . . 165--169 Derek R. Bingham and Tim B. Swartz Equitable Handicapping in Golf . . . . . 170--177 Li-Chun Zhang Post-Stratification and Calibration --- a Synthesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178--184 Walter A. Rosenkrantz Confidence Bands for Quantile Functions: a Parametric and Graphic Alternative for Testing Goodness of Fit . . . . . . . . 185--190 Wei Pan and Thomas A. Louis and John E. Connett A Note on Marginal Linear Regression With Correlated Response Data . . . . . 191--195 Marsha C. Lovett and Joel B. Greenhouse Applying Cognitive Theory to Statistics Instruction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196--206 Bernard Flury and Alice Zoppe Exercises in EM . . . . . . . . . . . . 207--209 Oliver Schabenberger and Timothy G. Gregoire and Fanzhi Kong Collections of Simple Effects and Their Relationship to Main Effects and Interactions in Factorials . . . . . . . 210--214 George D. Kesling The Mighty Bonus Point . . . . . . . . . 215--216 J. Scott Long and Laurie H. Ervin Using Heteroscedasticity Consistent Standard Errors in the Linear Regression Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217--224 Christine Franklin Book Review: \booktitleIntermediate Statistics: A Modern Approach (2nd ed.) 225--225 Andrew Schaffner Book Review: \booktitleRevealing Statistical Principles . . . . . . . . . 225--226 Christine Franklin Book Review: \booktitleIntermediate Statistics: A Modern Approach (2nd ed.) 225 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Distributions in Engineering . . . . . . 226--226 Syed N. U. A. Kirmani Book Review: \booktitleEngineering Statistics and Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers (2nd ed.) . . 226--226 Douglas R. Langbehn and Rafe M. J. Donahue and Klaus Hinkelmann and Russell D. Wolfinger and Walter W. Stroup and Dan Voss and Antonio Martin Andres Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 227--230 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 227 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Teddy Schall and Gary Smith General Do Baseball Players Regress Toward the Mean? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231--235 Lawrence M. Leemis and Bruce W. Schmeiser and Diane L. Evans Survival Distributions Satisfying Benford's Law . . . . . . . . . . . . . 236--241 Helge Blaker and Emil Spjotvoll Paradoxes and Improvements in Interval Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242--247 Bruce G. Lindsay and Prasanta Basak Moments Determine the Tail of a Distribution (But Not Much Else) . . . . 248--251 W. J. Owen and D. Sinha and M. H. Capozzoli A Paired-Data Analysis for a Lifetime Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252--256 Peter G. Bryant and Olga I. Cordero-Brana Model Selection Using the Minimum Description Length Principle . . . . . . 257--268 Denis G. Janky Teacher's Corner: Sometimes Pooling for Analysis of Variance Hypothesis Tests: a Review and Study of a Split-Plot Model 269--279 Alan Agresti and Brian Caffo Simple and Effective Confidence Intervals for Proportions and Differences of Proportions Result from Adding Two Successes and Two Failures 280--288 David P. Doane and Ronald L. Tracy Using Beam and Fulcrum Displays to Explore Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289--290 Ross S. Sparks and John B. F. Field Using Deming's Funnel Experiment to Demonstrate Effects of Violating Assumptions Underlying Shewhart's Control Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291--302 Donald M. Waldman Estimation in Discrete Choice Models With Choice-Based Samples . . . . . . . 303--306 Prashant Sansgiry and Olcay Akman Transformations of the Lognormal Distribution as a Selection Model . . . 307--309 Dale L. Zimmerman Statistical Computing Software Reviews: Viewing the Correlation Structure of Longitudinal Data Through a PRISM . . . 310--318 Joseph Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 319--319 James W. Hardin Book Review: \booktitleLogXact 4.1 for Windows . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 320--321 Richard Cleary Book Review: \booktitleHow to Think About Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . 322--322 Robert M. Hamer Book Review: \booktitleStatistics in Psychiatry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322--323 Marcello Pagano Book Review: \booktitleStatConcepts: a Visual Tour of Statistical Ideas . . . . 323--324 Richard Cleary Book Review: \booktitleStatistics: An Introduction, 5th edition . . . . . . . 324--324 Robert G. Lehr and Telba Z. Irony and Carlos A. de B. Pereira and Ram C. Tiwari and Michael P. Cohen and Carles M. Cuadras and Lloyd S. Nelson and M. Alvo and P. Cabilio and Simo Puntanen and George P. H. Styan and Hans Joachim Werner Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 325--328 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 325 Anonymous 2000 Editorial Collaborators . . . . . . 329--330 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 331--332 Anonymous Index of Volume 54 . . . . . . . . . . . 331 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
David S. Moore Undergraduate Programs and the Future of Academic Statistics . . . . . . . . . . 1--6 G. Rex Bryce and Robert Gould and William I. Notz and Roxy L. Peck Curriculum Guidelines for Bachelor of Science Degrees in Statistical Science 7--13 Mary Ann Ritter and Robert R. Starbuck and Robert V. Hogg Advice From Prospective Employers on Training BS Statisticians . . . . . . . 14--18 John M. Hoenig and Dennis M. Heisey The Abuse of Power: The Pervasive Fallacy of Power Calculations for Data Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19--24 Geert Verbeke and Bart Spiessens and Emmanuel Lesaffre Conditional Linear Mixed Models . . . . 25--34 Elizabeth A. Stasny How to Get a Job in Academics . . . . . 35--40 Jim Albert and Patricia Williamson Using Model/Data Simulations to Detect Streakiness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41--50 Yadolah Dodge and Valentin Rousson On Asymmetric Properties of the Correlation Coefficient in the Regression Setting . . . . . . . . . . . 51--54 John P. Wendell and Josef Schmee Likelihood Confidence Intervals for Proportions in Finite Populations . . . 55--61 Thomas Sellke and M. J. Bayarri and James O. Berger Calibration of $p$ Values for Testing Precise Null Hypotheses . . . . . . . . 62--71 Rafael A. Irizarry Local Regression With Meaningful Parameters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72--79 Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitle[Introduction to Design and Analysis of Experiments] . . 80--81 Walter W. Piegorsch Book Review: \booktitleStatistics and Experimental Design for Toxicologists (3rd ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81--81 W. Robert Stephenson Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists (2nd ed.) . . . . . . . . 81--82 Roger Nelsen Book Review: \booktitleProbability and Random Variables: a Beginner's Guide . . 82--83 Ann Cannon Book Review: \booktitleEssential Statistics (3rd ed.) . . . . . . . . . . 83--83 William B. Owen Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Business Statistics: a Computer Integrated, Data Analysis Approach . . . 83--84 Richard Verrall Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Statistics With Applications in General Insurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84--84 Roger L. Berger and Basil W. Coutant and Don G. Wardell Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 85--85 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 85 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Lynne Stokes Editor's Report . . . . . . . . . . . . 87--88 Zhen Chen and Lynn Kuo Statistical Practice: a Note on the Estimation of the Multinomial Logit Model With Random Effects . . . . . . . 89--95 Ronald H. Randles Statistical Practice: On Neutral Responses (Zeros) in the Sign Test and Ties in the Wilcoxon--Mann--Whitney Test 96--101 Melanie M. Wall and James Boen and Richard Tweedie An Effective Confidence Interval for the Mean With Samples of Size One and Two 102--105 Kenneth F. McCue The Statistical Foundations of the EI Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106--110 Boris Mirkin Eleven Ways to Look at the Chi-Squared Coefficient for Contingency Tables . . . 111--120 Gwowen Shieh The Inequality Between the Coefficient of Determination and the Sum of Squared Simple Correlation Coefficients . . . . 121--124 Chi-tsung Wu and Marcia L. Gumpertz and Dennis D. Boos Comparison of GEE, MINQUE, ML, and REML Estimating Equations for Normally Distributed Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 125--130 Frank Lad and Romano Scozzafava Distributions Agreeing With Exchangeable Sequential Forecasting . . . . . . . . . 131--139 Beth L. Chance and Allan J. Rossman Teacher's Corner: Sequencing Topics in Introductory Statistics: a Debate on What to Teach When . . . . . . . . . . . 140--144 W. M. Bolstad and Lyn A. Hunt and Judith L. McWhirter Teacher's Corner: Sex, Drugs, and Rock & Roll Survey in a First-Year Service Course in Statistics . . . . . . . . . . 145--149 James A. Hanley and Lawrence Joseph and Robert W. Platt and Moo K. Chung and Patrick Belisle Teacher's Corner: Visualizing the Median as the Minimum-Deviation Location . . . 150--152 Mai Zhou Teacher's Corner: Understanding the Cox Regression Models With Time-Change Covariates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153--155 Andrew G. Glen and Diane L. Evans and Lawrence M. Leemis APPL: a Probability Programming Language 156--166 Paul Hyden Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleStatistical Quality Assurance Methods for Engineers . . . . . . . . . 167--167 Richard J. Cleary Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleQuantitative Investigations in the Biosciences using MINITAB\TM . . . . 167--168 Jacqueline B. Miller Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleAn Electronic Companion to Statistics, by G. W. Cobb; J. A. Witmer; J. D. Cryer; \booktitleAn Electronic Companion to Biostatistics, by A. A. Afifi; M. Lee; G. W. Cobb; \booktitleAn Electronic Companion to Business Statistics by J. D. Cryer; G. W. Cobb; J. A. Witmer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168--169 Joseph Hilbe Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleXploRe: Learning Guide . . . . 169--170 Peter S. Gartside and Joseph L. Gastwirth and Boris Freidlin and W. Fred Webber and Walter A. Rosenkrantz and Sander Greenland and Alan Agresti and Herman Callaert and Reinhard Bergmann and I. J. Good Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 171--174 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
M. Hamada and H. F. Martz and C. S. Reese and A. G. Wilson Statistical Practice: Finding Near-Optimal Bayesian Experimental Designs via Genetic Algorithms . . . . . 175--181 Nathaniel Schenker and Jane F. Gentleman Statistical Practice: On Judging the Significance of Differences by Examining the Overlap Between Confidence Intervals 182--186 Russell V. Lenth Statistical Practice: Some Practical Guidelines for Effective Sample Size Determination . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187--193 Don Dawson and Lonnie Magee The National Hockey League Entry Draft, 1969--1995: An Application of a Weighted Pool-Adjacent-Violators Algorithm . . . 194--199 Robert G. Newcombe Logit Confidence Intervals and the Inverse Sinh Transformation . . . . . . 200--202 Sandy D. Balkin and Colin L. Mallows An Adjusted, Asymmetric Two-Sample $t$ Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203--206 Glen A. Satten and Somnath Datta The Kaplan--Meier Estimator as an Inverse-Probability-of-Censoring Weighted Average . . . . . . . . . . . . 207--210 Abram Kagan Another Look at the Cramer--Rao Inequality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211--212 Nozer D. Singpurwalla and Andrew Swift Network Reliability and Borel's Paradox 213--218 Daniel R. Jeske and Hoang Pham On the Maximum Likelihood Estimates for the Goel--Okumoto Software Reliability Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219--222 Paul R. Rosenbaum Replicating Effects and Biases . . . . . 223--227 P. Cabilio and P. J. Farrell Teacher's Corner: a Computer-Based Lab Supplement to Courses in Introductory Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 228--232 N. I. Fisher and P. Switzer Graphical Assessment of Dependence: Is a Picture Worth 100 Tests? . . . . . . . . 233--239 Graham J. G. Upton A Toroidal Scatter Diagram for Ternary Variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 240--243 Nicholas J. Horton and Stuart R. Lipsitz Statistical Computing Software Reviews: Multiple Imputation in Practice: Comparison of Software Packages for Regression Models With Missing Variables 244--254 Deborah J. Rumsey Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleStatistics and Data Analysis: From Elementary to Intermediate . . . . 255--255 Margaret Mackisack Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleChance Encounters: a First Course in Data Analysis and Inference, by Christopher J. Wild; George A. F. Seber . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255--256 Russell V. Lenth Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleSo Much Data So Little Math: How to Predict Data Trends, $5$ Easy Profitable Methods . . . . . . . . . . . 256--256 Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 256--257 Jay Devore Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleStat Labs: Mathematical Statistics Through Applications, by Deborah Nolan; Terry Speed . . . . . . . 257--258 Patti B. Collings Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleFathom: Dynamic Systems Software, by William Finzer; Tim Erickson; Jill Bunker . . . . . . . . . 258--259 Ita G. G. Kreft Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleStatistical Concepts: Education and Behavioral Sciences (2nd ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259--259 Ananda Sen and W. Jason Owen and Sunil K. Sapra and Robert M. Price, Jr. and Alan Agresti Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 260--261 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
L. Denby and J. M. Landwehr and C. L. Mallows Statistical Practice: An Exercise in the Real World of Design and Analysis . . . 263--271 Thomas A. McCready and Neil C. Schwertman Statistical Practice: The Statistical Paleontology of Charles Lyell and the Coupon Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . 272--278 Lawrence Barker and Henry Rolka and Deborah Rolka and Cedric Brown Statistical Practice: Equivalence Testing for Binomial Random Variables: Which Test to Use? . . . . . . . . . . . 279--287 B. M. Cesana and G. Reina and E. Marubini Statistical Practice: Sample Size for Testing a Proportion in Clinical Trials: a ``Two-Step'' Procedure Combining Power and Confidence Interval Expected Width 288--292 Richard H. Browne Statistical Practice: Using the Sample Range as a Basis for Calculating Sample Size in Power Calculations . . . . . . . 293--298 George Casella and Michael Lavine and Christian P. Robert Explaining the Perfect Sampler . . . . . 299--305 Jonathan Shuster Dependence in Simulation: a Case Study From the Game of Contract Bridge . . . . 306--309 Gary L. Gadbury Randomization Inference and Bias of Standard Errors . . . . . . . . . . . . 310--313 Li Yang and Anastasios A. Tsiatis Efficiency Study of Estimators for a Treatment Effect in a Pretest-Posttest Trial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314--321 Eric Langford and Neil Schwertman and Margaret Owens Is the Property of Being Positively Correlated Transitive? . . . . . . . . . 322--325 Rob Root and Trisha Thorme Teacher's Corner: Community-Based Projects in Applied Statistics: Using Service-Learning to Enhance Student Understanding . . . . . . . . . . . . . 326--331 Sterling C. Hilton and Scott D. Grimshaw and Genan T. Anderson Teacher's Corner: Statistics in Preschool . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 332--336 Michael Henderson and Mary C. Meyer Teacher's Corner: Exploring the Confidence Interval for a Binomial Parameter in a First Course in Statistical Computing . . . . . . . . . 337--344 Philip Iversen and Mervyn Marasinghe Teacher's Corner: Dynamic Graphical Tools for Teaching Experimental Design and Analysis Concepts . . . . . . . . . 345--351 D. R. Bellhouse The Central Limit Theorem Under Simple Random Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . 352--357 Enrique Del Castillo and Suntara Cahya A Tool for Computing Confidence Regions on the Stationary Point of Response Surface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 358--365 J. G. Liao and Ori Rosen Fast and Stable Algorithms for Computing and Sampling From the Noncentral Hypergeometric Distribution . . . . . . 366--369 Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 370--370 Norean Radke Sharpe Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleStatistics for Management and Economics, Fifth Edition, by Gerald Keller; Brian Warrack . . . . . . . . . 370--371 Russell V. Lenth Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleA First Course in the Design of Experiments: a Linear Models Approach 370 Namwon Hyung Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleElements of Forecasting, 2nd Edition, by Francis X. Diebold . . . . . 371--372 John Haigh Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleMathematics of Chance . . . . 372--372 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 372--372 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka Book Review: \booktitle[untitled] . . . 372--372 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleThe Nothing That Is: a Natural History of Zero . . . . . . . . . . . . 372--372 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleStatistics in Psychology: An Historical Perspective, Second Edition 372 Terry E. Dielman and Roger L. Berger and Jimmy Doi and Robert G. Lehr and Rand R. Wilcox and Paul Vos and Josef Schmee and John Wendell Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 373--376 Anonymous 2001 Editorial Collaborators . . . . . . 377--377 Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . 378--380 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Robert L. Winkler and James E. Smith and Dennis G. Fryback Statistical Practice: The Role of Informative Priors in Zero-Numerator Problems: Being Conservative Versus Being Candid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--4 Michael P. Fay Measuring a Binary Response's Range of Influence in Logistic Regression . . . . 5--9 Chris White and Scott Berry Tiered Polychotomous Regression: Ranking NFL Quarterbacks . . . . . . . . . . . . 10--21 Kenneth C. Bessant and Eric D. MacPherson Thoughts on the Origins, Concepts, and Pedagogy of Statistics as a ``Separate Discipline'' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22--28 Leonard A. Stefanski and Dennis D. Boos The Calculus of $M$-Estimation . . . . . 29--38 R. L. Eubank and Suojin Wang The Equivalence Between the Cholesky Decomposition and the Kalman Filter . . 39--43 André Khuri and George Casella The Existence of the First Negative Moment Revisited . . . . . . . . . . . . 44--47 John R. Michael and William R. Schucany The Mixture Approach for Simulating Bivariate Distributions With Specified Correlations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48--54 M. P. Wand Vector Differential Calculus in Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55--62 Michael P. Fay and Dean A. Follmann Designing Monte Carlo Implementations of Permutation or Bootstrap Hypothesis Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63--70 Joseph Hilbe Statistical Computing Software Reviews: Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 71--71 Micah Altman Statistical Computing Software Reviews: a Review of JMP 4.03 With Special Attention to its Numerical Accuracy . . 72--75 Russell V. Lenth Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleStatistics on the Table: The History of Statistical Concepts and Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76--76 Bradley A. Warner Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleBasic Engineering Data Collection and Analysis, by Stephen B. Vardeman; J. Marcus Jobe . . . . . . . . 76--77 Mohsen Pourahmadi Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleA Course in Time Series Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77--77 Pamela A. Ohman Strickland Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleSPSS for Windows: An Introduction to Use and Interpretation in Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77--77 Kevin D. Rees Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials: \booktitleWorkshop Statistics: Discovery With Data, A Bayesian Approach . . . . . 77--78 Susan E. Hodge and Jian Huang and Paul Vos and Knut M. Wittkowski and Melanie M. Wall Wall, M. M., Boen, J., and Tweedie, R. (2001), ``An Effective Confidence Interval for the Mean with Samples of Size One and Two,'' The American Statistician, \bf 55, 102-105. Comments by Hodge and Huang, Vos, and Wittkowski and Reply . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79--80 Alan M. Zaslavsky and David A. van Dyk Chen, Z., and Kuo, L. (2001), ``A Note on the Estimation of the Multinomial Logit Model with Random Effects,'' The American Statistician, \bf 55, 89--95: Comment by Zaslavsky and van Dyk . . . . 80--81 John J. Bartko Schenker, N., and Gentleman, J. F. (2001), ``On Judging the Significance of Differences by Examining the Overlap between Confidence Intervals,'' The American Statistician, \bf 55, 182-186: Comment by Bartko . . . . . . . . . . . 81--81 Douglas W. Levine Hanley, J. A., Joseph, L., Platt, R. W., Chung, M. K., and Bélisle, P. (2001), ``Visualizing the Median as the Minimum-Deviation Location,'' The American Statistician, \bf 55, 150-152: Comment by Levine . . . . . . . . . . . 81--82 Lynn Friedman Shieh, G. (2001), ``The Inequality between the Coefficient of Determination and the Sum of Squared Simple Correlation Coefficients,'' The American Statistician, \bf 55, 121-124: Comment by Friedman . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82--82 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Lynne Stokes Editor's Reports . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 Lawrence Barker A Comparison of Nine Confidence Intervals for a Poisson Parameter When the Expected Number of Events is $5$ . . 85 J. René van Dorp and Samuel Kotz The Standard Two-Sided Power Distribution and its Properties: With Applications in Financial Engineering 90 Malay Ghosh and Bimal K. Sinha A Simple Derivation of the Wishart Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 Tapan K. Nayak Rao--Cramer Type Inequalities for Mean Squared Error of Prediction . . . . . . 102 Thomas E. Love and David K. Hildebrand Statistics Education and the Making Statistics More Effective in Schools of Business Conferences . . . . . . . . . . 107 Thomas E. Bradstreet and Milton N. Parnes Illustrating the Neyman--Pearson Lemma With a Stopping Rule of Order $k$ . . . 113 Andrew Gelman and Cristian Pasarica and Rahul Dodhia Let's Practice What We Preach: Turning Tables into Graphs . . . . . . . . . . . 121 Richard M. Heiberger and Paulo Teles Displays for Direct Comparison of ARIMA Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 Robert F. Bordley Representing Trees Using Microsoft Doughnut Charts . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 Joseph Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 148 Michael R. Chernick and Christine Y. Liu The Saw-Toothed Behavior of Power Versus Sample Size and Software Solutions: Single Binomial Proportion Using Exact Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 Anonymous Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials 156 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 159
Elizabeth N. King and Thomas P. Ryan A Preliminary Investigation of Maximum Likelihood Logistic Regression versus Exact Logistic Regression . . . . . . . 163 Wei Pan A Note on the Use of Marginal Likelihood and Conditional Likelihood in Analyzing Clustered Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171 Roger D. Peng and Nicolas W. Hengartner Quantitative Analysis of Literary Styles 175 B. K. Ghosh Probability Inequalities Related to Markov's Theorem . . . . . . . . . . . . 186 Chiara Sabatti Measuring Dependency With Volume Tests 191 Sandip Sinharay and Hal S. Stern On the Sensitivity of Bayes Factors to the Prior Distributions . . . . . . . . 196 Bhaskar Bhattacharya and Desale Habtzghi Median of the $p$ Value Under the Alternative Hypothesis . . . . . . . . . 202 M. J. Bayarri and A. M. Mayoral Bayesian Design of ``Successful'' Replications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 207 K. Krishnamoorthy and Jessica Thomson Hypothesis Testing About Proportions in Two Finite Populations . . . . . . . . . 215 Mark F. Schilling and Ann E. Watkins and William Watkins Is Human Height Bimodal? . . . . . . . . 223 William M. Duckworth and W. Robert Stephenson Beyond Traditional Statistical Methods 230 Joseph Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 234 Robert A. Oster An Examination of Statistical Software Packages for Categorical Data Analysis Using Exact Methods . . . . . . . . . . 235 Jay Devore Book Review: \booktitleA First Course in Probability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 247 Stergios B. Fotopoulos Book Review: \booktitleApplied Probability Models . . . . . . . . . . . 248 Ginger Holmes Rowell Book Review: \booktitleStatistics for Psychologists: An Intermediate Course 248 Calvin Williams Book Review: \booktitleApplied Multivariate Data Analysis (2nd Edition) 248 Ulric J. Lund Book Review: \booktitleUnderstanding Statistical Concepts Using S-Plus . . . 249 John H. Walker Book Review: \booktitleContemporary Business Statistics with Microsoft Excel 250 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka Book Review: \booktitleApplied Nonparametric Statistical Methods, 3rd Edition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 252 Anonymous Corrections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258
Lynne Stokes and James H. Albert Editor's Reports . . . . . . . . . . . . 261 Iain Pardoe and R. Dennis Cook A Graphical Method for Assessing the Fit of a Logistic Regression Model . . . . . 263 Elena A. Erosheva and Patricia D. Kroboth and Joel B. Greenhouse Characterizing the Diurnal Rhythm of DHEA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273 Jeremy Aldworth and Wherly P. Hoffman Split-Plot Model With Covariate: a Cautionary Tale . . . . . . . . . . . . 284 Gerald J. Hahn Deming and the Proactive Statistician 290 Maya Bar-Hillel and Yigal Attali Seek Whence: Answer Sequences and Their Consequences in Key-Balanced Multiple-Choice Tests . . . . . . . . . 299 M. C. Jones On Khintchine's Theorem and its Place in Random Variate Generation . . . . . . . 304 Andrew Gelman and Deborah Nolan You Can Load a Die, But You Can't Bias a Coin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308 James E. Brady and Theodore T. Allen Case Study Based Instruction of DOE and SPC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312 Michael Friendly Corrgrams: Exploratory Displays for Correlation Matrices . . . . . . . . . . 316 Joseph Hilbe Statistical Computing Software Reviews: Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 325 Joseph M. Hilbe XPro 5.1: Exact Procedures for Parametric Statistical Inference . . . . 326 James H. Albert Calculated Bets: Computers, Gambling, and Mathematical Modeling to Win . . . . 329 C. M. Anderson-Cook Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Consulting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 329 Jessica Utts Book Review: \booktitleNews and Numbers: A Guide to Reporting Statistical Claims and Controversies in Health and Related Fields, (2nd Ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . 330 Robert D. Abbott Book Review: \booktitleStatistics at Square Two: Understanding Modern Statistical Applications in Medicine . . 331 Arthur Cohen Book Review: \booktitleAn Introduction to Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, (2nd ed.) . . . . . . . . . 331 Carolyn Pillers Dobler Book Review: \booktitleMathematical Statistics: Basic Ideas and Selected Topics (vol. 1, 2nd ed.) . . . . . . . . 332 Robert Lund Book Review: \booktitleStochastic Processes. An Introduction . . . . . . . 332 Elayne Reiss and Lorrie L. Hoffman Book Review: \booktitleThe Elements of Statistics: With Applications to Economics and the Social Sciences . . . 333 Boxin Tang Book Review: \booktitleExperimental Design With Applications in Management, Engineering, and the Sciences . . . . . 333 Ghanshyam Gupta Book Review: \booktitleA Handbook of Statistical Analyses using SAS, 2nd ed 334 Marjorie E. Bond Book Review: \booktitleTeach/Me Data Analysis CD: Single User Edition . . . . 335 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 337
Kirk Wolter and Diana Jergovic and Whitney Moore and Joe Murphy and Colm O'Muircheartaigh Reliability of the Uncertified Ballots in the 2000 Presidential Election in Florida . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 John Lawson One-Step Screening and Process Optimization Experiments . . . . . . . . 15 Stephen B. Vardeman and Max D. Morris Statistics and Ethics: Some Advice for Young Statisticians . . . . . . . . . . 21 Ronald Christensen Significantly Insignificant $F$ Tests 27 Rongrong Xie and Paul I. Nelson Separation Among Distributions Related by Linear Regression . . . . . . . . . . 33 James H. Albert College Students' Conceptions of Probability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Jürgen Symanzik and Natascha Vukasinovic Teaching Experiences With a Course on ``Web-Based Statistics'' . . . . . . . . 46 Jeffrey D. Blume and Richard M. Royall Illustrating the Law of Large Numbers (and Confidence Intervals) . . . . . . . 51 Henry S. Lynn Suppression and Confounding in Action 58 Daniel R. Jeske and Ashwin Sampath A Real Example That Illustrates Interesting Properties of Bootstrap Bias Correction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 Richard J. Cleary Book Review: \booktitleStatistics with Confidence (2nd ed.) . . . . . . . . . . 66 Shaun S. Wulff Book Review: \booktitleA First Course in Design and Analysis of Experiments . . . 66 X. Joan Hu Book Review: \booktitleGeneralized Linear Models: With Applications in Engineering and the Sciences . . . . . . 67 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka Book Review: \booktitleIntroduction to Linear Regression Analysis (3rd ed.) . . 67 Richard Gonzalez Book Review: \booktitleApplied Multivariate Statistics for the Social Sciences (4th ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . 68 John Haigh Book Review: \booktitleRisk-Benefit Analysis (2nd ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . 69 George Terrell Book Review: \booktitleAll the Mathematics You Missed [But Need to Know for Graduate School] . . . . . . . . . . 69 Robert Gentleman Book Review: \booktitleResampling Methods: A Practical Guide to Data Analysis (2nd ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . 70 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 71
Jessica Utts Special Section on Statistical Literacy: How You Can Help . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 Jessica Utts What Educated Citizens Should Know About Statistics and Probability . . . . . . . 74 Iddo Gal Teaching for Statistical Literacy and Services of Statistics Agencies . . . . 80 Philip J. Boland Promoting Statistical Thinking Among Secondary School Students in the National Context . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 Eric R. Sowey The Getting of Wisdom: Educating Statisticians to Enhance Their Clients' Numeracy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 James H. Albert A New Column in \booktitleThe American Statistician . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 Fritz Scheuren Looking Back So We Can Look Forward . . 94 Peter C. Austin and Lawrence J. Brunner Type I Error Inflation in the Presence of a Ceiling Effect . . . . . . . . . . 97 Lewis H. Shoemaker Fixing the $F$ Test for Equal Variances 105 Vasilis Theoharakis and Mary Skordia How Do Statisticians Perceive Statistics Journals? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 David J. Hand and Veronica Vinciotti Local Versus Global Models for Classification Problems: Fitting Models Where it Matters . . . . . . . . . . . . 124 Paul R. Rosenbaum Exact Confidence Intervals for Nonconstant Effects by Inverting the Signed Rank Test . . . . . . . . . . . . 132 Yosef Rinott and Michael Tam Monotone Regrouping, Regression, and Simpson's Paradox . . . . . . . . . . . 139 Richard J. Cleary Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Rules of Thumb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 Carolyn Pillers Dobler Book Review: \booktitleThe Practice of Statistics: Putting the Pieces Together 142 Richard J. Cleary Book Review: \booktitleThe First Measured Century . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 Paul Roback Book Review: \booktitleWeighing the Odds: A Course in Probability and Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144 Johannes Ledolter Book Review: \booktitleThe Statistical Sleuth (2nd ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 Judith Manola Book Review: \booktitleA Handbook of Statistical Analyses using S-Plus (2nd ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 147 Anonymous Correction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
James H. Albert Editor's Reports . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 Havi Murad and Anat Fleischman and Siegal Sadetzki and Orna Geyer and Laurence S. Freedman Small Samples and Ordered Logistic Regression: Does it Help to Collapse Categories of Outcome? . . . . . . . . . 155 J. G. Liao and Dan McGee Adjusted Coefficients of Determination for Logistic Regression . . . . . . . . 161 Robert A. Parker and Nancy G. Berman Sample Size: More Than Calculations . . 166 Raymond Hubbard and M. J. Bayarri Confusion Over Measures of Evidence ($p$'s) Versus Errors ($ \alpha $'s) in Classical Statistical Testing . . . . . 171 Kenneth N. Berk Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178 Matthew A. Carlton Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179 Clifford Spiegelman and Eun Sug Ark Nearly Nonparametric Multivariate Density Estimates That Incorporate Marginal Parametric Density Information 183 Anonymous Rejoinder . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 189 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 189 Amanda Wachsmuth and Leland Wilkinson and Gerard E. Dallal Galton's Bend: a Previously Undiscovered Nonlinearity in Galton's Family Stature Regression Data . . . . . . . . . . . . 190 Xiuhong Li and Jennifer M. Buechner and Patrick M. Tarwater and Alvaro Muñoz A Diamond-Shaped Equiponderant Graphical Display of the Effects of Two Categorical Predictors on Continuous Outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193 Joseph Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 200 Robert A. Oster An Examination of Statistical Software Packages for Categorical Data Analysis Using Exact Methods --- Part II . . . . 201 Herman Callaert Comparing Statistical Software Packages: The Case of the Logrank Test in StatXact 214 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Book review: \booktitleThe A to Z of Mathematics: A Basic Guide . . . . . . . 218 Richard J. Cleary Book Reviews: \booktitleDuelling Idiots and Other Probability Puzzlers and \booktitleWhat are the Chances? Voodoo Deaths and Office Gossip and Other Adventures in Probability . . . . . . . 218 Carolyn Pillers Dobler Book Review: \booktitleProblems in Probability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 218 Stephen J. Miller Book Reviews: \booktitleBasic Statistics and Data Analysis (with InfoTrac and CD-ROM) (1st ed.), \booktitleIntroduction to Probability and Statistics (11th ed.) and \booktitleJust the Essentials of Elementary Statistics (3rd ed.) . . . . 219 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 221 Anonymous Correction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227
Nicholas J. Horton and Stuart R. Lipsitz and Michael Parzen A Potential for Bias When Rounding in Multiple Imputation . . . . . . . . . . 229 Douglas G. Bonett and Edith Seier Confidence Intervals for Mean Absolute Deviations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233 Daniel Y. T. Fong and C. W. Kwan and K. F. Lam and Karen S. L. Lam Use of the Sign Test for the Median in the Presence of Ties . . . . . . . . . . 237 David Mease A Penalized Maximum Likelihood Approach for the Ranking of College Football Teams Independent of Victory Margins . . 241 A. S. Hedayat and Bikas K. Sinha On a Sampling Design for Estimation of Negligible Accident Rates Involving Electronic Toys . . . . . . . . . . . . 249 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253 David B. Hitchcock A History of the Metropolis--Hastings Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254--257 Peter K. Dunn What Happens When a $ 1 \times 1 \times r $ Die is Rolled? . . . . . . . . . . . 258 Timothy E. O'Brien and Gerald M. Funk A Gentle Introduction to Optimal Design for Regression Models . . . . . . . . . 265 Nicholas J. Barrowman and Ransom A. Myers Raindrop Plots: a New Way to Display Collections of Likelihoods and Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268 Christian Genest and Jean-Claude Boies Detecting Dependence With Kendall Plots 275 Martin L. Hazelton A Graphical Tool for Assessing Normality 285 Joseph Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 289 Dominique Haughton and Joel Deichmann and Abdolreza Eshghi and Selin Sayek and Nicholas Teebagy and Heikki Topi A Review of Software Packages for Data Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290 Joseph M. Hilbe A Review of Current SPSS Products: SPSS 12, SigmaPlot 8.02, SigmaStat 3.0, Part 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310 Mary Kathryn Cowles Book Review: \booktitleAn R and S-PLUS Companion to Applied Regression . . . . 316 Brian Jersky Book Review: \booktitleHyperstat (2nd ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 316 Christine M. Anderson-Cook and Marcus M. Alley Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods in Agricultural and Experimental Biology (3rd ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . 317 Anonymous Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 319 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 319 Anonymous Corrections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322
James H. Albert and James E. Gentle Special Section: Teaching Computational Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 James E. Gentle Courses in Statistical Computing and Computational Statistics . . . . . . . . 2 John Monahan Teaching Statistical Computing at North Carolina State University . . . . . . . 6 Kenneth Lange Computational Statistics and Optimization Theory at UCLA . . . . . . 9 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 C. Chandra Sekar and W. Edwards Deming On a Method of Estimating Birth and Death Rates and the Extent of Registration (Excerpt) . . . . . . . . . 13 Xu Guo and Bradley P. Carlin Separate and Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Event Time Data Using Standard Computer Packages . . . . . . . 16 James F. Troendle and Edward L. Korn and Lisa M. McShane An Example of Slow Convergence of the Bootstrap in High Dimensions . . . . . . 25 David R. Hunter and Kenneth Lange A Tutorial on MM Algorithms . . . . . . 30 Reid Dorsey-Palmateer and Gary Smith Bowlers' Hot Hands . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Samuel S. Wu and Mark C. K. Yang Evaluation of the Current Decision Rule in Figure Skating and Possible Improvements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Justin L. Tobias Assessing Assessments of School Performance: The Case of California . . 55 Ricardo J. Rodriguez First Significant Digit Patterns From Mixtures of Uniform Distributions . . . 64--71 Daniel Gervini and Valentin Rousson Criteria for Evaluating Dimension-Reducing Components for Multivariate Data . . . . . . . . . . . 72 Donna F. Stroup and Richard A. Goodman and Ralph Cordell and Richard Scheaffer Teaching Statistical Principles Using Epidemiology: Measuring the Health of Populations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 Joseph Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 85 Elaine T. McDonald Intro Stats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 Stephen J. Miller Book Review: \booktitleFifty Fathoms: Statistics Demonstrations for Deeper Understanding . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 Stephen J. Miller Book Review: \booktitleCAST (Computer-Assisted Statistics Teaching) 87 Samantha C. Bates Book Review: \booktitleIntroductory Statistics with R . . . . . . . . . . . 88 Mary Kathryn Cowles Book Review: \booktitleSAS for Linear Models (4th ed.) . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 Mary Kathryn Cowles Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Computing: An Introduction to Data Analysis using SPlus . . . . . . . . . . 89 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 90
James H. Albert and Joseph M. Hilbe and Russell V. Lenth Editor's Report for \booktitleThe American Statistician, Volume 57 (2003) 91--92 Joseph M. Hilbe Statistical Computing Software Reviews 92--92 Russell V. Lenth Book Reviews . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92--92 Michael Hamada and Randy Sitter Statistical Research: Some Advice for Beginners . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93--101 Daniel Barry and Philip J. Boland Debating the Use of Statistical Evidence in Allegations of Age Discrimination . . 102--109 R. Dennis Cook and Sanford Weisberg Partial One-Dimensional Regression Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110--116 Howard Wainer and Lisa M. Brown Two Statistical Paradoxes in the Interpretation of Group Differences: Illustrated with Medical School Admission and Licensing Data . . . . . . 117--123 Weiwen Miao and Joseph L. Gastwirth The Effect of Dependence on Confidence Intervals for a Population Proportion 124--130 Peter C. Austin and Jack V. Tu Bootstrap Methods for Developing Predictive Models . . . . . . . . . . . 131--137 Holger Dette and Timothy E. O'Brien Efficient Experimental Design for the Behrens--Fisher Problem With Application to Bioassay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138--143 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144--144 Sharon L. Lohr Statistical Frontiers in Survey Sampling 145--149 Dimitris Hatzinikolaou and Kosmas Ferentinos On the Role of Semielasticity in Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150--151 Hwan Chung and Eric Loken and Joseph L. Schafer Difficulties in Drawing Inferences with Finite-Mixture Models: a Simple Example with a Simple Solution . . . . . . . . . 152--158 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 159--159 Paul T. von Hippel Biases in SPSS 12.0 Missing Value Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160--164 Willard C. Losinger A Review of the GUM Workbench . . . . . 165--167 Joseph M. Hilbe A Review of SPSS 12.01, Part 2 . . . . . 168--171 Amy K. Ferketich Book Review: \booktitleIntroductory Biostatistics for the Health Sciences: Modern Applications Including Bootstrap, by Michael R. Chernick; Robert H. Friis 172--172 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Book Review: \booktitleRegression and ANOVA: An Integrated Approach Using SAS Software, by Keith E. Muller; Bethel A. Fetterman . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 172--173 Carolyn Pillers Dobler Book Review: \booktitle101 Special Practice Problems in Probability and Statistics, by Paul D. Berger; Samuel C. Hanna; Robert E. Maurer . . . . . . . . 173--173 Carolyn Pillers Dobler 101 Special Practice Problems in Probability and Statistics . . . . . . . 173--173 Robert B. Lund Book Review: \booktitleElementary Probability Theory with Stochastic Processes and an Introduction to Mathematical Finance, by Kai Lai Chung; Farid Aitsahlia . . . . . . . . . . . . 173--174 Montserrat Rue Book Review: \booktitleStatistical Methods for the Analysis of Biomedical Data, by Robert F. Woolson; William R. Clarke . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174--174 Carolyn Pillers Dobler and Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitleMathematical Diamonds, by Ross Honsberger . . . . . . 175--175 Carolyn Pillers Dobler and Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitleEnvironmental Mathematics in the Classroom, by B. A. Fusaro; P. C. Kenschaft . . . . . . . . 175--175 Carolyn Pillers Dobler and Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitleInternational Mathematical Olympiads 1986--1999, by Marcin E. Kuczma; Mathematical Olympiads 2003--2001: Problems and Solutions From Around the World by Titu Andreescu; Zuming Feng; George Lee, Jr. . . . . . . 175--175 Carolyn Pillers Dobler and Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitleCommon Statistical Methods for Clinical Research with SAS Examples, by Glenn A. Walker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175--175 Carolyn Pillers Dobler and Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitleNonparametric Statistical Inference, by Jean Dickinson Gibbons; Subhabrata Chakraborti . . . . 175--175 Carolyn Pillers Dobler and Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitleElementary Probability, by David Strizaker . . . . 175--175 Carolyn Pillers Dobler and Russell V. Lenth Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 175--175 David Rothman and David Mease Mease, D. (2003), ``A Penalized Maximum Likelihood Approach for the Ranking of College Football Teams Independent of Victory Margins,'' ``The American Statistician, \bf 57, 241--248: Comment by Rothman and Reply . . . . . . . . . . 176--176 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 176--177 M. C. Jones and Martin L. Hazelton Hazelton, M. L. (2003), ``A Graphical Tool for Assessing Normality,'' The American Statistician,`` \bf 57, 285--288: Comment by Jones and Reply . . 176--177 Anonymous Corrections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178--178 Douglas G. Bonett Corrections: Confidence Intervals for Mean Absolute Deviations . . . . . . . . 178--178 Martin L. Hazelton Corrections: a Graphical Tool for Assessing Normality . . . . . . . . . . 178--178 Russell V. Lenth Corrections: CAST (Computer-Assisted Statistics Teaching) . . . . . . . . . . 178--178 Donna L. Stroup Corrections: Teaching Statistical Principles Using Epidemiology: Measuring the Health of Populations . . . . . . . 178--178 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Hal S. Stern and Kenneth Massey and David A. Harville and Richard Billingsley and Wes Colley and David Mease Statistics and the College Football Championship [with Discussions, with Reply] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179--185 Kenneth Massey Discussion: Statistics and the College Football Championship . . . . . . . . . 185--187 David A. Harville Discussion: Statistics and the College Football Championship . . . . . . . . . 187--189 Richard Billingsley Discussion: Statistics and the College Football Championship . . . . . . . . . 190--190 Wes Colleys Discussion: Statistics and the College Football Championship . . . . . . . . . 191--192 David Mease Discussion: Statistics and the College Football Championship . . . . . . . . . 192--194 Anonymous Reply: Statistics and the College Football Championship . . . . . . . . . 194--195 Donald B. Rubin On Advice for Beginners in Statistical Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196--197 Alan E. Gelfand Discussion of ``Statistical Research: Some Advice for Beginners'' by M. Hamada and R. Sitter . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197--198 Elizabeth Thompson The Importance of ``Why?'' . . . . . . . 198--198 Deepak B. Khatry Statistical Contributions in Biotechnology and Nonclinical Drug-Discovery Research . . . . . . . . 199--199 Willard C. Losinger How to do Statistical Research . . . . . 200--200 Elizabeth A. Stasny and Michael Hamada and Randy Sitter Some Random Thoughts on Doing Research [with Response] . . . . . . . . . . . . 200--202 Michael Hamada and Randy Sitter Response . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 202--202 Patrick J. Cantwell and Howard Hogan and Kathleen M. Styles The Use of Statistical Methods in the U.S. Census: ``Utah v. Evans'' . . . . . 203--212 Neil H. Timm Estimating Effect Sizes in Exploratory Experimental Studies When Using a Linear Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213--217 Scott Menard Six Approaches to Calculating Standardized Logistic Regression Coefficients . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 218--223 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 224--224 Gábor J. Székely and Donald St. P. Richards The St. Petersburg Paradox and the Crash of High-Tech Stocks in 2000 . . . . . . 225--231 Michael J. Rovine and Douglas R. Anderson Peirce and Bowditch: An American Contribution to Correlation and Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 232--236 James A. Hanley ``Transmuting'' Women into Men: Galton's Family Data on Human Stature . . . . . . 237--243 Robert G. Easterling Teaching Experimental Design . . . . . . 244--252 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 253--253 Jamie D. Mills and Elisa L. Johnson An Evaluation of ActivStats for SPSS for Teaching and Learning . . . . . . . . . 254--258 Kristin A. Duncan Book Review: \booktitleGrade Inflation: A Crisis in College Education, by Valen E. Johnson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259--259 Stephen J. Miller Book Review: \booktitleStatistics in Action: Understanding a World of Data, by Anne E. Watkins; Richard L. Schaeffer; George W. Cobb . . . . . . . 259--260 Grace Chan Book Review: \booktitleSAS Programming: The One-Day Course, by Neil H. Spencer 260--260 Robert Lund Book Review: \booktitleStochastic Processes and Their Applications, by Frank E. Beichelt; L. Paul Fatti . . . . 261--261 Robert Lund Stochastic Processes and Their Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261--261 Christine M. Anderson-Cook and Russell V. Lenth Book Review: \booktitleStep-by-Step Basic Statistics Using SAS: Student Guide, by Larry Hatcher; Step-by-Step Basic Statistics Using SAS: Exercises by Larry Hatcher . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262--262 Anonymous Applied Statistics: Analysis of Variance and Regression by Ruth M. Mickey; Olive Jean Dunn; Virginia A. Clark . . . . . . 262--262 Anonymous Designing Experiments and Analyzing Data: a Model Comparison Perspective by Scott E. Maxwell; Harold D. Delaney . . 262--262 Anonymous Math through the Ages: a Gentle History for Teachers and Others by William P. Berlinghoff; Fernando Q. Gouvêa; Sherlock Holmes in Babylon and Other Tales of Mathematical History by Marlow Anderson; Victor Katz; Robin Wilson . . . . . . . 262--262 Anonymous Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 262--263 Anonymous Writing Projects for Mathematics Courses: Crashed Clowns, Cars, and Coffee to Go by Annalisa Crannell; Gavin Larose; Thomas Ratliff; Elyn Rykken . . 262--263 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ??
Richard L. Scheaffer and Elizabeth A. Stasny The State of Undergraduate Education in Statistics: a Report from the CBMS 2000 265--271 Marshall M. Joffe and Thomas R. Ten Have and Harold I. Feldman and Stephen E. Kimmel Model Selection, Confounder Control, and Marginal Structural Models: Review and New Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . 272--279 H. Dean Johnson and Dennis A. Warner Factors Relating to the Degree to Which Statistical Consulting Clients Deem Their Consulting Experiences to be a Success . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280--289 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290--291 Morris H. Hansen and William N. Hurwitz The Problem of Nonresponse in Sample Surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 292--294 Leslie Kish and Irene Hess A ``Replacement'' Procedure for Reducing the Bias of Nonresponse . . . . . . . . 295--297 Donald B. Rubin The Design of a General and Flexible System for Handling Nonresponse in Sample Surveys . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298--302 Michele Dipietro Bayesian Randomized Response as a Class Project . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 303--309 Lynn A. Fisher and Donald St. P. Richards Random Walks as Motivational Material in Introductory Statistics and Probability Courses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310--316 Iain Pardoe Multidimensional Scaling for Selecting Small Groups in College Courses . . . . 317--321 Daniel R. Jeske and Todd Blessinger Tunable Approximations for the Mean and Variance of the Maximum of Heterogeneous Geometrically Distributed Random Variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322--327 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 328--329 Mary Kathryn Cowles Review of WinBUGS 1.4 . . . . . . . . . 330--336 Patrick J. Kelly A Review of Software Packages for Analyzing Correlated Survival Data . . . 337--342 Nicholas J. Horton and Elizabeth R. Brown and Linjuan Qian Use of R as a Toolbox for Mathematical Statistics Exploration . . . . . . . . . 343--357 Richard J. Cleary Book Review: \booktitleTeaching Statistics Using Baseball, by Jim Albert 358--358 Richard J. C. Leary Teaching Statistics Using Baseball. Jim Albert . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 358--358 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Book Review: \booktitleCommon Errors in Statistics (and How to Avoid Them), by Phillip I. Good; James W. Hardin . . . . 359--359 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Common Errors in Statistics (and How to Avoid Them) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359--359 Judith Schwartzbaum Book Review: \booktitleActivEpi 1.1 (2nd ed.), by David G. Kleinbaum; ActivEpi Companion Textbook: A Supplement for Use with the ActivEpi CD-ROM by David G. Kleinbaum; Kevin M. Sullivan; Nancy D. Barker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359--360 D. Glass Book Review: \booktitleProofs That Really Count: The Art of Combinatorial Proof, by Arthur T. Benjamin; Jennifer J. Quinn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 360--360 Clyde H. Schoolfield, Jr. Book Review: \booktitleElements of Stochastic Modeling, by K. Borovkov . . 360--361 Lawrence M. Lesser Wainer, H., and Brown, L. M. (2004), ``Two Statistical Paradoxes in the Interpretation of Group Differences: Illustrated with Medical School Admission and Licensing Data,'' The American Statistician, \bf 58, 117--123: Comment by Lesser . . . . . . . . . . . 362--362 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 362--363 W. Fred Webber and Hwan Chung and Eric Loken and Joseph L. Schafer Chung, H., Loken, E., and Schafer, J. L. (2004), ``Difficulties in Drawing Inferences with Finite-Mixture Models: A Simple Example with a Simple Solution,'' ``The American Statistician'', \bf 58, 152--158: Comment by Webber and Reply 362--363 Anonymous Correction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 364--364 Scott Menard Correction: Six Approaches to Calculating Standardized Logistic Regression Coefficients . . . . . . . . 364--364 Anonymous 2004 Editorial Collaborators . . . . . . 365--368 Anonymous Back Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Front Matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ?? Anonymous Volume Information . . . . . . . . . . . ??
David S. Moore Preparing Graduate Students to Teach Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--3 Andrew Gelman A Course on Teaching Statistics at the University Level . . . . . . . . . . . . 4--7 Amy G. Froelich and William M. Duckworth and W. Robert Stephenson Training Statistics Teachers at Iowa State University . . . . . . . . . . . . 8--10 W. L. Harkness and J. L. Rosenberger Training Graduate Students at Penn State University in Teaching Statistics . . . 11--13 Jeffrey B. Birch and J. P. Morgan TA Training at Virginia Tech . . . . . . 14--18 Javier Girón and Josep Ginebra and Alex Riba Bayesian Analysis of a Multinomial Sequence and Homogeneity of Literary Style . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19--30 Martin A. Koschat A Case for Simple Tables . . . . . . . . 31--40 Stefan Niermann Optimizing the Ordering of Tables With Evolutionary Computation . . . . . . . . 41--46 Richard N. McGrath and Arthur B. Yeh A Quick, Compact, Two-Sample Dispersion Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47--53 Abram Kagan and Lawrence A. Shepp A Sufficiency Paradox . . . . . . . . . 54--56 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57--57 Allyn A. Young National Statistics in War and Peace . . 58--61 Carl Snyder The Problem of Prosperity . . . . . . . 62--67 Helen M. Walker The Role of the American Statistical Association . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68--71 Mirjam Moerbeek Randomization of Clusters Versus Randomization of Persons Within Clusters 72--78 Lurdes Y. T. Inoue and Donald A. Berry and Giovanni Parmigiani Relationship Between Bayesian and Frequentist Sample Size Determination 79--87 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 88--88 Angelique Davi and Dominique Haughton and Nada Nasr and Gaurav Shah and Maria Skaletsky and Ruth Spack A Review of Two Text-Mining Packages . . 89--103 Joseph M. Hilbe A Review of Systat 11 . . . . . . . . . 104--110 Joseph M. Hilbe Review of SigmaPlot 9.0 . . . . . . . . 111--112 John. Hansen Using SPSS for Windows and Macintosh: Analyzing and Understanding Data . . . . 113--113 Daniel L. McGee An Introduction to Survival Analysis Using Stata (rev.) . . . . . . . . . . . 113--113 Carolyn Pillers Dobler and Russell V. Lenth Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 114--115 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 116--118 Anonymous Correction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119--119
Ronald Christensen Testing Fisher, Neyman, Pearson, and Bayes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121--126 Lynn Friedman and Melanie Wall Graphical Views of Suppression and Multicollinearity in Multiple Linear Regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127--136 Paul W. Vos and Suzanne Hudson Evaluation Criteria for Discrete Confidence Intervals . . . . . . . . . . 137--142 Luc Duchateau and Paul Janssen Understanding Heterogeneity in Generalized Mixed and Frailty Models . . 143--146 Paul R. Rosenbaum Heterogeneity and Causality . . . . . . 147--152 Andrew R. Solow and Woollcott Smith How Surprising is a New Record? . . . . 153--155 Jen\Ho Reiczigel and Ildikó Zakariás and Lajos Rózsa A Bootstrap Test of Stochastic Equality of Two Populations . . . . . . . . . . . 156--161 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162--163 John Ludbrook R. A. Fisher's Life and Death in Australia, 1959--1962 . . . . . . . . . 164--165 Brian Bull Exemplar Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . 166--172 Mirjam Moerbeek Randomization of Clusters Versus Randomization of Persons Within Clusters 173--179 Matthew A. Carlton and William D. Stansfield Making Babies by the Flip of a Coin? . . 180--182 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 183--184 Joseph M. Hilbe A Review of SPSS, Part 3 . . . . . . . . 185--186 Joseph M. Hilbe SigmaStat 3.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187--191 Klaus Langohr and Guadalupe Gómez Likelihood Maximization Using Web-Based Optimization Tools . . . . . . . . . . . 192--202 James J. Cochran The Numbers Game: Baseball's Lifelong Fascination with Statistics . . . . . . 203--203 Peter F. Craigmile All of Statistics: a Concise Course in Statistical Inference . . . . . . . . . 203--204
James H. Albert Editor's Report for \booktitleThe American Statistician, Volume 58 (2004) 205--206 Jesse Frey A Ranking Method Based on Minimizing the Number of In-Sample Errors . . . . . . . 207--216 Ian R. Harris and Brent D. Burch Measuring Relative Importance of Sources of Variation Without Using Variance . . 217--222 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223--223 Ian Spence and Howard Wainer William Playfair and His Graphical Inventions: An Excerpt From the Introduction to the Republication of His Atlas and Statistical Breviary . . . . . 224--229 G. A. McIntyre A Method for Unbiased Selective Sampling, Using Ranked Sets . . . . . . 230--232 Susan Belden Discussion: Moving Beyond the St. Petersburg Paradox to Understand Growth Stock Valuation . . . . . . . . . . . . 233--234 Gabor J. Székely and Donald St. P. Richards Response: Remain Steadfast With the St. Petersburg Paradox to Quantify Irrational Exuberance . . . . . . . . . 235--239 Jorge Larreamendy-Joerns and Gaea Leinhardt and Javier Corredor Six Online Statistics Courses: Examination and Review . . . . . . . . . 240--251 Mithat Gönen and Wesley O. Johnson and Yonggang Lu and Peter H. Westfall The Bayesian Two-Sample $t$ Test . . . . 252--257 Jeff T. Terpstra Some Illustrative Classroom Examples Regarding Sums of Discrete Random Variables With Finite Support . . . . . 258--265 James J. Cochran Can You Really Learn Basic Probability by Playing a Sports Board Game? . . . . 266--272 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 273--273 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Book Review: \booktitleThe Chicago Guide to Writing About Numbers . . . . . . . . 274--274 Christine M. Anderson-Cook More Damned Lies and Statistics: How Numbers Confuse Public Issues and Chance: a Guide to Gambling, Love, the Stock Market, & Just About Everything Else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274--275 Richard J. Cleary Teaching Statistics: a Bag of Tricks . . 275--275 Samantha C. Bates Prins Statistical Analysis and Data Display: An Intermediate Course with Examples in S-Plus, R, and SAS . . . . . . . . . . . 275--276 Samantha C. Bates Prins Linear Models with R . . . . . . . . . . 276--276 Dave H. Annis Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty . . . . . . . . . . . . . 276--277 Carolyn Pillers Dobler and Christine M. Anderson-Cook Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 278--278 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 279--279 Anonymous Correction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280--280
James H. Albert Editor's Report for \booktitleThe American Statistician, Volume 59 (2005) 281--281 Peter J. Danaher and Bruce G. S. Hardie Bacon With Your Eggs? Applications of a New Bivariate Beta-Binomial Distribution 282--286 Steve Verrill and Mark Durst The Decline and Fall of Type II Error Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287--291 Hans-Peter Piepho and Katharina Emrich Simultaneous Confidence Intervals for Two Estimable Functions and Their Ratio Under a Linear Model . . . . . . . . . . 292--300 Steven M. Snapinn and Qi Jiang and Boris Iglewicz Illustrating the Impact of a Time-Varying Covariate With an Extended Kaplan--Meier Estimator . . . . . . . . 301--307 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308--308 Herbert A. David Tables Related to the Normal Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309--311 Joan Fisher Box A Reminiscence of R. A. Fisher . . . . . 312--314 Fritz Scheuren Multiple Imputation . . . . . . . . . . 315--319 David H. Annis Rethinking the Paper Helicopter . . . . 320--326 David R. Hunter Teaching Computing in Statistical Theory Courses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 327--333 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 334--334 Joseph M. Hilbe A Review of Stata 9.0 . . . . . . . . . 335--348 Richard J. Cleary Gauss: Titan of Science and Karl Pearson: The Scientific Life in a Statistical Age . . . . . . . . . . . . 349--349 Izabela E. Annis PROC SQL: Beyond the Basics Using SAS 350--350 E. David Ford A Primer of Ecological Statistics . . . 350--350 Alexandra Dias Statistical Analysis of Financial Data in S-Plus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 351--351 Jeffrey Rosoff and Carolyn Pillers Dobler Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 352--352 Raymond. Hubbard and M. J. Bayarri Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 353--354 Anonymous 2005 Editorial Collaborators . . . . . . 355--358
Peter Westfall Editorial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--2 Brian J. Reich and James S. Hodges and Bradley P. Carlin and Adam M. Reich A Spatial Analysis of Basketball Shot Chart Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3--12 Gary A. Simon and Jeffrey S. Simonoff ``Last Licks'' . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13--18 Matthew J. Gurka Selecting the Best Linear Mixed Model Under REML . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19--26 Donald A. Berry and Gregory D. Ayers Symmetrized Percent Change for Treatment Comparisons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27--31 Fritz Scheuren Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32--33 W. Edwards Deming On Errors in Surveys (An Excerpt) . . . 34--38 S. S. Wilks Undergraduate Statistical Education . . 39--45 Herbert A. David and Donald F. Morrison Samuel Stanley Wilks (1906--1964) . . . 46--49 John F. Monahan Professor C. R. Mudgeon and the ``Order,'' or Writing Regression Questions So That Students Do Not Need a Calculator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50--52 Dean P. Foster and Robert A. Stine Being Warren Buffett . . . . . . . . . . 53--60 James A. Hanley and Dana Teltsch The PDF of a Function of a Random Variable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61--67 Jonathan J. Shuster Using a Two-Player Coin Game Paradox in the Classroom . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68--70 Nitis Mukhopadhyay MVUE for the Mean With One Observation 71--74 Enrique R. Villa and Luis A. Escobar Using Moment Generating Functions to Derive Mixture Distributions . . . . . . 75--80 Philip L. H. Yu and Jennifer S. K. Chan and Wing K. Fung Statistical Exploration from SARS . . . 81--91 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 92--92 James W. Hardin and Joseph M. Hilbe A Review of Scientific WorkPlace 5.5 . . 93--96 David H. Annis Baseball's All-Time Best Hitters: How Statistics Can Level the Playing Field and Baseball's All-Time Best Sluggers: Adjusted Batting Performance from Strikeouts to Home Runs . . . . . . . . 97--97 Mark Schilling Understanding Probability: Chance Rules in Everyday Life . . . . . . . . . . . . 97--98 Mary Kathryn Cowles Probability and Statistics for Computer Science . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98--98 Deborah J. Rumsey Introduction to Bayesian Statistics . . 98--99 Christine M. Anderson-Cook The Challenge of Developing Statistical Literacy, Reasoning and Thinking . . . . 99--99 Richard J. Cleary Innovations in Teaching Statistics and Achieving Quantitative Literacy: An Urgent Challenge for Higher Education 99--100 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 101--103
Ronald L. Iman and Mark E. Johnson and Charles C. Watson, Jr. Statistical Aspects of Forecasting and Planning for Hurricanes . . . . . . . . 105--121 Fulvio De Santis Power Priors and Their Use in Clinical Trials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122--129 Christina M. Gullion and Nancy Berman What Statistical Consultants Do . . . . 130--138 Brian Caffo and Michael Griswold A User-Friendly Introduction to Link-Probit-Normal Models . . . . . . . 139--145 Andrew Gelman The Boxer, the Wrestler, and the Coin Flip . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146--150 David H. Annis and Samuel S. Wu A Comparison of Potential Playoff Systems for NCAA I-A Football . . . . . 151--157 Eric Loken and Michael J. Rovine Peirce's 19th Century Mixture Model Approach to Rater Agreement . . . . . . 158--161 H. A. David The Introduction of Matrix Algebra into Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162--162 Arnab Maity and Michael Sherman The Two-Sample T Test With One Variance Unknown . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163--166 Dale J. Cohen and Jon Cohen The Sectioned Density Plot . . . . . . . 167--174 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 175--175 Joseph M. Hilbe Mathematica 5.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . 176--186 Joseph M. Hilbe A Review of LIMDEP 9.0 and NLOGIT 4.0 187--202 Richard J. Cleary Working with Numbers and Statistics: a Handbook for Journalists . . . . . . . . 203--203 Linda Pickle Graphic Discovery: a Trout in the Milk and Other Visual Adventures . . . . . . 203--203 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Book Review: \booktitleThe Chicago Guide to Writing About Multivariate Analysis 203--204 Rudy Guerra Dicing With Death: Chance, Risk, and Health . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 204--204 Enno Mammen Statistical Models . . . . . . . . . . . 204--205 Steven F. Arnold Design of Experiments with MINITAB . . . 205--205 David Lane Statistics Without Math . . . . . . . . 205--206 Carter Cleveland Rakovski Regression With Social Data: Modeling Continuous and Limited Response Variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 206--206 Carolyn Pillers Dobler and Christine M. Anderson-Cook Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 207--207 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 208--211 Anonymous Correction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 212--212
Roderick J. Little Calibrated Bayes . . . . . . . . . . . . 213--223 A. F. Karr and C. N. Kohnen and A. Oganian and J. P. Reiter and A. P. Sanil A Framework for Evaluating the Utility of Data Altered to Protect Confidentiality . . . . . . . . . . . . 224--232 N. D. Pearce and M. P. Wand Penalized Splines and Reproducing Kernel Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233--240 Valerie Hyde and Wolfgang Jank and Galit Shmueli Investigating Concurrency in Online Auctions Through Visualization . . . . . 241--250 Yulei He and Trivellore E. Raghunathan Tukey's $ g h $ Distribution for Multiple Imputation . . . . . . . . . . 251--256 Torsten Hothorn and Kurt Hornik and Mark A. van de Wiel and Achim Zeileis A Lego System for Conditional Inference 257--263 Sourish Das and Dipak K. Dey On Bayesian Analysis of Generalized Linear Models Using the Jacobian Technique . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264--268 Spyros Missiakoulis Plutarch and Lucullus' Applied Sampling 269--270 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 271--271 Dominique Haughton and Arnold Kamis and Patrick Scholten A Review of Three Directed Acyclic Graphs Software Packages . . . . . . . . 272--286 J. C. Nash Spreadsheets in Statistical Practice: Another Look . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287--289 Richard J. Cleary Probability is the Very Guide of Life: The Philosophical Uses of Chance . . . . 290--290 Jay Devore Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290--290 Stanley Wasserman Analyzing Categorical Data . . . . . . . 291--292 Carolyn Pillers Dobler The Essence of Multivariate Thinking: Basic Themes and Methods . . . . . . . . 292--292 Michael Kahn Data Matters: Conceptual Statistics for a Random World . . . . . . . . . . . . . 292--293 Lawrence D. Ries Statistical Methods For Communication Science . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293--293 Nicholas J. Horton Multilevel and Longitudinal Modeling Using Stata . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293--294 Carolyn Pillers Dobler SAS Guide to Report Writing: Examples 294--294 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 295--297
David A. Freedman On The So-Called ``Huber Sandwich Estimator'' and ``Robust Standard Errors'' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 299--302 Monnie McGee and Nora V. Bergasa Analysis of a Pilot Study for Amelioration of Itching in Liver Disease 303--308 David J. Finney Calibration Guidelines Challenge Outlier Practices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309--314 Ralph deLaubenfels The Victory of Least Squares and Orthogonality in Statistics . . . . . . 315--321 Avital Lann and Ruma Falk Tell Me the Method, I'll Give You the Mean . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322--327 Andrew Gelman and Hal Stern The Difference Between ``Significant'' and ``Not Significant'' is not Itself Statistically Significant . . . . . . . 328--331 Leland Wilkinson Revising the Pareto Chart . . . . . . . 332--334 Òyvind Langsrud Explaining Correlations by Plotting Orthogonal Contrasts . . . . . . . . . . 335--339 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 340--340 David Berengut Statistics for Experimenters: Design, Innovation, and Discovery . . . . . . . 341--342 Jay Devore Statistics for Business and Economics 342--343 Peter C. Kiessler Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists . . . . . . . . . . . . . 343--343 Jo Hardin Introduction to Statistics Through Resampling Methods and R/S-PLUS . . . . 343--344 Jay Devore Essential Mathematics and Statistics for Science . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 344--345 Izabela E. Annis Statistics in Market Research . . . . . 345--345 Ryan E. Wiegand Statistical Analysis of Medical Data Using SAS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 345--346 George Cotsonis Sharpening Your SAS Skills . . . . . . . 346--346 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 347--349 Anonymous 2006 Editorial Collaborators . . . . . . 350--353
D. Tim Holt The Official Statistics Olympic Challenge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--8 Gordon Brackstone Discussion: The Official Statistics Olympic Challenge . . . . . . . . . . . 9--12 Janet L. Norwood Discussion: The Official Statistics Olympic Challenge . . . . . . . . . . . 13--15 Nancy K. Torrieri America is Changing, and So is the Census . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16--21 Geert Molenberghs and Geert Verbeke Likelihood Ratio, Score, and Wald Tests in a Constrained Parameter Space . . . . 22--27 Helmut Finner and Markus Roters and Thorsten Dickhaus Characterizing Density Crossing Points 28--33 Thaddeus Tarpey Linear Transformations and the $k$-Means Clustering Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . 34--40 Herbert A. David and Wayne A. Fuller Sir Maurice Kendall (1907--1983) . . . . 41--46 Alexander M. Strasak and Qamruz Zaman and Gerhard Marinell and Karl P. Pfeiffer and Hanno Ulmer The Use of Statistics in Medical Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47--55 Bryan E. Shepherd and Peter B. Gilbert and Devan V. Mehrotra Eliciting a Counterfactual Sensitivity Parameter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56--63 Xiaomi Hu Multivariate Analysis Without ``vec'' and ``$ \otimes $'' . . . . . . . . . . 64--66 Gauri Sankar Datta and Malay Ghosh Characteristic Functions Without Contour Integration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67--70 Cherié Alf and Sharon Lohr Sampling Assumptions in Introductory Statistics Classes . . . . . . . . . . . 71--77 Joseph M. Hilbe Statistical Computing Software Reviews 78--78 Nicholas J. Horton and Ken P. Kleinman Much Ado About Nothing . . . . . . . . . 79--90 Joseph M. Hilbe STATISTICA 7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91--94 Joseph Cavanaugh Seeing Through Statistics and Mind on Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95--95 Mervyn Marasinghe A First Course in Statistical Methods 95--97 Jay Devore Introduction to Business Statistics . . 97--97 Joseph Cavanaugh Statistics: The Exploration and Analysis of Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97--98 Jerry L. Moreno Investigating Statistical Concepts, Applications, and Methods . . . . . . . 98--99 J. Wade Davis A Crash Course in SPSS for Windows: Updated for Versions 10, 11, 12 And 13 99--99 Hadley Wickham and Dianne Cook R Graphics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99--100 Martin Mächler Statistics: An Introduction using R . . 100--101 John C. Kern II Introduction to Regression Analysis . . 101--101 Donald Richards and Christine M. Anderson-Cook and Alina Kline Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 102--102
Peter H. Westfall Editor's Report . . . . . . . . . . . . 103--104 Jesse Frey Is an $ .833 $ Hitter Better Than a $ .338 $ Hitter? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105--111 S. A. Sisson Genetics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112--119 Richard E. Kennedy and Sharon D. Yeatts and Kellie J. Archer and Chris Gennings and Viswanathan Ramakrishnan Opportunities for Biostatistics Students 120--126 Lori E. Dodd and Edward L. Korn The Bootstrap Variance of the Square of a Sample Mean . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127--131 Andrea Capotorti and Frank Lad and Giuseppe Sanfilippo Reassessing Accuracy Rates of Median Decisions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132--138 Ulrike Grömping Estimators of Relative Importance in Linear Regression Based on Variance Decomposition . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139--147 Jeroen de Mast Agreement and Kappa-Type Indices . . . . 148--153 Diamandopoulos A. Athanasios and Goudas C. Pavlos and Kassimatis I. Theodoros Early Evidence-Based Medicine . . . . . 154--158 Lingyun Zhang Sample Mean and Sample Variance . . . . 159--160 Andrew Rosalsky A Simple and Probabilistic Proof of the Binomial Theorem . . . . . . . . . . . . 161--162 Leonard A. Stefanski Residual (Sur)Realism . . . . . . . . . 163--177 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 178--178 Joseph M. Hilbe ePrint 5 Professional Conversion Utility 179--180 Alan T. Arnholt Statistics: The Art and Science of Learning From Data . . . . . . . . . . . 181--182 Yolande Tra Even You Can Learn Statistics: a Guide for Everyone Who Has Ever Been Afraid of Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182--182 Phillip Edwards Essentials of Statistics for Business and Economics . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182--183 Ying Zhang Fundamentals of Biostatistics . . . . . 183--183 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Quality By Experimental Design . . . . . 183--184 Michael Minnotte Book review: \booktitleIntroduction to Modern Nonparametric Statistics, by James J. Higgins . . . . . . . . . . . . 184--184 Shaun S. Wulff SAS for Mixed Models . . . . . . . . . . 184--185 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Six Sigma Quality Improvement with MINITAB . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185--185 Anonymous Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 186--186 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 187--188
Robert Lund Revenge of the White Swan . . . . . . . 189--192 Peter H. Westfall and Joseph M. Hilbe The Black Swan . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193--194 Aaron Brown Strong Language on Black Swans . . . . . 195--197 Nassim Nicholas Taleb Black Swans and the Domains of Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 198--200 Jesse Frey Bayesian Inference on a Proportion Believed to be a Simple Fraction . . . . 201--206 Lisa J. Strug and Charles A. Rohde and Paul N. Corey An Introduction to Evidential Sample Size Calculations . . . . . . . . . . . 207--212 Christopher M. Rump Capital Growth and the St. Petersburg Game . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213--217 Wendy K. Tam Cho and Brian J. Gaines Breaking the (Benford) law: statistical fraud detection in campaign finance . . 218--223 Hans-Peter Piepho and Joseph Ochieng Ogutu Simple State-Space Models in a Mixed Model Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . 224--232 Garrett M. Fitzmaurice and Stuart R. Lipsitz and Michael Parzen Approximate Median Regression via the Box--Cox Transformation . . . . . . . . 233--238 Scott R. Kuindersma and Brian S. Blais Teaching Bayesian Model Comparison With the Three-Sided Coin . . . . . . . . . . 239--244 Nathaniel Schenker and Katherine L. Monti and George W. Cobb and Ronald S. Fecso and Joan S. Chmiel Combining Features of a Frequency Table and a Stem-and-Leaf Plot to Summarize the American Statistical Association's Strategic Activities . . . . . . . . . . 245--247 Sangit Chatterjee and Aykut Firat Generating Data with Identical Statistics but Dissimilar Graphics . . . 248--254 Thomas P. Turiel Quantum Random Bit Generators . . . . . 255--259 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 260--261 A. Talha Yalta The Numerical Reliability of GAUSS 8.0 262--268 Joseph M. Hilbe GenStat 9 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269--273 Page C. Moore Statistics Explained: An Introductory Guide for Life Scientists . . . . . . . 274--274 Bruce Weir Introduction to Statistics for Forensic Scientists . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 274--274 Timothy J. Robinson Design of Experiments for Agriculture and the Natural Sciences . . . . . . . . 275--275 Sylvie Mrug Experimental Design And Statistics for Psychology: a First Course . . . . . . . 275--276 David R. Bellhouse Sampling Methods: Exercises and Solutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 276--276 John Haigh Probability: Modeling and Applications to Random Processes . . . . . . . . . . 276--277 Philip Dixon The Little SAS Book for Enterprise Guide 3.0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 277--277 Ulric J. Lund Book Review: \booktitleA Handbook of Statistical Analyses Using R . . . . . . 277--278 M. Bridget Zimmerman SAS Programming and Data Analysis: a Theory and Program-Driven Approach . . . 277--278 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Visual Statistics: Seeing Data with Dynamic Interactive Graphics . . . . . . 278--278 Anonymous Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 279--279 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 280--284
B. J. T. Morgan and K. J. Palmer and M. S. Ridout Negative Score Test Statistic . . . . . 285--288 Geert Verbeke and Geert Molenberghs What Can Go Wrong With the Score Test? 289--290 David A. Freedman How Can the Score Test Be Inconsistent? 291--295 Bruce E. Barrett Detecting Bias in Jury Selection . . . . 296--301 Andreas Krause and José Pinheiro Modeling and Simulation to Adjust p Values in Presence of a Regression to the Mean Effect . . . . . . . . . . . . 302--307 J. Keith Ord and Harvey J. Iglarsh The Estimation of Conditional Distributions From Large Databases . . . 308--314 Arthur Spirling ``Turning Points'' in the Iraq Conflict 315--320 Micha Mandel Censoring and Truncation --- Highlighting the Differences . . . . . . 321--324 José R. Berrendero The Bagged Median and the Bragged Mean 325--330 S. Chakraborti and J. Li Confidence Interval Estimation of a Normal Percentile . . . . . . . . . . . 331--336 Christopher S. Withers and Saralees Nadarajah A Recurrence Relation for Moments of the Noncentral Chi Square . . . . . . . . . 337--338 Boris Iglewicz Einstein's First Published Paper . . . . 339--342 Stuart G. Baker and Barnett S. Kramer Peirce, Youden, and Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves . . . . . . . . . 343--346 Gregory K. Miller and Stephanie L. Fridell A Forgotten Discrete Distribution? Reviving the Negative Hypergeometric Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 347--350 Herbert K. H. Lee Chocolate Chip Cookies as a Teaching Aid 351--355 Lutz Dümbgen and Hans Riedwyl On Fences and Asymmetry in Box-and-Whiskers Plots . . . . . . . . . 356--359 Lin-Yee Hin and Vincent J. Carey and You-Gan Wang Criteria for Working-Correlation-Structure Selection in GEE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 360--364 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 365--366 Jay Devore Applied Regression Analysis: a Second Course in Business and Economic Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 367--367 Gary Simon Applied Regression Modeling: a Business Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 367--368 Kerrie Nelson Introduction to Mixed Modelling: Beyond Regression and Analysis of Variance . . 368--369 Jeffrey C. Sklar Understanding Business Statistics . . . 369--370 Brian Wiens Handbook of Statistical Distributions with Applications . . . . . . . . . . . 370--370 Jay Devore Making Sense of Data: a Practical Guide to Exploratory Data Analysis and Data Mining . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 370--371 David H. Annis Dyadic Data Analysis . . . . . . . . . . 371--371 Timothy J. Robinson Introduction to Computer-Intensive Methods of Data Analysis in Biology . . 371--371 Anonymous Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 372--372 Michael Sherman Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives . . . . . . . . . . . . . 372--372 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 373--373 Anonymous 2007 Editorial Collaborators . . . . . . 374--379
William F. Christensen and Lindsay W. Florence Predicting Presidential and Other Multistage Election Outcomes Using State-Level Pre-Election Polls . . . . . 1--10 John McCarthy and Howard Stanislevic and Mark Lindeman and Arlene S. Ash and Vittorio Addona and Mary Batcher Percentage-Based versus Statistical-Power-Based Vote Tabulation Audits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11--16 Mary M. Whiteside and Mark E. Eakin A Better Estimate of the Number of Valid Signatures on a Petition . . . . . . . . 17--21 Russell A. Boyles The Role of Likelihood in Interval Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22--26 David Afshartous Sample Size Determination for Binomial Proportion Confidence Intervals . . . . 27--31 Denis Larocque and Ronald H. Randles Confidence Intervals for a Discrete Population Median . . . . . . . . . . . 32--39 Frank Tuyl and Richard Gerlach and Kerrie Mengersen A Comparison of Bayes--Laplace, Jeffreys, and Other Priors . . . . . . . 40--44 Lawrence M. Leemis and Jacquelyn T. McQueston Univariate Distribution Relationships 45--53 Mark L. Berenson and Jessica Utts and Karen A. Kinard and Deborah J. Rumsey and Albyn Jones and Leonard M. Gaines Assessing Student Retention of Essential Statistical Ideas . . . . . . . . . . . 54--61 Michael A. Proschan The Normal Approximation to the Binomial 62--63 James A. Hanley and Marilyse Julien and Erica E. M. Moodie Student's $z$, $t$, and $s$: What if Gosset had R? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64--69 Herbert A. David The Beginnings of Randomization Tests 70--72 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 73--73 Robert A. Oster and Joseph M. Hilbe An Examination of Statistical Software Packages for Parametric and Nonparametric Data Analyses Using Exact Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74--84 Joseph M. Hilbe Hawkes Learning Systems . . . . . . . . 85--89 Richard J. Cleary Fundamentals of Probability and Statistics for Engineers, Statistical Techniques for Data Analysis and Statistics: An Introduction . . . . . . 90--91 Xiaogang Su Data Mining Methods and Models . . . . . 91--91 Phil Wood Confirmatory Factor Analysis for Applied Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91--92 Charles L. Liss Multivariable Analysis: a Practical Guide for Clinicians and Study Design and Statistical Analysis: a Practical Guide for Clinicians . . . . . . . . . . 92--92 Gregory E. Gilbert A Pocket Guide to Epidemiology . . . . . 92--93 Anonymous Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 94--94 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 95--96
Mu Zhu Kernels and Ensembles . . . . . . . . . 97--109 David A. Freedman Survival Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . 110--119 Joshua Landon and Nozer D. Singpurwalla Choosing a Coverage Probability for Prediction Intervals . . . . . . . . . . 120--124 Recai M. Yucel and Yulei He and Alan M. Zaslavsky Using Calibration to Improve Rounding in Imputation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125--129 Leonard A. Stefanski The North Carolina Lottery Coincidence 130--134 Jesse Frey and Osvaldo Marrero A Surprising MLE for Interval-Censored Binomial Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135--137 José Luis Palacios On the Simple Symmetric Random Walk and its Maximal Function . . . . . . . . . . 138--140 Gauri S. Datta and Sanat K. Sarkar A General Proof of Some Known Results of Independence Between Two Statistics . . 141--143 Robin Willink A Unique Property of the Normal Distribution Associated With Perturbing a General Random Variable . . . . . . . 144--146 Georgios Skoulakis A Recursive Formula for Computing Central Moments of a Multivariate Lognormal Distribution . . . . . . . . . 147--150 Jack Brimberg and W. J. Hurley Is the Overtime Period in an NHL Game Long Enough? An Example for Teaching Estimation and Hypothesis Testing in the Presence of Censored Data . . . . . . . 151--154 Richard C. Bell, Jr. and Andrew G. Glen Experiences Teaching Probability and Statistics with Personal Laptops in the Classroom Daily . . . . . . . . . . . . 155--160 Nick J. Broers Helping Students to Build a Conceptual Understanding of Elementary Statistics 161--166 Ching-Hui Chang and Jyh-Jiuan Lin and Nabendu Pal and Miao-Chen Chiang A Note on Improved Approximation of the Binomial Distribution by the Skew-Normal Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167--170 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 171--172 Robert A. Oster and Joseph M. Hilbe Rejoinder to ``An Examination of Statistical Software Packages for Parametric and Nonparametric Data Analyses Using Exact Methods'' . . . . . 173--176 Joseph M. Hilbe Systat 12.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177--178 Jane L. Harvill Fundamental Probability: a Computational Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179--180 Thomas E. Bradstreet Graphics of Large Datasets: Visualizing a Million . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180--181 Ralph P. Russo Intuitive Probability and Random Processes using MATLAB . . . . . . . . . 181--182 Margie R. Gurwit Learning SAS by Example: a Programmer's Guide . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182--183 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Book Review: \booktitleA Quick Course in Statistical Process Control . . . . . . 183--183 Thomas E. Bradstreet Pharmaceutical Statistics Using SAS: a Practical Guide . . . . . . . . . . . . 183--183 Richard J. Cleary Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data and An Introduction to Statistical Analysis for Business and Industry: a Problem Solving Approach . . . . . . . . 183--184 Lakshmi Padgett Variations on Split Plot and Split Block Experiment Designs . . . . . . . . . . . 184--184 Anonymous Brief Reviews of Teaching Materials . . 185--185 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 186--187 Anonymous Corrections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188--188
Peter H. Westfall Editor's Note . . . . . . . . . . . . . 189--189 Byron J. Gajewski and Stephen D. Simon A One-Hour Training Seminar on Bayesian Statistics for Nursing Graduate Students 190--194 Greg M. Allenby and Peter E. Rossi Teaching Bayesian Statistics to Marketing and Business Students . . . . 195--198 Jessica Utts and Wesley Johnson The Evolution of Teaching Bayesian Statistics to Nonstatisticians . . . . . 199--201 Andrew Gelman Teaching Bayes to Graduate Students in Political Science, Sociology, Public Health, Education, Economics, \ldots . . 202--205 Stephen Senn A Note Concerning a Selection ``Paradox'' of Dawid's . . . . . . . . . 206--210 Lynn Roy LaMotte Sufficiency in Finite Parameter and Sample Spaces . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211--215 Xiaomi Hu A Three-Condition Characterization of the Moore--Penrose Generalized Inverse 216--218 Áureo De Paula Conditional Moments and Independence . . 219--221 Deborah N. Peikes and Lorenzo Moreno and Sean Michael Orzol Propensity Score Matching . . . . . . . 222--231 Rajdeep Grewal and James A. Dearden and Gary L. Llilien The University Rankings Game . . . . . . 232--237 Chad R. Bhatti and Jennifer L. Wightman Conditional Probability and HIV Testing 238--241 Duncan J. Murdoch and Yu-Ling Tsai and James Adcock $P$-Values are Random Variables . . . . 242--245 Stephen M. Stigler Statistics at Harvard? A Toast to the Harvard Statistics Department . . . . . 246--250 Ronald D. Snee W. Edwards Deming's ``Making AnotherWorld'' . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251--255 David W. Scott and Warren R. Scott Smoothed Histograms for Frequency Data on Irregular Intervals . . . . . . . . . 256--261 Paul L. Speckman and Jeffrey N. Rouder and Richard D. Morey and Michael S. Pratte Delta Plots and Coherent Distribution Ordering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262--266 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 267--267 J. Wade Davis Handbook of Univariate and Multivariate Data Analysis and Interpretation with SPSS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268--268 Samiran Sinha Introduction to Bayesian Statistics . . 268--268 Eric D. Foster Introduction to Bioinformatics . . . . . 268--269 Pallavi Chitturi Introduction to Business Statistics . . 269--269 JonDavid Sparks Missing Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269--270 Christine M. Anderson-Cook Book Review: \booktitleModern Engineering Statistics . . . . . . . . . 270--271 J. Wade Davis Multidimensional Nonlinear Descriptive Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271--271 Matthew A. Carlton Probability and Statistics for Computer Scientists . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271--272 Timothy J. Robinson The R Book . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 272--273 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 274--278
Daniel E. Ho and Kevin M. Quinn Improving the Presentation and Interpretation of Online Ratings Data with Model-Based Figures . . . . . . . . 279--288 Patricia Grambsch Regression to the Mean, Murder Rates, and Shall-Issue Laws . . . . . . . . . . 289--295 Ronald Christensen and Timothy Hanson and Alejandro Jara Parametric Nonparametric Statistics . . 296--306 Richard F. Potthoff and Susan Halabi and Joellen M. Schildkraut and Beth Newman Flexible Frames and Control Sampling in Case-Control Studies . . . . . . . . . . 307--313 Andrew J. Vickers Decision Analysis for the Evaluation of Diagnostic Tests, Prediction Models, and Molecular Markers . . . . . . . . . . . 314--320 Gillian Z. Heller and Andrew B. Forbes and Keith B. G. Dear and Erica Jobling Biostatistics @ Distance . . . . . . . . 321--328 M. C. Busstra and A. Geelen and E. J. Feskens and R. J. M. Hartog and P. van 't Veer Design and Development of Digital Learning Material for Applied Data Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 329--339 Christopher H. Jackson Displaying Uncertainty With Shading . . 340--347 Samuel Kotz and Edith Seier Visualizing Peak and Tails to Introduce Kurtosis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 348--354 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Note . . . . . . . . . 355--355 Herbert K. H. Lee Bayesian Methods: a Social and Behavioral Sciences Approach . . . . . . 356--356 Ryan E. Wiegand Data Preparation for Analytics Using SAS 356--357 Jessica Chapman Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 357--358 James Stamey Modern Mathematical Statistics with Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 358--358 Frederick M. Pratter SAS Graphics for Java: Examples Using SAS AppDev Studio and the Output Delivery System . . . . . . . . . . . . 359--359 Gideon (K. D.) Zamba Statistical Development of Quality in Medicine . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359--360 Mario V. Wüthrich Statistical and Probabilistic Methods in Actuarial Science . . . . . . . . . . . 360--360 Gilbert W. Fellingham Statistical Thinking in Sports . . . . . 360--361 M. G. M. Khan Statistics for Real-Life Sample Surveys: Non-Simple-Random Samples and Weighted Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 361--361 J. Wade Davis Medical Statistics: a Textbook for the Health Sciences . . . . . . . . . . . . 362--362 Daniel B. Hall Analyzing Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves With SAS . . . . . 362--362 Raquel Prado Introduction to Design of Experiments 362--362 F. Michael Speed SAS Programming for Enterprise Guide Users . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 362--362 Jay Devore Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 362--363 Carol A. Gotway Crawford Unlocking the Census with GIS . . . . . 363--363 Mary Richardson Workshop Statistics: Discovery With Data 363--363 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 364--365 Anonymous 2008 Editorial Collaborators . . . . . . 366--367 Anonymous Index to volume 62 . . . . . . . . . . . 368--370
Andrew Gelman and David K. Park Splitting a Predictor at the Upper Quarter or Third and the Lower Quarter or Third . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1--8 Ming T. Tan and Guo-Liang Tian and Man-Lai Tang Sample Surveys With Sensitive Questions: a Nonrandomized Response Approach . . . 9--16 Keming Yu and Abdallah Ally Improving Prediction Intervals: Some Elementary Methods . . . . . . . . . . . 17--19 Roger Koenker The Median Is the Message: Wilson and Hilfertys Experiments on the Law of Errors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20--25 R. M. Fewster A Simple Explanation of Benford's Law 26--32 Rebecca Graziani and Piero Veronese How to Compute a Mean? The Chisini Approach and Its Applications . . . . . 33--36 Charles Hagwood An Application of the Residue Calculus: The Distribution of the Sum of Nonhomogeneous Gamma Variates . . . . . 37--39 Lei Shi and Gemai Chen Influence Measures for General Linear Models With Correlated Errors . . . . . 40--42 Leng-Cheng Hwang A Simple Proof of the Binomial Theorem Using Differential Calculus . . . . . . 43--44 Saralees Nadarajah PDFs and Dual PDFs . . . . . . . . . . . 45--48 Jaechoul Lee A Reformulation of Weighted Least Squares Estimators . . . . . . . . . . . 49--55 Michael Friendly and Ernest Kwan Where's Waldo? Visualizing Collinearity Diagnostics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56--65 Martin S. Ridout Statistical Applications of the Complex-Step Method of Numerical Differentiation . . . . . . . . . . . . 66--74 Joseph M. Hilbe Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 75--77 Chris Barker The Mean, Median, and Confidence Intervals of the Kaplan--Meier Survival Estimate --- Computations and Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78--80 Dominique Haughton and Pascal Legrand and Sam Woolford Review of Three Latent Class Cluster Analysis Packages: Latent Gold, poLCA, and MCLUST . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81--91 Anonymous Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials 92--101 Anonymous Letter to the Editor . . . . . . . . . . 102--103
Emery N. Brown and Robert E. Kass What Is Statistics? . . . . . . . . . . 105--110 Iain Johnstone Comment: What Is Statistics? . . . . . . 111--111 Alison Gibbs and Nancy Reid Comment: What Is Statistics? . . . . . . 112--113 David Madigan and Andrew Gelman Comment: What Is Statistics? . . . . . . 114--114 Samad Hedayat and John Stufken Comment: What Is Statistics? . . . . . . 115--116 Deborah Nolan and Duncan Temple Lang Comment: What Is Statistics? . . . . . . 117--121 Emery N. Brown and Robert E. Kass Rejoinder: What Is Statistics? . . . . . 122--123 John W. Emerson and Miki Seltzer and David Lin Assessing Judging Bias: An Example From the 2000 Olympic Games . . . . . . . . . 124--131 Kenneth J. Ryan Approximate Confidence Intervals for $p$ When Double Sampling . . . . . . . . . . 132--140 Jack G. Gambino Design Effect Caveats . . . . . . . . . 141--146 Carolyn Lauzon and Brian Caffo Easy Multiplicity Control in Equivalence Testing Using Two One-Sided Tests . . . 147--154 Elizabeth Koehler and Elizabeth Brown and Sebastien J.-P. A. Haneuse On the Assessment of Monte Carlo Error in Simulation-Based Statistical Analyses 155--162 Reid D. Landes Passing on the Passion for the Profession . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163--172 Pierre Lafaye de Micheaux and Benoit Liquet Understanding Convergence Concepts: a Visual-Minded and Graphical Simulation-Based Approach . . . . . . . 173--178 Leland Wilkinson and Michael Friendly The History of the Cluster Heat Map . . 179--184 Herbert A. David A Historical Note on Zero Correlation and Independence . . . . . . . . . . . . 185--186 Robert A. Oster Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 187--188 Anonymous Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials 189--196 Anonymous Letters to the Editor . . . . . . . . . 197--199 Anonymous Errata . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200--200
John Stufken An Invitation: Editor's Introduction to ``Desired and Feared --- What Do We Do Now and Over the Next 50 Years?'' . . . 201--201 Xiao-Li Meng Desired and Feared --- What Do We Do Now and Over the Next 50 Years? . . . . . . 202--210 Micha Mandel and Yosef Rinott A Selection Bias Conflict and Frequentist versus Bayesian Viewpoints 211--217 Aiyou Chen and Thomas Bengtsson and Tin Kam Ho A Regression Paradox for Linear Models: Sufficient Conditions and Relation to Simpson's Paradox . . . . . . . . . . . 218--225 Marios G. Pavlides and Michael D. Perlman How Likely Is Simpson's Paradox? . . . . 226--233 Daniel J. Nordman and Stephen B. Vardeman and Melissa A. Bingham Uniformly Hyper-Efficient Bayes Inference in a Class of Nonregular Problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 234--238 Arne C. Bathke and Oliver Schabenberger and Randall D. Tobias and Laurence V. Madden Greenhouse--Geisser Adjustment and the ANOVA-Type Statistic: Cousins or Twins? 239--246 Carl N. Morris and Kari F. Lock Unifying the Named Natural Exponential Families and Their Relatives . . . . . . 247--253 Andrew R. Solow and Woollcott K. Smith A Statistical Problem Concerning the Mar Saba Letter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254--257 Per Gösta Andersson A Simple Correlation Adjustment Procedure Applied to Confidence Interval Construction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258--262 Amy G. Froelich and William M. Duckworth and Jessica Culhane Does Your iPod Really Play Favorites? 263--268 Halvor Mehlum The Island Problem Revisited . . . . . . 269--273 Scott M. Lesch and Daniel R. Jeske Some Suggestions for Teaching About Normal Approximations to Poisson and Binomial Distribution Functions . . . . 274--277 Anthony Y. C. Kuk A New Way to Derive Locally Most Powerful Rank Tests . . . . . . . . . . 278--280 Anonymous Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials 281--293 Frank Tuyl Letter to the Editor . . . . . . . . . . 294--294 G. G. Hamedani and H. W. Volkmer Letter to the Editor . . . . . . . . . . 295--295
Hua Zhou and Kenneth Lange Rating Movies and Rating the Raters Who Rate Them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 297--307 Ulrike Grömping Variable Importance Assessment in Regression: Linear Regression versus Random Forest . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308--319 Robert H. Lyles and Ying Guo and Andrew N. Hill A Fresh Look at the Discriminant Function Approach for Estimating Crude or Adjusted Odds Ratios . . . . . . . . 320--327 Ceylan Yozgatligil and William W. S. Wei Representation of Multiplicative Seasonal Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . 328--334 Wayne A. Woodward and Henry L. Gray and James R. Haney and Alan C. Elliott Examining Factors to Better Understand Autoregressive Models . . . . . . . . . 335--342 Shonda Kuiper and Linda Collins Guided Labs That Introduce Statistical Techniques Used in Research From Multiple Disciplines . . . . . . . . . . 343--347 Marlene A. Smith and Peter G. Bryant Managing Case Discussions in Introductory Business Statistics Classes: Practical Approaches for Instructors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 348--355 Patricia Pepple Williamson and Darcy P. Mays and Ghidewon Abay Asmerom and Yingying Yang Revisiting the Classical Occupancy Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 356--360 Stefan H. Steiner and R. Jock MacKay Teaching Variation Reduction Using a Virtual Manufacturing Environment . . . 361--365 Tue Tjur Coefficients of Determination in Logistic Regression Models --- a New Proposal: The Coefficient of Discrimination . . . . . . . . . . . . . 366--372 Björn Bornkamp and Katja Ickstadt A Note on B-Splines for Semiparametric Elicitation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 373--377 Jan Serroyen and Geert Molenberghs and Geert Verbeke and Marie Davidian Nonlinear Models for Longitudinal Data 378--388 Christel Faes and Geert Molenberghs and Marc Aerts and Geert Verbeke and Michael G. Kenward The Effective Sample Size and an Alternative Small-Sample Degrees-of-Freedom Method . . . . . . . 389--399 Robert A. Oster Section Editor's Notes . . . . . . . . . 400--400 Anonymous Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials 401--405 Anonymous Letter to the Editor . . . . . . . . . . 406--406 Anonymous 2009 Editorial Collaborators . . . . . . 407--408 Anonymous Index to Volume 63 . . . . . . . . . . . 409--411
Brian Caffo and Carolyn Lauzon and Joachim Röhmel Correction to ``Easy Multiplicity Control in Equivalence Testing Using Two One-Sided Tests'' . . . . . . . . . . . 115--116
Emil M. Friedman Nontransitivity, Correlation, and Causation: Langford, E., Schwertman, N., and Owens, M. (2001), ``Is the Property of Being Positively Correlated Transitive?'' The American Statistician, \bf 55, 322--325: Comment by Friedman 257--257